Invasive pneumococcal disease among the elderly in the later era of paediatric pneumococcal conjugate vaccination-A longitudinal study over 10 years based on public surveillance data in the Nordics.

BACKGROUND: Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) have proven effective in preventing both non-invasive and invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in small children and in older age groups. However, long-term observations and country comparisons of IPD incidence in the elderly following introduction of PCVs in paediatric national immunisation programmes (NIPs) are scarce. We aimed to estimate and compare incidence of IPD in the elderly in Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden over a 10-year time span. During the study period Denmark and Norway used PCV13 in their paediatric NIP, Sweden both PCV10 and PCV13 and Finland used PCV10. Uptake of pneumococcal vaccines for the elderly was low. METHOD: We collected longitudinal data on confirmed IPD cases and their serotypes among elderly people (aged ≥65 years) 2010-2019 in the four countries of interest. Annual IPD incidence rates were calculated per country, by vaccine-associated serotypes (PCV10, PCV13, PCV15, PCV20 and PPV23) and for non-vaccine serotypes. A regression model was used to estimate average annual change in incidence in each country. RESULTS: Incidence rates of IPD in the elderly in 2019 ranged from 31.4 to 41.8 per 100,000 people across the countries. Denmark and Norway showed an annual average decline in IPD incidence (-3.3; 95% CI: -5.6 to -1.1; p<0.01) and (-3.3; 95% CI: -5.5 to -1.0; p<0.01) respectively from 2010 to 2019, whereas no change was seen for Sweden (-0.5; 95% CI: -1.9 to 0.8; p = 0.39) or Finland (0.9; 95% CI: -1.0 to 2.7; p = 0.32). IPD incidence due to emerging serotypes, e.g., serotypes 8 and 12F, has increased. Serotype 19A remained a major cause of IPD in countries with PCV10 in paediatric NIPs. CONCLUSION: Despite paediatric PCV programmes, a considerable vaccine preventable IPD burden remains in the elderly. Further, choice of PCV in paediatric programs was associated with differences in serotype distribution and incidence amongst the elderly. Direct vaccination of the elderly with recently approved broad coverage PCVs holds promise for meaningful impact on disease burden with PCV20 covering a majority of IPD amongst the elderly in the four studied countries. Effectiveness of new vaccines in real-life clinical practice should be followed.

Cost-effectiveness of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in Denmark compared with PPV23.

BACKGROUND: A new 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) provides protection against 20 pneumococcal serotypes. The vaccine has the potential to decrease the impact of pneumococcal diseases in society and to increase health among vulnerable persons. AIM: This study investigates the cost-effectiveness of vaccinating Danish adults in different age groups and risk of pneumococcal disease with PCV20 compared to the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) - either as PCV20 compared to PPV23 or as PPV23 followed by PCV20 compared to PPV23. METHODS: A Markov model adapted to the Danish setting was developed to estimate clinical outcomes and costs of vaccinating the Danish population in specific age and risk groups. The model used a restricted societal perspective and estimated outcomes and costs using a lifetime time horizon. To estimate the clinical outcomes and costs, inputs on vaccine effectiveness and waning were retrieved from other studies whereas data on risk groups, coverage and costs were based on real-world data. RESULTS: The results showed that in all scenarios the incidence and mortality of pneumococcal disease were reduced when vaccinating with PCV20, resulting in lower costs. For the vaccine target group of adults aged ≥18 years at moderate or high risk and all adults aged ≥65 years both in the case of PPV23+PCV20 compared to PPV23 and in case of PCV20 compared to PPV23 vaccination with PCV20 was found to be a dominant strategy gaining 1,350 or 5,821 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), respectively, and reducing total costs by 60 or 396 million EUR, respectively, as compared to PPV23 vaccination alone. Similar results of dominant PCV20 strategy were found for other age and risk group comparisons. Both deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses confirmed the results being robust to changes in input parameters and applied assumptions. LIMITATIONS: Like other modelling studies, this analysis has limitations such as lack of detailed data for some inputs. CONCLUSION: Vaccination with PCV20 reduced the incidence and mortality of pneumococcal diseases in Danish adults compared to PPV23. This reduction has the potential to reduce the financial burden related to managing diseases while also increasing public health.

Incidence of Lyme neuroborreliosis in Denmark: Exploring observed trends using public surveillance data, 2015-2019.

Lyme neuroborreliosis (LNB) can be a serious manifestation of Lyme borreliosis. We describe the incidence, time trends and geographic distribution of LNB in Denmark. We obtained LNB cases reported by laboratories and physicians (2015-2019) from the online platform maintained by the Statens Serum Institut (SSI) (2021b). The LNB incidence (per 100,000 persons) was calculated by dividing LNB cases by the population data (denominator) obtained from Statistics Denmark (2021). Between 2015 and 2019, laboratories reported annually 162 to 200 LNB cases, while physicians reported 48 to 68 cases. The annual LNB incidence notified by laboratories ranged from 2.8 (95% CI: 2.4‒3.3) to 3.4 (95% CI: 3.0‒4.0) per 100,000 persons for the 5 study years. The average annual LNB incidence per 100,000 persons for 5 Danish regions ranged from 2.3 to 3.3; for 11 provinces, from 1.9 to 7.6; and for 98 municipalities, from 0 to 22.1. Incidence peaks occurred in persons 5‒14 and 65‒74 years of age. Higher incidences were observed among males versus females in all age groups. LNB cases were reported throughout the year, with peaks in July to September. Notified LNB incidence in Denmark was moderate with no evidence of decline. Cases occurred across all regions but were focally concentrated among residents of some municipalities. Expanding the current surveillance system to include other manifestations of LB would be valuable to better understand geographic endemicity to inform targeted preventive measures.

Societal costs due to meningococcal disease: a national registry-based study.

PURPOSE: Limited detailed evidence exists on the societal costs of meningococcal disease. The objective of this study was to estimate the average 5-year societal cost of events attributable to meningococcal disease in Denmark. METHODS: The study was based on the nationwide Danish registries. Incident patients diagnosed with meningococcal disease were identified and each matched with two controls, using direct matching on age, gender, and level of education. Siblings constituted a secondary control population where one patient was matched with one sibling control without meningococcal disease. Costs related to health care in the primary and secondary sectors, prescription medicine, municipality home care services and costs of production loss, ie, estimated loss of yearly earnings, were included (1997-2015). RESULTS: The incidence of meningococcal disease fluctuated between 1980 and 2015. The average attributable societal costs were highest the first year after diagnosis, with costs equaling USD 18,920 per event in the primary study population (matched controls) and USD 16,169 in the secondary study population (sibling controls). Hospital admission costs accounted for 65% and production loss for 30%; however, having a lifetime perspective and including loss due to premature death further increase the costs of meningococcal disease events. CONCLUSION: The costs of meningococcal disease are substantial, and the estimated costs of event may be informative in evaluating the impact of preventive interventions targeting meningococcal disease.