Comparison of Imputation Strategies for Incomplete Longitudinal Data in Life-Course Epidemiology.

Incomplete longitudinal data are common in life-course epidemiology and may induce bias leading to incorrect inference. Multiple imputation (MI) is increasingly preferred for handling missing data, but few studies explore MI-method performance and feasibility in real-data settings. We compared 3 MI methods using real data under 9 missing-data scenarios, representing combinations of 10%, 20%, and 30% missingness and missing completely at random, at random, and not at random. Using data from Health and Retirement Study (HRS) participants, we introduced record-level missingness to a sample of participants with complete data on depressive symptoms (1998-2008), mortality (2008-2018), and relevant covariates. We then imputed missing data using 3 MI methods (normal linear regression, predictive mean matching, variable-tailored specification), and fitted Cox proportional hazards models to estimate effects of 4 operationalizations of longitudinal depressive symptoms on mortality. We compared bias in hazard ratios, root mean square error, and computation time for each method. Bias was similar across MI methods, and results were consistent across operationalizations of the longitudinal exposure variable. However, our results suggest that predictive mean matching may be an appealing strategy for imputing life-course exposure data, given consistently low root mean square error, competitive computation times, and few implementation challenges.

Invited Commentary: Algorithmic Dementia Classification-Promises and Challenges.

Dementia is a complex, progressive syndrome characterized by cognitive decline and disability. Gold-standard dementia diagnosis requires several hours of cognitive and clinical assessment and review by a panel of clinicians and is infeasible in large population-based cohort studies. Alternatively, algorithmic dementia classification methods, which use models that take into account measures of cognition and functional limitations or cognitive and functional-limitation score cutoffs, have been developed to predict dementia status for participants in large studies. Developing accurate dementia classification algorithms is crucial for high-quality studies of the distribution and determinants of dementia. The accompanying article by Nichols et al. (Am J Epidemiol. 2023;192(4):520-534) assesses differences in associations of measures of cognition and functional limitations with prevalent dementia versus incident dementia and discusses implications for algorithmic dementia classification in research studies. This work highlights important opportunities for tailoring measures of cognition and functional limitations to study goals by selecting optimal measures and developing and validating algorithms specific to study needs. Combining efficient, high-quality assessments of cognition and functional limitations with innovative study designs will facilitate collection of higher-quality measurements in larger samples and support future development of accurate dementia classifications, ultimately leading to more impactful epidemiologic studies.

Neighborhood disadvantage and dementia incidence in a cohort of Asian American and non-Latino White older adults in Northern California.

INTRODUCTION: Some evidence suggests that neighborhood socioeconomic disadvantage is associated with dementia-related outcomes. However, prior research is predominantly among non-Latino Whites. METHODS: We evaluated the association between neighborhood disadvantage (Area Deprivation Index [ADI]) and dementia incidence in Asian American (n = 18,103) and non-Latino White (n = 149,385) members of a Northern California integrated health care delivery system aged 60 to 89 at baseline. Race/ethnicity-specific Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for individual-level age, sex, socioeconomic measures, and block group population density estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for dementia. RESULTS: Among non-Latino Whites, ADI was associated with dementia incidence (most vs. least disadvantaged ADI quintile HR = 1.09, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.02-1.15). Among Asian Americans, associations were close to null (e.g., most vs. least disadvantaged ADI quintile HR = 1.01, 95% CI = 0.85-1.21). DISCUSSION: ADI was associated with dementia incidence among non-Latino Whites but not Asian Americans. Understanding the potentially different mechanisms driving dementia incidence in these groups could inform dementia prevention efforts.

The Role of Dementia Diagnostic Delay in the Inverse Cancer-Dementia Association.

