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1.
J Alzheimers Dis Rep ; 8(1): 307-316, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38405343

ABSTRACT

Background: Composite scores have been increasingly used in trials for Alzheimer's disease (AD) to detect disease progression, such as the AD Composite Score (ADCOMS) in the lecanemab trial. Objective: To develop a new composite score to improve the prediction of outcome change. Methods: We proposed to develop a new composite score based on the statistical model in the ADCOMS, by removing duplicated sub-scales and adding the model selection in the partial least squares (PLS) regression. Results: The new AD composite Score with variable Selection (ADSS) includes 7 cognitive sub-scales. ADSS can increase the sensitivity to detect disease progression as compared to the existing total scores, which leads to smaller sample sizes using the ADSS in trial designs. Conclusions: ADSS can be utilized in AD trials to improve the success rate of drug development with a high sensitivity to detect disease progression in early stages.

2.
J Neuropsychiatry Clin Neurosci ; 36(2): 118-124, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38258377

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Repetitive head impacts in professional fighting commonly lead to head injuries. Increased exposure to repetitive head trauma, measured by the number of professional fights and years of fighting, has been associated with slower processing speed and smaller brain volumes. The impact of win-loss outcomes has been investigated in other sports, with several studies suggesting that individuals on losing teams experience more head injuries. Here, the authors hypothesized that fighters with a worse fight record would exhibit poorer brain health outcomes. METHODS: The Professional Fighters Brain Health Study examined changes in neuropsychiatric symptoms, regional brain volume, and cognition among professional boxers and mixed martial arts fighters. These data were used to evaluate the relationship between win-loss ratios and brain health outcomes among professional fighters (N=212) by using validated neuropsychiatric symptom and cognitive measures and MRI data. RESULTS: Retired fighters with a better record demonstrated more impulsiveness (B=0.21, df=48) and slower processing speed (B=-0.42, df=31). More successful fighters did not perform better than fighters with worse records on any neuropsychiatric or cognitive test. Retired fighters with better fight records had smaller brain volumes in the subcortical gray matter, anterior corpus callosum, left and right hippocampi, left and right amygdala, and left thalamus. More successful active fighters had a smaller left amygdala volume. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that among retired fighters, a better fight record was associated with greater impulsiveness, slower processing speed, and smaller brain volume in certain regions. This study shows that even successful fighters experience adverse effects on brain health.


Subject(s)
Cognition Disorders , Craniocerebral Trauma , Humans , Brain/diagnostic imaging , Cognition , Gray Matter
3.
J Pain ; : 104475, 2024 Jan 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38242334

ABSTRACT

The STarT MSK tool was developed to enable risk stratification of patients with common musculoskeletal (MSK) pain conditions and help identify individuals who may require more targeted interventions or closer monitoring in primary care settings, however, its validity in U.S.-based outpatient physical therapy settings has not been investigated. The 10-item Keele STarT MSK risk stratification tool was tested for construct (convergent and discriminant) and predictive validity using a multicenter, prospective cohort study design. Participants (n = 141) receiving physical therapy for MSK pain of the back, neck, shoulder, hip, knee, or multisite regions completed intake questionnaires including the Keele STarT MSK tool, Functional Comorbidity Index (FCI), Optimal Screening for Prediction of Referral and Outcome Review-of-Systems and Optimal Screening for Prediction of Referral and Outcome Yellow Flag tools. Pain intensity, pain interference, and health-related quality of life (Medical Outcomes Study 8-item Short-Form Health Survey (SF-8) physical [PCS] and mental [MCS] component summary scores) were measured at 2- and 6-month follow-up. Participants were classified as STarT MSK tool low (44%), medium (39%), and high (17%) risk. Follow-up rates were 70.2% (2 months) and 49.6% (6 months). For convergent validity, fair relationships were observed between the STarT MSK tool and FCI and SF-8 MCS (r = .35-.37) while moderate-to-good relationships (r = .51-.72) were observed for 7 other clinical measures. For discriminant validity, STarT MSK tool risk-dependent relationships were observed for Optimal Screening for Prediction of Referral and Outcome Review-of-Systems, Optimal Screening for Prediction of Referral and Outcome Yellow Flag, pain interference, and SF-8 PCS (low < medium < high; P < .01) and FCI, pain intensity, and SF-8 MCS (low 

