Projecting Changes in Expected Annual Damages From Riverine Flooding in the United States.

Inland flood risk in the United States is most often conveyed through maps of 1% annual exceedance probability (AEP) or "100-year" floodplains. However, monetary damages from flooding arise from a full distribution of events, including floods both larger and smaller than the 1% AEP event. Furthermore, floodplains are not static, since both the frequency and magnitude of flooding are likely to change in a warming climate. We explored the implications of a changing frequency and magnitude of flooding across a wide spectrum of flood events, using a sample of 376 watersheds in the United States where floodplains from multiple recurrence intervals have been mapped. Using an inventory of assets within these mapped floodplains, we first calculated expected annual damages (EADs) from flooding in each watershed under baseline climate conditions. We find that the EAD is typically a factor of 5-7 higher than the expected damages from 100-year events alone and that much of these damages are attributable to floods smaller than the 1% AEP event. The EAD from flooding typically increases by 25-50% under a 1 °C warming scenario and in most regions more than double under a 3 °C warming scenario. Further increases in EAD are not as pronounced beyond 3 °C warming, suggesting that most of the projected increases in flood damages will have already occurred, for most regions of the country, by that time. Adaptations that protect against today's 100-year flood will have increasing benefits in a warmer climate by also protecting against more frequent, smaller events.

The Montara Oil Spill: A 2009 Well Blowout in the Timor Sea.

A well on the Montara platform on the Australian continental shelf blew out in August 2009 and spilled oil into the Timor Sea for 74 days. The oil, estimated at as much as 23.5 million L in total volume, spread over a large area of the shelf and eventually into Indonesian waters. This paper documents, through published literature, reports of both Australian and Indonesian governments and observations of coastal residents and fishermen the spread of the oil and attempts to estimate its impact. The lack of observers on the ocean and baseline, pre-spill data on populations of marine organisms, and delays in deploying scientific surveys after the spill severely limited efforts by the Australian government to determine damage in its territorial waters. Biological survey work was not done in Indonesian waters, but coastal residents attested to relatively severe impacts to algal farms. In addition fish landings declined in one port in southwest Timor Island.

Attachment relationships of preschool-aged children of mothers with HIV and HIV-related psychosis.

Children from mothers with HIV-related psychosis are frequently raised in challenging contexts, yet the extent to which these children grow up in insecure or disordered attachment relationships is unknown. Using the Strange Situation Procedure the distribution of attachment relationships of children from mothers with HIV and psychosis (n = 45) was compared with children from mothers with HIV without psychosis (n = 41). No significant differences in the distributions were found between the two groups and attachment was not associated with specific psychotic symptomatology. Security of attachment was associated with more people providing the mother with emotional support, but only in the psychosis group. Disordered attachment (24%) was more often found in the total sample than in studies with other normal and high risk populations. Recommendations were made for future research about factors facilitating resilience in the children and on interventions increasing emotional support for affected mothers.

Effects of a 12-wk resistance exercise program on skeletal muscle strength in children with burn injuries.

The posttraumatic response to burn injury leads to marked and prolonged skeletal muscle catabolism and weakness, which persist despite standard rehabilitation programs of occupational and physical therapy. We investigated whether a resistance exercise program would attenuate muscle loss and weakness that is typically found in children with thermal injury. We assessed the changes in leg muscle strength and lean body mass in severely burned children with >40% total body surface area burned. Patients were randomized to a 12-wk standard hospital rehabilitation program supplemented with an exercise training program (n = 19) or to a home-based rehabilitation program without exercise (n = 16). Leg muscle strength was assessed before and after the 12-wk rehabilitation or training program at an isokinetic speed of 150 degrees /s. Lean body mass was assessed using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. We found that the participation in a resistance exercise program results in a significant improvement in muscle strength, power, and lean body mass relative to a standard rehabilitation program without exercise.

Factors in standardizing automated cholinesterase assays.

A scientific panel assembled by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) determined that variability in cholinesterase (ChE) activities in the agency's pesticide/animal study database likely was due to a lack of accepted guidelines for ChE methodology. A series of trials was held in which participating laboratories measured ChE activity in blood and brain samples from untreated and pesticide-treated rats using a colorimetric assay method. The degree of inhibition of ChE activity in plasma and brain samples compared to controls was consistent among most of the laboratories. The ChE activity in erythrocyte samples differed more between laboratories due to a high blank, low erythrocyte AChE activity and hemoglobin absorption at the wavelength of the assay. Strategies are suggested for minimizing the variability of ChE activity in hemoglobin-rich samples.

Mixed-function oxidase-specific activity in wild and caged speckled sanddabs Citharichthys stigmaeus in Elkhorn Slough, Moss Landing Harbor and nearshore Monterey Bay, California.