BACKGROUND: Cancer is inversely associated with dementia. Using simulations, we examined whether this inverse association may be explained by dementia diagnosis timing, including death before dementia diagnosis and differential diagnosis patterns by cancer history. METHODS: We used multistate Markov simulation models to generate cohorts 65 years of age and free of cancer and dementia at baseline; follow-up for incident cancer (all cancers, breast, prostate, and lung cancer), dementia, dementia diagnosis among those with dementia, and death occurred monthly over 30 years. Models specified no true effect of cancer on dementia, and used age-specific transition rates calibrated to U.S. population and cohort data. We varied the average lapse between dementia onset and diagnosis, including nondifferential and differential delays by cancer history, and examined observed incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for the effect of cancer on dementia diagnosis. RESULTS: Nondifferential dementia diagnosis delay introduced minimal bias (IRRs = 0.98-1.02) for all cancer, breast, and prostate models and substantial bias (IRR = 0.78) in lung cancer models. For the differential dementia diagnosis delay model of all cancer types combined, simulation scenarios with ≥20% lower dementia diagnosis rate (additional 4.5-month delay) in those with cancer history versus without yielded results consistent with literature estimates. Longer dementia diagnosis delays in those with cancer and higher mortality in those with cancer and dementia yielded more bias. CONCLUSIONS: Delays in dementia diagnosis may play a role in the inverse cancer-dementia relationship, especially for more fatal cancers, but moderate differential delays in those with cancer were needed to fully explain the literature-reported IRRs.

Evaluation of Selective Survival and Sex/Gender Differences in Dementia Incidence Using a Simulation Model.

Importance: Dementia research is susceptible to bias arising from selective survival, a process that results in individuals with certain characteristics disproportionately surviving to old age. Spurious associations between risk factors and dementia may be induced when factors associated with longer survival also influence dementia incidence. Objective: To assess the role of selective survival in explaining reported sex/gender differences in dementia incidence. Design, Setting, and Participants: This decision analytical model used a simulated cohort of US participants aged 50 years and without dementia at baseline followed up for incident dementia through age 95 years. Selective survival was induced by a selection characteristic (eg, childhood social disadvantage or Alzheimer genetic risk) that influenced both mortality and dementia incidence at varying magnitudes. Data analysis was performed from April 2018 to May 2020. Exposure: Sex/gender, conceptualized as the combination of biological sex and social consequences of gender. Main Outcomes and Measures: Dementia incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for women compared with men. In all simulations, it was assumed that there would be no true effect of sex/gender on dementia incidence; all observed sex/gender differences were due to selective survival. Results: At baseline, the simulation included 100 000 participants aged 50 years (51 000 [51%] women, mirroring the 1919-1921 US birth cohort of non-Latino White individuals at age 50 years); distributions of the selection characteristic were standard normal (mean [SD], 0.0 [1.0]). Observed sex/gender differences in dementia incidence in individuals aged 85 years or older ranged from insignificant (IRR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.91-1.11) to consistent with sex/gender differences (20% higher risk for women [IRR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.08-1.32]) reported in an extant study. Simulations in which bias was large enough to explain prior findings required moderate to large differential effects of selective survival (eg, hazard ratio for selection characteristic on mortality at least 2.0 among men, no effect among women). Conclusions and Relevance: These results suggest that selective survival may contribute to observed sex/gender differences in dementia incidence but do not preclude potential contributions of sex/gender-specific mechanisms. Further research on plausibility of selection characteristics with outcomes of the magnitude required for selective survival to explain sex/gender differences in dementia incidence and sex/gender-specific mechanisms represent an opportunity to understand prevention and treatment of dementia.

Cognitive impairment in racially/ethnically diverse older adults: Accounting for sources of diagnostic bias.

