High-risk population of progressive hepatic fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B patients on antiviral therapy.

BACKGROUND: Progressive hepatic fibrosis leads to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and decompensated cirrhosis. The aim of this study was to identify the high-risk population for progressive hepatic fibrosis and the incidence of HCC and decompensated cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with antiviral therapy. METHODS: The data came from a multicenter, center-randomized, double-blind clinical trial that analyzed only patients in the ETV-treated arm. There was 156 hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive and 135 HBeAg-negative patients in 14 institutions. The primary endpoint was fibrosis reversal on 72-week Entecavir (ETV) treatment. The 7-year cumulative incidence of HCC and decompensated cirrhosis were analyzed. Multivariate logistic and LASSO regression analyses were used to screen variables associated with fibrosis reversal. RESULTS: 86/156 (55%) HBeAg-positive and 58/135 (43%) HBeAg-negative patients achieved fibrosis reversal on 72-week ETV treatment. Average age was 43 years, 203 (69.8%) was male, and 144 (49.5%) patients had cirrhosis. Age ≥ 40 years (OR: 0.46, 95% CI 0.23-0.93) and HBcrAg ≥ 8.23 log U/ml (OR: 2.72, 95% CI 1.33-5.54) in HBeAg-positive patients and HBV genotype C (OR: 0.44, 95% CI 0.21-0.97) in HBeAg-negative patients were independent factors of fibrosis reversal. It was confirmed in patients with cirrhosis. After 7-year ETV treatment, seven (4.5%) HBeAg-positive patients occurred HCC or decompensated cirrhosis, including four patients with age ≥ 40 years and six with HBcrAg 8.23log U/ml, while twelve (8.9%) HBeAg-negative patients occurred, including eleven with HBV genotype C. CONCLUSIONS: HBeAg-positive patients with a low HBcrAg level or old age, and HBeAg-negative patients with HBV genotype C tended to develop progressive hepatic fibrosis and had a high incidence of HCC and decompensated cirrhosis, even on ETV treatment.

Entecavir plus Biejia-Ruangan compound reduces the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in Chinese patients with chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and liver fibrosis are associated with a high risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development. We assessed whether entecavir (ETV) plus Biejia-Ruangan compound (BRC), an anti-fibrotic traditional Chinese medicine, can further reduce the risk of HCC in treatment-naïve Chinese patients with CHB and an Ishak fibrosis score of ≥3 points derived from our parent double-blind randomized placebo-controlled trial. METHODS: After a 72-week comparison between ETV+BRC and ETV+placebo treatment, participants were eligible to enter an open-label treatment phase and were followed up every 6 months. The primary [secondary] endpoints were the incidence of HCC [liver-related deaths, non-HCC events, and non-liver-related deaths]. Modified intention-to-treat (mITT), intention-to-treat (ITT), and per-protocol (PP) populations were defined for the time-to-event analysis. RESULTS: A total of 1,000 patients were recruited; the median age was 42.0 years; 69.9% were male and 58.3% were HBeAg positive. In the mITT population, the 7-year cumulative incidence of HCC [liver-related deaths] was 4.7% [0.2%] for ETV+BRC, which was significantly lower than 9.3% [2.2%] for ETV monotherapy (p = 0.008 [p = 0.030]). Notably, ETV+BRC treatment yielded a lower incidence of HCC in those who did not achieve regression of fibrosis at week 72 than ETV monotherapy (p = 0.018). There were no differences in the other 2 secondary endpoints or safety profiles between the groups. Multivariable Cox proportional regression analysis, including the treatment allocation as a parameter, also demonstrated that ETV+BRC treatment was associated with a reduced incidence of HCC. The ITT and PP analyses showed consistent results. CONCLUSIONS: ETV plus BRC combination treatment could further reduce the risk of HCC and liver-related deaths in patients with CHB and advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis, which may have important clinical implications for HCC prevention. LAY SUMMARY: Patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection are at an increased risk of developing liver cancer (specifically hepatocellular carcinoma [HCC]). While there are effective antiviral treatments that can suppress the virus in chronically infected patients, the risk of HCC remains. Herein, we show that adding a traditional Chinese medicine called Biejia-Ruangan compound to an antiviral reduced the risk of HCC in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

A novel nomogram to predict evident histological liver injury in patients with HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B virus infection.