4.
J Appl Stat ; 51(1): 139-152, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38179158

ABSTRACT

For paired binary data, the hybrid method and the score method are often recommended for use to calculate the confidence interval for risk difference. These asymptotic intervals do not control the coverage probability. We propose to develop a new score interval with continuity correction to further improve the performance of the existing intervals. The traditional correction value may be too large which leads to a wide interval. For that reason, we propose three different correction values to identify the optimal correction interval with balanced coverage probability and interval width. From simulation studies, we find that a small correction value for the score interval has good performance. In addition, we derive the non-iterative solutions for the developed continuity correction score intervals.

5.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 24(1): 22, 2024 Jan 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38273261

ABSTRACT

When multiple influential covariates need to be balanced during a clinical trial, stratified blocked randomization and covariate-adaptive randomization procedures are frequently used in trials to prevent bias and enhance the validity of data analysis results. The latter approach is increasingly used in practice for a study with multiple covariates and limited sample sizes. Among a group of these approaches, the covariate-adaptive procedures proposed by Pocock and Simon are straightforward to be utilized in practice. We aim to investigate the optimal design parameters for the patient treatment assignment probability of their developed three methods. In addition, we seek to answer the question related to the randomization performance when additional covariates are added to the existing randomization procedure. We conducted extensive simulation studies to address these practically important questions.


Subject(s)
Research Design , Humans , Computer Simulation , Probability , Random Allocation , Sample Size , Clinical Trials as Topic
6.
Neurotrauma Rep ; 4(1): 736-750, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38028272

ABSTRACT

Brief episodes of low oxygen breathing (therapeutic acute intermittent hypoxia; tAIH) may serve as an effective plasticity-promoting primer to enhance the effects of transcutaneous spinal stimulation-enhanced walking therapy (WALKtSTIM) in persons with chronic (>1 year) spinal cord injury (SCI). Pre-clinical studies in rodents with SCI show that tAIH and WALKtSTIM therapies harness complementary mechanisms of plasticity to maximize walking recovery. Here, we present a multi-site clinical trial protocol designed to examine the influence of tAIH + WALKtSTIM on walking recovery in persons with chronic SCI. We hypothesize that daily (eight sessions, 2 weeks) tAIH + WALKtSTIM will elicit faster, more persistent improvements in walking recovery than either treatment alone. To test our hypothesis, we are conducting a placebo-controlled clinical trial on 60 SCI participants who randomly receive one of three interventions: tAIH + WALKtSTIM; Placebo + WALKtSTIM; and tAIH + WALKtSHAM. Participants receive daily tAIH (fifteen 90-sec episodes at 10% O2 with 60-sec intervals at 21% O2) or daily placebo (fifteen 90-sec episodes at 21% O2 with 60-sec intervals at 21% O2) before a 45-min session of WALKtSTIM or WALKtSHAM. Our primary outcome measures assess walking speed (10-Meter Walk Test), endurance (6-Minute Walk Test), and balance (Timed Up and Go Test). For safety, we also measure pain levels, spasticity, sleep behavior, cognition, and rates of systemic hypertension and autonomic dysreflexia. Assessments occur before, during, and after sessions, as well as at 1, 4, and 8 weeks post-intervention. Results from this study extend our understanding of the functional benefits of tAIH priming by investigating its capacity to boost the neuromodulatory effects of transcutaneous spinal stimulation on restoring walking after SCI. Given that there is no known cure for SCI and no single treatment is sufficient to overcome walking deficits, there is a critical need for combinatorial treatments that accelerate and anchor walking gains in persons with lifelong SCI. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05563103.

