Sarcopenia Among Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) Is Associated With Advanced Fibrosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and sarcopenia can be associated with advanced liver disease. Our aim was to assess the association between sarcopenia and the risk of fibrosis among patients with NAFLD. METHODS: We used the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2017-2018). NAFLD was defined by transient elastography without other causes of liver disease or excessive alcohol use. Significant fibrosis (SF) and advanced fibrosis (AF) were defined by liver stiffness greater than 8.0 kPa and greater than 13.1 kPa, respectively. Sarcopenia was defined using the Foundation for the National Institutes of Health definition. RESULTS: Of the total cohort (N = 2422), 18.9% had sarcopenia, 9.8% had obese sarcopenia, 43.6% had NAFLD, 7.0% had SF, and 2.0% had AF. Moreover, 50.1% had neither sarcopenia nor NAFLD, 6.3% had sarcopenia without NAFLD, 31.1% had NAFLD without sarcopenia, and 12.5% had NAFLD with sarcopenia. Compared with individuals without NAFLD or sarcopenia, individuals with sarcopenic NAFLD had higher rates of SF (18.3% vs 3.2%) and AF (7.1% vs 0.2%). In the absence of sarcopenia, compared with individuals without NAFLD, individuals with NAFLD have a significantly increased risk of SF (odds ratio, 2.18; 95% CI, 0.92-5.19). In the presence of sarcopenia, NAFLD was associated with an increased risk of SF (odds ratio, 11.27; 95% CI, 2.79-45.56). This increase was independent of metabolic components. The proportion of SF that is attributable to the interaction of NAFLD and sarcopenia was 55% (attributable proportion, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.36-0.74). Increased leisure time physical activity was associated with a lower risk of sarcopenia. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with sarcopenic NAFLD are at risk for SF and AF. Increased physical activity and a healthy diet targeted to improve sarcopenic NAFLD could reduce the risk of significant fibrosis.

The impact of variants and vaccination on the mortality and resource utilization of hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 outcomes among hospitalized patients may have changed due to new variants, therapies and vaccine availability. We assessed outcomes of adults hospitalized with COVID-19 from March 2020-February 2022. METHODS: Data were retrieved from electronic health medical records of adult COVID-19 patients hospitalized in a large community health system. Duration was split into March 2020-June 2021 (pre-Delta period), July-November 2021 (Delta period), and December 2021-February 2022 (Omicron period). RESULTS: Of included patients (n = 9582), 75% were admitted during pre-Delta, 9% during Delta, 16% during Omicron period. The COVID-positive inpatients were oldest during Omicron period but had lowest rates of COVID pneumonia and resource utilization (p < 0.0001); 46% were vaccinated during Delta and 61% during Omicron period (p < 0.0001). After adjustment for demographics and comorbidities, vaccination was associated with lower inpatient mortality (OR = 0.47 (0.34-0.65), p < 0.0001). The Omicron period was independently associated with lower risk of inpatient mortality (OR = 0.61 (0.45-0.82), p = 0.0010). Vaccination and Omicron period admission were also independently associated with lower healthcare resource utilization (p < 0.05). Magnitudes of associations varied between age groups with strongest protective effects seen in younger patients. CONCLUSION: Outcomes of COVID-19 inpatients were evolving throughout the pandemic and were affected by changing demographics, virus variants, and vaccination. KEY POINT: In this observational study of almost 10,000 patients hospitalized from March 2020-February 2022 with COVID-19, age and having multiple comorbidities remained consistent risk factors for mortality regardless of the variant. Vaccination was high in our hospitalized patients. Vaccination conveyed less severe illness and was associated with lower inpatient mortality.

Health-Related Quality of Life and Health Care Resource Utilization in Patients With Chronic Liver Disease and Primary Liver Cancer in the United States: Analysis of Medical Expenditure Panel Survey.

