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1.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22279847

ABSTRACT

The COVID-19 pandemic has given rise to numerous commercially available antigen rapid diagnostic tests (Ag-RDTs). To generate and share accurate and independent data with the global community, multi-site prospective diagnostic evaluations of Ag-RDTs are required. This report describes the clinical evaluation of OnSite COVID-19 Rapid Test (CTK Biotech, California, USA) in Brazil and The United Kingdom. A total of 496 paired nasopharyngeal (NP) swabs were collected from symptomatic healthcare workers at Hospital das Clinicas in Sao Paulo, and 211 NP swabs were collected from symptomatic participants at a COVID-19 drive-through testing site in Liverpool, England. These swabs were analysed by Ag-RDT and results were compared to RT-qPCR. The clinical sensitivity of the OnSite COVID-19 Rapid test in Brazil was 90.3% [95% Cl 75.1 - 96.7%] and in the United Kingdom was 75.3% [95% Cl 64.6 - 83.6%]. The clinical specificity in Brazil was 99.4% [95% Cl 98.1 - 99.8%] and in the United Kingdom was 95.5% [95% Cl 90.6 - 97.9%]. Analytical evaluation of the Ag-RDT was assessed using direct culture supernatant of SARS-CoV-2 strains from Wild-Type (WT), Alpha, Delta, Gamma and Omicron lineages. Analytical limit of detection was 1.0x103 pfu/mL, 1.0x103 pfu/mL, 1.0x102 pfu/mL, 5.0x103 pfu/mL and 1.0x103 pfu/mL, giving a viral copy equivalent of approximately 2.1x105 copies/mL, 2.1x104 copies/mL, 1.6x104 copies/mL, 3.5x106 copies/mL and 8.7 x 104 for the Ag-RDT, when tested on the WT, Alpha, Delta, Gamma and Omicron lineages, respectively. This study provides comparative performance of an Ag-RDT across two different settings, geographical areas, and population. Overall, the OnSite Ag-RDT demonstrated a lower clinical sensitivity than claimed by the manufacturer... Sensitivity and specificity from the Brazil study fulfilled the performance criteria determined by the World Health Organisation but the performance obtained from the UK study failed to. Further evaluation of the use of Ag-RDTs should include harmonised protocols between laboratories to facilitate comparison between settings.

2.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21265731

ABSTRACT

The SARS-CoV-2 Gamma variant spread rapidly across Brazil, causing substantial infection and death waves. We use individual-level patient records following hospitalisation with suspected or confirmed COVID-19 to document the extensive shocks in hospital fatality rates that followed Gammas spread across 14 state capitals, and in which more than half of hospitalised patients died over sustained time periods. We show that extensive fluctuations in COVID-19 in-hospital fatality rates also existed prior to Gammas detection, and were largely transient after Gammas detection, subsiding with hospital demand. Using a Bayesian fatality rate model, we find that the geographic and temporal fluctuations in Brazils COVID-19 in-hospital fatality rates are primarily associated with geographic inequities and shortages in healthcare capacity. We project that approximately half of Brazils COVID-19 deaths in hospitals could have been avoided without pre-pandemic geographic inequities and without pandemic healthcare pressure. Our results suggest that investments in healthcare resources, healthcare optimization, and pandemic preparedness are critical to minimize population wide mortality and morbidity caused by highly transmissible and deadly pathogens such as SARS-CoV-2, especially in low- and middle-income countries. NoteThe following manuscript has appeared as Report 46 - Factors driving extensive spatial and temporal fluctuations in COVID-19 fatality rates in Brazilian hospitals at https://spiral.imperial.ac.uk:8443/handle/10044/1/91875. One sentence summaryCOVID-19 in-hospital fatality rates fluctuate dramatically in Brazil, and these fluctuations are primarily associated with geographic inequities and shortages in healthcare capacity.

