Machine Learning Enables Prediction of Halide Perovskites' Optical Behavior with >90% Accuracy.

The composition-dependent degradation of hybrid organic-inorganic perovskites (HOIPs) due to environmental stressors still precludes their commercialization. It is very difficult to quantify their behavior upon exposure to each stressor by exclusively using trial-and-error methods due to the high-dimensional parameter space involved. We implement machine learning (ML) models using high-throughput, in situ photoluminescence (PL) to predict the response of Cs y FA1-y Pb(Br x I1-x )3 while exposed to relative humidity cycles. We quantitatively compare three ML models while generating forecasts of environment-dependent PL responses: linear regression, echo state network, and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous regressor algorithms. We achieve accuracy of >90% for the latter, while tracking PL changes over a 50 h window. Samples with 17% of Cs content consistently showed a PL increase as a function of cycle. Our precise time-series forecasts can be extended to other HOIP families, illustrating the potential of data-centric approaches to accelerate material development for clean-energy devices.

Quantitative Predictions of Moisture-Driven Photoemission Dynamics in Metal Halide Perovskites via Machine Learning.

Metal halide perovskite (MHP) photovoltaics may become a viable alternative to standard Si-based technologies, but the current lack of long-term stability precludes their commercial adoption. Exposure to standard operational stressors (light, temperature, bias, oxygen, and water) often instigate optical and electronic dynamics, calling for a systematic investigation into MHP photophysical processes and the development of quantitative models for their prediction. We resolve the moisture-driven light emission dynamics for both methylammonium lead tribromide and triiodide thin films as a function of relative humidity (rH). With the humidity and photoluminescence time series, we train recurrent neural networks and establish their ability to quantitatively predict the path of future light emission with 18% error over 4 h. Together, our in situ rH-PL measurements and machine learning forecasting models provide a framework for the rational design of future stable perovskite devices and, thus, a faster transition toward commercial applications.

Machine Learning Roadmap for Perovskite Photovoltaics.

Perovskite solar cells (PSC) are a favorable candidate for next-generation solar systems with efficiencies comparable to Si photovoltaics, but their long-term stability must be proven prior to commercialization. However, traditional trial-and-error approaches to PSC screening, development, and stability testing are slow and labor-intensive. In this Perspective, we present a survey of how machine learning (ML) and autonomous experimentation provide additional toolkits to gain physical understanding while accelerating practical device advancement. We propose a roadmap for applying ML to PSC research at all stages of design (compositional selection, perovskite material synthesis and testing, and full device evaluation). We also provide an overview of relevant concepts and baseline models that apply ML to diverse materials problems, demonstrating its broad relevance while highlighting promising research directions and associated challenges. Finally, we discuss our outlook for an integrated pipeline that encompasses all design stages and presents a path to commercialization.