Background: Worldwide, liver cancer (LC) is the fifth and third most common type of cancer and cancer-related mortality, respectively. Our aim was to assess health-related quality of life (HRQL) and resource utilization in chronic liver disease (CLD) patients with LC. Methods: We used the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey 2004-2013. All patients had HRQL (Short Form-12, Patient Health Questionnaire-2, Kessler Psychological Distress Scale) and resource utilization data. We used patients with CLD without LC and colon cancer (CC) as controls. Results: A total of 1882 CLD patients (53 ± 14 years, 45% male, 53% white, 15% black, 23% Hispanic, 6% Asian, 42% employed, 48% private insurance, and 11% uninsured) were included. Of the cohort, 102 (5.4%) patients had LC. LC patients were older, more likely to be male and white, less employed but less likely uninsured than CLD patients without LC (all P < 0.05). In comparison to both non-LC CLD and CC controls, LC had worse health: 40% vs. 27% vs. 25% reported fair health and 29% vs. 20% vs. 16% poor health status (P < 0.05). Furthermore, LC patients more frequently reported physical limitations: 51% vs. 35% vs. 35%, respectively (P = 0.01). Physical HRQL scores were lower in LC patients compared with both CLD and CC controls. Although mental health scores in LC were similar to non-LC CLD controls, they were lower than in CC. In addition, most aspects of healthcare resource utilization were higher for LC patients compared with both non-LC CLD and CC controls. Conclusion: While having CLD causes impairment of patients' HRQL, LC further adds to this impairment and also contributes to a substantial resource utilization.

Independent Predictors of Mortality Among Patients With NAFLD Hospitalized With COVID-19 Infection.

The impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic among patients with chronic liver disease is unknown. Given the high prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), we determined the predictors of mortality and hospital resource use among patients with NAFLD admitted with COVID-19 by using electronic medical records data for adult patients with COVID-19 hospitalized in a multihospital health system who were discharged between March and December 2020. NAFLD was diagnosed by imaging or liver biopsy without other liver diseases. Charlson's comorbidity index (CCI) and Elixhauser comorbidity index (ECI) scores were calculated. In the study sample, among the 4,835 patients hospitalized for COVID-19, 553 had NAFLD (age: 55 ± 16 years, 51% male, 17% White, 11% Black, 58% Hispanic, 8% Asian, 5% from congregated living, 58% obese, 15% morbid obesity [body mass index ≥ 40], 51% type 2 diabetes, 63% hypertension, mean [SD] baseline CCI of 3.9 [3.2], and baseline ECI of 13.4 [11.3]). On admission, patients with NAFLD had more respiratory symptoms, higher body temperature and heart rate, higher alanine aminotransferase and aspartate aminotransferase than non-NAFLD controls (n = 2,736; P < 0.05). Of the patients with NAFLD infected with COVID-19, 3.9% experienced acute liver injury. The NAFLD group had significantly longer length of stay, intensive care unit use, and mechanical ventilation, with a crude inpatient mortality rate of 11%. In multivariate analysis, independent predictors of inpatient mortality among patients with NAFLD infected with COVID-19 were older age, morbid obesity, ECI score ≥ 11, higher Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4) score, and oxygen saturation <90% (all P < 0.05), but not sex, race/ethnicity, or any individual comorbidity (all P > 0.05). Conclusion: Patients with NAFLD infected with COVID-19 tend to be sicker on admission and require more hospital resource use. Independent predictors of mortality included higher FIB-4 and multimorbidity scores, morbid obesity, older age, and hypoxemia on admission.

The Growing Burden of Disability Related to Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Data From the Global Burden of Disease 2007-2017.

Chronic liver disease (CLD) is a growing cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. The burden of CLD varies according to etiology and geographic location. We assessed the global burden of disability from the most important complications of CLD (cirrhosis and liver cancer [LC]) according to the most common etiologies between 2007 and 2017. We obtained years living with disability (YLD), years of life lost (YLL), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) data from the Global Burden of Disease 2017 study. Between 2007 and 2017, LC DALYs decreased by 4.52% and cirrhosis DALYs decreased by 10.58%. Nevertheless, in 2017, CLD caused 62.16 million DALYs (33.4% LC and 66.5% cirrhosis), of which 96.8% came from YLL (34.1% LC and 65.9% cirrhosis) and 3.2% from YLD (11.6% LC and 88.4% cirrhosis). In 2017, Asia accounted for 66% of all DALYs globally. Central Asia, Africa regions, Southeast Asia, and Eastern Europe had the highest liver-related DALYs (≥1,000 per 100,000), whereas the lowest rates (≤500 per 100,000) were seen in high-income regions, such as Asia Pacific, North America, Western Europe, and Australasia. In 2007, hepatitis B virus caused the majority (47.5%) of liver-related DALYs, followed by hepatitis C virus (23.7%), alcoholic liver disease (14.2%), and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NAFLD/NASH) (6.4%). In 2017, these rates shifted to 45.7%, 24.1%, 4.8%, and 7.1%, respectively. Between 2007 and 2017, cirrhosis-related DALYs due to NAFLD/NASH increased by 23.4%, whereas the increment was 37.5% for LC-related DALYs due to NAFLD/NASH. Conclusion: DALYs due to viral hepatitis still account for the largest proportion of CLD-related DALYs. Although DALYs from all other liver diseases have remained stable in the last decade, DALYs related to NAFLD/NASH are growing. National, regional, and global policies are needed to address the disability burden of NAFLD across the world.

