Achieving an Optimal Outcome After Stage 1 Palliation for Hypoplastic Left Heart Syndrome and Variants: Frequency, Associated Factors, and Subsequent Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: We sought to measure frequency of achieving an optimal outcome after stage 1 palliation (S1P) for hypoplastic left heart syndrome and variants, determine factors associated with optimal outcomes, and compare outcomes after stage 2 palliation (S2P) using the National Pediatric Cardiology Quality Improvement Collaborative database (2008-2016). METHODS AND RESULTS: This is a retrospective cohort study with optimal outcome defined a priori as meeting all of the following: (1) discharge after S1P in <19 days (top quartile), (2) no red flag or major event readmissions before S2P, and (3) performing S2P between 90 and 240 days of age. Optimal outcome was achieved in 256 of 2182 patients (11.7%). Frequency varied among centers from 0% to 25%. Factors independently associated with an optimal outcome after S1P were higher gestational age (odds ratio [OR], 1.1 per week [95% CI, 1.0-1.2]; P=0.02); absence of a genetic syndrome (OR, 2.5 [95% CI, 1.2-5]; P=0.02); not requiring a post-S1P catheterization (OR, 2.7 [95% CI, 1.5-4.8]; P=0.01), intervention (OR, 1.5 [95% CI, 1.1-2]; P=0.006), or a procedure (OR, 4.5 [95% CI, 2.8-7.1]; P<0.001) before discharge; and not having a post-S1P complication (OR, 2.7 [95% CI, 1.9-3.7]; P<0.001). Those with an optimal outcome after S1P had improved S2P outcomes including shorter length of stay, less ventilator days, shorter bypass time, and fewer postoperative complications. CONCLUSIONS: Identifying patients at lowest risk for poor outcomes during the home interstage period could shift necessary resources to those at higher risk, alter S2P postoperative expectations, and improve quality of life for families at lower risk.

Clinical risk prediction score for postoperative accelerated junctional rhythm and junctional ectopic tachycardia in children with congenital heart disease.

BACKGROUND: Accelerated junctional rhythm (AJR) and junctional ectopic tachycardia (JET) are common postoperative arrhythmias associated with morbidity/mortality. Studies suggest that pre- or intraoperative treatment may improve outcomes, but patient selection remains a challenge. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to describe contemporary outcomes of postoperative AJR/JET and develop a risk prediction score to identify patients at highest risk. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of children aged 0-18 years undergoing cardiac surgery (2011-2018). AJR was defined as usual complex tachycardia with ≥1:1 ventricular-atrial association and junctional rate >25th percentile of sinus rate for age but <170 bpm, whereas JET was defined as a rate >170 bpm. A risk prediction score was developed using random forest analysis and logistic regression. RESULTS: Among 6364 surgeries, AJR occurred in 215 (3.4%) and JET in 59 (0.9%). Age, heterotaxy syndrome, aortic cross-clamp time, ventricular septal defect closure, and atrioventricular canal repair were independent predictors of AJR/JET on multivariate analysis and included in the risk prediction score. The model accurately predicted the risk of AJR/JET with a C-index of 0.72 (95% confidence interval 0.70-0.75). Postoperative AJR and JET were associated with prolonged intensive care unit and hospital length of stay, but not with early mortality. CONCLUSION: We describe a novel risk prediction score to estimate the risk of postoperative AJR/JET permitting early identification of at-risk patients who may benefit from prophylactic treatment.