Your browser doesn't support javascript.
loading
Show: 20 | 50 | 100
Results 1 - 15 de 15
Filter
1.
BMJ Open ; 14(3): e076483, 2024 Mar 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38485478

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to evaluate the early predictors of bacterial pneumonia infection in children with congenital heart disease (CHD) after cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB). DESIGN: Retrospective study. SETTING: A freestanding tertiary paediatric hospital in China. PARTICIPANTS: Patients admitted to the hospital due to CHD who underwent open-heart surgery. OUTCOME MEASURES: We retrospectively reviewed and analysed data from 1622 patients with CHD after CPB from June 2018 to December 2020 at the Children's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University. Enrolled patients were assigned to an infection group or a non-infection group according to the presence of postoperative bacterial pneumonia infection, and the differences in clinical indicators were compared. Potential predictors were analysed by multivariate logistic regression analysis and area under the curve (AUC) analysis. RESULTS: Among the 376 patients (23.2%) in the infection group, the three most common bacteria were Streptococcus pneumoniae in 67 patients (17.8%), Escherichia coli in 63 patients (16.8%) and Haemophilus influenzae in 53 patients (14.1%). The infection group exhibited a lower weight (8.0 (6.0-11.5) kg vs 11.0 (7.5-14.5) kg, p<0.001). In the infection group, procalcitonin (PCT) (ng/mL: 4.72 (1.38-9.52) vs 1.28 (0.47-3.74), p<0.001) and C reactive protein (CRP) (mg/L: 21.0 (12.1-32.0) vs 17.0 (10.0-27.0), p<0.001) levels were significantly greater than those in the non-infection group. Binary logistic regression analysis revealed that weight, PCT and CRP were independent risk factors for pulmonary bacterial infection after CPB. The AUCs of weight, PCT, CRP and PCT+CRP for predicting pulmonary bacterial infection after CPB were 0.632 (95% CI 0.600 to 0.664), 0.697 (95% CI 0.667 to 0.727), 0.586 (95% CI 0.554 to 0.618) and 0.694 (95% CI 0.664 to 0.724), respectively, and the cut-off values were ≤10.25 kg, ≥4.25 ng/mL, ≥6.50 mg/L and ≥0.20, respectively. The sensitivities were 69.7%, 54.0%, 93.9% and 70.2%, and the specificities were 53.5%, 77.7%, 19.4% and 59.1%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In our study, weight, PCT and CRP were found to be independent predictors of pulmonary bacterial infection after CPB. Moreover, PCT was the most specific predictor, and CRP was the most sensitive independent predictor that might be beneficial for the early diagnosis of pulmonary bacterial infection after CPB in patients with CHD.


Subject(s)
Heart Defects, Congenital , Pneumonia, Bacterial , Humans , Child , Retrospective Studies , Cardiopulmonary Bypass/adverse effects , Calcitonin , Calcitonin Gene-Related Peptide , Protein Precursors , Procalcitonin , C-Reactive Protein/analysis , Postoperative Complications/diagnosis , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Pneumonia, Bacterial/diagnosis , Pneumonia, Bacterial/etiology , Heart Defects, Congenital/complications , Heart Defects, Congenital/surgery , Tertiary Care Centers , Biomarkers
2.
Front Pediatr ; 10: 949628, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36186650

