Machine learning models for early prediction of potassium lowering effectiveness and adverse events in patients with hyperkalemia.

The aim of this study was to develop a model for early prediction of adverse events and treatment effectiveness in patients with hyperkalemia. We collected clinical data from patients with hyperkalemia in the First Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine between 2015 and 2021. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariate logistic regression were used to analyze the predictors on the full dataset. We randomly divided the data into a training group and a validation group, and used LASSO to filter variables in the training set. Six machine learning methods were used to develop the models. The best model was selected based on the area under the curve (AUC). Shapley additive exPlanations (SHAP) values were used to explain the best model. A total of 1074 patients with hyperkalemia were finally enrolled. Diastolic blood pressure (DBP), breathing, oxygen saturation (SPO2), Glasgow coma score (GCS), liver disease, oliguria, blood sodium, international standardized ratio (ISR), and initial blood potassium were the predictors of the occurrence of adverse events; peripheral edema, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), blood sodium, actual base residual, and initial blood potassium were the predictors of therapeutic effect. Extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model achieved the best performance (adverse events: AUC = 0.87; therapeutic effect: AUC = 0.75). A model based on clinical characteristics was developed and validated with good performance.

The clinical trajectory of peripheral blood immune cell subsets, T-cell activation, and cytokines in septic patients.

OBJECTIVE AND DESIGN: Changes in the immune status of patients with sepsis may have a major impact on their prognosis. Our research focused on changes in various immune cell subsets and T-cell activation during the progression of sepsis. METHODS AND SUBJECTS: We collected data from 188 sepsis patients at the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine. The main focus was on the patient's immunocyte subset typing, T-cell activation/Treg cell analysis, and cytokine assay, which can indicate the immune status of the patient. RESULTS: The study found that the number of CD4+ T cells, CD8+ T cells, NK cells, and B cells decreased early in the disease, and the decrease in CD4+ and CD8+ T cells was more pronounced in the death group. T lymphocyte activation was inhibited, and the number of Treg cells increased as the disease progressed. T lymphocyte inhibition was more significant in the death group, and the increase in IL-10 was more significant in the death group. Finally, we used patients' baseline conditions and immunological detection indicators for modeling and found that IL-10, CD4+ Treg cells, CD3+HLA-DR+ T cells, and CD3+CD69+ T cells could predict patients' prognosis well. CONCLUSION: Our study found that immunosuppression occurs in patients early in sepsis. Early monitoring of the patient's immune status may provide a timely warning of the disease.

Assessment of pulmonary fibrosis induced by paraquat using Al18F-NODA-FAPI-04 PET/CT.

The lack of a highly sensitive method to evaluate paraquat (PQ)-induced pulmonary fibrosis and predict disease progression remains an unresolved clinic issue. Fibroblast activation protein (FAP) may play an important role in the pathogenesis of PQ-induced pulmonary fibrosis. We aimed to evaluate the role of FAP in the PQ-induced pulmonary fibrosis and the utility of fibroblast activation protein inhibitor (FAPI) for positron emission tomography (PET) imaging in PQ-induced pulmonary fibrosis. In our study, two cases of PQ poisoning were presented and FAPI PET/CT was performed as a novel imaging technique. The uptake of FAPI increased in both cases of PQ poisoning. Animal experiments were then performed to validate the findings in the patients. Physiological FAPI lung uptake was higher in mice of the PQ group than in the control group. The results of histological analysis and Western blot were consistent with the findings of PET/CT imaging. The pulmonary fibrosis animal model was developed by intragastric gavage of PQ. PET/CT imaging was performed after injection of FAPI. Lung tissues of mice were collected for fibrosis assessment after imaging. Immunohistochemistry for FAP, histology and Western blot for collagen were performed to further validate the imaging findings. In conclusion, FAPI was involved in the pathogenesis of fibrosis induced by PQ, and PET/CT with FAPI could detect lung fibrogenesis, making it a promising tool to assess early disease activity and predict disease progression.

Development and validation of a predictive model for the assessment of potassium-lowering treatment among hyperkalemia patients.