INTRODUCTION: The Kaiser Healthy Aging and Diverse Life Experiences (KHANDLE) study enrolled Asian, Black, Latino, and White adults ages 65+ without prior dementia diagnosis (N = 1709). We evaluated the prevalence of cognitive impairment (mild cognitive impairment or dementia) accounting for potential biases. METHODS: A random subgroup (N = 541) received clinical evaluation and others were evaluated if they failed a cognitive screen. Diagnoses were made under two conditions: (1) demographics-blind, based on clinical exam and demographically adjusted neuropsychological test scores; and (2) all available information (clinical exam, demographics, and adjusted and unadjusted test scores). RESULTS: Cognitive impairment prevalence was 28% for blinded-adjusted diagnosis and 25% using all available information. Black participants had higher impairment rates than White (both conditions) and Latino (blinded-adjusted diagnosis) participants. Incomplete assessments negatively biased prevalence estimates for White participants. DISCUSSION: Racial/ethnic disparities in cognitive impairment were amplified by attrition bias in White participants but were unaffected by type of test norms and diagnosticians' knowledge of demographics.

Racial/Ethnic Differences in Health-Related Quality of Life in Persons With and Without Dementia.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Given the lack of effective pharmacologic strategies to prevent, slow, or reverse dementia progression, maximizing quality of life (QOL) is a major priority for persons living with dementia. Despite well-documented racial/ethnic disparities in dementia incidence and prevalence, it is unknown whether there are racial/ethnic disparities in QOL among persons with dementia. The objective of this study was to determine if there are racial/ethnic differences in poor health-related quality of life (HRQOL) among persons with and without dementia in a nationally-representative cohort. DESIGN: Repeated measures cross-sectional analysis of a prospective cohort study. SETTING: United States nationally-representative National Health and Aging Trends Study (2011-2018). PARTICIPANTS: Non-nursing home-dwelling Black, Latino, and white adults age 65+ (n = 10,886). MEASUREMENTS: We estimated racial/ethnic differences in five dichotomous indicators of poor HRQOL (depressive and anxiety symptoms, self-rated health, pain, and physical functional limitations), stratified by dementia status (probable, possible, none). We used generalized estimating equations to estimate prevalence ratios (PRs) and differences, and marginal standardization to estimate prevalence. RESULTS: Generally, Blacks and Latinos reported higher prevalence of poor HRQOL compared with whites. The largest differences were observed for self-rated health, and Latino-white differences were slightly larger compared to Black-white differences. PRs were larger among those with no dementia. For example, the Black versus white PRs for poor self-rated health were 1.93 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.82-2.04) among the no dementia group and 1.21 (95% CI = 1.12-1.31) among the probable dementia group; Latino versus white PRs for these comparisons were 2.39 (2.21-2.59) and 1.48 (1.35-1.62), respectively. Prevalence differences also showed racial/ethnic differences, but these were similar across dementia statuses. CONCLUSIONS: We observed racial/ethnic disparities in poor HRQOL, showing greater unmet clinical needs among Black and Latino versus white older adults. Relative disparities were smaller in those with dementia, but absolute magnitudes of disparities were similar by dementia status.

Association Between Cognitive Test Performance and Subjective Cognitive Decline in a Diverse Cohort of Older Adults: Findings From the KHANDLE Study.

BACKGROUND: Subjective cognitive decline (SCD) may represent a low-burden indicator of dementia risk. The value of SCD as a proxy marker, however, depends on the consistency of associations between subjective and objective cognitive measures across sociodemographic and psychological factors. METHODS: We evaluated baseline data from the Kaiser Healthy Aging and Diverse Life Experiences (KHANDLE) study (n=1615). SCD was measured using the 12-item Everyday Cognition (ECog) scale. Using linear regression models with interaction terms, we evaluated 6 potential modifiers (age, sex, race/ethnicity, educational attainment, family history of dementia, and depressive symptoms) of the association between cognitive performance (episodic memory, executive function) and SCD. RESULTS: Lower episodic memory and executive function scores were associated with higher log(ECog scores) (more SCD). Older age and elevated depressive symptoms were associated with higher log(ECog scores). Age (interaction P=0.002) and education (interaction P=0.01) modified the association between executive function and log(ECog scores). Specifically, associations between executive function and log(ECog scores) were stronger among participants with more education and less pronounced among older participants. CONCLUSIONS: The association between cognitive performance and log(ECog scores) differed little across sociodemographic and psychological factors. SCD as measured by the ECog may be a valuable proxy for cognitive performance in diverse older adults.