ABSTRACT

Background: Fulminant myocarditis (FM) is an inflammatory process of the myocardium and an important cause of cardiac dysfunction in children; it is characterized by rapid onset, acute progression, and high mortality. The study sought to describe the clinical characteristics and prognostic factors in children with FM. Methods: The study population consists of 37 consecutive patients admitted from May 2014 to December 2021 with a diagnosis of FM. According to the prognosis of children with FM during hospitalization, they were divided into "survival" group (25 cases) and "death" group (12 cases). A multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the independent predictors of in-hospital mortality in the patients, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to explore the predictive value of related factors. Results: The 37 children with FM had an average age of 8.35 ± 4.36 years old. Twenty-five of the patients survived and 12 died. Twenty-five of the children were discharged from the hospital after a series of active rescue treatments such as nutritional myocardial drugs, high-dose intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG), glucocorticoids (GCs), temporary pacemaker (TP), extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO), and continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT).Twelve of the children were classified into the death group because the resuscitation failed. The levels of procalcitonin (PCT), creatine kinase (CK), and myoglobin (MYO) in the death group were all higher than in the survival group (all P < 0.05), and the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in the death group was significantly lower than in the survival group (P = 0.002). The binary logistic regression analysis revealed that MYO [OR:1.006; 95%CI:(1-1.012); P = 0.045] and LVEF [OR: 0.876; 95% CI: (0.785-0.978); P = 0.019] were independent predictors of FM. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under ROC curve (AUC) of MYO and LVEF was [AUC:0.957; 95%CI:0.897~1] and [AUC:0.836; 95%CI:0.668~1], and the area under the combined ROC curve for MYO + LVEF was significantly higher than that for MYO or LVEF alone (P < 0.05), indicating that the MYO + LVEF combined diagnosis had a higher predictive value for FM. Conclusion: The levels of MYO and LVEF can be markers for prognosis of FM and can effectively evaluate the disease severity. Their combination can improve forecast accuracy; thus, the detection of the above-mentioned indexes possesses a higher value for clinical applications.

3.
Front Pediatr ; 10: 829731, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35359906

ABSTRACT

Objective: To evaluate the predictors of low cardiac output syndrome (LCOS) in infants with congenital heart disease (CHD) after cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB). Study design: A total of 217 infants were enrolled and classified according to whether they developed LCOS after cardiac surgery. Each infant's preoperative and intraoperative clinical variables were collected. Results: The incidence of LCOS was 28.11% in our study. The univariate analysis showed that the LCOS group was younger than the non-LCOS group (25.69 ± 25.01 days vs. 44.45 ± 26.97 days, P < 0.001), with a higher proportion of neonates (60.7 vs. 27.6%, P < 0.001) and a higher proportion of patients with a RACHS-1 score ≥4 (50.8 vs. 17.9%, P < 0.001). A lower weight (3.70 ± 0.74 vs. 4.23 ± 1.10 kg, P = 0.001), longer ACC time (61.96 ± 21.44 min vs. 41.06 ± 18.37 min, P < 0.001) and longer CPB time (131.54 ± 67.21 min vs. 95.78 ± 62.67 min, P < 0.001) were found in the LCOS group. The levels of free triiodothyronine (FT3) (4.55 ± 1.29 pmol/L vs. 5.18 ± 1.42 pmol/L, P = 0.003) and total triiodothyronine (TT3) (1.80 ± 0.56 nmol/L vs. 1.98 ± 0.54 nmol/L, P = 0.026) were also lower in the LCOS group. The multivariate binary logistic regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) indicated that the ACC time, FT3 level and body weight were independent predictors of LCOS. Conclusions: In our patient population, we first propose that preoperative FT3 can predict the occurrence of postoperative LCOS. ACC time, FT3 level and body weight are independent predictors of LCOS and maybe helpful in reducing the incidence of postoperative LCOS in the future.

4.
J Biol Dyn ; 15(1): 177-194, 2021 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33704015

ABSTRACT

Studies have shown that sexual transmission, both heterosexually and homosexually, is one of the main ways of HBV infection. Based on this fact, we propose a mathematical model to study the sexual transmission of HBV among adults by classifying adults into men and women and considering both same-sex and opposite-sex transmissions of HBV in adults. Firstly, we calculate the basic reproduction number R0 and the disease-free equilibrium point E0. Secondly, by analysing the sensitivity of R0 in terms of model parameters, we find that the infection rate among people who have same-sex partners, the frequency of homosexual contact and the immunity rate of adults play important roles in the transmission of HBV. Moreover, we use our model to fit the reported data in China and forecast the trend of hepatitis B. Our results demonstrate that popularizing the basic knowledge of HBV among residents, advocating healthy and reasonable sexual life style, reducing the number of adult carriers, and increasing the immunization rate of adults are effective measures to prevent and control hepatitis B.


