Treatment trends in oropharyngeal carcinoma: Surgical technology meets the epidemic.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize temporal trends in treatment patterns for oropharyngeal carcinoma, and to evaluate the emerging role of surgical therapy in the era of transoral robotic surgery (TORS). METHODS: Patients with oropharynx cancer between 2004 and 2016 identified using the National Cancer Database. Demographics and primary treatment modalities were obtained. Treatment was classified as surgery alone, surgery with radiation/chemotherapy, or primary radiation/chemotherapy. Annual distribution of cases treated by the various modalities was tabulated by site and early (I/II) versus late (III/IV) stage disease (AJCC 7th edition). The "TORS era" was defined as beginning in 2010. RESULTS: 149,534 patients were identified. The majority (56.8%) were treated with radiation ± chemotherapy. 53,069 patients had surgery as part of treatment, 72.6% (N = 38,533) of which received adjuvant therapy. 5293 TORS procedures were performed between 2010 and 2016 with trends away from open and other endoscopic procedures. Despite a 31.0% increase in the number of cases treated surgically from before TORS (2009) to 2016, the percentage of cases treated surgically decreased from 35.0% to 32.7%, with a 44.2% increase in non-surgical therapy. Increases in the percentage of patients treated surgically were observed for base of tongue tumors (24.3-25.2%) and early stage disease (59.9-62.2%). CONCLUSION: Despite the increase in the overall number of patients with oropharynx cancer, the percentages of patients treated surgically remains relatively stable. Notable increases were observed for base of tongue tumors and early stage disease.

Development and multi-institutional validation of an upgrading risk tool for Gleason 6 prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: Many patients with low-risk prostate cancer (PC) who are diagnosed with Gleason score 6 at biopsy are ultimately found to harbor higher grade PC (Gleason ≥ 7) at radical prostatectomy. This finding increases risk of recurrence and cancer-specific mortality. Validated clinical tools that are available preoperatively are needed to improve the ability to recognize likelihood of upgrading in patients with low-risk PC. METHODS: More than 30 clinicopathologic parameters were assessed in consecutive patients with Gleason 6 PC upon biopsy who underwent radical prostatectomy. A nomogram for predicting upgrading (Gleason ≥ 7) on final pathology was generated using multivariable logistic regression in a development cohort of 431 patients. External validation was performed in 2 separate cohorts consisting of 1151 patients and 392 patients. Nomogram performance was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration, and decision analysis. RESULTS: On multivariable analysis, variables predicting upgrading were prostate-specific antigen density using ultrasound (odds ratio [OR] = 229, P = .003), obesity (OR = 1.90, P = .05), number of positive cores (OR = 1.23, P = .01), and maximum core involvement (OR = 0.02, P = .01). On internal validation, the bootstrap-corrected predictive accuracy was 0.753. External validation revealed a predictive accuracy of 0.677 and 0.672. The nomogram demonstrated excellent calibration in all 3 cohorts and decision curves demonstrated high net benefit across a wide range of threshold probabilities. The nomogram demonstrated areas under the curve of 0.597 to 0.672 for predicting upgrading in subsets of men with very low-risk PC who meet active surveillance criteria (all P < .001), allowing further risk stratification of these individuals. CONCLUSIONS: A nomogram was developed and externally validated that uses preoperative clinical parameters and biopsy findings to predict the risk of pathological upgrading in Gleason 6 patients. This can be used to further inform patients with lower risk PC who are considering treatment or active surveillance.