Common, low-frequency, rare, and ultra-rare coding variants contribute to COVID-19 severity.

The combined impact of common and rare exonic variants in COVID-19 host genetics is currently insufficiently understood. Here, common and rare variants from whole exome sequencing data of about 4,000 SARS-CoV-2-positive individuals were used to define an interpretable machine learning model for predicting COVID-19 severity. Firstly, variants were converted into separate sets of Boolean features, depending on the absence or the presence of variants in each gene. An ensemble of LASSO logistic regression models was used to identify the most informative Boolean features with respect to the genetic bases of severity. The Boolean features selected by these logistic models were combined into an Integrated PolyGenic Score that offers a synthetic and interpretable index for describing the contribution of host genetics in COVID-19 severity, as demonstrated through testing in several independent cohorts. Selected features belong to ultra-rare, rare, low-frequency, and common variants, including those in linkage disequilibrium with known GWAS loci. Noteworthly, around one quarter of the selected genes are sex-specific. Pathway analysis of the selected genes associated with COVID-19 severity reflected the multi-organ nature of the disease. The proposed model might provide useful information for developing diagnostics and therapeutics, while also being able to guide bedside disease management.

The polymorphism L412F in TLR3 inhibits autophagy and is a marker of severe COVID-19 in males.

The polymorphism L412F in TLR3 has been associated with several infectious diseases. However, the mechanism underlying this association is still unexplored. Here, we show that the L412F polymorphism in TLR3 is a marker of severity in COVID-19. This association increases in the sub-cohort of males. Impaired autophagy and reduced TNF production was demonstrated in HEK293 cells transfected with TLR3-L412F plasmid and stimulated with specific agonist poly(I:C). A statistically significant reduced survival at 28 days was shown in L412F COVID-19 patients treated with the autophagy-inhibitor hydroxychloroquine (P=0.038). An increased frequency of autoimmune disorders as co-morbidity was found in L412F COVID-19 males with specific class II HLA haplotypes prone to autoantigen presentation. Our analyses indicate that L412F polymorphism makes males at risk of severe COVID-19 and provides a rationale for reinterpreting clinical trials considering autophagy pathways.

Association of Toll-like receptor 7 variants with life-threatening COVID-19 disease in males

BackgroundCOVID-19 clinical presentation ranges from asymptomatic to fatal outcome. This variability is due in part to host genome specific mutations. Recently, two families in which COVID-19 segregates like an X-linked recessive monogenic disorder environmentally conditioned by SARS-CoV-2 have been reported leading to identification of loss-of-function variants in TLR7. ObjectiveWe sought to determine whether the two families represent the tip of the iceberg of a subset of COVID-19 male patients. MethodsWe compared male subjects with extreme phenotype selected from the Italian GEN-COVID cohort of 1178 SARS-CoV-2-infected subjects (<60y, 79 severe cases versus 77 control cases). We applied the LASSO Logistic Regression analysis, considering only rare variants on the young male subset, picking up TLR7 as the most important susceptibility gene. ResultsRare TLR7 missense variants were predicted to impact on protein function in severely affected males and in none of the asymptomatic subjects. We then investigated a similar white European cohort in Spain, confirming the impact of TRL7 variants. A gene expression profile analysis in peripheral blood mononuclear cells after stimulation with TLR7 agonist demonstrated a reduction of mRNA level of TLR7, IRF7, ISG15, IFN-{square} and IFN-{gamma} in COVID-19 patients compared with unaffected controls demonstrating an impairment in type I and II INF responses. ConclusionYoung males with TLR7 loss-of-function mutations and severe COVID-19 in the two reported families represent only a fraction of a broader and complex host genome situation. Specifically, missense mutations in the X-linked recessive TLR7 disorder may significantly contribute to disease susceptibility in up to 4% of severe COVID-19. Clinical ImplicationIn this new yet complex scenario, our observations provide the basis for a personalized interferon-based therapy in patients with rare TLR7 variants. CAPSULE SUMMARYOur results in large cohorts from Italy and Spain showed that X-linked recessive TLR7 disorder may represent the cause of disease susceptibility to COVID-19 in up to 4% of severely affected young male cases.