Subject(s)
Hepatitis B virus , Sexual and Gender Minorities , Adult , China/epidemiology , Female , Heterosexuality , Humans , Male , Models, Biological
5.
BMC Pediatr ; 21(1): 50, 2021 01 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33494724

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We aimed to study the effectiveness of preoperative thyroid hormone levels in predicting intensive care unit (ICU) mortality after cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) in infants with congenital heart disease (CHD). METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed and analyzed data from 133 patients younger than 3 months old who underwent cardiac surgery with CPB from June 2017 to November 2019. ICU mortality prediction was assessed by multivariate binary logistic regression analysis and area under the curve (AUC) analysis. RESULTS: Non-survivors were younger (17.46 ± 17.10 days vs. 38.63 ± 26.87 days, P = 0.006), with a higher proportion of neonates (9/13 vs. 41/120, P = 0.017) and a higher proportion of individuals with a Risk Adjustment for Congenital Heart Surgery-1 (RACHS-1) score ≥ 4 (8/13 vs. 31/120, P = 0.020). No significant difference was found in CPB and aortic cross-clamping (ACC) time. The levels of free triiodothyronine (FT3) (3.91 ± 0.99 pmol/L vs. 5.11 ± 1.55 pmol/L, P = 0.007) and total triiodothyronine (TT3) (1.55 ± 0.35 nmol/L vs. 1.90 ± 0.57 nmol/L, P = 0.032) were higher in survivors than in non-survivors. In the ICU mortality prediction assessment, FT3 was an independent mortality predictor and showed a high AUC (0.856 ± 0.040). CONCLUSIONS: The preoperative FT3 level was a powerful and independent predictor of ICU mortality after CPB in infants with CHD younger than 3 months old.


Subject(s)
Cardiopulmonary Bypass , Heart Defects, Congenital , Cardiopulmonary Bypass/adverse effects , Heart Defects, Congenital/surgery , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Intensive Care Units , Retrospective Studies , Thyroid Hormones
6.
J Surg Res ; 253: 8-17, 2020 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32305498

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cytochrome P450 epoxygenase 2J2 (CYP2J2) metabolizes arachidonic acid to epoxyeicosatrienoic acids, which exert anti-inflammatory effects and alleviate oxidative stress in the cardiovascular system. Our previous work revealed that CYP2J2 is expressed in pulmonary artery endothelial cells. It was therefore hypothesized that CYP2J2 overexpression may prevent lung ischemia/reperfusion injury (LIRI) in 3-week-old C57BL/6 mice during deep hypothermic low flow (DHLF). This study aimed to establish whether CYP2J2 protects against LIRI and the mechanisms of CYP2J2 overexpression during DHLF in mice. The aim of this study was to explore the effects of DHLF on lung tissue in mice and to find out the regularity of this process, so as to provide theoretical data for lung tissue protection in children undergoing this process in clinic. METHODS: A 3-week-old C57BL/6 mouse model was used to mimic LIRI conditions during DHLF by clamping the left pulmonary artery and left main bronchus for 120 min, followed by reperfusion for 2 h. The body temperature of the mice was maintained between 18°C and 19°C to induce DHLF. RESULTS: During DHLF, lung ischemia/reperfusion increased the left lung wet/dry weight, the left lung weight/body weight ratio, the protein concentration in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid, and the concentration of proinflammatory mediators in the lungs, including interleukin (IL)-1, IL-8, and necrosis factor (NF)-α, and decreased the concentration of the anti-inflammatory mediator IL-10. Furthermore, activation of NF-κB p65 and degradation of IKBα were remarkably increased in lung tissues after ischemia/reperfusion. The CYP2J2 overexpression group showed the opposite results (P < 0.05), and p-Akt1 and p-GSK-3ß expression were significantly higher in the CYP2J2 overexpression group (P < 0.05). Moreover, the changes in IL-1, IL-8, tumor necrosis factor-α, IL-10, p-Akt1, p-GSK-3ß, NF-κB p65, and IKBα were reversed in the Akt1 gene heterozygous knockout group, and lung damage was significantly higher in the Akt1 gene heterozygous knockout group than in the CYP2J2 overexpression group. CYP2J2 overexpression can protect against LIRI, whereas Akt1 gene heterozygous knockout in mice can abolish this protective effect. CONCLUSIONS: CYP2J2 overexpression can protect against LIRI by activating the P13K/Akt/GSK-3ß/NF-kB signaling pathway during DHLF. Thus, changing CYP2J2 expression can be a novel strategy for the prevention and treatment of LIRI during DHLF.


