No improvement in mortality among critically ill patients with carbapenems as initial empirical therapy and more detection of multi-drug resistant pathogens associated with longer use: a post hoc analysis of a prospective cohort study.

Whether empirical therapy with carbapenems positively affects the outcomes of critically ill patients with bacterial infections remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate whether the use of carbapenems as the initial antimicrobial administration reduces mortality and whether the duration of carbapenem use affects the detection of multidrug-resistant (MDR) pathogens. This was a post hoc analysis of data acquired from Japanese participating sites from a multicenter, prospective observational study [Determinants of Antimicrobial Use and De-escalation in Critical Care (DIANA study)]. A total of 268 adult patients with clinically suspected or confirmed bacterial infections from 31 Japanese intensive care units (ICUs) were analyzed. The patients were divided into two groups: patients who were administered carbapenems as initial antimicrobials (initial carbapenem group, n = 99) and those who were not administered carbapenems (initial non-carbapenem group, n = 169). The primary outcomes were mortality at day 28 and detection of MDR pathogens. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that mortality at day 28 did not differ between the two groups [18 (18%) vs 27 (16%), respectively; odds ratio: 1.25 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.59-2.65), P = 0.564]. The subdistribution hazard ratio for detecting MDR pathogens on day 28 per additional day of carbapenem use is 1.08 (95% CI: 1.05-1.13, P < 0.001 using the Fine-Gray model with death regarded as a competing event). In conclusion, in-hospital mortality was similar between the groups, and a longer duration of carbapenem use as the initial antimicrobial therapy resulted in a higher risk of detection of new MDR pathogens.IMPORTANCEWe found no statistical difference in mortality with the empirical use of carbapenems as initial antimicrobial therapy among critically ill patients with bacterial infections. Our study revealed a lower proportion of inappropriate initial antimicrobial administrations than those reported in previous studies. This result suggests the importance of appropriate risk assessment for the involvement of multidrug-resistant (MDR) pathogens and the selection of suitable antibiotics based on risk. To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first to demonstrate that a longer duration of carbapenem use as initial therapy is associated with a higher risk of subsequent detection of MDR pathogens. This finding underscores the importance of efforts to minimize the duration of carbapenem use as initial antimicrobial therapy when it is necessary.

Hospital and regional variations in intensive care unit admission for patients with invasive mechanical ventilation.

BACKGROUND: Patients who receive invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) in the intensive care unit (ICU) have exhibited lower in-hospital mortality rates than those who are treated outside. However, the patient-, hospital-, and regional factors influencing the ICU admission of patients with IMV have not been quantitatively examined. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used data from the nationwide Japanese inpatient administrative database and medical facility statistics. We included patients aged ≥ 15 years who underwent IMV between April 2018 and March 2019. The primary outcome was ICU admission on the day of IMV initiation. Multilevel logistic regression analyses incorporating patient-, hospital-, or regional-level variables were used to assess cluster effects by calculating the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), median odds ratio (MOR), and proportional change in variance (PCV). RESULTS: Among 83,346 eligible patients from 546 hospitals across 140 areas, 40.4% were treated in ICUs on their IMV start day. ICU admission rates varied widely between hospitals (median 0.7%, interquartile range 0-44.5%) and regions (median 28.7%, interquartile range 0.9-46.2%). Multilevel analyses revealed significant effects of hospital cluster (ICC 82.2% and MOR 41.4) and regional cluster (ICC 67.3% and MOR 12.0). Including patient-level variables did not change these ICCs and MORs, with a PCV of 2.3% and - 1.0%, respectively. Further adjustment for hospital- and regional-level variables decreased the ICC and MOR, with a PCV of 95.2% and 85.6%, respectively. Among the hospital- and regional-level variables, hospitals with ICU beds and regions with ICU beds had a statistically significant and strong association with ICU admission. CONCLUSIONS: Our results revealed that primarily hospital and regional factors, rather than patient-related ones, opposed ICU admissions for patients with IMV. This has important implications for healthcare policymakers planning interventions for optimal ICU resource allocation.

