ABSTRACT
Clinical risk index for babies II (CRIB II) score is simple, validated and widely used risk-adjustment instrument for predicting mortality among preterm low birth weight babies. To assess the efficacy of CRIB II score as a tool to predict the risk for neonatal death among the preterm and LBW babies admitted in NICU of BSMMU, a tertiary care hospital in Bangladesh. This prospective observational study was conducted in Department of Neonatology in BSMMU from September 2016 to August 2017. Inborn preterm neonates with gestational age ≤34 weeks admitted were enrolled in the study. CRIB-II score was calculated for each infant within 1 hour of birth from birth weight, gestational age, sex, admission temperature and base excess. The primary outcome measured in the study was neonatal death or survival up to 28 days. Total 112 patients were finally analyzed in this study. Mean CRIB II score was significantly higher in the non-survivor group compared to the survivor group (p-value <0.0001). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis for mortality prediction by CRIB II score, gestational age and birth weight showed AUC 0.87 (95% CI 0.76-0.97), 0.76 (95% CI 0.63-0.88) and 0.79 (95% CI 0.66-0.92) respectively. ROC curve analysis also revealed that the most suitable cut-off points for predicting mortality were 5 for CRIB II score, 32 weeks for gestational age and 1250 gram for birth weight. Using these most suitable cut-off points, CRIB II score had the highest sensitivity and specificity followed by birth weight and gestational age. In this study, CRIB II score was found to be an effective tool for predicting neonatal death among preterm LBW babies. It predicted outcome more accurately than birth weight or gestational age alone.