Subject(s)
Cardiopulmonary Bypass/adverse effects , Cytochrome P-450 Enzyme System/metabolism , Genetic Therapy/methods , Lung Injury/therapy , Reperfusion Injury/therapy , Animals , Cardiopulmonary Bypass/methods , China , Cytochrome P-450 CYP2J2 , Cytochrome P-450 Enzyme System/genetics , Disease Models, Animal , Glycogen Synthase Kinase 3 beta/metabolism , Heart Defects, Congenital/surgery , Humans , Lung , Lung Injury/etiology , Lung Injury/pathology , Mice , Mice, Transgenic , Oxidative Stress , Phosphatidylinositol 3-Kinases/metabolism , Proto-Oncogene Proteins c-akt/metabolism , Recombinant Proteins/genetics , Recombinant Proteins/metabolism , Reperfusion Injury/etiology , Reperfusion Injury/pathology , Signal Transduction , Transcription Factor RelA/metabolism , Transfection
7.
J Am Heart Assoc ; 9(5): e013516, 2020 03 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32070206

ABSTRACT

Background The purpose of this meta-analysis is to assess the effects of exercise training on quality of life, specific biomarkers, exercise capacity, and vascular function in congenital heart disease (CHD) subjects after surgery. Methods and Results We searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, MEDLINE, and EMBASE from the date of the inception of the database through April 2019. Altogether, 1161 records were identified in the literature search. Studies evaluating outcomes before and after exercise training among postoperative patients with congenital heart disease were included. The assessed outcomes were exercise capacity, vascular function, serum NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) levels and quality of life. We analyzed heterogeneity by using the I2 statistic and evaluated the evidence quality according to the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) guidelines. Nine randomized controlled trials were included. The evidence indicated that exercise interventions increased the one of the quality of life questionnaire score (mean difference=3.19 [95% CI, 0.23, 6.16]; P=0.03; I2=39%) from the score before the interventions. However, no alterations in exercise capacity, vascular function, NT-proBNP or quality of life were observed after exercise training. The results of the subgroup analysis showed that NT-proBNP levels were lower in the group with exercise training than in the group without exercise training over the same duration of follow-up. The evidence quality was generally assessed to be low. Conclusions In conclusion, there is insufficient evidence to suggest that physical exercise improves long-term follow-up outcomes of congenital heart disease, although it has some minor effects on quality of life.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Rehabilitation , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/rehabilitation , Exercise Therapy , Heart Defects, Congenital/surgery , Adolescent , Adult , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/adverse effects , Exercise Tolerance , Female , Heart Defects, Congenital/diagnosis , Heart Defects, Congenital/physiopathology , Hemodynamics , Humans , Male , Quality of Life , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Recovery of Function , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome , Young Adult
9.
Public Health Nutr ; 23(7): 1214-1222, 2020 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31120008

