ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the survival patterns among adults in Thailand 8-14 years after HIV-1 subtype E (CRF01 A_E) infection. DESIGN: Follow-up for the current vital status of adults who were estimated to have had incident HIV-1 subtype E infection 8-14 years previously. METHODS: Data on the survival of a population of HIV-1-infected male blood donors and their seropositive wives was obtained during March-April 2007. These subjects were identified from a subpopulation of 150 individuals whose seroconversion interval was estimated to be less than 2 years and who were enrolled in 1992-1997. National registration, vital records, and death certificates, as appropriate, were obtained and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were constructed for the entire population, for males and females, and for individuals above and equal to or below the median age at infection. RESULTS: The vital status was obtained for 138 of 150 subjects (92%). The overall median survival was 8.2 [95% confidence interval (CI) 7.1-9.4] years. The median survival did not differ significantly between men and women or in those above or below the median age. CONCLUSION: The median survival of 8.2 years in this population of young adults in Thailand was significantly less than that reported among persons of similar age in high-income countries or in eastern or southern Africa. The survival among individuals in Thailand infected with HIV-1 subtype E appears to be similar to that reported among individuals in Africa infected with HIV-1 subtype D.
Subject(s)
Blood Donors/statistics & numerical data , HIV Infections/mortality , HIV-1 , Spouses/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent , Adult , Disease Progression , Epidemiologic Methods , Female , HIV Infections/drug therapy , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Survival Rate , Thailand/epidemiology , Viral LoadABSTRACT
A barrier to the appropriate provision of antiretroviral therapy to treat immunosuppressed HIV-infected persons in resource-poor countries is identifying who requires treatment. The World Health Organization (WHO) has suggested using a clinical algorithm combined with a total lymphocyte count (TLC) < 1200 cells/mm as a surrogate for a CD4 count less than 200 cells/mm when it is not possible to measure the CD4 count. We evaluated various TLC levels, anemia, and body mass index and compared our data with the WHO criteria to develop a more sensitive algorithm to predict CD4 counts of < 200 cells/mm and < 350 cells/mm in 839 men and women from Thailand infected with HIV-1 subtype E (CRF01_AE). The December 2003 WHO guidelines had a sensitivity of 34.1% in men and 31.8% in women to detect persons with a CD4 count < 200 cells/mm in this HIV-infected population from Thailand. The use of a TLC < 1500 cells/mm or TLC < 2000 cells/mm combined with anemia or WHO stage II infection doubled the sensitivity to detect persons with a CD4 count < 200 (63.0% in men, 68.2% in women) with less than a 6% decrease in specificity.
Subject(s)
Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/epidemiology , Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/immunology , Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use , CD4 Lymphocyte Count , Health Care Rationing , Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/drug therapy , Algorithms , Anti-HIV Agents/economics , Costs and Cost Analysis , Female , Humans , Lymphocyte Count , Male , Sensitivity and Specificity , Sex Characteristics , ThailandABSTRACT
Cross-sectional laboratory data were used to model the patterns of total lymphocyte count and lymphocyte subpopulation counts among persons with chronic HIV-1 subtype E (CRF01_AE) infection during the 6.5 years preceding death. The data cover 331 HIV-infected decedents from a heterosexual HIV transmission study of 590 northern Thai couples enrolled in 1992-1998. From blood collected at enrollment, the lymphocyte phenotypes (CD3, CD8, CD4, natural killer, and B cells) were stained using two-color monoclonal antibody combinations and quantified by flow cytometry. Piecewise linear splines modeled the associations between lymphocyte levels and time before death. Mean CD3, CD8, and B cell levels showed no temporal associations from 6.5 to 2 years before death, but each declined significantly during the 2 years before death. CD3 levels declined 31.0% [95% confidence interval (-40.3%, -19.8%)] and CD8 levels declined 24.6% (-35.4%, -13.5%) annually in the 2 years prior to death. In contrast, CD4 and NK cell levels declined little from 6.5 to 4.5 years before death but declined significantly over the 4.5 years prior to death. CD4 levels declined 22.1% (-29.2%, -12.0%) annually from 4.5 to 2 years prior to death and 63.7% (-72.3%, -53.6%) annually over the remaining 2 years. Similar lymphocyte patterns have been reported in U. S. and European populations with HIV-1 subtype B infection.
