Association of Ultra-Processed Food and Unprocessed or Minimally Processed Food Consumption With Bowel Habits Among US Adults.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Ultra-processed foods (UPFs) may have a negative impact on bowel habits. We aimed to assess the association between UPF and unprocessed or minimally processed food (MPF) intake and bowel habits among US adults. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2005-2010). We used two 24-hour dietary recalls and, based on the Nova classification, calculated intakes of UPFs and MPFs. Constipation and diarrhea were defined using the Bristol Stool Form Scale and stool frequency. We performed survey-weighted logistic regression and substitution analysis to estimate the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Among 12,716 US adults, there were 1,290 cases of constipation and 1,067 cases of diarrhea. Median UPF and MPF intakes were 26.5% and 66.2% of total grams per day, respectively. Greater UPF consumption (in % gram/d) was associated with higher odds of constipation (aORQ4 vs Q1, 2.20; 95% CI, 1.76-2.74) (Ptrend <.001) but not diarrhea (aORQ4 vs Q1, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.62-1.09) (Ptrend =0.12). Increased MPF consumption was associated with lower odds of constipation (aORQ4 vs Q1, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.37-0.57) (Ptrend <.001). Associations with constipation were attenuated after adjusting for diet quality (aORQ4 vs Q1, UPF =1.53; MPF =0.69). Substituting 10% of UPF intake with an equivalent proportion of MPFs was associated with lower odds of constipation (aOR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.87-0.93). CONCLUSIONS: UPF intake was associated with higher odds of constipation whereas the odds were lower with greater MPF consumption. The effect of food processing on bowel habits was independent of diet quality.

Unveiling the ion sensing capabailities of 'click' derived chalcone-tailored 1,2,3-triazolic isomers for Pb(ii) and Cu(ii) ions: DFT analysis.

In this study, two novel chalcone-derived 1,2,3-triazole-appended positional isomers (probe 6 and probe 9) were synthesized via the 'CuAAC' (Cu(i) - catalysed alkyne azide cycloaddition) methodology for the purpose of metal ion detection. The synthesized probes underwent characterization utilizing standard spectroscopic methodologies including FTIR, NMR (1H and 13C), and mass spectrometry. Subsequently, the sensing capabilities of these probes were explored using UV-Vis and fluorescence spectroscopy, wherein their selective recognition potential was established for Pb(ii) and Cu(ii), both of which can pose serious health hazards when prevalent in the environment above permissible limits. Both the probes exhibited fairly low limits of detection (LoD), determined as 5.69 µM and 6.55 µM in the case of probe 6 for Pb(ii) and Cu(ii) respectively; whereas the probe 9 exhibited an LoD of 5.06 µM and 7.52 µM for Pb(ii) and Cu(ii), respectively. The job's plot for the probe demonstrates the formation of a 1 : 1 complex between the metal and ligand. Furthermore, the interaction of the free probes with the metal ions in the metal-ligand complex was elucidated through 1H NMR analysis and validated theoretically using Density Functional Theory (DFT) simulations with the B3LYP/6-311G++(d,p) and B3LYP/LANL2DZ basis sets for geometry optimization of the probes and their corresponding metal complexes. These findings offer a reliable approach to Cu(ii) and Pb(ii) ion detection and can be further used for the potential applications in environmental monitoring and analytical chemistry.

The impact of source and consumption of news on mental distress among inflammatory bowel disease patients during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Background: We sought to understand the trends in media use, and how consumption and source affected mental health of persons with inflammatory bowel disease during the early parts of the pandemic. Dissemination of news during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic was integral to educating the public but also could be harmful if constantly consumed, leading to worsening anxiety. Methods: We performed a survey study in autumn 2020 during the second wave of COVID-19 in Manitoba. The survey included questions on consumption of COVID-19 news, along with validated measures of perceived stress, generalized anxiety, health anxiety, and depression. We used multivariable logistic regression analysis to assess trusted sources of news as a predictor of clinically significant mental health symptoms. Results: Of the 2940 participants in the registry, 1384 (47.1%) persons responded. The most trusted sources of news were television (64.2%), internet (46.1%), newspaper (27.6%), friends/family (21.7%), social media (16.9%), and radio (16.6%). Those who trusted social media had higher odds of depression (aOR 1.52, 95%CI 1.04-2.22), and perceived stress (aOR 2.56, 95%CI 1.09-2.21). Persons who reported extreme difficulty limiting their time-consuming news about COVID-19 and who spent more than 1 h daily consuming information on COVID-19 both had increased odds of any clinically significant mental health symptoms. Conclusions: It is unknown if consumption of COVID-19 news led to heightened mental health symptoms or if increasing anxieties and concerns led to consuming more news. Further research is needed to assess whether these elevated mental health symptoms led to worse disease outcomes.

