Differences in Sensitivity Between the Japanese and Z Score Criteria for Detecting Coronary Artery Abnormalities Resulting from Kawasaki Disease.

No studies have assessed differences between the Japanese and Z score criteria in the echocardiographic detection sensitivity of coronary artery (CA) abnormalities using large-scale data containing samples from multiple facilities engaged in daily clinical practices of Kawasaki disease (KD). We analyzed data from the 25th Japanese nationwide KD survey, which identified 30,415 patients from 1357 hospitals throughout Japan during 2017-2018. Hospitals were classified according to their use of Z score criteria. We assessed differences in hospital and patient background factors and compared the prevalence of CA abnormalities among groups using the Z score criteria. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate differences in the detection sensitivity for CA abnormalities. The Z score criteria were more likely to be utilized in larger hospitals with more pediatricians and cardiologists. Even after controlling for potential confounders, detection sensitivities by the Z score criteria were significantly higher than by the Japanese criteria in patients with CA dilatations (adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence interval) 1.77 (1.56-2.01)) and aneurysms (1.62 (1.17-2.24)). No significant difference was found in patients with giant CA aneurysms. Compared with the Japanese criteria, the Z score criteria were significantly more sensitive for detecting patients with CA dilatations regardless of age, and for those with CA aneurysms only in patients aged ≤ 1 year. Our results indicate that differences in the detection sensitivity for CA abnormalities between the Z score and the Japanese criteria were dependent on the CA size and patient age.

Regional Differences in Kawasaki Disease Incidence Reduction Before and After the Onset of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic.

OBJECTIVE: To assess regional differences in reduction of the incidence of Kawasaki disease during the mitigation period for the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, with a hypothesis that more sparsely populated regions have fewer opportunities for human-to-human contact, resulting in a greater reduction in the incidence of Kawasaki disease. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective ecological study was conducted using data from patients hospitalized for Kawasaki disease as well as infectious diseases surveillance reports in Shiga Prefecture, Japan, during 2015-2020. We defined the periods before and after the onset of pandemic as January 2015-March 2020 and as April 2020-December 2020, respectively. We compared the reductions in the incidence of Kawasaki disease among 6 administrative regions in the prefecture according to the density of the populations. RESULTS: A total of 1290 patients with Kawasaki disease were identified. The incidence of Kawasaki disease (per 100 000 person-years) was significantly reduced after the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic onset (period before pandemic onset, 105.6 [95% CI 99.8-111.8]; period after pandemic onset, 68.6 [95% CI 56.7-83.0]). During the period after pandemic onset, the incidence of Kawasaki disease was significantly reduced in May, compared with the corresponding period in previous years. The number of patients aged 2-4 years was significantly reduced after the pandemic onset. Notably, greater reductions in the incidence of Kawasaki disease were found in regions with lower population densities. CONCLUSIONS: Assuming that there were fewer opportunities for human-to-human contact in more sparsely populated regions during the pandemic mitigation period, our findings support the hypothesis that human-to-human contact may be associated with development of Kawasaki disease.

Human Mobility and Droplet-Transmissible Pediatric Infectious Diseases during the COVID-19 Pandemic.

The study tested the hypothesis that human mobility may be a potential factor affecting reductions in droplet-transmissible pediatric infectious diseases (PIDs) during the coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic mitigation period in 2020. An ecological study was conducted using two publicly available datasets: surveillance on infectious diseases collected by the Japanese government and COVID-19 community mobility reports presented by Google. The COVID-19 community mobility reports demonstrated percentage reductions in the movement of people over time in groceries and pharmacies, parks, and transit stations. We compared the weekly trends in the number of patients with droplet-transmissible PIDs identified in 2020 with those identified in the previous years (2015-2019) and assessed the correlations between the numbers of patients and percentage decreases in human mobility during 2020. Despite experiencing their peak seasons, dramatic reductions were found in the numbers of patients with pharyngoconjunctival fever (PCF) and group A streptococcal (GAS) pharyngitis after the tenth week of 2020. Beyond the 20th week, no seasonal peaks were observed in the number of patients with all PIDs identified in 2020. Significant correlations were found between the percentage decreases in human mobility in transit stations and the number of patients with hand-foot-and-mouth disease (Pearson correlation coefficient [95% confidence interval]: 0.65 [0.44-0.79]), PCF (0.47 [0.21-0.67]), respiratory syncytial virus infection (0.45 [0.19-0.66]), and GAS pharyngitis (0.34 [0.06-0.58]). The highest correlations were found in places underlying potential human-to-human contacts among adults. These findings suggest that reductions in human mobility for adults might contribute to decreases in the number of children with droplet-transmissible PIDs by the potential prevention of adult-to-child transmission.

Kawasaki Disease and Pediatric Infectious Diseases During the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the epidemiologic association between Kawasaki disease and common pediatric infectious diseases (PIDs) identified during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic period to confirm whether the infection-triggered theory is a plausible hypothesis for the pathogenesis of Kawasaki disease. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective epidemiologic study was conducted using datasets obtained from Web-based surveillance of Kawasaki disease and PIDs in Japan. We compared weekly numbers of patients who developed Kawasaki disease and specific PIDs between 2020 and 2017-2019 and evaluated the association between the percent reduction in the number of patients with these diseases. RESULTS: A total of 868 patients developed Kawasaki disease in 2020. During the social distancing period in 2020, the number of patients with Kawasaki disease was approximately 35% lower than in 2017-2019. Time from the onset of Kawasaki disease until the first hospital visit did not differ significantly among the examined years. The proportion of older children with Kawasaki disease decreased more than that of infants with Kawasaki disease (age <1 year), resulting in a significant difference in the proportion of infant patients between 2020 and 2017-2019 (24% vs 19%; P < .01). The number of patients with incomplete Kawasaki disease was unchanged from that of previous years. The weekly percent reduction in patient numbers differed between Kawasaki disease and PIDs during 2020, with no strong correlation between the 2 diseases. CONCLUSIONS: Our data indicate that parents of patients with Kawasaki disease did not avoid hospital visits during the COVID-19 pandemic period. The findings indicate the possibility that triggering Kawasaki disease might be associated with presently unidentified respiratory pathogen(s) that potentially might be acquired from both within and outside the household.