Hypothetical treatment of patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis: Potential impact on important clinical outcomes.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Currently, standard of care (SOC) treatment for NASH is limited to lifestyle modifications. Drug regimens are being evaluated currently. We assessed the impact of a short-term hypothetical treatment on clinical outcomes of NASH. METHODS: Markov models estimated differences in outcomes between SOC and 2 hypothetical NASH treatments (A and B). We modelled 10 000 50-year-old biopsy-proven NASH patients over lifetime horizon. Health states included NASH with fibrosis (F1-F3), cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplant and mortality. Fibrosis Regression Factor (FRF) variable modelled the probability of 1-3 stage fibrosis improvement with treatment. Annual probability of treatment (ATP) ranged from 10%-70%. Treatment success was defined as regression to fibrosis, whereas failure was defined as progression to stages beyond cirrhosis. In treatment-A, successful treatment was followed by a maintenance regimen which stopped disease progression. After a successful treatment-B, patients remained at risk of disease progression. Differences in outcomes were calculated between both treatments and SOC models. We conducted a probabilistic sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: At 10% to 70% ATP, treatment-A averts 353 to 782 liver transplants and 1277 to 2381 liver-related deaths relative to SOC. Treatment-B averts 129 to 437 liver transplants and 386 to 1043 liver-related deaths. Sensitivity analysis shows our model is robust in estimating liver-related mortality and LTs averted, but is sensitive when estimating QALYs gained. CONCLUSIONS: With a small annual probability of treatment and FRF = 1, a 2-year treatment followed by maintenance of histologic improvement for patients would be highly beneficial relative to short-term treatment alone.

The global epidemiology of NAFLD and NASH in patients with type 2 diabetes: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Although non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and NASH with advanced fibrosis are closely associated with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), their global prevalence rates have not been well described. Our aim was to estimate the prevalence of NAFLD, NASH, and advanced fibrosis among patients with T2DM, by regions of the world. METHODS: We searched for terms including NAFLD, NASH and T2DM in studies published from January 1989 to September 2018, using PubMed, Ovid MEDLINE®, EMBASE and Web of Science. Strict exclusion criteria were applied. Regional and global mean prevalence weighted by population size in each country were estimated and pooled using random-effects meta-analysis. Potential sources of heterogeneity were investigated using stratified meta-analysis and meta-regression. RESULTS: Among 80 studies from 20 countries that met our inclusion criteria, there were 49,419 individuals with T2DM (mean age 58.5 years, mean body mass index 27.9 kg/m2, and males 52.9%). The global prevalence of NAFLD among patients with T2DM was 55.5% (95% CI 47.3-63.7). Studies from Europe reported the highest prevalence (68.0% [62.1-73.0%]). Among 10 studies that estimated the prevalence of NASH, the global prevalence of NASH among individuals with T2DM was 37.3% (95% CI 24.7-50.0%). Seven studies estimated the prevalence of advanced fibrosis in patients with NAFLD and T2DM to be 17.0% (95% CI 7.2-34.8). Meta-regression models showed that geographic region and mean age (p <0.5) were associated with the prevalence of NAFLD, jointly accounting for 63.9% of the heterogeneity. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides the global prevalence rates for NAFLD, NASH, and advanced fibrosis in patients with T2DM. These data can be used to estimate the clinical and economic burden of NASH in patients with T2DM around the world. LAY SUMMARY: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is now recognized as the most prevalent chronic liver disease worldwide. Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is an important risk factor for NAFLD. Additionally, T2DM seems to accelerate the progression of liver disease in NAFLD. Despite the high prevalence and serious clinical implications of NAFLD in patients with T2DM, it is usually overlooked in clinical practice. This meta-analysis provides evidence of the high prevalence of NAFLD and NASH in patients with T2DM. In this context, increasing awareness about the importance of NAFLD in patients with T2DM among all important stakeholders (primary care physicians, specialists, and health policy makers) must be prioritized.