7.
J Stat Theory Appl ; 22(1-2): 38-53, 2023 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37982044

ABSTRACT

Confidence interval for the difference of two proportions has been studied for decades. Many methods were developed to improve the approximation of the limiting distribution of test statistics, such as the profile likelihood method, the score method, and the Wilson method. For the Wilson interval developed by Beal (1987), the approximation of the Z test statistic to the standard normal distribution may be further improved by utilizing the continuity correction, in the observation of anti-conservative intervals from the Wilson interval. We theoretically prove that the Wilson interval is nested in the continuity corrected Wilson interval under mild conditions. We compare the continuity corrected Wilson interval with the commonly used methods with regards to coverage probability, interval width, and mean squared error of coverage probability. The proposed interval has good performance in many configurations. An example from a Phase II cancer trial is used to illustrate the application of these methods.

8.
Alzheimers Res Ther ; 15(1): 173, 2023 10 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37828595

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: It is unknown if fluid biomarkers reflective of brain pathologies are useful in detecting and following a neurodegenerative process in individuals exposed to repetitive head impacts. This study explores the relationship between blood biomarkers and longitudinal change in cognitive function and regional brain volumes in a cohort of professional fighters. METHODS: Participants are drawn from a convenience sample of active and retired professional boxers and Mixed Martial Arts fighters and a control group with no prior exposure to head impacts. 3 T MRI brain imaging, plasma samples, and computerized cognitive testing were obtained at baseline and, for a subset, annually. MRI regional volumes were extracted, along with plasma levels of neurofilament light chain (NfL), glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), p-tau231, and N-terminal tau (NTA). Statistical analyses were performed to assess the relationship between plasma levels and regional brain volumes and cognitive performance at baseline and longitudinally. RESULTS: One hundred forty active boxers (mean age: 31 with standard deviation (SD) of 8), 211 active MMA (mean age of 30 with SD of 5), 69 retired boxers (mean age 49 with SD of 9), and 52 control participants (mean age 36 with SD of 12) were included in the analyses. Baseline GFAP levels were highest in the retired boxers (retired boxers v. active MMA: p = 0.0191), whereas active boxers had higher levels of NfL (active boxers v. MMA: p = 0.047). GFAP showed an increase longitudinally in retired boxers that was associated with decreasing volumes of multiple cortical and subcortical structures (e.g., hippocampus: B = - 1.25, 95% CI, - 1.65 to - 0.85) and increase in lateral ventricle size (B = 1.75, 95% CI, 1.46 to 2.04). Furthermore, performance on cognitive domains including memory, processing speed, psychomotor speed, and reaction time declined over time with increasing GFAP (e.g., processing speed: B = - 0.04, 95% CI, - 0.07 to - 0.02; reaction time: B = 0.52, 95% CI, 0.28 to 0.76). Among active fighters, increasing levels of GFAP were correlated with lower thalamic (B = - 1.42, 95% CI, - 2.34 to -0.49) and corpus callosum volumes, along with worsening scores on psychomotor speed (B = 0.14, 95% CI, 0.01 to 0.27). CONCLUSION: Longitudinal plasma GFAP levels may have a role in identifying individuals exposed to repetitive head impacts who are at risk of showing progressive regional atrophy and cognitive decline.


Subject(s)
Brain , Cognitive Dysfunction , Humans , Adult , Middle Aged , Brain/diagnostic imaging , Brain/pathology , Cognitive Dysfunction/pathology , Cognition , Biomarkers , Neuropsychological Tests
9.
J Biopharm Stat ; : 1-13, 2023 Jul 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37452825

ABSTRACT

In recent years, adaptive randomization methods have gained significant popularity in clinical research and trial design due to their ability to provide both efficiency and flexibility in adjusting the statistical procedures of ongoing clinical trials. For a study to compare multiple treatments, a multi-arm two-stage design could be utilized to select the best treatment from the first stage and further compare that treatment with control in the second stage. The traditional design used equal randomization in both stages. To better utilize the interim results from the first stage, we propose to develop response adaptive randomization two-stage designs for a multi-arm clinical trial with binary outcome. Two allocation methods are considered: (1) an optimal allocation based on a sequential design; (2) the play-the-winner rule. Optimal multi-arm two-stage designs are obtained under three criteria: minimizing the expected number of failures, minimizing the average expected sample size, and minimizing the expected sample size under the null hypothesis. Simulation studies show that the proposed adaptive design based on the play-the-winner rule has good performance. A phase II trial for patients with pancreas adenocarcinoma and a germline BRCA/PALB2 mutation was used to illustrate the application of the proposed response adaptive randomization designs.