Neurocysticercosis of the third ventricle: illustrative case.

BACKGROUND: Neurocysticercosis is a parasitic infection of the central nervous system. Cysts located in the ventricles, intraventricular neurocysticercosis (IVNCC), can cause symptoms of increased intracranial pressure and, if untreated, can be fatal. Neuroendoscopic removal of IVNCC is recommended as the first-line treatment. OBSERVATIONS: The authors present the case of a healthy 30-year-old male originally from Mexico who presented with headaches and vomiting. He was found to have a cyst in the third ventricle on imaging, consistent with IVNCC. The authors successfully performed neuroendoscopic surgery with removal of the cyst en bloc. LESSONS: A multidisciplinary team of neurosurgery and infectious disease specialists is recommended for successful management of patients with IVNCC. These patients typically require neuroendoscopic surgical removal for definitive treatment. In this case, the authors show surgery resulted in an effective cure without the need for antiparasitic medication and excellent long-term outcomes.

Feasibility of opportunistic colorectal cancer screening of hospitalized patients in tertiary care and community hospitals.

BACKGROUND: Population screening for colorectal cancer (CRC) remains low, requiring alternative approaches for increasing participation. Opportunistic screening of hospitalized patients may aid in increasing uptake rates. OBJECTIVE: To assess whether inpatients can be recruited for opportunistic CRC screening using fecal immunochemical testing (FIT). METHODS: Inpatient charts were prospectively reviewed for study eligibility on admission of patients to the medical wards of 3 hospitals in Winnipeg, Canada. Eligible patients were approached for participation and consent. Inoculated FIT specimen collection tubes were sent to the hospital laboratory for testing. Patients with positive FIT results received a follow-up colonoscopy. RESULTS: In total, 1542 inpatient charts were screened for eligibility; 53 patients were identified for enrollment (51.9% were male; median age, 59 years), of whom 13 patients consented to participate but only 7 provided a stool specimen. One of those 7 patients had a positive FIT result. The overall screening rate was low, at 0.45%. The primary reason for exclusion of patients was age (outside of the range of 50-75 years), followed by patients having recent gastrointestinal bleeding and/or known intestinal diseases. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that it is infeasible to recruit inpatients for opportunistic CRC screening in routine clinical practice.

Inroads into saline-alkaline stress response in plants: unravelling morphological, physiological, biochemical, and molecular mechanisms.

MAIN CONCLUSION: This article discusses the complex network of ion transporters, genes, microRNAs, and transcription factors that regulate crop tolerance to saline-alkaline stress. The framework aids scientists produce stress-tolerant crops for smart agriculture. Salinity and alkalinity are frequently coexisting abiotic limitations that have emerged as archetypal mediators of low yield in many semi-arid and arid regions throughout the world. Saline-alkaline stress, which occurs in an environment with high concentrations of salts and a high pH, negatively impacts plant metabolism to a greater extent than either stress alone. Of late, saline stress has been the focus of the majority of investigations, and saline-alkaline mixed studies are largely lacking. Therefore, a thorough understanding and integration of how plants and crops rewire metabolic pathways to repair damage caused by saline-alkaline stress is of particular interest. This review discusses the multitude of resistance mechanisms that plants develop to cope with saline-alkaline stress, including morphological and physiological adaptations as well as molecular regulation. We examine the role of various ion transporters, transcription factors (TFs), differentially expressed genes (DEGs), microRNAs (miRNAs), or quantitative trait loci (QTLs) activated under saline-alkaline stress in achieving opportunistic modes of growth, development, and survival. The review provides a background for understanding the transport of micronutrients, specifically iron (Fe), in conditions of iron deficiency produced by high pH. Additionally, it discusses the role of calcium in enhancing stress tolerance. The review highlights that to encourage biomolecular architects to reconsider molecular responses as auxiliary for developing tolerant crops and raising crop production, it is essential to (a) close the major gaps in our understanding of saline-alkaline resistance genes, (b) identify and take into account crop-specific responses, and (c) target stress-tolerant genes to specific crops.