The goal of this study was to characterize the spatial, seasonal and annual hepatic activities of mixed-function oxidase (MFO) in the speckled sanddab Citharichthys stigmaeus, the most common fish in the Moss Landing area. In addition, techniques to monitor MFO activities in caged speckled sanddabs were developed and tested. Once the relationship between MFO activities in caged and wild fish populations is determined, caged fish could be used to monitor potential hydrocarbon impacts at Moss Landing, or other marine sites. During each of the spatial, seasonal and annual sediment samplings conducted in 1985-1987 as part of a separate hydrocarbon variability study at Moss Landing, 12 wild speckled sanddabs were collected from Moss Landing Harbor, Elkhorn Slough and nearshore Monterey Bay sites. In addition, four locations were chosen for a 14-day field caged fish experiment. The caged fish experiments successfully demonstrated the feasibility of using caged sanddabs as indicators of hydrocarbon exposure. The major source of variability in hepatic aryl hydrocarbon hydroxylase activity in wild speckled sanddabs from the Moss Landing area is due to seasonal rather than site differences. Significant relationships between caged fish MFO response and sediment hydrocarbon concentrations were found. It is possible that caged fish could be used in place of costly sediment sampling and analysis, and provide a more direct method to assess biological impacts. Many of the caging techniques demonstrated in this study can easily be transferred to other benthic flatfish, and other marine and freshwater environments.

Seasonal and annual distribution of organic contaminants in marine sediments from Elkhorn slough, moss landing harbor and nearshore Monterey Bay, California.

This 3-year study provides data on the spatial, seasonal and annual variability of hydrocarbons and total organic carbon present in marine sediments at three sites: Elkhorn Slough, Moss Landing Harbor and nearshore Monterey Bay in the vicinity of Moss Landing, California. The study provides baseline information that could be used to evaluate the potential impacts of future fuel oil releases occuring in the Moss Landing area. Groups of hydrocarbons were chosen to represent the hydrocarbon inputs into the Moss Landing area. These included the pesticide dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane (DDT), polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB), phthalic acid ester (PAE), polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon (PAH) and combustion PAHs (SigmaCOMBs). For SigmaDDTs, SigmaPCBs, SigmaPAEs, SigmaPAHs and SigmaCOMBs, the major sources of variability were between sites and random effects. Subsites within each site contributed little variability. No significant seasonal differences in any chemical contaminant group were found at any site. Significant seasonal differences in total organic carbon (TOC) and significant annual differences in SigmaPCBs, SigmaPAHs, SigmaCOMBs and SigmaPAEs were found at the nearshore Monterey Bay site. Significant annual differences in SigmaPAEs and TOC were found within Moss Landing Harbor, and significant annual differences in SigmaPAEs were found within the Elkhorn Slough site. Implications for future sampling designs in the Moss Landing area are that given the current baseline conditions (a stable, low rate of hydrocarbon input), a variability of 75-150 m(2) may not need to be heavily sampled. Spatial variability, not seasonal or annual variability, is the major source of hydrocarbon variability in Moss Landing sediments, although 3 years may not be long enough to establish long-term annual trends. Further research to determine the SigmaPAH spatial sampling scale for oil spills is needed.

The nuclear bomb: a concretization and erotization of power.

This article contends that the nuclear bomb is the concrete representation of an archaic idealizing system. It uses concepts published by Atwood and Stolorow (1984) to demonstrate how the bomb is no protection at all to our national defense; rather it compensates for empty or poorly developed psychological structure and function of individual and group. The continued proliferation of the bomb--some 70,000 at last count--despite the knowledge that just a few can obliterate our world is testimonial to the need for a concrete and visible mound of weapons. Since this need can never be satisfied by these means, there can never be enough bombs to be sufficient. The article extends the concept of this faulty or absent development of psychological structure to the weakening or loss of primary affiliative bonding between individuals and groups, which has psychohistorical roots. Three historical developments intertwine and reinforce one another: (1) the isolation of national defense to weapons and war; (2) the evolution of a modern science based on a duality between body (affects) and mind (cognition) and contributing to sexual polarization, in which masculinity has been identified with valued objectivity and femininity has been identified with devalued affiliative affects; (3) the equation of sex and aggression with power and their use as substitutes for derailed development of affiliative needs and functions.

[Influence of preventive measures on caries increase in preschool children]. / Zum Einfluss von Präventivmassnahmen auf den Karieszuwachs bei Vorschulkindern.

By means of a longitudinal study in which only tablet fluoridation was applied the carioprotective effect of complement measures in comparison to a test group has been investigated. A further reduction of caries increase of over 60% occurs by complex preventive programmes.

Indomethacin versus immediate ligation in the treatment of 82 newborns with patent ductus arteriosus.

In the past 10 years, echocardiography and prostaglandin inhibition have changed the management of the patent ductus arteriosus (PDA) in newborns with respiratory distress syndrome (RDS). To judge the results of our present management for morbidity and survival, we analyzed data retrospectively on 82 newborns who were treated from 1977 to 1983 for PDA. We compared their hospital courses and outcomes with a similar group of 45 infants reported by us 10 years ago who were treated by early ductal ligation. The 82 recent patients were divided into two groups, A and B. Group A, 62 consecutive newborns with PDA, was treated primarily with indomethacin. A subsequent group of 20 newborns was treated for PDA primarily with early ductal ligation, group B. There was a 67.8% survival in group A versus 66.7% in the original group of patients 10 years ago--no significant improvement in survival in recent patients using indomethacin. Group B, with early ductal ligation similar to the original patients, had a survival rate of 75%. We identified a group of high-risk infants under 1500 grams with severe RDS whose prognoses varied significantly, depending on the treatment. In the original patients 10 years ago, 41.2% of newborns under 1500 grams with severe RDS survived; 33.3% survived in group A whereas, 71.4% survived in group B. In this high-risk group, treatment for PDA with indomethacin had the worst prognosis, and treatment with ductal ligation combined with modern supportive measures had the best prognosis.