BACKGROUND: Hyperkalemia is common among patients in emergency department and is associated with mortality. While, there is a lack of good evaluation and prediction methods for the efficacy of potassium-lowering treatment, making the drug dosage adjustment quite difficult. We aimed to develop a predictive model to provide early forecasting of treating effects for hyperkalemia patients. METHODS: Around 80% of hyperkalemia patients (n=818) were randomly selected as the training dataset and the remaining 20% (n=196) as the validating dataset. According to the serum potassium (K+) levels after the first round of potassium-lowering treatment, patients were classified into the effective and ineffective groups. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to develop a prediction model. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve analysis were used for model validation. RESULTS: In the training dataset, 429 patients had favorable effects after treatment (effective group), and 389 had poor therapeutic outcomes (ineffective group). Patients in the ineffective group had a higher percentage of renal disease (P=0.007), peripheral edema (P<0.001), oliguria (P=0.001), or higher initial serum K+ level (P<0.001). The percentage of insulin usage was higher in the effective group than in the ineffective group (P=0.005). After multivariate logistic regression analysis, we found age, peripheral edema, oliguria, history of kidney transplantation, end-stage renal disease, insulin, and initial serum K+ were all independently associated with favorable treatment effects. CONCLUSION: The predictive model could provide early forecasting of therapeutic outcomes for hyperkalemia patients after drug treatment, which could help clinicians to identify hyperkalemia patients with high risk and adjust the dosage of medication for potassium-lowering.

Defining reference values for body composition indices by magnetic resonance imaging in UK Biobank.

BACKGROUND: Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is the gold standard for evaluating body composition. However, the reference ranges have not been established. METHODS: Three lean tissue and seven adipose tissue parameters based on MRI data from the UK Biobank were used in this study. Participants with European ancestry and data on at least one parameter were screened. Age- and sex-specific percentile curves were generated using the lambda-mu-sigma method. Three levels of reference ranges were provided, which were equivalent to the mean ± 1 standard deviation (SD), 2 SDs and 2.5 SDs. RESULTS: The final analysis set for each parameter ranged from 4842 to 14 148 participants (53.4%-56.6% women) with a median age of 61. For lean tissue parameters, compared with those at age 45, the median total lean tissue volume and total thigh fat-free muscle volume at age 70 were 2.83 and 1.73 L, and 3.02 and 1.51 L lower in men and women, respectively. The median weight-to-muscle ratios at age 45 were 0.51 and 0.83 kg/L lower compared with those at age 70 in men and women, respectively. Adipose tissue parameters showed inconsistent differences. In men, the median muscle fat infiltration, visceral adipose tissue (VAT) volume, total abdominal adipose tissue index and abdominal fat ratio were 1.48%, 0.32 L, 0.08 L/m2 and 0.4 higher, and the median abdominal subcutaneous adipose tissue (ASAT) volume and total adipose tissue volume were 0.47 and 0.41 L lower, respectively, at age 70 than at age 45. The median total trunk fat volume was approximately 9.53 L at all ages. In women, the median muscle fat infiltration and VAT volume were 1.68% and 0.76 L higher, respectively, at age 70 than at age 45. The median ASAT volume, total adipose tissue volume, total trunk fat volume, total abdominal adipose tissue index and abdominal fat ratio were 0.35 L, 0.78 L, 1.12 L, 0.49 L/m2 and 0.06 higher, respectively, at age 60 than at age 45. The medians of the former three parameters were 0.33 L, 0.14 L and 0.20 L lower, at age 70 than at age 60. The medians of the latter two parameters were approximately 3.64 L/m2 and 0.55 at ages between 60 and 70. CONCLUSIONS: We have established reference ranges for MRI-measured body composition parameters in a large community-dwelling population. These findings provide a more accurate assessment of abnormal adipose and muscle conditions.

Tripterygium wilfordii Hook.f. ameliorates paraquat-induced lung injury by reducing oxidative stress and ferroptosis via Nrf2/HO-1 pathway.