Inpatient economic and mortality assessment for liver transplantation: a nationwide study of the United States data from 2005 to 2009.

BACKGROUND: Liver transplantation is a standard of care for treatment of end-stage liver disease. The aim of this study was to evaluate resource utilization for patients admitted to the U.S. hospitals for liver transplantation from 2005 to 2009. METHODS: Nationwide inpatient sample was used. RESULTS: A total of 5527 hospital admissions were included to the study cohort approximating 27,350 procedures nationwide (compared with 32,228 reported by United Network for Organ Sharing). Approximately 75% of patients had major or extreme severity of illness (All Patient Refined Diagnosis-Related Groups). The most prevalent comorbidities were coagulopathy (36.0%), fluid and electrolyte disorders (39.8%), anemia (18.7%), and type 2 diabetes (23.8%). Furthermore, 5.1% patients died in the hospital, 80.0% were discharged routinely or to home healthcare, and 14.9% were transferred to other healthcare facilities. The mean number of inpatient procedures was 7.2, and 3.5 were minimal therapeutic. The mean length of hospitalization was 22.2 days, the mean hospital charges were $358,200, and the mean inpatient costs of liver transplantation were $114,300. In multivariate analysis, the most significant factors associated with longer stay were younger age, major or extreme severity of illness, and more procedures performed during hospitalization. Similar factors were also associated with higher cost of inpatient treatment. Inpatient mortality, however, was associated only with more severe illness and more procedures while being inversely associated with younger age and higher income. CONCLUSIONS: Liver transplantation is a life-saving procedure with significant economic burden to our society. Severity of illness is the common driver of both in hospital mortality and resource utilization.

Predictors of chronic liver disease in individuals with human immunodeficiency virus infection.

INTRODUCTION. Chronic liver disease (CLD) is becoming a major cause of mortality in patients who are positive with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Our aim was to assess the prevalence of CLD in HIV+ individuals. MATERIAL AND METHODS. We utilized the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1999-2008) to assess the association of CLD with HIV infection. In eligible participants (18-49 years), HIV infection was defined as positive anti-HIV by enzyme immunoassay further confirmed by Western blot. The diagnosis of CLD included chronic hepatitis C (CH-C), alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Clinic-demographic and laboratory parameters were used to assess differences between those with and without HIV infection. RESULTS. 14,685 adults were included. Of those, 0.43 ± 0.08% were HIV-positive and 13.8% had evidence of CLD, including 26.3% in HIV-positive individuals and 13.7% in HIV-negative controls (p = 0.0341). In the U.S. population, independent predictors of CLD included HIV positivity [OR = 1.96 (1.02-3.77), p = 0.04], older age [OR = 1.03 (1.02-1.03), p < 0.0001], male gender [OR = 2.15 (1.89-2.44), p < 0.0001] and obesity [OR = 2.10 (1.82-2.43), p < 0.0001], while African American race/ethnicity was associated with lower risk for CLD [OR = 0.68 (0.58-0.80), p < 0.0001]. CONCLUSIONS. CLD is common in HIV positive individuals. With successful long term treatment of HIV, management of CLD will continue to remain very important in these patients.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in lean individuals in the United States.