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To explore the relationships of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) with obesity and metabolic parameters in US children. DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis. We evaluated the associations between serum 25(OH)D and multiple measurements of adiposity, serum lipid concentrations, fasting glucose and insulin resistance in children aged 6-18 years with adjustments for multiple covariates. SETTING: The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 2001-2006. PARTICIPANTS: A nationally representative sample of 6311 children and adolescents aged 6-18 years. RESULTS: Among US children and adolescents, the prevalence of vitamin D deficiency has been especially high in older children, girls and the non-Hispanic Black population. Higher odds of obesity were found at a 25(OH)D concentration of <30 nmol/l (deficiency) than at >50 nmol/l under both criteria for obesity in children (OR = 3·27, Ptrend ≤ 0.001). Moreover, increased odds of having abnormal HDL-cholesterol (OR = 1·71, Ptrend ≤ 0.001) and impaired insulin resistance (OR = 4·15, Ptrend ≤ 0·001) were found for children deficient in 25(OH)D compared with those with normal 25(OH)D concentrations. When the children and adolescents were stratified by gender, we found stronger associations between serum 25(OH)D concentration and both HDL-cholesterol and insulin resistance in girls. No association of 25(OH)D with any other metabolic parameter was found. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest a potential harmful association between low serum 25(OH)D concentration and the risk of obesity among children. However, the underlying mechanisms require further investigation.


Subject(s)
Metabolic Syndrome/epidemiology , Pediatric Obesity/epidemiology , Vitamin D Deficiency/epidemiology , Vitamin D/analogs & derivatives , Adiposity , Adolescent , Blood Glucose/analysis , Body Mass Index , Child , Cholesterol, HDL/blood , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Insulin Resistance , Lipids/blood , Male , Metabolic Syndrome/blood , Nutrition Surveys , Pediatric Obesity/blood , Risk Factors , United States/epidemiology , Vitamin D/blood , Vitamin D Deficiency/blood
10.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 26(30): 31384-31391, 2019 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31473923

ABSTRACT

Little is known regarding the effects of environmental mercury (Hg) exposure on liver dysfunction in adolescents. We aimed to explore the association between Hg exposure and the risk of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in the adolescent population. The cross-sectional associations between blood Hg concentrations and serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels, a surrogate for suspected NAFLD, were evaluated using data from adolescents (aged 12-17 years old) who participated in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), 1999-2014. A final sample of 6389 adolescents was analysed. Elevated ALT was defined as > 25 IU/L and > 22 IU/L for boys and girls ≤ 17 years old, respectively. Odds ratios (ORs) of Hg levels in association with serum ALT levels were estimated using a logistic regression after adjusting for gender, age, ethnicity, serum cotinine, body mass index, the poverty income ratio, and NHANES cycles. The median blood Hg level was 0.73 ± 0.91 µg/L amongst US adolescents. In the adjusted model, the ORs of elevated ALT levels of those in the 4th quartile were higher amongst non-Hispanic white adolescents (OR = 1.76, 95% CI 1.20, 2.59; P = 0.035) and those who were normal or underweight (OR = 1.41, 95% CI 1.08, 1.85; P = 0.020). No association was observed for the other variables. Our results indicate that the positive association between blood Hg exposure and the risk of NAFLD in US adolescents is the highest amongst non-Hispanic white and those who are normal or underweight, regardless of ethnicity. More research is necessary to confirm this association and to clarify the potential mechanisms.