3.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21264631

ABSTRACT

The Covid-19 pandemic has changed the paradigms for disease surveillance and rapid deployment of scientific-based evidence for understanding disease biology, susceptibility, and treatment. We have organized a large-scale genome-wide association study in Sars-Cov-2 infected individuals in Sao Paulo, Brazil, one of the most affected areas of the pandemic in the country, itself one of the most affected in the world. Here we present the results of the initial analysis in the first 5,233 participants of the BRACOVID study. We have conducted a GWAS for Covid-19 hospitalization enrolling 3533 cases (hospitalized Covid-19 participants) and 1700 controls (non-hospitalized Covid-19 participants). Models were adjusted by age, sex and the 4 first principal components. A meta-analysis was also conducted merging BRACOVID hospitalization data with the Human Genetic Initiative (HGI) Consortia results. BRACOVID results validated most loci previously identified in the HGI meta-analysis. In addition, no significant heterogeneity according to ancestral group within the Brazilian population was observed for the two most important Covid-19 severity associated loci: 3p21.31 and Chr21 near IFNAR2. Using only data provided by BRACOVID a new genome-wide significant locus was identified on Chr1 near the genes DSTYK and RBBP5. The associated haplotype has also been previously associated with a number of blood cell related traits and might play a role in modulating the immune response in Covid-19 cases.

4.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21255308

ABSTRACT

BackgroundCoronaVac, a vaccine containing inactivated SARS-CoV-2, demonstrated efficacy of 50.39% 14 days or more after the 2nd dose. The objective of this study is to report the occurrence of symptomatic COVID-19 in a cohort of HCW vaccinated with CoronaVac and to estimate its effectiveness. MethodsCoronaVac was given to HCWs inHospital das Clinicas on 18-21 January, 2021 (epi week 3) (22,402 HCWs), and on 14-16 February, 2021 (epi week 7) (21,652 HCWs). Weekly cases of symptomatic COVID-19 were evaluated. Using the period from 2020 epi week 24 through 2021 epi week 2 (before vaccination), a Poisson regression was fit to model the HCWs with COVID-19 of the hospital, and the officially reported cases in the city of Sao Paulo. The predicted numbers of cases among HCWs for 2021 epi weeks 3-12 were then compared to the observed numbers of cases (after vaccination). Effectiveness was estimated for weeks 9-12 (2 to 5 weeks after the 2nd dose). 142 samples after vaccination were evaluated for SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern. ResultsSince the 1st dose there were 380 HCW diagnosed with COVID-19. On visual analysis, the number of cases of COVID-19 in the city increased sharply in 2021. The number of cases among the HCW did not follow. The estimated effectiveness 2 and 3 weeks after 2nd dose was 50.7% and 51.8%, respectively, and increased over the next 2 weeks. 67/142 samples (47%) were variants of concern, mostly P1 (57). ConclusionCoronavac is effective in preventing COVID-19.

5.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-20232546

ABSTRACT

It has been estimated that individuals with COVID-19 can shed replication-competent virus up to a maximum of twenty days after initiation of symptoms. This report describes two patients with mild forms of the disease who shed replication-competent virus for 24 and 37 days, respectively, after symptom onset.

6.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-20138081

ABSTRACT

BackgroundDespite most cases not requiring hospital care, there are limited community-based clinical data on COVID-19. Methods and findingsThe Corona Sao Caetano program is a primary care initiative offering COVID-19 care to all residents of Sao Caetano do Sul, Brazil. After triage of potentially severe cases, consecutive patients presenting between 13th April and 13th May 2020 were tested at home with SARS-CoV-2 reverse transcriptase (RT) PCR; positive patients were followed up for 14 days. RT-PCR-negative patients were offered SARS-CoV-2 serology. We describe the clinical features, virology and natural history of this prospective population-based cohort. Of 2,073 suspected COVID-19 cases, 1,583 (76{middle dot}4%) were tested by RT-PCR, of whom 444 (28{middle dot}0%, 95%CI: 25{middle dot}9% - 30{middle dot}3%) were positive; 604/1,136 (53%) RT-PCR-negative patients underwent serology, of whom 52 (8{middle dot}6%) tested SARS-CoV-2 seropositive. The most common symptoms of COVID-19 were cough, fatigue, myalgia and headache; whereas self-reported fever, anosmia, and ageusia were most associated with a positive COVID-19 diagnosis. RT-PCR cycle thresholds were lower in men, older patients, those with fever and arthralgia, and around symptom onset. The rates of hospitalization and death among 444 RT-PCR-positive cases were 6{middle dot}7% and 0{middle dot}7%, respectively, with older age and obesity more frequent in the hospitalized group. ConclusionsCOVID-19 presents similarly to other mild respiratory disease in primary care. Some symptoms assist the differential diagnosis. Most patients can be managed at home.

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