Paraquat (PQ) poisoning can induce acute lung injury and fibrosis and has an extremely high mortality rate. However, no effective treatments for PQ poisoning have been established. In this study, the potential efficacy of Tripterygium wilfordii Hook.f. (TwHF) in alleviating PQ-induced lung injury and fibrosis was investigated in a mouse model. Mice were randomly assigned to the control, PQ, PQ + TwHF1 (pretreatment before inducing poisoning), and PQ + TwHF2 (treatment after poisoning) groups. The mice in the PQ + TwHF1 group were pretreated with TwHF for 5 days before receiving one dose of PQ (120 mg/kg) and then received a daily oral gavage of the indicated dosages of TwHF until sacrifice. The mice in the PQ + TwHF2 group were treated with TwHF 2 h after PQ exposure until sacrifice. The pathological analysis and Fapi PET/CT showed that treatment with TwHF attenuated lung injury. And TwHF reduced pulmonary oxidative stress, as indicated by the reduction in, malondialdehyde (MDA), glutathione (GSH), and reactive oxygen species (ROS) levels, as well as by the increase in superoxide dismutase (SOD) levels. Accordingly, the Perls DAB staining showed increased iron concentrations and western blotting revealed a decreased GPX4 expression after PQ exposure, as well as the mitigation of the overexpression of Nrf2 and HO-1 induced by PQ. In conclusion, our study demonstrated the potential of TwHF as a treatment for PQ-induced lung injury and fibrosis. The protective mechanism of this medicinal herb may involve the regulation of ferroptosis.

Adult patients with allied disorders of Hirschsprung's disease in emergency department: An 11-year retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: In the past years, only a few studies with a limited number of adult patients analyzed clinical features of allied disorders of Hirschsprung's disease (ADHD), most of which were individual case reports or lacked detailed clinical information. Although many studies have reported patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with recurrent abdominal symptoms for a number of disorders, there are few data involving ADHD. However, owing to a lack of awareness of the disease, misdiagnoses and mistreatments are common. Severe complications such as perforation, bleeding, malabsorption, and even death in ADHD had been reported by many studies. AIM: To assist ED clinicians in having a more comprehensive understanding of this disease and making an early suspected diagnosis of ADHD more effectively. METHODS: We enrolled 53 patients who visited the ED and were eventually diagnosed with ADHD over the past 11 years in our hospital. Their basic information, clinical manifestations, and imaging findings were analyzed. Blood indices were compared between the ADHD and irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) groups. RESULTS: Adult patients with ADHD had a mean age of 48.8 ± 14.3 years, and 77.4% had been treated before admission. The transverse colon was the most common dilated part (73.6%), and constipation (67.9%) was the most common symptom. ADHD patients can present with uncommon symptoms and false-negative imaging findings. Logistic regression analysis indicated that body mass index (BMI) [odds ratio (OR) = 0.786, P = 0.013], cholinesterase (per 1000 units; OR = 0.693, P = 0.008), and blood chlorine (OR = 0.816, P = 0.022) were determined to be independent related factors between the ADHD and IBS groups. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of these three indices combined was 0.812 (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Emergency physicians should be vigilant regarding patients with chronic constipation, abdominal pain, or abdominal distension, and consider the possibility of ADHD despite its rarity. Abdominal computed tomography examination is recommended as a useful tool in the suspected diagnosis of ADHD. BMI, cholinesterase, and blood chlorine have good discriminative abilities between ADHD and IBS. The nutritional status of adult patients with ADHD is worthy of further attention. Surgical treatment for adult patients with ADHD is important and inevitable.

Role of routine check-up in the prognosis of patients with pancreatic cancer: A puzzling phenomenon.