BACKGROUND: HBeAg-positive chronic infection is a unique phase of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. Current guidelines advise against starting antiviral treatment for HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection patients, some data suggest treating such patients may reduce the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma. We aimed to explore whether these patients can have evident histological liver injury (EHLI), and develop a non-invasive model for identifying EHLI in such patients. METHOD: We assessed whether HBeAg-positive chronic HBV infection patients can have EHLI defined by Ishak fibrosis stage ≥3 and/or histologic activity index ≥ 9 in a prospective multicenter study. Logistic and Lasso regression was used to select the optimal predictors. We used Akaike information criterion, discrimination improvement, net reclassification improvement to develop and validate models predicting EHLI risk in training cohort and two external validation cohorts. FINDINGS: Of these 336 patients met the inclusion criteria, 181(54%) were HBeAg-positive chronic HBV infection, of whom 60 patients (33%) had EHLI, the proportion of significant fibrosis was higher than that of significant inflammation (33% vs. 8%, P < 0.001). Age, liver stiffness measurement, ALT, alkaline phosphatase, and albumin were identified as independent predictors for EHLI and used to develop a nomogram that have been demonstrated having a good performance in predicting EHLI with AUROCs of 0.92(95%CI: 0.86-0.99) in the training cohort (n = 233) and 0.90(95%CI: 0.84-0.95) in validation cohort 1(n = 103), significant correcting current guidelines recommendations overestimating insignificant or significant histological disease. After 72-weeks entecavir treatment for HBeAg-positive chronic HBV infection patients with EHLI identified by nomogram, histological improvement occurred in 40 of 49(82%), 38(78%) had fibrosis reversal, and 35(73%) no longer had EHLI. INTERPRETATION: In HBeAg-positive chronic HBV infection patients, 33% has EHLI. The nomogram developed in this study can accurately identify HBeAg-positive chronic HBV infection patients with EHLI, and that responded very well to antiviral therapy. FUNDING: This study was funded by the State Key Projects Specialized on Infectious Disease, Chinese Ministry of science and technology (2013ZX10005002; 2018ZX10725506), National Natural Science Foundation of China (81970525) and Beijing Key Research Project of Special Clinical Application (Z151100004015221).

Unreliable Estimation of Fibrosis Regression During Treatment by Liver Stiffness Measurement in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B.

INTRODUCTION: Little reliable evidence has been reported regarding usefulness of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) for monitoring the hepatic fibrosis changes during treatment. We aimed to assess the association between changes in LSM and histological outcomes in patients with chronic hepatitis B. METHODS: In this prospective multicenter study, 727 treatment-naive patients receiving entecavir-based therapy, who underwent paired biopsies at treatment baseline and week 72, were analyzed. Changes in LSM were defined as ≥30% decrease, minor change, and ≥30% increase. Multivariate logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) of changes in LSM on clinical outcomes accounting for regression to the mean. A new on-treatment LSM threshold was established by receiver operating curve. RESULTS: Overall regression of fibrosis, improvement of inflammation, significant histological response, virologic response, alanine aminotransferase normalization, and hepatitis B e antigen seroconversion were 51.2%, 74.4%, 22.0%, 86.0%, 83.5%, and 13.3%, respectively. The association between changes in LSM and improvement of inflammation was nonlinear (P = 0.012). LSM decrease ≥30% was associated with regression of fibrosis (OR 1.501, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.073-2.099, P = 0.018), significant histological response (OR 1.726, 95% CI 1.124-2.652, P = 0.013), and alanine aminotransferase normalization (OR 2.149, 95% CI 1.229-3.757, P = 0.007). After adjusting for regression to the mean, LSM increase ≥30% became negatively associated with the above 3 outcomes. A new on-treatment LSM cutoff value of 5.4 kPa was established for indicating the significant histological response. DISCUSSION: Changes in LSM are unreliable to estimate regression of fibrosis during treatment; the established cutoff value of on-treatment LSM can optimize monitoring strategy for histological outcomes in patients with chronic hepatitis B.