Subject(s)
Environmental Exposure/statistics & numerical data , Environmental Pollutants/blood , Mercury/blood , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/epidemiology , Adolescent , Alanine Transaminase/blood , Body Mass Index , Child , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Nutrition Surveys , Odds Ratio
11.
Environ Pollut ; 254(Pt A): 112971, 2019 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31394346

ABSTRACT

The effects of exposure to some environmental chemicals on blood pressure have been determined, but the association between non-occupational exposure to perfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs) and blood pressure in adolescents remains unknown. The association between blood pressure and PFAS concentrations was studied by analysing data from 2251 participants filtered from the population enrolled in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2003 to 2012. After adjusting for age, sex, race, BMI, cotinine level, dietary intake of calcium, caloric intake, sodium consumption, potassium consumption and sampling year, we estimated the coefficients (betas) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the relationship between PFAS concentrations and blood pressure with multiple linear regression models. Potential non-linear relationships were assessed with restricted cubic spline models. Blood levels of perfluorooctane sulfonic acid (PFOS) had a strong positive association with diastolic blood pressure (DBP) in adolescents in the linear model, while the result was not significant in the non-linear model. No significant association was observed between the concentration of any other PFASs and blood pressure. According to the fully adjusted linear regression model (P = 0.041), the mean DBP values in boys in the higher PFOS quintile were 2.70% greater than the mean DBP values of boys in the lowest PFOS quintile. Furthermore, serum PFOS concentrations predominantly affected blood pressure in male adolescents compared with female adolescents. These results provide epidemiological evidence of PFOS-related increases in DBP. Further research is needed to address related issues.


Subject(s)
Alkanesulfonic Acids/blood , Blood Pressure/drug effects , Fluorocarbons/blood , Hypertension/chemically induced , Adolescent , Calcium/metabolism , Cotinine/urine , Female , Humans , Linear Models , Male , Multivariate Analysis , Nutrition Surveys , Potassium/metabolism , Sex Factors , Sodium/metabolism
12.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 26(10): 10037-10043, 2019 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30746621

ABSTRACT

This study sought to determine correlations between the presence of isolated ventricular septum defects (VSDs) and blood levels of trace elements. A total of 144 patients with VSDs and 144 controls were recruited for cross-sectional assessment of trace elements and examination of cardiac structures in the Jiangsu and Anhui provinces between 2016 and 2018. Logistic regression was performed to explore the relationships between VSDs and trace elements. Additionally, general linear regression models were used to investigate relationships between trace elements and echocardiography indicators. Relative to the lowest zinc (Zn) concentrations, the highest Zn concentrations may be associated with lower odds of VSD development (OR = 0.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.01-0.29, P < 0.001). However, no significant relationships between the concentrations of other trace elements and the risk of VSD were identified. Aorta (AO) diameters were markedly smaller in the VSD group, whereas no significant between-group differences were observed for other echocardiography indicators. After adjusting for age and gender, linear regression indicated a significant association between Zn level and mean AO diameter (beta coefficient = 0.247, 95% CI = 0.126-0.367). Zn deficiency was observed in patients with isolated VSDs. Further work to explore the mechanisms by which Zn deficiency leads to VSDs is warranted.


Subject(s)
Heart Septal Defects, Ventricular/blood , Metals, Heavy/blood , Trace Elements/blood , Adolescent , Child , Child, Preschool , Cross-Sectional Studies , Echocardiography , Female , Heart Septal Defects, Ventricular/chemically induced , Humans , Infant , Male , Metals, Heavy/toxicity , Risk Assessment , Trace Elements/toxicity , Ventricular Septum
13.
Bull Math Biol ; 81(4): 939-962, 2019 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30536160

ABSTRACT

Human rabies is one of the major public health problems in China with an average of 1977 cases per year. It is estimated that 95% of these human rabies cases are due to dog bites. In recent years, the number of wildlife-associated human rabies cases has increased, particularly in the southeast and northeast regions of mainland China. Chinese ferret badgers (CFBs) are one of the most popular wildlife animals which are distributed mostly in the southeast region of China. Human cases caused by rabid CFB were first recorded in Huzhou, Zhejiang Province, in 1994. From 1996 to 2004, more than 30 human cases were caused by CFB bites in Zhejiang Province. In this paper, based on the reported data of the human rabies caused by both dogs and CFB in Zhejiang Province, we propose a multi-host zoonotic model for the dog-CFB-human transmission of rabies. We first evaluate the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] discuss the stability of the disease-free equilibrium, and study persistence of the disease. Then we use our model to fit the reported data in Zhejiang Province from 2004 to 2017 and forecast the trend of human or livestock rabies. Finally by carrying out sensitivity analysis of the basic reproduction number in terms of parameters, we find that the transmission between dogs and CFB, the quantity of dogs, and the vaccination rate of dogs play important roles in the transmission of rabies. Our study suggests that rabies control and prevention strategies should include enhancing public education and awareness about rabies, increasing dog vaccination rate, reducing the dog and CFB interactions, and avoiding CFB bites or contact.