Hypercalcemic Crisis Complicated With Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Due to Hot Spring Drowning: A Case Report.

Hypercalcemia is generally treated conservatively, including massive fluid administration. However, in cases of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) associated with drowning, excessive fluid administration may worsen respiratory status. An 81-year-old female was found drowned in a hot spring at an accommodation facility and urgently transported to our hospital. On arrival, the patient exhibited severe respiratory failure, impaired consciousness, and bilateral lung infiltrates on computed tomography (CT), suggesting ARDS. Blood biochemical tests showed calcium (Ca) of 17.4 mg/dL, with altered consciousness attributed to hypercalcemia. Because of concerns about further deterioration of respiratory status, hemodialysis was performed to avoid massive fluid administration. Post-hemodialysis, blood calcium levels quickly decreased, leading to improved consciousness and respiration; the patient was extubated 48 hours post-admission. Subsequent examinations identified hot spring water aspiration as the cause of hypercalcemia. For hypercalcemia from hot spring drowning with acute respiratory distress syndrome, consider early hemodialysis initiation without excessive fluid administration.

Incidence and mortality of community-acquired and nosocomial infections in Japan: a nationwide medical claims database study.

BACKGROUND: It is important to determine the prevalence and prognosis of community-acquired infection (CAI) and nosocomial infection (NI) to develop treatment strategies and appropriate medical policies in aging society. METHODS: Patients hospitalized between January 2010 and December 2019, for whom culture tests were performed and antibiotics were administered, were selected using a national claims-based database. The annual trends in incidence and in-hospital mortality were calculated and evaluated by dividing the patients into four age groups. RESULTS: Of the 73,962,409 inpatients registered in the database, 9.7% and 4.7% had CAI and NI, respectively. These incidences tended to increase across the years in both the groups. Among the patients hospitalized with infectious diseases, there was a significant increase in patients aged ≥ 85 years (CAI: + 1.04%/year and NI: + 0.94%/year, P < 0.001), while there was a significant decrease in hospitalization of patients aged ≤ 64 years (CAI: -1.63%/year and NI: -0.94%/year, P < 0.001). In-hospital mortality was significantly higher in the NI than in the CAI group (CAI: 8.3%; NI: 14.5%, adjusted mean difference 4.7%). The NI group had higher organ support, medical cost per patient, and longer duration of hospital stay. A decreasing trend in mortality was observed in both the groups (CAI: -0.53%/year and NI: -0.72%/year, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The present analysis of a large Japanese claims database showed that NI is a significant burden on hospitalized patients in aging societies, emphasizing the need to address particularly on NI.

Genomic characterization of Staphylococcus aureus isolated from patients admitted to intensive care units of a tertiary care hospital: epidemiological risk of nasal carriage of virulent clone during admission.

We conducted a molecular epidemiological study of Staphylococcus aureus using whole-genome sequence data and clinical data of isolates from nasal swabs of patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of Hiroshima University hospital. The relationship between isolate genotypes and virulence factors, particularly for isolates that caused infectious diseases during ICU admission was compared with those that did not. The nasal carriage rates of methicillin-resistant S. aureus (MRSA) and methicillin-susceptible S. aureus (MSSA) in patients admitted to the ICU were 7.0% and 20.1%, respectively. The carriage rate of community-acquired (CA)-MRSA was 2.3%, accounting for 32.8% of all MRSA isolates. Whole-genome sequencing analysis of the MRSA isolates indicated that most, including CA-MRSA and healthcare-associated (HA)-MRSA, belonged to clonal complex (CC) 8 [sequence type (ST) 8] and SCCmec type IV. Furthermore, results for three disease foci (pneumonia, skin and soft tissue infection, and deep abscess) and the assessment of virulence factor genes associated with disease conditions [bacteremia, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), disseminated intravascular coagulopathy (DIC), and septic shock] suggested that nasal colonization of S. aureus clones could represent a risk for patients within the ICU. Particularly, MRSA/J and MSSA/J may be more likely to cause deep abscess infection; ST764 may cause ventilation-associated pneumonia, hospital-acquired pneumonia and subsequent bacteremia, and ARDS, and tst-1-positive isolates may cause DIC onset.IMPORTANCENasal colonization of MRSA in patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) may predict the development of MRSA infections. However, no bacteriological data are available to perform risk assessments for Staphylococcus aureus infection onset. In this single-center 2-year genomic surveillance study, we analyzed all S. aureus isolates from nasal swabs of patients admitted to the ICU and those from the blood or lesions of in-patients who developed infectious diseases in the ICU. Furthermore, we identified the virulent clones responsible for causing infectious diseases in the ICU. Herein, we report several virulent clones present in the nares that are predictive of invasive infections. This information may facilitate the design of preemptive strategies to identify and eradicate virulent MRSA strains, reducing nosocomial infections within the ICU.

