Estimating the burden of pediatric HIV in an 'A' category district in India: an epidemiological study.

BACKGROUND: India lacks epidemiological information on the disease burden of pediatric HIV. The National AIDS Control Program (NACP) estimates the numbers of HIV-positive children as a proportion of adult persons living with HIV. A third of HIV-positive children die before their first birthday and a half before they reach their second birthday. The early detection of HIV is crucial for the prevention of morbidities, growth delays, and death among HIV-positive children. METHODS: The study aimed to estimate the disease burden of pediatric HIV among children in 'A' category district of a high HIV prevalence state. An 'A' category district is defined by the presence of > 1% HIV prevalence among the general population, as estimated by HIV Sentinel Surveillance. The study used an innovative three-pronged strategy combining cross-sectional and longitudinal methods. The overall burden of pediatric HIV was calculated as a product of cases detected multiplied by a net inflation factor, for each of three strategies. RESULTS: The existing pool of HIV infection in the district is estimated to be 3266 (95% CI: 2621-4197) HIV positive children < 15 years of age, in a mid-year (2013) projected child population of about 1.4 million, thus giving an HIV prevalence of 0.23% (CI: 0.19-0.30) among children (0-14 years of age). The proportion of children among all people living with HIV in the district works out to 10.4% (CI: 8.6-13.5%). CONCLUSIONS: The study estimate of 0.23% HIV prevalence among children (0-14 years of age) is higher than the NACP estimates (0.02) and is 2.5 higher than the Karnataka state estimate (0.09)22. Similarly, the proportion of children among all persons living with HIV in Belgaum district is 10.4% in this study, as against 6.54% for India. The study methodology is replicable for other settings and other diseases.

Modified Integrated Algorithm for Detection of HIV Among Sick Children Aged 0-14 Year Seeking Care at Healthcare Facilities in India.

OBJECTIVE: To test the ability and to identify unique criteria in a Modified Integrated Algorithm developed by Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) to detect HIV infection among sick children 0 to 14 years, seeking care in a health care facility. DESIGN: Facility based cross-sectional survey. SETTING: Four talukas of Belgaum District, Karnataka, India during 2013-2014. PATIENTS: Sick children 0-14 years seeking care at healthcare facilities in the study area. PROCEDURE: A total of 10 health care facilities were selected using specific criteria. Trained health care providers in these facilities used the WHO generic Integrated Management of Childhood Illnesses screening algorithm for HIV, applicable for children to 0-5 years and ICMR modified integrated algorithm for >5-14 years, to screen and test children for HIV, when they sought care in these facilities. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Prevalence of HIV in children screened positive by the Modified Integrated Algorithm. RESULTS: Of the total 33342 children who visited the 10 health care facilities, 24342 were screened by the physician. Of the 527 screened positive sick children with suspected signs/ symptoms, 509 consented and were tested with age appropriate HIV testing. 97 children tested positive (HIV prevalence 19.1%: 5% in <5yrs and 28% in ≥5-14 years). The result of Classification and Regression Tree and logistics regression consistently identified parents with HIV and orphan child, as important predictor of HIV infection. CONCLUSIONS: ICMR Modified integrated algorithm may be used as a screening tool in the public and private health care facilities to increase case detection of pediatric HIV.

Incidence, prevalence and associated factors of mother-to-child transmission of HIV, among children exposed to maternal HIV, in Belgaum district, Karnataka, India.

BACKGROUND: India lacks data on the incidence of Paediatric HIV. In 2010, the Indian Council of Medical Research commissioned a task force study to estimate the paediatric HIV burden in Belgaum district, Karnataka, India. We estimated the HIV incidence, prevalence and associated risk factors of mother to child transmission of HIV among children exposed to maternal HIV by age 24 months. METHODS: We included Belgaum resident pregnant women who tested HIV positive between January 1st, 2011 and May 31st, 2013 and who provided consent. Their babies were tested for HIV at three time intervals using DNA PCR dry blood spot (DBS) method at 6-10 weeks and 6-9 months, and using Antibody tests at 18-24 months of age. We estimated cumulative incidence using survival analysis that considered censoring of cases and prevalence rates of HIV by age 24 months. Using competing-risk survival regression model, we examined the correlates of transmission of HIV among babies exposed to maternal HIV. RESULTS: Among 487 children of HIV positive mothers recruited in the study, the cumulative incidence rate by 24 months of age was 4.8 per 1000 person months [95% CI: 3.5-6.6]. The HIV prevalence rate among babies exposed to maternal HIV until 24 months was 7.8% [95% CI: 5.7-10.7]. Mother's age above 30 years, and breastfeeding duration of more than six months were factors that significantly increased the HIV transmission; adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) 6.98 [95% CI: 1.73-28.16] and 5.28 [95% CI, 1.75-15.90], respectively. The risk of MTCT was significantly reduced if both mother and baby had received Nevirapine at delivery [AHR 0.25; 95%CI: 0.10-0.61] and if either mother or baby had been given Nevirapine at delivery [AHR 0.12; 95%CI: 0.03-0.49]. CONCLUSION: The study findings suggest that mother's age above 30 years and breastfeeding beyond 26 weeks is associated with higher rates of HIV transmission from mother to child. It confirms the benefits of providing anti-retrovirals (Nevirapine) in reducing mother to child transmission of HIV. Effective strategies to promote safe infant feeding practices, including avoidance of mixed feeding beyond 26 weeks among HIV infected mothers, is critical to reduce incidence of paediatric HIV in India.

Research protocol for an epidemiological study on estimating disease burden of pediatric HIV in Belgaum district, India.

BACKGROUND: Pediatric HIV is poised to become a major public health problem in India with the rising trend of HIV infection in pregnant women (Department of AIDS Control, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, http://www.naco.gov.in). There is lack of information on the epidemiology of pediatric HIV infection in India. Existing surveillance systems tend to underestimate the Pediatric burden. The overall aim of the present study is to estimate the disease burden of pediatric HIV among children in Belgaum district in the state of Karnataka in Southern India. An innovative multipronged epidemiological approach to comb the district is proposed. METHODS: The primary objectives of the study would be attained under three strategies. A prospective cohort design for objective (i) to determine the incidence rate of HIV by early case detection in infants and toddlers (0-18 months) born to HIV infected pregnant women; and cross sectional design for objectives (ii) to determine the prevalence of HIV infection in children (0-14 years) of HIV infected parents and (iii) to determine the prevalence of HIV in sick children (0-14 years) presenting with suspected signs and symptoms using age specific criteria for screening. Burden of pediatric HIV will be calculated as a product of cases detected in each strategy multiplied by a net inflation factor for each strategy. Study participants (i) (ii) (iii): HIV infected pregnant women and their live born children (ii) Any HIV-infected man/woman, of age 18-49 years, having a biological child of age 0-14 years (iii) Sick children of age 0-14 years presenting with suspected signs and symptoms and satisfying age-specific criteria for screening. Setting and conduct: Belgaum district which is a Category 'A' district (with more than 1 % antenatal prevalence in the district over the last 3 years before the study). Age-appropriate testing is used to detect HIV infection. DISCUSSION: There is a need to strengthen existing pediatric HIV estimation methods in India and other developing countries. We hope that the novel methodology emanating from this study would be applicable for estimating the burden of HIV in other settings and it would be adaptable for estimating the burden of other infectious/chronic diseases. Findings from this study will give future direction to the national program for prevention and control of HIV in India and other developing countries.