Leaf functional traits and resource use strategies facilitate the spread of invasive plant Parthenium hysterophorus across an elevational gradient in western Himalayas.

Parthenium hysterophorus L. (Asteraceae) is a highly prevalent invasive species in subtropical regions across the world. It has recently been seen to shift from low (subtropical) to high (sub-temperate) elevations. Nevertheless, there is a dearth of research investigating the adaptive responses and the significance of leaf functional traits in promoting the expansion to high elevations. The current study investigated the variations and trade-offs among 14 leaf traits (structural, photosynthetic, and nutrient content) of P. hysterophorus across different elevations in the western Himalayas, India. Plots measuring 20 × 40 m were established at different elevations (700 m, 1100 m, 1400 m, and 1800 m) to collect leaf trait data for P. hysterophorus. Along the elevational gradient, significant variations were noticed in leaf morphological parameters, leaf nutrient content, and leaf photosynthetic parameters. Significant increases were observed in the specific leaf area, leaf thickness, and chlorophyll a, total chlorophyll and carotenoid content, as well as leaf nitrogen and phosphorus content with elevation. On the other hand, there were reductions in the amount of chlorophyll b, photosynthetic efficiency, leaf dry matter content, leaf mass per area, and leaf water content. The trait-trait relationships between leaf water content and dry weight and between leaf area and dry weight were stronger at higher elevations. The results show that leaf trait variability and trait-trait correlations are very important for sustaining plant fitness and growth rates in low-temperature, high-irradiance, resource-limited environments at relatively high elevations. To summarise, the findings suggest that P. hysterophorus can expand its range to higher elevations by broadening its functional niche through changes in leaf traits and resource utilisation strategies.

Implementation of Synoptic Reporting for Endoscopic Localization of Complex Colorectal Neoplasms.

Introduction  Lack of documented tattooing of colorectal neoplasms at index colonoscopy results in high repeat preoperative colonoscopy rates. We developed national consensus recommendations for endoscopic localization and piloted an electronic synoptic reporting template. We report on the implementation and perceptions of using synoptic reporting to enhance colorectal lesion marking in a central Canadian healthcare system.  Methods We implemented the template within our endoscopy reporting system and ran an infographic education campaign. We then conducted a follow-up email-based interview with all regional endoscopists. Thematic analysis and a mixed-methods triangulation approach were employed to synthesize qualitative and quantitative data.  Results The interview was completed by 28/52 endoscopists (54%). Most (60.7%; n = 17) completed >100 colonoscopies and 71.4% (n = 20) identified six to 20 neoplasms requiring tattooing since introduction. A total of 50% (n = 14) used the template. Those not using it were unaware of it (42.9%; n = 12), or preferred using narrative text (17.9%; n = 5). Users reported modest mean functionality scores (intuitiveness: 3.56/5; efficiency: 3.7/5) and high impact scores (credible: 4.22/5; informative: 4.21/5). However, the perception of the synoptic template's ability to reduce the repeat preoperative colonoscopy rate was more circumspect (3.76/5). Conclusions Endoscopists believed the synoptic template was a functional, impactful tool that would improve communication and help to decrease the repeat preoperative colonoscopy rate. However, synoptic template uptake was limited by provider awareness, therefore more educational efforts are needed to increase uptake.

Identifying patients with diagnosed cirrhosis in administrative health databases: a validation study.