10.
Stat Methods Med Res ; 32(6): 1159-1168, 2023 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36998163

ABSTRACT

Adaptive designs are increasingly used in clinical trials to assess the effectiveness of new drugs. For a single-arm study with a binary outcome, several adaptive designs were developed by using numerical search algorithms and the conditional power approach. The design based on numerical search algorithms is able to identify the global optimal design, but the computational intensity limits the usage of these designs. The conditional power approach searches for the optimal design without expensive computing time. In addition, promising zone strategy was proposed to move on drug development to the follow-up stages when the interim results are promising. We propose to develop two adaptive designs: One based on the conditional power approach, and the other based on the promising zone strategy. These two designs preserve types I and II error rates. It is preferable to satisfy the monotonic property for adaptive designs: The second stage sample size decreases as the first stage responses go up. We theoretically prove this important property for the two proposed designs. The proposed designs can be easily applied to real trials with limited computing resources.


Subject(s)
Algorithms , Research Design , Sample Size
11.
Sports Med ; 53(8): 1641-1649, 2023 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36972014

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Mixed martial arts (MMA) fighters, due to exposure to repetitive head impacts, are at risk for brain atrophy and neurodegenerative sequelae. Simultaneously, motor skills training and cognition-rich activities have been linked with larger regional brain volumes. The majority of an MMA fighter's sporting activity occurs during practice (e.g., sparring) rather than formal competition. This study, therefore, aims to be the first to explore regional brain volumes associated with sparring in MMA fighters. METHODS: Ninety-four active, professional MMA fighters from the Professional Fighters Brain Health Study met inclusion criteria for this cross-sectional analysis. Adjusted multivariable regression analyses were utilized to examine the relationship between the number of sparring practice rounds per week during typical training and a select number of regional brain volumes (i.e., caudate, thalamus, putamen, hippocampus, amygdala). RESULTS: A higher number of weekly sparring rounds during training was significantly associated with larger left (beta = 13.5 µL/round, 95% CI 2.26-24.8) and right (beta = 14.9 µL/round, 95% CI 3.64-26.2) caudate volumes. Sparring was not significantly associated with left or right thalamus, putamen, hippocampus, or amygdala volumes. CONCLUSIONS: More weekly rounds of sparring was not significantly associated with smaller volumes in any of the brain regions studied in active, professional MMA fighters. Sparring's significant association with larger caudate volume raises questions about whether fighters who spar more experience attenuated trauma-related decreases in caudate volume relative to fighters who spar less, whether fighters who spar more experience minimal or even positive changes to caudate volume, whether baseline differences in caudate size may have mediated results, or whether some other mechanism may be at play. Given limitations inherent to the cross-sectional study design, more research is needed to further explore the brain effects of sparring in MMA.


Subject(s)
Brain , Martial Arts , Humans , Cross-Sectional Studies , Cognition
12.
J Biopharm Stat ; 33(5): 575-585, 2023 09 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36735855

ABSTRACT

Response adaptive randomization has the potential to treat more participants in better treatments in a trial to benefit participants. We propose optimal response adaptive randomization designs for a two-stage study with binary response, having the smallest expected sample size or the fewest expected number of failures. Equal randomization is used in the first stage, and data from the first stage is used to determine the adaptive sample size ratio in the second stage. In the proposed optimal designs, the type I error rate and the statistical power are calculated from the asymptotic normal distributions. The new designs that minimize the expected number of failures have the advantage over the existing optimal randomized designs to substantially reduce the number of failures.