Subject(s)
Models, Biological , Rabies/veterinary , Animals , Basic Reproduction Number , China , Computer Simulation , Dog Diseases/prevention & control , Dog Diseases/transmission , Dogs , Humans , Mathematical Concepts , Mustelidae , Rabies/prevention & control , Rabies/transmission , Zoonoses/prevention & control , Zoonoses/transmission
14.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 25(7): 6265-6272, 2018 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29247408

ABSTRACT

Low levels of chronic heavy metal exposure are associated with a range of adverse health effects. However, whether total blood mercury (Hg) and methyl mercury (MeHg) exposure affect risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD) in adolescents remains unclear. The associations between CVD risk factors and total blood Hg and MeHg in adolescents were evaluated using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), 2011-2012. Data for 1129 adolescents (age 12-19 years) who participated in the US NHANES 2011-2012 were analyzed. A multivariate linear regression was performed to investigate the associations between CVD risk factors and blood Hg and MeHg concentrations. We identified a strong positive association between blood Hg and MeHg and total cholesterol in adolescents in adjusted model. No associations with other CVD risk factors were found in the overall population. In the gender-stratified generalized linear models, girls with the highest MeHg levels demonstrated a 4.22% (95% CI 0.80%, 7.76%) greater increase in serum total cholesterol (P for trend = 0.029) when compared with girls with the lowest MeHg levels. Our findings suggest that blood MeHg may be positively associated with total cholesterol in adolescent girls. More research is needed to verify this association and to elucidate its underlying mechanisms.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Environmental Exposure/analysis , Mercury/blood , Methylmercury Compounds/blood , Adolescent , Cardiovascular Diseases/blood , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Linear Models , Male , Nutrition Surveys , Risk Factors , United States
15.
Sci Rep ; 7(1): 9121, 2017 08 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28831128

ABSTRACT

Little is known regarding the effects of environmental lead exposure on cardiovascular risk factors in the adolescent population. We studied 11,662 subjects included in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2012. Blood lead levels were analysed for their association with cardiovascular risk factors (CVRF). Regression coefficients (Beta) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of blood lead in association with CVRF (e.g., total cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol, LDL-cholesterol, triglyceride, fasting glucose, glycohemoglobin, fasting insulin, and blood pressure) were estimated using multivariate and generalized linear regression after adjusting for age, gender, ethnicity, serum cotinine, body mass index (BMI), physical activity, and household income. We identified a strong positive association between blood lead (coefficient = 0.022, 95% CI 0.003, 0.041; P = 0.022) and LDL-cholesterol in adolescents (age 12-19 years). However, no associations with other CVRFs were found in the overall population. In the generalized linear models, participants with the highest lead levels demonstrated a 1.87% (95% CI 0.73%, 3.02%) greater increase in serum LDL-cholesterol (p for trend = 0.031) when compared to participants with the lowest lead levels. These results provide epidemiological evidence that low levels of blood lead are positively associated with LDL-cholesterol in the adolescent population.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases/blood , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Lead/blood , Adolescent , Adult , Biomarkers , Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology , Child , Female , Humans , Lipids/blood , Male , Public Health Surveillance , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , United States/epidemiology , Young Adult
SELECTION OF CITATIONS
SEARCH DETAIL
...