Objectives: Case ascertainment algorithms were developed and validated to identify people living with cirrhosis in administrative health data in Manitoba, Canada using primary care electronic medical records (EMR) to define the reference standards. Methods: We linked provincial administrative health data to primary care EMR data. The validation cohort included 116,675 Manitobans aged >18 years with at least one primary care visit between April 1998 and March 2015. Hospital records, physician billing claims, vital statistics, and prescription drug data were used to develop and test 93 case-finding algorithms. A validated case definition for primary care EMR data was the reference standard. We estimated sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values (PPV, NPV), Youden's index, area under the receiver operative curve, and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results: A total of 116,675 people were in the validation cohort. The prevalence of cirrhosis was 1.4% (n = 1593). Algorithm sensitivity estimates ranged from 32.5% (95% CI 32.2-32.8) to 68.3% (95% CI 68.0-68.9) and PPV from 17.4% (95% CI 17.1-17.6) to 23.4% (95% CI 23.1-23.6). Specificity (95.5-98.2) and NPV (approximately 99%) were high for all algorithms. The algorithms had slightly higher sensitivity estimates among men compared with women, and individuals aged ≥45 years compared to those aged 18-44 years. Conclusion: Cirrhosis algorithms applied to administrative health data had moderate validity when a validated case definition for primary care EMRs was the reference standard. This study provides algorithms for identifying diagnosed cirrhosis cases for population-based research and surveillance studies.

Neck circumference in polycystic ovary syndrome: a systematic review and bootstrapped meta-analysis with GRADE approach.

INTRODUCTION: Our aim was to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis for the association of neck circumference (NC) in polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) patients as compared to non-PCOS controls. METHODS: Primarily the PubMed/MEDLINE database, and others such as SCOPUS, Google Scholar, Cochrane Library, up to November 15, 2023 for observational studies comparing NC in PCOS versus non-PCOS women. The mean and SD values of NC and other covariates in PCOS and control groups were extracted by two independent reviewers, and the quality and risk of bias assessment was done using Newcastle-Ottawa Scale of the studies. The meta-analysis employed combined standardized mean differences (SMD) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) to compare NC between PCOS patients and controls. The heterogeneity and validity were addressed by sub-group, meta-regression, and sensitivity analyses. We conducted a Bootstrapped meta-analysis using 1000 and 10000 simulations to test the accuracy of the obtained results. The certainty of evidence was assessed by GRADE approach. RESULTS: Our meta-analysis included 9 observational studies. The PCOS patients showed a significantly higher NC values than the non-PCOS controls (SMD 0.66, 95% CI 0.41-0.91, p<0.0001). In the bootstrap meta-analysis, the accuracy of the observed findings was proved (SMD=0.66, CI=0.42 to 0.91) for the NC outcome. No publication bias was detected in the funnel plot analysis using Begg's and Egger's tests. The 95% prediction interval of 0.036 to 1.28, suggest that the true outcomes of the studies are generally in the same direction as the estimated average outcome. The sensitivity analysis provided the robustness of the outcome, and no single study was overly influential on the pooled estimate. CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis provides accurate evidence for significantly higher NC in PCOS as compared to non-PCOS controls. There is no sufficient evidence on the diagnostic accuracy measures for NC in PCOS. Hence, further research on its diagnostic utility in PCOS is needed.