The Current Discussion Regarding End-of-Life Care for Patients with Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest with Initial Non-Shockable Rhythm: A Narrative Review.

Despite recent advances in resuscitation science, outcomes in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) with initial non-shockable rhythm remains poor. Those with initial non-shockable rhythm have some epidemiological features, including the proportion of patients with a witnessed arrest, bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), age, and presumed etiology of cardiac arrest have been reported, which differ from those with initial shockable rhythm. The discussion regarding better end-of-life care for patients with OHCA is a major concern among citizens. As one of the efforts to avoid unwanted resuscitation, advance directive is recognized as a key intervention, safeguarding patient autonomy. However, several difficulties remain in enhancing the effective use of advance directives for patients with OHCA, including local regulation of their use, insufficient utilization of advance directives by emergency medical services at the scene, and a lack of established tools for discussing futility of resuscitation in advance care planning. In addition, prehospital termination of resuscitation is a common practice in many emergency medical service systems to assist clinicians in deciding whether to discontinue resuscitation. However, there are also several unresolved problems, including the feasibility of implementing the rules for several regions and potential missed survivors among candidates for prehospital termination of resuscitation. Further investigation to address these difficulties is warranted for better end-of-life care of patients with OHCA.

Bacterial profiles detected in ventilator-associated pneumonia in Japan: A systematic review.

The primary objective of this study was to identify the predominant organisms associated with ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) in Japan. Studies on VAP conducted in Japan were systematically reviewed, and seven studies with a total of 374 cases were included. The detection rate of each bacterium and multidrug-resistant (MDR) pathogen was analyzed using the inverse variance method. Pseudomonas aeruginosa was identified as the predominant pathogen in 29.2 % of cases, followed by methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) (12.0 %), and Klebsiella spp. (9.5 %). An integrated analysis revealed a detection rate of 57.8 % (95 % confidence interval: 48.7%-66.8 %) for MDR pathogens. This review highlights P. aeruginosa and MRSA as the predominant VAP-associated organisms in Japan, with a significant prevalence of MDR pathogens. This analysis provides valuable insights based on the regional distribution of bacteria detected in VAP, which is critical for selecting appropriate empirical therapy.