Metastatic right ventricular mass with intracavitary obliteration.

Metastatic cardiac tumors are more common than the primary cardiac tumors. Cervical cancer metastasizing outside of the pelvis is commonly spread to the lungs, liver, bones and lymph nodes than to the heart. Right-sided metastasis to the heart is more common than to the left side. Intramural spread is more common than intracavitary growth of metastatic cardiac tumors leading to delayed clinical presentation. Intracavitary mass can be confused with intracavitary thrombus which can be seen in the setting of pulmonary embolism. Transthoracic echocardiography plays a major role in the decision making and management of pulmonary embolism, and this modality can also be used to diagnose cardiac masses. Other modalities like TEE, cardiac CT, cardiac MRI and PET-CT scan have further utility in delineating these masses. This may help to plan appropriate management of the right ventricular mass particularly in cases where the patient history and CT pulmonary angiography results favor the diagnosis of pulmonary embolism. We present the case of a 49-year-old woman with a history of supracervical hysterectomy and salpingo-oophorectomy on oral estrogen therapy who was admitted with complaints of pleuritic chest pain and respiratory insufficiency after a long flight. Initial work-up showed sub-segmental pulmonary embolus in the right posterior lower lobe pulmonary artery, and the patient was managed on intravenous heparin. Lack of appropriate response to standard therapy led to further evaluation. Multimodality imaging and biopsies revealed a large right intracavitary ventricular metastatic squamous cell tumor, with the cervix as the primary source.

In vivo polymerization of poly(3,4-ethylenedioxythiophene) in the living rat hippocampus does not cause a significant loss of performance in a delayed alternation task.

After extended implantation times, traditional intracortical neural probes exhibit a foreign-body reaction characterized by a reactive glial sheath that has been associated with increased system impedance and signal deterioration. Previously, we have proposed that the local in vivo polymerization of an electronically and ionically conducting polymer, poly(3,4-ethylenedioxythiophene) (PEDOT), might help to rebuild charge transport pathways across the glial scar between the device and surrounding parenchyma (Richardson-Burns et al 2007 J. Neural Eng. 4 L6-13). The EDOT monomer can be delivered via a microcannula/electrode system into the brain tissue of living animals followed by direct electrochemical polymerization, using the electrode itself as a source of oxidative current. In this study, we investigated the long-term effect of local in vivo PEDOT deposition on hippocampal neural function and histology. Rodent subjects were trained on a hippocampus-dependent task, delayed alternation (DA), and implanted with the microcannula/electrode system in the hippocampus. The animals were divided into four groups with different delay times between the initial surgery and the electrochemical polymerization: (1) control (no polymerization), (2) immediate (polymerization within 5 min of device implantation), (3) early (polymerization within 3-4 weeks after implantation) and (4) late (polymerization 7-8 weeks after polymerization). System impedance at 1 kHz was recorded and the tissue reactions were evaluated by immunohistochemistry. We found that under our deposition conditions, PEDOT typically grew at the tip of the electrode, forming an ∼500 µm cloud in the tissue. This is much larger than the typical width of the glial scar (∼150 µm). After polymerization, the impedance amplitude near the neurologically important frequency of 1 kHz dropped for all the groups; however, there was a time window of 3-4 weeks for an optimal decrease in impedance. For all surgery-polymerization time intervals, the polymerization did not cause significant deficits in performance of the DA task, suggesting that hippocampal function was not impaired by PEDOT deposition. However, GFAP+ and ED-1+ cells were also found at the deposition two weeks after the polymerization, suggesting potential secondary scarring. Therefore, less extensive deposition or milder deposition conditions may be desirable to minimize this scarring while maintaining decreased system impedance.

Transient inactivation of the thalamic nucleus reuniens and rhomboid nucleus produces deficits of a working-memory dependent tactile-visual conditional discrimination task.

