The targeted high-risk case-finding approach versus universal screening for thyroid dysfunction during pregnancy: thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) and/or thyroid peroxidase antibody (TPOAb) test?

PURPOSE: To compare the effects of different thyroid screening scenarios, using the universal and targeted high-risk case-finding approaches with different diagnostic tests on the prevalence of subclinical hypothyroidism (SCH), thyroid autoimmunity, and pregnancy outcomes after adjustments for the intervention. METHODS: During a secondary analysis of data collected in Tehran Thyroid and Pregnancy Study, a total of 2277 women from the total population, including 1303 high-risk individuals for thyroid dysfunction. The Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel method, adjusted for the intervention, was also used to evaluate the relationships between different screening scenarios [i.e., universal approach using thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) and/or thyroid peroxidase antibody (TPOAb) tests and targeted high-risk case-finding approach using TSH and/or TPOAb tests] and pregnancy outcomes (i.e., preterm delivery and NICU admission). The universal approach using both TSH and TPOAb measurements was considered as the reference scenario. We analyzed outcomes of different screening methods in individuals treated with LT4, compared to those individuals who were not treated. RESULTS: Compared to the universal screening approach with both TSH and TPOAb measurements, the targeted high-risk case-finding approach overlooked approximately 42%, 62%, and 74% of women with elevated TSH (> 4 µlU/mL) when using both TSH and TPOAb tests, TSH alone, and TPO alone, respectively. After adjusting for the missed cases, 2.86% of women with preterm delivery and 2.76% of women with NICU admission were missed when they were screened using the targeted high-risk case-finding approach by measuring both TSH and TPOAb. The percentage of missed cases increased when applying the targeted approach with the TSH test alone, without measuring TPOAb. Overall, 4.16% and 4.02% of women with preterm delivery and NICU admission were overlooked in this scenario, respectively. After adjustments for the intervention, the probability of NICU admission in neonates of mothers, who were screened using the targeted high-risk case-finding approach with TPOAb measurement, was 2.31 folds higher than those screened by the reference scenario. CONCLUSION: This study suggests that although the targeted high-risk case-finding approach including both TSH and TPOAb tests, may overlook some women with SCH, it is a reasonable option since it is not associated with a higher risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes.

The mortality rate from self-harm in Iran.

BACKGROUND: Self-harm-related death is one of the most unfortunate, tragic, and regrettable types of death owing to injuries with a variety of socio-economic and cultural causes. The study aimed to determine the trend in the mortality of self-harm by sex and age at national and provincial levels in Iran over a period of 26 years. METHODS: The Iran Death Registration System (DRS), cemetery databanks in Tehran and Esfahan, and the national population and housing censuses of Iran were used for this study. Using a growth model, the population was estimated in the age groups. Incompleteness, misalignment, and misclassification in the DRS were all considered and addressed accordingly. We used a spatio-temporal and Gaussian process regression model to estimate mortality rates in children and adults. RESULTS: Over the study period, 67,670 deaths were estimated owing to self-harm across the country. The overall age-standardized mortality rate decreased from 4.32 per 100,000 (95% unit interface (UI): 3.25-5.75) to 2.78 (2.15-3.59) per 100,000 between 1990 and 2015, a reduction of approximately 35.65%. The M/F ratio was 2.03:1 with an annual percent change of -2.38% and -1.37% for women and men, respectively. The annual self-harm mortality rate was higher among individuals aged 15-24 years, as well as it was more in men during the study period. CONCLUSION: Mortality from self-harm has declined over the study period in Iran. Higher rates in men and in population aged 15-24 years, with considerable variation by province, were the distinguishing features of self-harm. Iran needs to improve monitoring through a comprehensive multisectoral strategy; and most importantly, provide timely, effective and low-cost preventive interventions.

Simulation of abdominal aortic aneurysm growth with updating hemodynamic loads using a realistic geometry.

Advances in modeling vascular tissue growth and remodeling (G&R) as well as medical imaging usher in a great potential for integrative computational mechanics to revolutionize the clinical treatment of cardiovascular diseases. A computational model of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) enlargement has been previously developed based on realistic geometric models. In this work, we couple the computational simulation of AAA growth with the hemodynamics simulation in a stepwise, iterative manner and study the interrelation between the changes in wall shear stress (WSS) and arterial wall evolution. The G&R simulation computes a long-term vascular adaptation with constant hemodynamic loads, derived from the previous hemodynamics simulation, while the subsequent hemodynamics simulation computes hemodynamic loads on the vessel wall during the cardiac cycle using the evolved geometry. We hypothesize that low WSS promotes degradation of elastin during the progression of an AAA. It is shown that shear stress-induced degradation of elastin elevates wall stress and accelerates AAA enlargement. Regions of higher expansion correlate with regions of low WSS. Our results show that despite the crucial role of stress-mediated collagen turnover in compensating the loss of elastin, AAA enlargement can be accelerated through the effect of WSS. The present study is able to account for computational models of image-based AAA growth as well as important hemodynamic parameters with relatively low computational expense. We suggest that the present computational framework, in spite of its limitations, provides a useful foundation for future studies which may yield new insight into how aneurysms grow and rupture.