Epidemiology of moderate traumatic brain injury and factors associated with poor neurological outcome.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to investigate the epidemiology of moderate traumatic brain injury (TBI) and factors associated with poor neurological outcome. METHODS: This multicenter retrospective cohort study used data from the Japan Trauma Data Bank from 2019 to 2022, including adult patients (aged > 17 years) with moderate TBI (Glasgow Coma Scale [GCS] score of 9-12). Patient characteristics, injury mechanism, details of intracranial injury, treatment, and outcome were investigated. Multivariate mixed-effects logistic regression analysis was used to examine factors associated with poor neurological outcome. Poor neurological outcome was defined as a Glasgow Outcome Scale score ranging between 1 and 3. RESULTS: A total of 1638 patients were included in the study; 67% were male, with a median age of 73 years and a median Injury Severity Score (ISS) of 17. The major mechanism of injury was falls in 545 patients (33%); subdural hematoma and cerebral contusions were both common intracranial injuries in 482 study participants (29%) each. Two hundred forty-seven patients (15%) underwent craniotomy and 366 (22%) were managed with mechanical ventilation. There were 765 patients (47%) with poor neurological outcome, of whom 215 (13%) died in the hospital. Older age (≥ 65 years; adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 4.66, 95% CI 3.54-6.12), higher Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI; aOR 1.27, 95% CI 1.14-1.42), GCS scores of 9 (aOR 1.50, 95% CI 1.08-2.09) and 10 (aOR 1.37, 95% CI 1.01-1.85), and severe trauma (ISS > 15; aOR 1.93, 95% CI 1.49-2.50) were associated with poor prognosis. Additionally, patients who required mechanical ventilation (aOR 1.76, 95% CI 1.27-2.42) and craniotomy (aOR 1.57, 95% CI 1.08-2.28) had a poor neurological outcome. Administration of tranexamic acid (aOR 0.74, 95% CI 0.58-0.94) and intensive care unit (ICU) admission (aOR 0.69, 95% CI 0.52-0.93) were associated with improved neurological outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Almost half of the patients with moderate TBI had poor neurological outcome at hospital discharge. Several factors including older age, higher CCI, GCS scores of 9 or 10, severe trauma, and mechanical ventilation or craniotomy were found to be associated with poor neurological outcome in patients with moderate TBI. Additionally, these data suggest that tranexamic acid administration and admission to the ICU might be important for improving prognosis. Further investigations are warranted to elucidate the appropriate management for patients with moderate TBI.

Differences in Pathophysiology and Treatment Efficacy Based on Heterogeneous Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest.

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is heterogeneous in terms of etiology and severity. Owing to this heterogeneity, differences in outcome and treatment efficacy have been reported from case to case; however, few reviews have focused on the heterogeneity of OHCA. We conducted a literature review to identify differences in the prognosis and treatment efficacy in terms of CA-related waveforms (shockable or non-shockable), age (adult or pediatric), and post-CA syndrome severity and to determine the preferred treatment for patients with OHCA to improve outcomes.

Epidemiology and patterns of empiric antimicrobial therapy practice in patients with community-onset sepsis using data from a Japanese nationwide medical claims database-the Japan Sepsis Alliance (JaSA) study group.

Objectives: We aimed to describe empiric antimicrobial options for patients with community-onset sepsis using nationwide real-world data from Japan. Methods: This retrospective cohort study used nationwide Japanese data from a medical reimbursement system database. Patients aged ≥20 years with both presumed infections and acute organ dysfunction who were admitted to hospitals from the outpatient department or emergency department between 2010 and 2017 were enrolled. We described the initial choices of antimicrobials for patients with sepsis stratified by intensive care unit (ICU) or ward. Results: There were 1,195,741 patients with community-onset sepsis; of these, 1,068,719 and 127,022 patients were admitted to the wards and ICU, respectively. Third-generation cephalosporins and carbapenem were most commonly used for patients with community-onset sepsis. We found that 1.7% and 6.0% of patients initially used antimicrobials for methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus coverage in the wards and ICU, respectively. Although half of the patients initially used antipseudomonal agents, only a few patients used a combination of antipseudomonal agents. Moreover, few patients initially used a combination of antimicrobials to treat methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus and Pseudomonas sp. Conclusion: Third-generation cephalosporins and carbapenem were most frequently used for patients with sepsis. A combination therapy of antimicrobials for drug-resistant bacteria coverage was rarely provided to these patients.

External validation of the rCAST for patients after in-hospital cardiac arrest: a multicenter retrospective observational study.

No established predictive or risk classification tool exists for the neurological outcomes of post-cardiac arrest syndrome (PCAS) in patients with in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA). This study aimed to investigate whether the revised post-cardiac arrest syndrome for therapeutic hypothermia score (rCAST), which was developed to estimate the prognosis of PCAS patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), was applicable to patients with IHCA. A retrospective, multicenter observational study of 140 consecutive adult IHCA patients admitted to three intensive care units. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) of the rCAST for poor neurological outcome and mortality at 30 days were 0.88 (0.82-0.93) and 0.83 (0.76-0.89), respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of the risk classification according to rCAST for poor neurological outcomes were 0.90 (0.83-0.96) and 0.67 (0.55-0.79) for the low, 0.63 (0.54-0.74) and 0.67 (0.55-0.79) for the moderate, and 0.27 (0.17-0.37) and 1.00 (1.00-1.00) for the high-severity grades. All 22 patients classified with a high-severity grade showed poor neurological outcomes. The rCAST showed excellent predictive accuracy for neurological prognosis in patients with PCAS after IHCA. The rCAST may be useful as a risk classification tool for PCAS after IHCA.