A Cell-free DNA Blood-Based Test for Colorectal Cancer Screening.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer is the third most diagnosed cancer in adults in the United States. Early detection could prevent more than 90% of colorectal cancer-related deaths, yet more than one third of the screening-eligible population is not up to date with screening despite multiple available tests. A blood-based test has the potential to improve screening adherence, detect colorectal cancer earlier, and reduce colorectal cancer-related mortality. METHODS: We assessed the performance characteristics of a cell-free DNA (cfDNA) blood-based test in a population eligible for colorectal cancer screening. The coprimary outcomes were sensitivity for colorectal cancer and specificity for advanced neoplasia (colorectal cancer or advanced precancerous lesions) relative to screening colonoscopy. The secondary outcome was sensitivity to detect advanced precancerous lesions. RESULTS: The clinical validation cohort included 10,258 persons, 7861 of whom met eligibility criteria and were evaluable. A total of 83.1% of the participants with colorectal cancer detected by colonoscopy had a positive cfDNA test and 16.9% had a negative test, which indicates a sensitivity of the cfDNA test for detection of colorectal cancer of 83.1% (95% confidence interval [CI], 72.2 to 90.3). Sensitivity for stage I, II, or III colorectal cancer was 87.5% (95% CI, 75.3 to 94.1), and sensitivity for advanced precancerous lesions was 13.2% (95% CI, 11.3 to 15.3). A total of 89.6% of the participants without any advanced colorectal neoplasia (colorectal cancer or advanced precancerous lesions) identified on colonoscopy had a negative cfDNA blood-based test, whereas 10.4% had a positive cfDNA blood-based test, which indicates a specificity for any advanced neoplasia of 89.6% (95% CI, 88.8 to 90.3). Specificity for negative colonoscopy (no colorectal cancer, advanced precancerous lesions, or nonadvanced precancerous lesions) was 89.9% (95% CI, 89.0 to 90.7). CONCLUSIONS: In an average-risk screening population, this cfDNA blood-based test had 83% sensitivity for colorectal cancer, 90% specificity for advanced neoplasia, and 13% sensitivity for advanced precancerous lesions. (Funded by Guardant Health; ECLIPSE ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04136002.).

Clicking in harmony: exploring the bio-orthogonal overlap in click chemistry.

In the quest to scrutinize and modify biological systems, the global research community has continued to explore bio-orthogonal click reactions, a set of reactions exclusively targeting non-native molecules within biological systems. These methodologies have brought about a paradigm shift, demonstrating the feasibility of artificial chemical reactions occurring on cellular surfaces, in the cell cytosol, or within the body - an accomplishment challenging to achieve with the majority of conventional chemical reactions. This review delves into the principles of bio-orthogonal click chemistry, contrasting metal-catalyzed and metal-free reactions of bio-orthogonal nature. It comprehensively explores mechanistic details and applications, highlighting the versatility and potential of this methodology in diverse scientific contexts, from cell labelling to biosensing and polymer synthesis. Researchers globally continue to advance this powerful tool for precise and selective manipulation of biomolecules in complex biological systems.

Bioaccumulation efficacy and physio-morphological adaptations in response to iron and aluminium contamination of Indian camphorweed (Pluchea indica L.) using different growth substrates.

The aim of this study was to assess the removal capability of Fe/Al contamination of Indian camphorweed (Pluchea indica; hereafter, P. indica) using different growth substrates (100% sand, gardening soil, vermiculite, and zeolite). In addition, the study aimed at observing the physio-morphological adaptation strategies of P. indica under excess Fe/Al levels in a controlled greenhouse environment. After a 4-week treatment, P. indica plants under excess Fe in the 100% sand substrate exhibited signs of decay and eventually death. In contrast, the growth performances of P. indica under gardening soil substrate remained sustained even when exposed to Fe/Al stress. Under zeolite substrate, Fe in the root tissues was 23.1 and 34.7 mg g-1 DW after 1 and 4 weeks of incubation, respectively. In addition, Al in the root tissues also increased to 1.54 mg g-1 DW after 1 week and 1.59 mg g-1 DW after 4 weeks, when subjected to 20 mM Al treatment. Zeolite was observed to be a promising substrate to regulate the uptake of Fe (3.31 mg plant-1) and Al (0.51 mg plant-1) by the root tissues. The restriction of Fe and Al in the root and a low translocation to the leaf organ was indicated by a low translocation factor (< 1.0). High Fe concentrations in the root and leaf tissues negatively affected root elongation, and the net photosynthetic rate decreased by > 40% compared to positive control. Gas exchange parameters and leaf temperature were found the most sensitive to Fe/Al stress. Moreover, the limited transpiration rate under Fe/Al stress caused an increase of the leaf temperature and crop stress index. The findings suggest that P. indica grown using zeolite substrate may serve as a good model system for constructed wetlands, storing excess Al in the root tissues without any significant growth inhibition.

Effectiveness of Stem Cell Therapy for Diabetic Foot Ulcers: A Systematic Review and GRADE Compliant Bootstrapped Meta-Analysis of Randomized Clinical Trials.

