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1.
Epidemiol Prev ; 44(4): 218-227, 2020.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32921027

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: to evaluate short-medium term incidence and mortality projections of pleural malignant mesothelioma (PMM) in Sicily Region (Southern Italy) and in its four National Priority Contaminated Sites (NPCSs). DESIGN: population-based prediction study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: PMM cases from 1998 to 2016 registered by the Regional Operations Centre of the Sicilian Region. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: incidence and mortality trends of PMM were estimated for the period 1998-2016 from the relationships among mortality, incidence, and survival. Projections of incidence and mortality rates were obtained up to 2026. RESULTS: age-standardized incidence rates of PMM in Sicily were estimated to increase in men from 1.4 (x100,000) in 1998 to 2.29 in 2021 and to slightly decrease down to 2.2 in 2026. Women age-standardized rates in the same period are estimated to decrease from 0.52 to 0.27. In Biancavilla, age-standardized incidence rates were estimated to remain stable between 8.1 and 8.0 in men, while crude rates increased from 8.3 in 1998 to 10.7 in 2026. For women, the estimated age-standardized incidence rates are increasing from 3.08 to 6.75. In the three pooled NPCSs of Augusta-Priolo, Gela, and Milazzo, the estimates of age-standardized incidence rates show an initial trend to growth followed by a decreasing trend, both in men and women, down to predicted values in 2016 of 3.0 in men and 0.77 in women. Estimated age-standardized and crude mortality rates show, for both sexes and all areas, similar patterns as those estimated for incidence. CONCLUSIONS: in Sicily and in the three NPCSs of Gela, Milazzo, and Priolo, incidence and mortality projections are downward in both sexes. In Biancavilla, mesothelioma occurrence is estimated to increase up to 2026, slightly in males and more significantly in females.


Subject(s)
Mesothelioma , Pleural Neoplasms , Female , Forecasting , Humans , Incidence , Italy/epidemiology , Male , Mesothelioma/epidemiology , Pleural Neoplasms/epidemiology , Sicily/epidemiology
2.
Ann Ist Super Sanita ; 50(2): 111-8, 2014.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24968908

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Amphibolic fibres with fluoro-edenitic composition characterize Biancavilla soil, including the major quarry from which building materials have been extensively extracted. These fibres induce mesothelioma in experimental animals and their in vitro biological action is similar to that of crocidolite. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Malignant mesothelioma case series and incidence were examined to evaluate the disease burden on Biancavilla inhabitants. RESULTS: The incidence of pleural mesothelioma in Biancavilla is steadily higher than in the Sicilian Region, risk estimates are more elevated in women than in men, the most affected age class is constituted by subjects aged less than 50. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS: Environmental exposure to fibres with fluoro-edenitic composition appears to be causally related to the elevated mesothelioma occurrence in Biancavilla. In this frame, environmental clean-up is the main goal to be pursued in public health terms. A contribution of scientific research to public health decision making with respect to priority setting for environmental clean-up can derive from some further selected epidemiological investigations.


Subject(s)
Asbestos, Amphibole/adverse effects , Environmental Exposure/adverse effects , Mesothelioma/epidemiology , Pleural Neoplasms/epidemiology , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Public Health Surveillance , Sicily/epidemiology , Soil/chemistry , Soil Pollutants/adverse effects
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