Subject(s)
Research Design , Humans , Random Allocation , Sample Size
13.
Stat Biosci ; 15(1): 1-30, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35615750

ABSTRACT

Biomedical studies, such as clinical trials, often require the comparison of measurements from two correlated tests in which each unit of observation is associated with a binary outcome of interest via relative risk. The associated confidence interval is crucial because it provides an appreciation of the spectrum of possible values, allowing for a more robust interpretation of relative risk. Of the available confidence interval methods for relative risk, the asymptotic score interval is the most widely recommended for practical use. We propose a modified score interval for relative risk and we also extend an existing nonparametric U-statistic-based confidence interval to relative risk. In addition, we theoretically prove that the original asymptotic score interval is equivalent to the constrained maximum likelihood-based interval proposed by Nam and Blackwelder. Two clinically relevant oncology trials are used to demonstrate the real-world performance of our methods. The finite sample properties of the new approaches, the current standard of practice, and other alternatives are studied via extensive simulation studies. We show that, as the strength of correlation increases, when the sample size is not too large the new score-based intervals outperform the existing intervals in terms of coverage probability. Moreover, our results indicate that the new nonparametric interval provides the coverage that most consistently meets or exceeds the nominal coverage probability.

14.
Neurocrit Care ; 38(2): 395-406, 2023 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35915347

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Severe headaches are common after subarachnoid hemorrhage. Guidelines recommend treatment with acetaminophen and opioids, but patient data show that headaches often persist despite multimodal treatment approaches. Considering an overall slim body of data for a common complaint affecting patients with SAH during their intensive care stay, we set out to assess practice patterns in headache management among clinicians who treat patients with SAH. METHODS: We conducted an international cross-sectional study through a 37-question Web-based survey distributed to members of five professional societies relevant to intensive and neurocritical care from November 2021 to January 2022. Responses were characterized through descriptive analyses. Fisher's exact test was used to test associations. RESULTS: Of 516 respondents, 329 of 497 (66%) were from North America and 121 of 497 (24%) from Europe. Of 435 respondents, 379 (87%) reported headache as a major management concern for patients with SAH. Intensive care teams were primarily responsible for analgesia during hospitalization (249 of 435, 57%), whereas responsibility shifted to neurosurgery at discharge (233 of 501, 47%). Most used medications were acetaminophen (90%), opioids (66%), corticosteroids (28%), and antiseizure medications (28%). Opioids or medication combinations including opioids were most frequently perceived as most effective by 169 of 433 respondents (39%, predominantly intensivists), followed by corticosteroids or combinations with corticosteroids (96 of 433, 22%, predominantly neurologists). Of medications prescribed at discharge, acetaminophen was most common (303 of 381, 80%), followed by opioids (175 of 381, 46%) and antiseizure medications (173 of 381, 45%). Opioids during hospitalization were significantly more prescribed by intensivists, by providers managing higher numbers of patients with SAH, and in Europe. At discharge, opioids were more frequently prescribed in North America. Of 435 respondents, 299 (69%) indicated no change in prescription practice of opioids with the opioid crisis. Additional differences in prescription patterns between continents and providers and while inpatient versus at discharge were found. CONCLUSIONS: Post-SAH headache in the intensive care setting is a major clinical concern. Analgesia heavily relies on opioids both in use and in perception of efficacy, with no reported change in prescription patterns for opioids for most providers despite the significant drawbacks of opioids. Responsibility for analgesia shifts between hospitalization and discharge. International and provider-related differences are evident. Novel treatment strategies and alignment of prescription between providers are urgently needed.