The presence of hepatic steatosis in individuals without a known cause of chronic liver disease, including excessive alcohol consumption, is the hallmark of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Although NAFLD is usually associated with obesity, nonobese patients can also present with NAFLD ("lean NAFLD"). Our objective was to determine factors independently associated with lean NAFLD in the United States population. For this purpose, we used data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey III (NHANES III) conducted between 1988 and 1994 with available hepatic ultrasound, clinico-demographic, and laboratory data. NAFLD was defined as the presence of moderate-severe hepatic steatosis (by ultrasound), the absence of excessive alcohol use (>20 g/d in men and 10 g/d in women), hepatitis B surface antigen(-), and hepatitis C antibody(-). Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) was defined as having moderate-severe steatosis and elevated aminotransferases in the presence of type 2 diabetes or insulin resistance (IR). Logistic regression was used to identify independent predictors of lean NAFLD. As a result, of the 11,613 participants included in the study, 2185 (18.77% ± 0.76%) had NAFLD; of these, 307 (11.78% ± 1.03%) had NASH. Multivariate analysis showed that lean NAFLD was independently associated with younger age, female sex, and a decreased likelihood of having IR and hypercholesterolemia (p values < 0.05). Additionally, multivariate analysis showed that NASH was independently associated with being Hispanic, having a younger age, and having components of metabolic syndrome such as hypertension (p values < 0.05). Therefore, we conclude that lean individuals with NAFLD have a different clinical profile than overweight-obese individuals with NAFLD. Furthermore, patients with NASH are commonly Hispanic and have components of metabolic syndrome.

Disparities in activity level and nutrition between patients with chronic hepatitis C and blood donors.

OBJECTIVE: To compare physical activity levels and dietary choices of patients who have chronic hepatitis C (CHC) with those of blood donors (BDs). DESIGN: A prospective survey. SETTING: A liver disease treatment center and a blood donor center from a nonprofit health system. PATIENTS: A total of 149 subjects (93 with CHC and 56 BDs) participated. Subjects were 18 years or older and agreed to participate; those with CHC had no evidence of cirrhosis. METHODS: All subjects provided basic clinical information and completed a nutrition survey, which contained questions about dietary choices and their frequency, and the Human Activity Profile, which measured maximum effort (Maximum Activity Score; MAS) and daily activity (Adjusted Activity Score; AAS). MAIN OUTCOMES MEASUREMENTS: MAS and AAS scales and 13 indices on the nutrition survey. Independent samples t-tests, Pearson correlations, and multiple stepwise regression analyses were performed. RESULTS: No significant differences were found between BDs and patients with CHC in terms of age, gender, race, body mass index, hyperlipidemia, hypertension, or diabetes mellitus. Mean body mass index was 27.5, 17.8% had hyperlipidemia, and 9.6% had diabetes. BDs reported significantly more exercise per week (mean: patients with CHC = 193.6 minutes/week and BDs = 280.4 minutes/week; P = .039) and had a significantly greater MAS (mean: patients with CHC = 77.2 and BDs = 87.4, P = .0001) and AAS (mean: patients with CHC = 72.58 and BDs = 83.8, P = .0001). Stepwise multiple regression analysis proposed 2 models predicting AAS: the presence of CHC (R = .445; R(2) = .198; adjusted R(2) = .184); and the presence of CHC and presence of hypertension (R = .537; R(2) = .289; adjusted R(2) = .263). BDs consumed significantly more alcohol and starchy foods than did patients with CHC (P = .0001 and P = .031, respectively), which may be explained by the compliance of patients with CHC to their hepatologist's recommendations regarding the minimization of alcohol consumption. CONCLUSIONS: Persons with CHC participate in less activity and less vigorous physical activity than do BDs and consume less starch and alcohol. These data about activity level and dietary intake in patients with CHC are novel; few data on these topics have been published previously. Low level of activity adds a substantial risk to this overweight CHC population, many of whom have multiple components of metabolic syndrome.

