The ongoing range expansion of the invasive oak lace bug across Europe: current occurrence and potential distribution under climate change.

In recent years, the oak lace bug, Corythucha arcuata, has emerged as a significant threat to European oak forests. This species, native to North America, has in the last two decades rapidly extended its range in Europe, raising concerns about its potential impact on the continent's invaluable oak populations. To address this growing concern, we conducted an extensive study to assess the distribution, colonization patterns, and potential ecological niche of the oak lace bug in Europe. We gathered 1792 unique presence coordinates from 21 Eurasian countries, utilizing diverse sources such as research observations, citizen science initiatives, GBIF database, and social media reports. To delineate the realized niche and future distribution, we employed an ensemble species distribution modelling (SDM) framework. Two future greenhouse gas scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) were considered across three-time intervals (2021-2040, 2061-2080, and 2081-2100) to project and evaluate the species' potential distribution in the future. Our analysis revealed that significant hotspots rich in host species occurrence for this invasive insect remain uninvaded so far, even within its suitable habitat. Furthermore, the native ranges of Turkey oak (Quercus cerris L.) and Hungarian oak (Quercus frainetto L.) species offer entirely suitable environments for the oak lace bug. In contrast, the pedunculate oak and sessile oak distribution ranges currently show only 40 % and 50 % suitability for colonization, respectively. However, our predictive models indicate a significant transformation in the habitat suitability of the oak lace bug, with suitability for these two oak species increasing by up to 90 %. This shift underlines an evolving landscape where the oak lace bug may exploit more of its available habitats than initially expected. It emphasises the pressing need for proactive measures to manage and stop its expanding presence, which may lead to a harmful impact on the oak population across the European landscape.

Temporal and Spatial Genetic Population Structure of Cryphonectria parasitica and Its Associated Hypovirus Across an Invasive Range of Chestnut Blight in Europe.

Chestnut blight has spread throughout Europe since the introduction of its causal agent, Cryphonectria parasitica, >70 years ago. In our study, we analyzed the diversity of vegetative compatibility (vc) and microsatellite genotypes of C. parasitica, as well as sequence diversity of Cryphonectria hypovirus 1 (CHV1) in six populations from Switzerland, Croatia, and North Macedonia. Resampling of local populations that were already investigated more than a decade ago allowed us to analyze the spatial and temporal population structure across an invasive range of the pathogen in Europe. Regardless of which genetic marker was used, the >60-year-old Swiss and Croatian populations had high population diversity, whereas more recent North Macedonian populations were mostly clonal. These diversity differences between the investigated populations remained stable over time. A high diversity of CHV1 was observed in all three countries, with North Macedonian strains forming a separate cluster from strains obtained in other countries. No correlation between vc diversity and CHV1 prevalence was observed, suggesting a well-established and maintained natural hypovirulence in all countries, further corroborated by an observed increase in genetic diversity of Croatian C. parasitica populations over time, without collapse of CHV1 prevalence.

Link between epigenetic diversity and invasive status of south-eastern European populations of phytopathogenic fungus Cryphonectria parasitica.

Epigenetic modifications may play an important role in invasion and adaptation of clonal and invasive populations to different environments. The aim of this study was to analyse epigenetic diversity and structure within and among populations of invasive pathogenic fungus Cryphonectria parasitica from south-eastern Europe, where one haplotype S12 dominates. The highest level of epigenetic diversity was found in haplotype S1, followed by S2, while the lowest level of epigenetic diversity was found in haplotype S12. Similar pattern of epigenetic diversity was detected in the control, genetically diverse Croatian population where S1 haplotype dominates. In four south-eastern European populations, the highest level of epigenetic diversity was observed in the Italian population, the oldest population in the studied area, while the lowest diversity was found in most recently established Bulgarian population. This relationship between epigenetic diversity and population age implies the important role of epigenetic modifications on the process of invasion. Our data suggest that epigenetic differences might affect the success of expansion of certain haplotype into new regions. Understanding the role of epigenetic processes in expansion and (pre)adaptation of fungal plant pathogens, besides fundamental knowledge, can contribute to development of strategies for control of fungal spread and pathogenesis.

Heterokaryons and parasexual recombinants of Cryphonectria parasitica in two clonal populations in southeastern Europe.

Evidence for parasexuality in natural populations of haploid fungi requires the demonstration of diploids or heterokaryons and recombinant genotypes in the absence of sex. We studied clonal populations of the chestnut blight fungus, Cryphonectria parasitica, in southeastern Europe and found evidence of parasexuality in two locations. In Osoj, Macedonia, we found one isolate (Os05-66) that had two alleles at six codominant loci, giving a haplotype that was a composite of two clones in this population. Six single-conidial isolates from Os05-66 had two alleles at some loci, suggesting partial diploidy or aneuploidy, and we found four recombinant haplotypes among single-conidial isolates from hyphal-tip isolates of the same isolate. In Teano, Italy, we found two heterokaryon isolates that were partial composites of two dominant clones. Single-conidial isolates from hyphal-tip isolates had recombinant haplotypes. These results provide evidence that is consistent with the hypothesis of parasexuality in C. parasitica in Europe, similar to an earlier report in a natural population in the USA.

Clonal population structure of the chestnut blight fungus in expanding ranges in southeastern Europe.

Expanding populations are often less genetically diverse at their margins than at the centre of a species' range. Established, older populations of the chestnut blight fungus, Cryphonectria parasitica, are more variable for vegetative compatibility (vc) types than in expanding populations in southeastern Europe where C. parasitica has colonized relatively recently. To test whether vc types represent clones, we genotyped 373 isolates of C. parasitica from southern Italy, Romania, Bulgaria, Macedonia, Greece and Turkey using 11 sequence-characterized amplified region (SCAR) markers. Ten SCAR loci and six vegetative incompatibility (vic) loci were polymorphic in these samples. These populations are clonal by all criteria tested: (i) among 373 isolates, we found only eight multilocus haplotypes, and the same haplotypes were found in multiple countries, sometimes separated in time by as much as 12 years; (ii) the number of haplotypes observed was significantly less than expected under random mating; (iii) populations are in linkage disequilibrium; (iv) the two sets of independent markers, SCARs and vc types, are highly correlated; and (v) sexual structures of C. parasitica were found only in Bulgaria and Romania. One mating type (MAT-1) was found in 98% of the isolates sampled. In contrast, a population in northern Italy, in the central part of the range in Europe, had 12 multilocus haplotypes among 19 isolates. The spread of a few clones could be the result either of founder effect and restricted migration, or these clones have greater fitness than others and spread because they are better adapted to conditions in southeastern Europe.