Diabetic foot (DF) represents a severe complication of diabetes mellitus, imposing substantial psychological and economic burdens on affected individuals. This investigation sought to assess the therapeutic efficacy of stem cell interventions in the management of DF complications. A comprehensive systematic search across PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, Scopus, and the Cochrane library databases was conducted to identify pertinent studies for meta-analysis. Outcome measures encompassed ulcer or wound healing rates, amputation rates, angiogenesis, ankle-brachial index (ABI), and pain-free walking distance. Dichotomous outcomes were expressed as risk differences (RDs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), while continuous data were articulated as standardized mean differences (SMDs) with corresponding 95% CIs. Statistical analyses were executed using RevMan 5.3 and Open Meta, with bootstrapped meta-analysis conducted through OpenMEE software. A total of 20 studies, comprising 24 arms and involving 1304 participants, were incorporated into the meta-analysis. The findings revealed that stem cell therapy exhibited superior efficacy compared to conventional interventions in terms of ulcer or wound healing rate [RD = 0.36 (0.28, 0.43)], pain-free walking distance [SMD = 1.27 (0.89, 1.65)], ABI [SMD = 0.61 (0.33, 0.88)], and new vessel development [RD = 0.48 (0.23, 0.78)], while concurrently reducing the amputation rate significantly [RD = -0.19 (-0.25, -0.12)]. Furthermore, no statistically significant difference in adverse events was observed [RD -0.07 (-0.16, 0.02)]. The Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation assessment indicated varying levels of evidence certainty, ranging from very low to moderate, for different outcomes. Bootstrapping analysis substantiated the precision of the results. The meta-analysis underscores the significant superiority of stem cell therapy over conventional approaches in treating DF complications. Future investigations should prioritize large-scale, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicenter trials, incorporating rigorous long-term follow-up protocols. These studies are essential for elucidating the optimal cell types and therapeutic parameters that contribute to the most effective treatment strategies for DF management.

Health Services Utilization and Specialist Care in Pediatric Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Multiprovince Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Patterns of health services utilization among children with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are important to understand as the number of children with IBD continues to increase. We compared health services utilization and surgery among children diagnosed <10 years of age (Paris classification: A1a) and between 10 and <16 years of age (A1b). METHODS: Incident cases of IBD diagnosed <16 years of age were identified using validated algorithms from deterministically linked health administrative data in 5 Canadian provinces (Alberta, Manitoba, Nova Scotia, Ontario, Quebec) to conduct a retrospective cohort study. We compared the frequency of IBD-specific outpatient visits, emergency department visits, and hospitalizations across age groups (A1a vs A1b [reference]) using negative binomial regression. The risk of surgery was compared across age groups using Cox proportional hazards models. Models were adjusted for sex, rural/urban residence location, and mean neighborhood income quintile. Province-specific estimates were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: Among the 1165 (65.7% Crohn's) children with IBD included in our study, there were no age differences in the frequency of hospitalizations (rate ratio [RR], 0.88; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.74-1.06) or outpatient visits (RR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.78-1.16). A1a children had fewer emergency department visits (RR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.50-0.97) and were less likely to require a Crohn's-related surgery (hazard ratio, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.26-0.92). The risk of colectomy was similar among children with ulcerative colitis in both age groups (hazard ratio, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.49-1.01). CONCLUSIONS: Patterns of health services utilization are generally similar when comparing children diagnosed across age groups.

Among 1165 children with inflammatory bowel disease, health services utilization was similar for children diagnosed <10 years of age and those diagnosed ≥10 years of age, except younger children had fewer emergency department visits and Crohn's disease­related surgeries.

Variation in the Care of Children with Inflammatory Bowel Disease Within and Across Canadian Provinces: A Multi-Province Population-Based Cohort Study.