Working memory depends on communication between the hippocampus and the prefrontal cortex (PFC); however, the neural circuitry that mediates interactions between these brain areas has not been well characterized. Two candidate structures are the thalamic reuniens (RE) and rhomboid (Rh) nuclei, which are reciprocally connected with both the hippocampus and PFC. These known anatomical connections suggest that RE/Rh may be involved in mediating hippocampal-prefrontal communication, and therefore may be critical for working memory processing. To test the hypothesis that RE/Rh are necessary for working memory, we trained separate groups of rats to perform 1 of 2 tasks in a T-maze. The first task was a working memory-dependent conditional discrimination (CDWM) task, and the second task was a nonworking memory-dependent conditional discrimination (CD) task. These tasks took place in the same maze, featured the same number of trials, and utilized the same cue (a tactile-visual maze insert). After rats had learned either task, RE/Rh were transiently inactivated with the GABAA receptor agonist muscimol, and performance was assessed. RE/Rh inactivation caused performance deficits on the CDWM task, but not the CD task. This result suggests that RE/Rh are a necessary component of working memory task performance, which is also thought to depend on the hippocampal-prefrontal circuit. RE/Rh inactivation did not cause a performance deficit on the CD task, suggesting that RE/Rh have dissociable contributions to working memory-dependent and nonworking memory-dependent tasks, independently of the known contributions of these 2 thalamic nuclei to the sensorimotor and attention-related aspects of other memory tasks.

Dissociable roles of the dorsal striatum and dorsal hippocampus in conditional discrimination and spatial alternation T-maze tasks.

The roles of the dorsal hippocampus (DH) and dorsal striatum (DS) in the learning and retention of conditional discrimination (CD) rules is a subject of debate. Although previous studies have examined the relationship between the DH and DS and the performance of CD tasks in operant chambers, the relative contributions of these two brain regions to the retention of CD rules requiring an association between a cue and a spatial location have not been characterized. We designed an experiment to assess the roles of the DH and DS in the retention of a visuospatial CD task by transiently inactivating either structure with muscimol in separate groups of rats and measuring performance on a previously learned CD task. The performance of two other groups of rats on a previously learned delayed spatial alternation (DA) task was also measured following inactivation of either DS or DH, which allowed us to control for any possibly confounding effects of spatial cues present in the testing room, length of the intertrial interval period on the performance of the CD task, and muscimol on sensorimotor or motivational processing. Muscimol inactivation of dorsal striatum, but not dorsal hippocampus, impaired CD performance, while inactivation of dorsal hippocampus, but not dorsal striatum impaired DA performance. These results demonstrate a double dissociation between the roles of the DH and DS in these two tasks, and provide a systematic characterization of the relationship between these two brain areas and CD performance.

The role of the medial prefrontal cortex in the acquisition, retention, and reversal of a tactile visuospatial conditional discrimination task.

The medial prefrontal cortex (mPFC) is responsible for executive functions such as abstract rule coding, strategy switching, and behavioral flexibility; however, there is some debate regarding the extent to which mPFC is involved in reversal learning, especially in complex multisensory tasks such as conditional discrimination. Therefore, we investigated the effects of mPFC inactivation on the acquisition, retention, and reversal of a visuospatial conditional discrimination (CD) task. In experiment 1, muscimol was infused through bilateral cannulae on days 1, 2, and 3 to test the effects of mPFC inactivation on task acquisition and days 19, 20, and 21 to test the effects on retention of the task. For experiment 2, rats were trained on the CD task for 21 days with no infusions given, after which the reward contingency was reversed, with infusions given during the first six days of reversal. The results of experiment 1 showed that the muscimol and saline groups did not differ on acquisition or retention. However, experiment 2 showed that the muscimol group displayed significantly more performance errors than the control group during reversal. Compared to the control group, the muscimol group also showed a decreased tendency to use a side-bias strategy during the intermediate stages of reversal. The failure of the muscimol group to exhibit a side bias suggests that the mPFC is necessary for sampling strategies necessary for the reversal of a visuospatial CD task.