BACKGROUND: The high coverage of annual routine health check-up in China is a unique phenomenon throughout the world. However, its clinical value is controversial. In this cohort study, we chose pancreatic cancer as a disease model to explore the role of routine check-up in the prognosis of patients with pancreatic cancer. METHODS: Data from 157 patients who were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer between January 2010 and April 2014 were collected. Patients were divided into two groups depending on how their disease was detected. Group A (n = 85): Patients were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer in clinic visits. Group B (n = 72): Patients were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer in routine check-ups. We compared their prognosis. RESULTS: The tumor stage in group B was earlier than that in group A. The 1-year survival rate in group B was significantly higher than that in group A (74.6% vs. 42.4%, P < 0.001), while the 3- and 5-year survival rates of the two groups showed no significant difference (P > 0.05). The difference of overall survival time between the two groups was not significant (22.0 vs. 9.0 months, P = 0.078). CONCLUSIONS: The stage of pancreatic cancer diagnosed in routine check-ups was earlier and therefore, the intervention was earlier which improved short-term survival rate. However, early intervention did not improve overall survival in the long-term.

Immune dysfunction following COVID-19, especially in severe patients.

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been spreading worldwide. Severe cases quickly progressed with unfavorable outcomes. We aim to investigate the clinical features of COVID-19 and identify the risk factors associated with its progression. Data of confirmed SARS-CoV-2-infected patients and healthy participants were collected. Thirty-seven healthy people and 79 confirmed patients, which include 48 severe patients and 31 mild patients, were recruited. COVID-19 patients presented with dysregulated immune response (decreased T, B, and NK cells and increased inflammatory cytokines). Also, they were found to have increased levels of white blood cell, neutrophil count, and D-dimer in severe cases. Moreover, lymphocyte, CD4+ T cell, CD8+ T cell, NK cell, and B cell counts were lower in the severe group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that CD4+ cell count, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and D-dimer were risk factors for severe cases. Both CT score and clinical pulmonary infection score (CPIS) were associated with disease severity. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis has shown that all these parameters and scores had quite a high predictive value. Immune dysfunction plays critical roles in disease progression. Early and constant surveillance of complete blood cell count, T lymphocyte subsets, coagulation function, CT scan and CPIS was recommended for early screening of severe cases.

Early Activation of Myeloid-Derived Suppressor Cells Participate in Sepsis-Induced Immune Suppression via PD-L1/PD-1 Axis.

Background: Myeloid derived suppressor cells (MDSCs) have been reported to keep elevating during sepsis. The current study was performed to investigate the immunosuppressive effect of MDSCs and their subsets with the underlying mechanisms. Methods: The immunosuppressive status was manifested by the apoptosis of splenocytes, quantity of T cells and PD-1 expression. The dynamics of quantity and PD-L1 level of MDSCs and the subsets were determined over time. The subset of MDSCs with high PD-L1 level was co-cultured with T cells to observe the suppressive effect. Results: Abdominal abscess was observed after 7 days post-sepsis. Five biomarkers related to organ functions were all significantly higher in the CLP group. The survival rate was consistent with the middle grade severity of sepsis model. Apoptosis of splenocytes increased over time during sepsis; CD4 + T cell decreased from day 1 post-sepsis; CD8+ T cells significantly reduced at day 7. The PD-1 expression in spleen was upregulated from an early stage of sepsis, and negatively related with the quantity of T cells. MDSCs were low at day 1 post-sepsis, but increased to a high level later; the dynamics of PMN-MDSC was similar to MDSCs. PD-L1 on MDSCs was highest at day 1 post-sepsis; PMN-MDSC was the main subset expressing PD-L1. The PMN-MDSC with high PD-L1 expression level extracted on day 1 after surgery from CLP mice significantly inhibited the proliferation of T cells. Conclusions: Sepsis-induced immunosuppression is initiated from a very early stage, a high expression level of PD-L1 on MDSCs and the main subset, PMN-MDSC might play a critical role suppressive role on T cells through PD-L1/PD-1 axis.

Use of Tripterygium wilfordii Hook F for immune-mediated inflammatory diseases: progress and future prospects.

Tripterygium wilfordii Hook F has significant anti-inflammatory and immunosuppressive properties and is widely used for treating autoimmune and inflammatory diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis, systemic lupus erythematosus, and kidney disease, especially in traditional Chinese medicine. The mechanisms underlying its effects may be diverse but they remain unclear, and its toxicity and side effects limit its wider clinical application. This review summarizes the clinical application of Tripterygium wilfordii Hook F in recent years, as well as the results of studies into its mechanisms and toxicity, to provide a reference for its future clinical application.