Chest CT findings in severe acute respiratory distress syndrome requiring V-V ECMO: J-CARVE registry.

BACKGROUND: Chest computed tomography findings are helpful for understanding the pathophysiology of severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). However, there is no large, multicenter, chest computed tomography registry for patients requiring veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (V-V ECMO). The aim of this study was to describe chest computed tomography findings at V-V ECMO initiation and to evaluate the association between the findings and outcomes in severe ARDS. METHODS: This multicenter, retrospective cohort study enrolled patients with severe ARDS on V-V ECMO, who were admitted to the intensive care units of 24 hospitals in Japan between January 1, 2012, and December 31, 2022. RESULTS: The primary outcome was 90-day in-hospital mortality. The secondary outcomes were the successful liberation from V-V ECMO and the values of static lung compliance. Among the 697 registry patients, of the 582 patients who underwent chest computed tomography at V-V ECMO initiation, 394 survived and 188 died. Multivariate Cox regression showed that traction bronchiectasis and subcutaneous emphysema increased the risk of 90-day in-hospital mortality (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] 1.77 [1.19-2.63], p = 0.005 and 1.97 [1.02-3.79], p = 0.044, respectively). The presence of traction bronchiectasis was also associated with decreased successful liberation from V-V ECMO (odds ratio: 0.27 [0.14-0.52], p < 0.001). Lower static lung compliance was associated with some chest computed tomography findings related to changes outside of pulmonary opacity, but not with the findings related to pulmonary opacity. CONCLUSIONS: Traction bronchiectasis and subcutaneous emphysema increased the risk of 90-day in-hospital mortality in patients with severe ARDS who required V-V ECMO.

Carbapenem vs. non-carbapenem antibiotics for ventilator-associated pneumonia: A systematic review with meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Carbapenem is recommended as one of the first-line regimens for ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP), but no recent systematic review has fully investigated its efficacy. This systematic review aims to evaluate the efficacy of carbapenem compared with non-carbapenem for VAP treatment. METHODS: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies comparing the efficacy and the safety between carbapenem and non-carbapenem with activity to Pseudomonas aeruginosa in the treatment for VAP. The main outcome was mortality, and the additional outcomes were the clinical cure of pneumonia, length of intensive care unit stay, recurrence, adverse effects, and the development of resistant bacteria. This study was conducted in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. RESULTS: Of the initial 1,730 publications, 9 randomized control trials were enrolled. In the meta-analysis, no difference was observed between the carbapenem and non-carbapenem regimens in improving mortality (odds ratio, 0.83; 95 % confidence interval (CI) 0.67-1.02). While the carbapenem regimen was superior to the non-carbapenem regimen in studies reporting the resolution of pneumonia (odds ratio, 1.09; 95 % CI 1.01-1.17), the effectiveness of carbapenem treatment was not evident in studies assessing the other outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Carbapenem might have no superiority in survival when treating VAP. Moreover, non-carbapenem antibiotics with activities to P. aeruginosa have a potential option to avoid inducing carbapenem-resistant pathogens.

Association between hospital spending and in-hospital mortality of patients with sepsis based on a Japanese nationwide medical claims database study.

