Epstein-Barr virus DNA change level combined with tumor volume reduction ratio after inductive chemotherapy as a better prognostic predictor in locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: To explore the prognosis predicting ability of the combined factors, Epstein-Barr virus DNA change level (EBVCL) and tumor volume reduction ratio (TVRR) after inductive chemotherapy (IC), in locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC). METHODS: From 2010 to 2018, 299 LANPC patients were included in this retrospective study. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to acquire the best critical values. According to the best critical values of EBVCL and TVRR, patients were stratified into low- and high-risk groups. Kaplan-Meier and ROC curve analyses were utilized to verify the prognostic ability of the new predictor (EBVCL+TVRR). The prognostic values among EBVCL+TVRR, EBVCL, TVRR, TNM stage, and the RECIST 1.1 criteria were compared by ROC curve. The primary end points were overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and locoregional failure-free survival (LRFFS). RESULTS: ROC curve analyses of TVRR on three-year survival showed the best critical values of TVRR was 32.72% for OS, 30.21% for PFS and LRFFS, 29.87% for DMFS. The best critical value of EBVCL was 127 copies/ml for OS, and 87.7 copies/ml for PFS, DMFS, and LRFFS. The three-year OS, PFS, DMFS, and LRFFS for low- and high-risk groups were 97.7% versus 78.3% (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.2398; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.1277-0.4502; p < 0.0001), 91.1% versus 60.9% (HR = 0.3294; 95% CI: 0.2050-0.5292; p < 0.0001), 94.2% versus 68.7% (HR = 0.2413; 95% CI: 0.1284-0.4535; p < 0.0001) and 97.8% versus 77.9% (HR = 0.3078; 95% CI: 0.1700-0.5573; p = 0.0001), respectively. The maximal area under ROC curve of EBVCL+TVRR, EBVCL, TVRR, TNM stage, and RECIST 1.1 criteria for three-year OS was 0.829, 0.750, 0.711, 0.555, and 0.605, respectively. CONCLUSION: The new-developed indicator (EBVCL+TVRR) could better predict the LANPC patient's survival after IC compared with TNM stage system or RECIST 1.1 criteria.

Comparing the 7th and 8th editions of UICC/AJCC staging system for nasopharyngeal carcinoma in the IMRT era.

BACKGROUND: To compare the prognostic value of 7th and 8th editions of the Union for International Cancer Control/American Joint Committee on Cancer (UICC/AJCC) staging system for patients with nonmetastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated with intensity-modulated radiotherapy and simultaneous integrated boost- intensity-modulated radiation therapy (SIB-IMRT). METHODS: Patients with NPC (n = 300) who received SIB-IMRT were included. Survival by T-classification, N-classification, and stage group of each staging system was assessed. RESULTS: For T-classification, nonsignificant difference was observed between T1 and T3 and between T2 and T3 disease (P = 0.066 and 0.106, respectively) for overall survival (OS) in the 7th staging system, whereas all these differences were significant in the 8th staging system (all P < 0.05). The survival curves for disease-free survival (DFS) and locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRRFS) in both staging systems were similar, except for the comparison of T2 and T4 disease for LRRFS (P = 0.070 for 7th edition; P = 0.011 for 8th edition). For N-classification, significant differences were observed between N2 and N3 diseases after revision (P = 0.046 and P = 0.043 for OS and DFS, respectively). For staging system, no significant difference was observed between IVA and IVB of 7th edition. CONCLUSION: The 8th AJCC staging system appeared to have superior prognosis value in the SIB-IMRT era compared with the 7th edition.

The comparison of prognostic value of tumour volumetric regression ratio and RECIST 1.1 criteria after induction chemotherapy in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

PURPOSE: To compare the prognostic value of the sum volumetric regression ratio (SVRR) of the primary tumour and metastatic lymph nodes with treatment response based on RECIST 1.1 criteria after induction chemotherapy in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). METHODS AND MATERIALS: A total of 117 stage III-IVA NPC patients treated with induction chemotherapy followed by concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) were retrospectively reviewed. The SVRR and the treatment response based on RECIST 1.1 were measured using contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) localisations before and after induction chemotherapy. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to identify the optimal cutoff point of the SVRR and compare the prognostic value of the SVRR and RECIST 1.1criteria. RESULTS: The optimal cutoff points of SVRR for progression-free survival (PFS), locoregional failure-free survival (LRFFS) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) were all 25.15%, while for overall survival (OS) it was 16.63%. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of optimal cutoff points of SVRR was superior than that of RECIST 1.1 for PFS (AUC: 0.716 vs. 0.578; P = 0.0022), LRFFS (AUC: 0.700 vs. 0.574; P = 0.0080) and DMFS (AUC: 0.736 vs. 0.606; P = 0.0053), respectively. The 3-year PFS, DMFS and OS rates for SVRR less than vs. greater than or equal to the cutoff points were 55.8% vs. 92.2% (P < 0.001, hazard ratio (HR): 0.209, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.091-0.480), 59.7% vs. 96.7% (P < 0.001, HR: 0.120, 95% CI: 0.043-0.336) and 66.7% vs. 98.1% (P < 0.001, HR: 0.069, 95% CI: 0.014-0.342), while the responses [stable disease (SD), partial response (PR)] based on RECIST 1.1 were not significantly associated with 3-year survival rates. Multivariate analysis indicated that SVRR was an independent prognostic factor for PFS, DMFS and OS (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The sum volumetric regression ratio and response based on RECIST 1.1 were related to the prognosis in locoregionally advanced NPC after induction chemotherapy. Sum volumetric regression ratio is an independent outcome predictor for survival in locoregionally advanced NPC, playing a better prognostic role than RECIST 1.1.