Purpose: The incidence of childhood-onset inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is rising. We described variation in health services utilization and need for surgery among children with IBD between six and 60 months following IBD diagnosis across Canadian pediatric centers and evaluated the associations between care provided at diagnosis at each center and the variation in these outcomes. Patients and Methods: Using population-based deterministically-linked health administrative data from four Canadian provinces (Alberta, Manitoba, Nova Scotia, Ontario) we identified children diagnosed with IBD <16 years of age using validated algorithms. Children were assigned to a pediatric center of care using a hierarchical approach based on where they received their initial care. Outcomes included IBD-related hospitalizations, emergency department (ED) visits, and IBD-related abdominal surgery occurring between 6 and sixty months after diagnosis. Mixed-effects meta-analysis was used to pool results and examine the association between center-level care provision and outcomes. Results: We identified 3784 incident cases of pediatric IBD, of whom 2937 (77.6%) were treated at pediatric centers. Almost a third (31.4%) of children had ≥1 IBD-related hospitalization and there were 0.66 hospitalizations per person during follow-up. More than half (55.8%) of children had ≥1 ED visit and there were 1.64 ED visits per person. Between-center heterogeneity was high for both outcomes; centers where more children visited the ED at diagnosis had more IBD-related hospitalizations and more ED visits during follow-up. Between-center heterogeneity was high for intestinal resection in Crohn's disease but not colectomy in ulcerative colitis. Conclusion: There is variation in health services utilization among children with IBD and risk of undergoing intestinal resection in those with Crohn's disease, but not colectomy among children with ulcerative colitis, across Canadian pediatric tertiary-care centers. Improvements in clinical care pathways are needed to ensure all children have equitable and timely access to high quality care.

Forecasting the Incidence and Prevalence of Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Canadian Nationwide Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Canada has a high burden of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Historical trends of IBD incidence and prevalence were analyzed to forecast the Canadian burden over the next decade. METHODS: Population-based surveillance cohorts in 8 provinces derived from health administrative data assessed the national incidence (2007-2014) and prevalence (2002-2014) of IBD. Autoregressive integrated moving average models were used to forecast incidence and prevalence, stratified by age, with 95% prediction intervals (PI), to 2035. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated for the forecasted incidence and prevalence. RESULTS: The national incidence of IBD is estimated to be 29.9 per 100,000 (95% PI 28.3-31.5) in 2023. With a stable AAPC of 0.36% (95% CI -0.05 to 0.72), the incidence of IBD is forecasted to be 31.2 per 100,000 (95% PI 28.1-34.3) in 2035. The incidence in pediatric patients (younger than 18 years) is increasing (AAPC 1.27%; 95% CI 0.82-1.67), but it is stable in adults (AAPC 0.26%; 95% CI -0.42 to 0.82). The prevalence of IBD in Canada was 843 per 100,000 (95% PI 716-735) in 2023 and is expected to steadily climb (AAPC 2.43%; 95% CI 2.32-2.54) to 1,098 per 100,000 (95% PI 1,068-1,127) by 2035. The highest prevalence is in seniors with IBD (1,174 per 100,000 in 2023; AAPC 2.78%; 95% CI 2.75-2.81). DISCUSSION: Over the next decade, the Canadian health care systems will contend with the juxtaposition of rising incidence of pediatric IBD and a rising prevalence of overall IBD driven by the aging population.

Measuring the impact of COVID-19 on cancer survival using an interrupted time series analysis.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have investigated the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cancer survival. Those studies that have included pandemic vs prepandemic comparisons can mask differences during different periods of the pandemic such as COVID-19 waves. The objective of this study was to investigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cancer survival using an interrupted time series analysis and to identify time points during the pandemic when observed survival deviated from expected survival. METHODS: A retrospective population-based cohort study that included individuals diagnosed with cancer between January 2015 and September 2021 from Manitoba, Canada, was performed. Interrupted time series analyses with Royston-Parmar models as well as Kaplan-Meier survival estimates and delta restricted mean survival times at 1 year were used to compare survival rates for those diagnosed before and after the pandemic. Analyses were performed for 11 cancer types. RESULTS: Survival at 1 year for most cancer types was not statistically different during the pandemic compared with prepandemic except for individuals aged 50-74 years who were diagnosed with lung cancer from April to June 2021 (delta restricted mean survival times = -31.6 days, 95% confidence interval [CI] = -58.3 to -7.2 days). CONCLUSIONS: With the exception of individuals diagnosed with lung cancer, the COVID-19 pandemic did not impact overall 1-year survival in Manitoba. Additional research is needed to examine the impact of the pandemic on long-term cancer survival.