Background: The effect of hospital spending on the mortality rate of patients with sepsis has not yet been fully elucidated. We hypothesized that hospitals that consume more medical resources would have lower mortality rates among patients with sepsis. Methods: This retrospective study used administrative data from 2010 to 2017. The enrolled hospitals were divided into quartiles based on average daily medical cost per sepsis case. The primary and secondary outcomes were the average in-hospital mortality rate of patients with sepsis and the effective cost per survivor among the enrolled hospitals, respectively. A multiple regression model was used to determine the significance of the differences among hospital categories to adjust for baseline imbalances. Results: Among 997 hospitals enrolled in this study, the crude in-hospital mortality rates were 15.7% and 13.2% in the lowest and highest quartiles of hospital spending, respectively. After adjusting for confounding factors, the highest hospital spending group demonstrated a significantly lower in-hospital mortality rate than the lowest hospital spending group (coefficient = -0.025, 95% confidence interval [CI] -0.034 to -0.015; p < 0.0001). Similarly, the highest hospital spending group was associated with a significantly higher effective cost per survivor than the lowest hospital spending group (coefficient = 77.7, 95% CI 73.1 to 82.3; p < 0.0001). In subgroup analyses, hospitals with a small or medium number of beds demonstrated a consistent pattern with the primary test, whereas those with a large number of beds or academic affiliations displayed no association. Conclusions: Using a nationwide Japanese medical claims database, this study indicated that hospitals with greater expenditures were associated with a superior survival rate and a higher effective cost per survivor in patients with sepsis than those with lower expenditures. In contrast, no correlations between hospital spending and mortality were observed in hospitals with a large number of beds or academic affiliations.

Association between regional critical care capacity and the incidence of invasive mechanical ventilation for coronavirus disease 2019: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has exposed critical care supply shortages worldwide. This study aimed to investigate the association between regional critical care capacity and the incidence of invasive mechanical ventilation following novel COVID-19 during the pandemic in Japan, a country with a limited intensive care unit (ICU) bed capacity of a median of 5.1 ICU beds per 100,000 individuals. METHODS: This population-based cohort study used data from the CRoss Icu Searchable Information System database and publicly available databases provided by the Japanese government and Japanese Society of Intensive Care Medicine. We identified patients recently diagnosed with COVID-19, those who received invasive mechanical ventilation, and those who received extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) between February 2020 and March 2023. We analyzed the association between regional critical care capacity (ICU beds, high-dependency care unit (HDU) beds, resource-rich ICU beds, and intensivists) and the incidence of invasive mechanical ventilation, ECMO, and risk-adjusted mortality across 47 Japanese prefectures. RESULTS: Among the approximately 127 million individuals residing in Japan, 33,189,809 were recently diagnosed with COVID-19, with 12,203 and 1,426 COVID-19 patients on invasive mechanical ventilation and ECMO, respectively, during the study period. Prefecture-level linear regression analysis revealed that the addition of ICU beds, resource-rich ICU beds, and intensivists per 100,000 individuals increased the incidence of IMV by 5.37 (95% confidence interval, 1.99-8.76), 7.27 (1.61-12.9), and 13.12 (3.48-22.76), respectively. However, the number of HDU beds per 100,000 individuals was not statistically significantly associated with the incidence of invasive mechanical ventilation. None of the four indicators of regional critical care capacity was statistically significantly associated with the incidence of ECMO and risk-adjusted mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The results of prefecture-level analyses demonstrate that increased numbers of ICU beds, resource-rich ICU beds, and intensivists are associated with the incidence of invasive mechanical ventilation among patients recently diagnosed with COVID-19 during the pandemic. These findings have important implications for healthcare policymakers, aiding in efficiently allocating critical care resources during crises, particularly in regions with limited ICU bed capacities. Registry and the registration no. of the study/trial The approval date of the registry was August 20, 2020, and the registration no. of the study was lUMIN000041450.