Changes in the prevalence of the most common causes of chronic liver diseases in the United States from 1988 to 2008.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Chronic liver diseases (CLDs) are major causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide. We assessed changes in the prevalence of different types of CLD in the United States. METHODS: National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys conducted between 1988 and 2008 were used to estimate changes in the prevalence and predictors of CLDs. Serologic and clinical data were used to establish the diagnoses of CLDs in 39,500 adults. Statistical analyses were conducted with SUDAAN 10.0 (SAS Institute, Inc, Cary, NC). RESULTS: The prevalence rates for CLD were 11.78% (1988-1994), 15.66% (1999-2004), and 14.78% (2005-2008). During the same period, the prevalence of hepatitis B virus infection (0.36%, 0.33%, and 0.34%), hepatitis C virus (1.95%, 1.97%, and 1.68%), and alcoholic liver disease (1.38%, 2.21%, and 2.05%) remained generally stable. In contrast, the prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) increased from 5.51% to 9.84% to 11.01%. From 1988 to 1994, NAFLD accounted for 46.8% of CLD cases; from 1994 to 2004 its prevalence increased to 62.84%, and then to 75.1% from 2005 to 2008. During these time periods, steady increases were observed in obesity (21.74%, 30.02%, and 33.22%), visceral obesity (35.18%, 48.16%, and 51.43%), type II diabetes (5.55%, 7.88%, and 9.11%), insulin resistance (23.29%, 32.50%, and 35.00%), and hypertension (22.68%, 33.11%, and 34.08%). A multivariate analysis showed that during all time periods, obesity was an independent predictor of NAFLD. CONCLUSIONS: National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys data collected from 1988 to 2008 show that the prevalence of major causes of CLD remained stable, except for NAFLD, which increased steadily, along with the prevalence of metabolic conditions. Given the increasing rates of obesity, NAFLD prevalence is expected to contribute substantially to the burden of CLD in the United States.

Independent predictors of fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a common cause of chronic liver disease. We investigated factors associated with advanced fibrosis in NAFLD. METHODS: The study included 432 patients with histologically proven NAFLD (26.8% with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis [NASH] and 17.4% with moderate-to severe fibrosis). NASH was defined as steatosis, lobular inflammation, and ballooning degeneration with or without Mallory-Denk bodies and/or fibrosis. Fibrosis was classified into 2 groups: those with no or minimal fibrosis and those with moderate-to-severe fibrosis. Groups were compared using Mann-Whitney and chi-square method analyses. A model was constructed using a stepwise bidirectional method; its predictive power was measured using a 10-fold cross-validation technique. RESULTS: Patients with NASH were more likely to be male (P < .0001); have lower hip-to-waist ratios (P = .03); were less likely to be African American (P = .06); have higher levels of alanine aminotransferase (ALT; P < .0001), aspartate aminotransferase (AST; P < .0001), and serum triglycerides (P = .0154), but lower levels of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (P < .0001). Patients with moderate-to-severe fibrosis were older (P = .0245); more likely to be male (P = .0189), Caucasian (P = .0382), have diabetes mellitus (P = .0238), and hypertension (P = .0375); and have a lower hip-to-waist ratio (P = .0077) but higher serum AST (P < .0001) and ALT (P < .0001) levels. The multivariate analysis model to predict moderate-to-severe fibrosis included male sex, Caucasian ethnicity, diabetes mellitus, and increased AST and ALT levels (model P value < .0001). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with NAFLD, diabetes mellitus and aminotransferase levels are independent predictors of moderate-to-severe fibrosis. They can be used to identify NAFLD patients at risk for advanced fibrosis.

Long-term follow-up of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) encompasses a wide spectrum of conditions ranging from simple hepatic steatosis to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) convincingly. NASH is the only subtype of NAFLD that has been shown to progress relatively, although these findings were reported from studies with short follow-up periods. We assessed the long-term outcomes of a NAFLD cohort. METHODS: Patients with NAFLD established by biopsy were identified in databases and categorized as NASH or non-NASH. Mortality data and causes of death were obtained from National Death Index Plus. The nonparametric Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test and multivariate analyses with a Cox proportional hazard model were used to compare different NAFLD subtypes and to identify independent predictors of overall and liver-related mortality. RESULTS: Of 173 NAFLD patients (age at biopsy, 50.2 +/- 14.5 y; 39.9% male; 80.8% Caucasian; 28.9% with type II diabetes), 72 (41.6%) had NASH and 101 (58.4%) had non-NASH NAFLD. Over the follow-up period, the most common causes of death were coronary artery disease, malignancy, and liver-related death. Although overall mortality did not differ between the NAFLD subtypes, liver-related mortality was higher in patients with NASH (P < .05). Independent predictors of liver-related mortality included histologic NASH, type II diabetes, older age at biopsy, lower albumin levels, and increased levels of alkaline phosphatase (P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: This long-term follow-up evaluation of NAFLD patients confirms that NASH patients have increased liver-related mortality compared with non-NASH patients. In addition, patients with NAFLD and type II diabetes are especially at risk for liver-related mortality.