Subject(s)
Acetaminophen , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage , Humans , Acetaminophen/therapeutic use , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/drug therapy , Cross-Sectional Studies , Surveys and Questionnaires , Analgesics, Opioid/therapeutic use , Headache , Health Personnel
15.
Br J Sports Med ; 57(7): 389-394, 2023 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36517216

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To examine the characteristics of those who fulfil the recent National Institute of Neurological Disease and Stroke (NINDS) Consensus Diagnostic Criteria for Traumatic Encephalopathy Syndrome (TES) and test whether they show differences in MRI-based regional brain volumes, cognitive domains, and certain plasma biomarkers. METHODS: Professional fighters 35 years of age or older and/or retired were included. Participants were categorised as either having TES (TES+) or not (non-TES). TES+ participants were further subtyped by their cognitive profile. Multiple linear regression models were used to compare MRI-based regional brain volumes, cognitive performance, plasma tau and neurofilament light levels between TES- and TES+ groups. RESULTS: 176 participants (110 boxers and 66 MMA) were included in the analysis. 72 (41%)/176 were categorised as having TES, the likelihood of TES increasing with age. TES+ participants tended to be boxers, started fighting at a younger age, had more professional fights and knocked out more frequently. The TES+ group had lower regional brain volumes including both grey and white matter structures. TES+ also had lower scores on simple and choice reaction time, psychomotor speed and Trails A . CONCLUSION: The new TES criteria does distinguish a group of fighters with differences in regional brain volumes and reduced cognitive function. Our findings support the use of the NINDS criteria for TES in further research of the long-term effects of repetitive head impacts.


Subject(s)
Boxing , Brain Injuries, Traumatic , White Matter , Humans , Cognition , Neuroimaging , White Matter/diagnostic imaging , Magnetic Resonance Imaging
16.
BMC Med Inform Decis Mak ; 22(1): 270, 2022 10 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36253749

ABSTRACT

Cross-validation (CV) is a resampling approach to evaluate machine learning models when sample size is limited. The number of all possible combinations of folds for the training data, known as CV rounds, are often very small in leave-one-out CV. Alternatively, Monte Carlo cross-validation (MCCV) can be performed with a flexible number of simulations when computational resources are feasible for a study with limited sample size. We conduct extensive simulation studies to compare accuracy between MCCV and CV with the same number of simulations for a study with binary outcome (e.g., disease progression or not). Accuracy of MCCV is generally higher than CV although the gain is small. They have similar performance when sample size is large. Meanwhile, MCCV is going to provide reliable performance metrics as the number of simulations increases. Two real examples are used to illustrate the comparison between MCCV and CV.


Subject(s)
Machine Learning , Computer Simulation , Humans , Monte Carlo Method , Sample Size
17.
Am J Health Syst Pharm ; 79(24): 2261-2270, 2022 12 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36082956

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To determine the relationship of advanced pharmacy practice experience (APPE) grading schemes and other pharmacy program variables (ie, program age and funding) with pharmacy residency match rates. SUMMARY: A 12-question survey was disseminated to experiential administrators of pharmacy programs in October 2018. Respondents identified their program's APPE grading scheme (pass/fail, letter grades, or other) and associated pros and cons. Responding programs were categorized by age and funding status. Survey responses were correlated with the American Society of Health-System Pharmacists residency match rates for 2016 through 2018. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and logistic regression models as well as by attributes via thematic analysis. Most pharmacy programs (62%) reported using letter grades for APPEs compared to pass/fail (30%) or other (8%) schemes. Pharmacy programs using pass/fail grading were more likely to have students match to postgraduate year 1 (PGY1) (P < 0.001) and postgraduate year 2 (PGY2) (P = 0.0074) residencies. Older pharmacy programs for each grading scheme were more likely to have higher match rates; however, for PGY1 match rates, older programs utilizing letter grades correlated to lower match rates than those utilizing pass/fail grading (P < 0.0001). Likewise, both public and private pharmacy programs using pass/fail grading had higher PGY1 match rates than those using letter grades (P = 0.0006 and P = 0.0014). CONCLUSION: Pass/fail grading in APPEs does not hinder PGY1 or PGY2 residency placement compared to other grading schemes both overall and in combination with certain pharmacy program variables. Grading scheme strengths and weaknesses should be considered when deciding on optimal assessment strategies for APPEs and when evaluating candidates for residencies.