Association between hospital volume and in-hospital mortality in pediatric severe traumatic brain injury: a nationwide retrospective observational study in Japan.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to investigate the association between hospital volume and in-hospital mortality in pediatric patients with severe traumatic brain injury (TBI). METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used data from the Japan Trauma Data Bank between 2010 and 2018, specifically those of pediatric patients with severe TBI (Glasgow Coma Scale [GCS] score < 9 and head Abbreviated Injury Scale score > 2). Hospital volume was defined as the number of pediatric patients with severe TBI throughout the study period. Hospital volume was categorized as low (reference category: 1-9 patients), middle (10-17 patients), or high (> 18 patients) volume. Multivariate mixed-effects logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the association between hospital volume categories and in-hospital mortality. Subgroup analyses were performed using data on craniotomy and the presence of severe torso injuries. In the sensitivity analyses, patients with a GCS score of 3, interhospital transfer, and major intensive care unit complications were excluded. RESULTS: A total of 1148 pediatric patients with severe TBI, with a median age of 12 years (IQR 7-16 years), treated at 141 hospitals were included. In total, 236 patients (20.6%) died in the hospital. Multivariate analysis showed no significant association between hospital volume and in-hospital mortality (high volume: OR 1.15, 95% CI 0.80-1.64; middle volume: OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.62-1.26). Subgroup and sensitivity analyses showed similar results. CONCLUSIONS: Hospital volume may not be associated with in-hospital mortality in pediatric patients with severe TBI.

Prediction of the neurological outcomes post-cardiac arrest: A prospective validation of the CAST and rCAST.

INTRODUCTION: The neurologic prognosis of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients in whom return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) is achieved remains poor. The aim of this study was to externally and prospectively validate two scoring systems developed by us: the CAST score, a scoring system to predict the neurological prognosis of OHCA patients undergoing targeted temperature management (TTM), and a simplified version of the same score developed for improved ease of use in clinical settings, the revised CAST (rCAST) score. METHODS: This study was a prospective, multicenter, observational study conducted using the SOS KANTO 2017 registry, an OHCA registry involving hospitals in the Kanto region (including Tokyo) of Japan. The primary outcome was favorable neurological outcome (defined as Cerebral Performance Category score of 1 or 2) at 30 days and the secondary outcomes were favorable neurological outcome at 90 days and survival at 30 and 90 days. The predictive accuracies of the original CAST (oCAST) and rCAST scores were evaluated by using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: Of 9909 OHCA patients, 565 showed ROSC and received TTM. Of these, we analyzed the data of 259 patients in this study. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCs) of the oCAST and rCAST scores for predicting a favorable neurological outcome at 30 days were 0.86 and 0.87, respectively, and those for predicting a favorable neurological outcome at 90 days were 0.87 and 0.88, respectively. The rCAST showed a higher predictive accuracy for the neurological outcome as compared with the NULL-PLEASE score. The patients with a favorable neurological outcome who had been classified into the high severity group based on the rCAST tended to have hypothermia at hospital arrival and to not show any signs of loss of gray-white matter differentiation on brain CT. Neurological function at 90 days was correlated with the rCAST (r = 0.63, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: rCAST showed high predictive accuracy for the neurological prognosis of OHCA patients managed by TTM, comparable to that of the oCAST score. The scores on the rCAST were strongly correlated with the neurological functions at 90 days, implying that the rCAST is a useful scale for assessing the severity of brain injury after cardiac arrest.

Efficiency and workload reduction of semi-automated citation screening software for creating clinical practice guidelines: a prospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: We evaluated the applicability of automated citation screening in developing clinical practice guidelines. METHODS: We prospectively compared the efficiency of citation screening between the conventional (Rayyan) and semi-automated (ASReview software) methods. We searched the literature for five clinical questions (CQs) in the development of the Japanese Clinical Practice Guidelines for the Management of Sepsis and Septic Shock. Objective measurements of the time required to complete citation screening were recorded. Following the first screening round, in the primary analysis, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and overall screening time were calculated for both procedures using the semi-automated tool as index and the results of the conventional method as standard reference. In the secondary analysis, the same parameters were compared between the two procedures using the final list of included studies after the second screening session as standard reference. RESULTS: Among the five CQs after the first screening session, the highest and lowest sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive values were 0.241 and 0.795; 0.991 and 1.000; and 0.482 and 0.929, respectively. In the secondary analysis, the highest sensitivity and specificity in the semi-automated citation screening were 1.000 and 0.997, respectively. The overall screening time per 100 studies was significantly shorter with semi-automated than with conventional citation screening. CONCLUSIONS: The potential advantages of the semi-automated method (shorter screening time and higher discriminatory rate for the final list of studies) warrant further validation. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This study was submitted to the University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trial Registry (UMIN-CTR [UMIN000049366]).