Reconstruction and analysis of negatively buoyant jets with interpretable machine learning.

In this paper, negatively inclined buoyant jets, which appear during the discharge of wastewater from processes such as desalination, are observed. A detailed numerical investigation is necessary to minimize harmful effects and assess environmental impact. Selecting appropriate geometry and working conditions for minimizing such effects often requires numerous experiments and numerical simulations. For this reason, the application of machine learning models is proposed. Several models including Support Vector Regression, Artificial Neural Networks, Random Forests, XGBoost, CatBoost and LightGBM were trained. The dataset was built with numerous OpenFOAM simulations, validated by experimental data from previous research. The average prediction of ML models has R2 0.94±0.05, RMSE 0.42±0.14 and RRSE 0.24 ± 0.09, whereas the best prediction was obtained by Artificial Neural Network with R2 0.98, RMSE 0.28 and RRSE 0.16. To understand the influence of input parameters on the geometrical characteristics of inclined buoyant jets, the SHAP feature interpretation method was used.

Predictive modeling of microbiological seawater quality in karst region using cascade model.

This paper presents an in-depth analysis of seawater quality measurements during the bathing seasons from year 2009 to 2020 in the city of Rijeka, Croatia. Due to rare occurrences of measurements with less than excellent water quality, considered dataset is deeply imbalanced. Additionally, it incorporates measurements under the influence of submerged groundwater discharges (SGD), which were observed in some bathing locations. These discharges were previously thought to dry up during the summer season and are now suspected to be one of the causes of increased Escherichia coli values. Consequently, and in view of the fact that the accuracy of prediction models can be significantly influenced by temporal and spatial variation of the input data, a novel cascade prediction modeling strategy was proposed. It consists of a sequence of prediction models which tend to identify general environmental conditions which confidently lead to excellent bathing water quality. The proposed model uses environmental features which can rather easily be estimated or obtained from the weather forecast. The model was trained on a highly biased dataset, consisting of data from locations with and without SGD influence, and for the time period spanning extremely dry and warm seasons, extremely wet seasons, as well as normal seasons. To simulate realistic application, the model was tested using temporal and spatial stratification of data. The cascade strategy was shown to be a good approach for reliably detecting environmental parameters which produce excellent water quality. Proposed model is designed as a filter method, where instances classified as less-than-excellent water quality require further analysis. The cascade model provides great flexibility as it can be customized to the particular needs of the investigated area and dataset specifics.