Subject(s)
Education, Pharmacy , Pharmacy Residencies , Pharmacy , Students, Pharmacy , Humans , Schools, Pharmacy
18.
Contemp Clin Trials Commun ; 30: 100988, 2022 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36117568

ABSTRACT

The search for disease modifying therapies in Alzheimers disease (AD) has recently led to promising results but also revealed design issues in clinical trials themselves. Of particular importance is the potential statistical challenges that can arise when dosages change after an interim analysis, which is not uncommon in contemporary AD trials. Following the recent Aducanumab trials, we sought to study the implications of dose changes on the statistical power of an AD trial. We conducted extensive simulations to calculate statistical power when the relationship between treatment effect size and time is linear or non-linear, and the investigated drug has delayed treatment effect or not. Statistical power depends on many design factors including the dose change time, correlation, population homogeneity, and treatment effect time. We recommend that researchers conduct simulation studies at the interim analysis to justify the modified sample size and/or follow-up time modification meanwhile the type I and II error rates are controlled.

19.
J Neurotrauma ; 39(23-24): 1756-1763, 2022 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35686460

ABSTRACT

Incomplete spinal cord injury (iSCI) often results in lifelong walking impairments that limit functional independence. Thus, treatments that trigger enduring improvement in walking after iSCI are in high demand. Breathing brief episodes of low oxygen (i.e., acute intermittent hypoxia, AIH) enhances breathing and walking function in rodents and humans with chronic iSCI. Pre-clinical studies found that AIH also causes the accumulation of extracellular adenosine that undermines AIH-induced functional plasticity. Pharmacologically blocking adenosine A2a receptors (A2aR) prior to AIH resulted in a dramatic improvement in motor facilitation in rodents with iSCI; however, a similar beneficial effect in humans is unclear. Thus, we conducted a double-blind, placebo-controlled, crossover randomized study to test the hypothesis that a non-selective A2aR antagonist (i.e., caffeine) enhances AIH-induced effects on walking function in people with chronic (≥1yr) iSCI. We enrolled 12 participants to receive daily (5 days) caffeine or placebo (4 mg/kg) 30 min before breathing 15, 1.5-min low oxygen (AIH; FIO2 = 0.10) or SHAM (FIO2 = 0.21) episodes with 1-min intervals. We quantified walking function as the change in the 10-meter walk test (speed) and 6-min walk test (endurance) relative to baseline, on Day 5 post-intervention, and on follow-up Days 12 and 19. Participants walked faster (Day 19; p < 0.001) and farther (Day 19; p = 0.012) after caffeine+AIH and the boost in speed persisted more than after placebo+AIH or caffeine+SHAM (Day 19; p < 0.05). These results support our hypothesis that a caffeine pre-treatment to AIH training shows promise as a strategy to augment walking speed in persons with chronic iSCI.


Subject(s)
Caffeine , Spinal Cord Injuries , Humans , Caffeine/pharmacology , Spinal Cord Injuries/complications , Spinal Cord Injuries/drug therapy , Walking/physiology , Hypoxia , Oxygen
20.
J Appl Stat ; 49(10): 2535-2549, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35757040

ABSTRACT

Asymptotic approaches are traditionally used to calculate confidence intervals for intraclass correlation coefficient in a clustered binary study. When sample size is small to medium, or correlation or response rate is near the boundary, asymptotic intervals often do not have satisfactory performance with regard to coverage. We propose using the importance sampling method to construct the profile confidence limits for the intraclass correlation coefficient. Importance sampling is a simulation based approach to reduce the variance of the estimated parameter. Four existing asymptotic limits are used as statistical quantities for sample space ordering in the importance sampling method. Simulation studies are performed to evaluate the performance of the proposed accurate intervals with regard to coverage and interval width. Simulation results indicate that the accurate intervals based on the asymptotic limits by Fleiss and Cuzick generally have shorter width than others in many cases, while the accurate intervals based on Zou and Donner asymptotic limits outperform others when correlation and response rate are close to their boundaries.

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