Characterizing Amino Acid Substitution with Complete Linkage of Sites on a Lineage.

Amino acid substitution models are commonly used for phylogenetic inference, for ancestral sequence reconstruction, and for the inference of positive selection. All commonly used models explicitly assume that each site evolves independently, an assumption that is violated by both linkage and protein structural and functional constraints. We introduce two new models for amino acid substitution which incorporate linkage between sites, each based on the (population-genetic) Moran model. The first model is a generalized population process tracking arbitrarily many sites which undergo mutation, with individuals replaced according to their fitnesses. This model provides a reasonably complete framework for simulations but is numerically and analytically intractable. We also introduce a second model which includes several simplifying assumptions but for which some theoretical results can be derived. We analyze the simplified model to determine conditions where linkage is likely to have meaningful effects on sitewise substitution probabilities, as well as conditions under which the effects are likely to be negligible. These findings are an important step in the generation of tractable phylogenetic models that parameterize selective coefficients for amino acid substitution while accounting for linkage of sites leading to both hitchhiking and background selection.

Detecting Selection on Segregating Gene Duplicates in a Population.

Gene duplication is a fundamental process that has the potential to drive phenotypic differences between populations and species. While evolutionarily neutral changes have the potential to affect phenotypes, detecting selection acting on gene duplicates can uncover cases of adaptive diversification. Existing methods to detect selection on duplicates work mostly inter-specifically and are based upon selection on coding sequence changes, here we present a method to detect selection directly on a copy number variant segregating in a population. The method relies upon expected relationships between allele (new duplication) age and frequency in the population dependent upon the effective population size. Using both a haploid and a diploid population with a Moran Model under several population sizes, the neutral baseline for copy number variants is established. The ability of the method to reject neutrality for duplicates with known age (measured in pairwise dS value) and frequency in the population is established through mathematical analysis and through simulations. Power is particularly good in the diploid case and with larger effective population sizes, as expected. With extension of this method to larger population sizes, this is a tool to analyze selection on copy number variants in any natural or experimentally evolving population. We have made an R package available at https://github.com/peterbchi/CNVSelectR/ which implements the method introduced here.

Inferring the number and position of changes in selective regime in a non-equilibrium mutation-selection framework.

BACKGROUND: Recovering the historical patterns of selection acting on a protein coding sequence is a major goal of evolutionary biology. Mutation-selection models address this problem by explicitly modelling fixation rates as a function of site-specific amino acid fitness values.However, they are restricted in their utility for investigating directional evolution because they require prior knowledge of the locations of fitness changes in the lineages of a phylogeny. RESULTS: We apply a modified mutation-selection methodology that relaxes assumptions of equlibrium and time-reversibility. Our implementation allows us to identify branches where adaptive or compensatory shifts in the fitness landscape have taken place, signalled by a change in amino acid fitness profiles. Through simulation and analysis of an empirical data set of [Formula: see text]-lactamase genes, we test our ability to recover the position of adaptive events within the tree and successfully reconstruct initial codon frequencies and fitness profile parameters generated under the non-stationary model. CONCLUSION: We demonstrate successful detection of selective shifts and identification of the affected branch on partitions of 300 codons or more. We successfully reconstruct fitness parameters and initial codon frequencies in simulated data and demonstrate that failing to account for non-equilibrium evolution can increase the error in fitness profile estimation. We also demonstrate reconstruction of plausible shifts in amino acid fitnesses in the bacterial [Formula: see text]-lactamase family and discuss some caveats for interpretation.

Analysis of a mechanistic Markov model for gene duplicates evolving under subfunctionalization.

BACKGROUND: Gene duplication has been identified as a key process driving functional change in many genomes. Several biological models exist for the evolution of a pair of duplicates after a duplication event, and it is believed that gene duplicates can evolve in different ways, according to one process, or a mix of processes. Subfunctionalization is one such process, under which the two duplicates can be preserved by dividing up the function of the original gene between them. Analysis of genomic data using subfunctionalization and related processes has thus far been relatively coarse-grained, with mathematical treatments usually focusing on the phenomenological features of gene duplicate evolution. RESULTS: Here, we develop and analyze a mathematical model using the mechanics of subfunctionalization and the assumption of Poisson rates of mutation. By making use of the results from the literature on the Phase-Type distribution, we are able to derive exact analytical results for the model. The main advantage of the mechanistic model is that it leads to testable predictions of the phenomenological behavior (instead of building this behavior into the model a priori), and allows for the estimation of biologically meaningful parameters. We fit the survival function implied by this model to real genome data (Homo sapiens, Mus musculus, Rattus norvegicus and Canis familiaris), and compare the fit against commonly used phenomenological survival functions. We estimate the number of regulatory regions, and rates of mutation (relative to silent site mutation) in the coding and regulatory regions. We find that for the four genomes tested the subfunctionalization model predicts that duplicates most-likely have just a few regulatory regions, and the rate of mutation in the coding region is around 5-10 times greater than the rate in the regulatory regions. This is the first model-based estimate of the number of regulatory regions in duplicates. CONCLUSIONS: Strong agreement between empirical results and the predictions of our model suggest that subfunctionalization provides a consistent explanation for the evolution of many gene duplicates.