Multivariable Risk Modelling and Survival Analysis with Machine Learning in SARS-CoV-2 Infection.

AIM: To evaluate the performance of a machine learning model based on demographic variables, blood tests, pre-existing comorbidities, and computed tomography(CT)-based radiomic features to predict critical outcome in patients with acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled 694 SARS-CoV-2-positive patients. Clinical and demographic data were extracted from clinical records. Radiomic data were extracted from CT. Patients were randomized to the training (80%, n = 556) or test (20%, n = 138) dataset. The training set was used to define the association between severity of disease and comorbidities, laboratory tests, demographic, and CT-based radiomic variables, and to implement a risk-prediction model. The model was evaluated using the C statistic and Brier scores. The test set was used to assess model prediction performance. RESULTS: Patients who died (n = 157) were predominantly male (66%) over the age of 50 with median (range) C-reactive protein (CRP) = 5 [1, 37] mg/dL, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) = 494 [141, 3631] U/I, and D-dimer = 6.006 [168, 152.015] ng/mL. Surviving patients (n = 537) had median (range) CRP = 3 [0, 27] mg/dL, LDH = 484 [78, 3.745] U/I, and D-dimer = 1.133 [96, 55.660] ng/mL. The strongest risk factors were D-dimer, age, and cardiovascular disease. The model implemented using the variables identified using the LASSO Cox regression analysis classified 90% of non-survivors as high-risk individuals in the testing dataset. In this sample, the estimated median survival in the high-risk group was 9 days (95% CI; 9-37), while the low-risk group did not reach the median survival of 50% (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: A machine learning model based on combined data available on the first days of hospitalization (demographics, CT-radiomics, comorbidities, and blood biomarkers), can identify SARS-CoV-2 patients at risk of serious illness and death.

3D CT-Inclusive Deep-Learning Model to Predict Mortality, ICU Admittance, and Intubation in COVID-19 Patients.

Chest CT is a useful initial exam in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) for assessing lung damage. AI-powered predictive models could be useful to better allocate resources in the midst of the pandemic. Our aim was to build a deep-learning (DL) model for COVID-19 outcome prediction inclusive of 3D chest CT images acquired at hospital admission. This retrospective multicentric study included 1051 patients (mean age 69, SD = 15) who presented to the emergency department of three different institutions between 20th March 2020 and 20th January 2021 with COVID-19 confirmed by real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). Chest CT at hospital admission were evaluated by a 3D residual neural network algorithm. Training, internal validation, and external validation groups included 608, 153, and 290 patients, respectively. Images, clinical, and laboratory data were fed into different customizations of a dense neural network to choose the best performing architecture for the prediction of mortality, intubation, and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. The AI model tested on CT and clinical features displayed accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and ROC-AUC, respectively, of 91.7%, 90.5%, 92.4%, and 95% for the prediction of patient's mortality; 91.3%, 91.5%, 89.8%, and 95% for intubation; and 89.6%, 90.2%, 86.5%, and 94% for ICU admission (internal validation) in the testing cohort. The performance was lower in the validation cohort for mortality (71.7%, 55.6%, 74.8%, 72%), intubation (72.6%, 74.7%, 45.7%, 64%), and ICU admission (74.7%, 77%, 46%, 70%) prediction. The addition of the available laboratory data led to an increase in sensitivity for patient's mortality (66%) and specificity for intubation and ICU admission (50%, 52%, respectively), while the other metrics maintained similar performance results. We present a deep-learning model to predict mortality, ICU admittance, and intubation in COVID-19 patients. KEY POINTS: • 3D CT-based deep learning model predicted the internal validation set with high accuracy, sensibility and specificity (> 90%) mortality, ICU admittance, and intubation in COVID-19 patients. • The model slightly increased prediction results when laboratory data were added to the analysis, despite data imbalance. However, the model accuracy dropped when CT images were not considered in the analysis, implying an important role of CT in predicting outcomes.

Do We Have Another Option to Treat Bleeding Hemorrhoids? The Emborrhoid Technique: Experience in 16 Patients.

BACKGROUND: Hemorrhoidal disease is very common in western countries and rectal bleeding is the main symptom complained by patients. Nowadays the ultimate goal of treatment is to block the bleeding with minimally-invasive techniques to minimize post-procedural pain. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to assess the preliminary results of the emborrhoid technique (embolization of the superior rectal arteries branches) as a new tool for the proctologist to treat severe bleeding hemorrhoids causing anemia. Many categories of patients might benefit from this treatment, such as patients not eligible for conventional surgery, patients not responding to conventional treatment and fit patients with severe bleeding who refused endorectal surgical therapy. METHODS: From May 2017 to November 2018 a total of 16 patients with chronic rectal bleeding due to hemorrhoids underwent super-selective embolization of the superior rectal arteries at the department of General Surgery in La Spezia, S. Andrea Hospital, Italy. Median age was 59 years. 14 patients were males (87.5%). RESULTS: No post-procedural and short-term complications were observed at maximum follow up (12 months). The reduction of rectal bleeding with improvement of the quality of life was obtained in 14 patients (87.5%). CONCLUSION: Our study, although small in number, demonstrates that embolization of superior rectal arteries with coils to treat severe bleeding due to hemorrhoids is safe and effective and does not lead to immediate complications.

Pre-operative Renal Artery Embolization in Laparoscopic Radical and Partial Nephrectomy: A Multidisciplinary Approach to Renal Tumors.

BACKGROUND: Despite being widely adopted, the laparoscopic approach to radical and partial nephrectomy is still burdened by high rates of hemorrhagic complications, which require blood transfusions and conversion to open surgery with increased morbidity. While pre-operative renal artery embolization (PRAE) can prevent intraoperative blood loss and vascular injuries, its prophylactic use is still a matter of debate. This study evaluated the safety and efficacy of PRAE in overcoming the main pitfalls of laparoscopy, which are related to the absence of tactile feedback. METHODS: Data from 48 patients who underwent laparoscopic nephrectomy for cancer (34 laparoscopic radical nephrectomy (LRN) and 14 "off-clamp" laparoscopic partial nephrectomy (LPN) after selective and superselective PRAE, respectively) were retrospectively evaluated. RESULTS: The overall median blood loss was 50 ml and only 2 patients (4%) required one unit of blood products. While conversion to open surgery was not required in the LPN group, one case in the LRN group was converted to open surgery due to intraoperative incoercible bleeding from an unrecognized, and thus not embolized, aberrant inferior polar artery. Post-embolization syndrome occurred in 7 patients (15%), resulting in mild flank pain and nausea. No patients in the LPN group experienced new onset of acute renal failure. CONCLUSION: Our experience supports pre-operative renal embolization as a safe, minimally invasive procedure that is effective for reducing perioperative bleeding in the laparoscopic setting.

Viabahn stent for hemodialysis shunt: efficacy, long segment recanalization and prognostic factors for reintervention.

INTRODUCTION: The study evaluated the Heparin Bioactive Surface (HBS) Viabahn Stent (W.L. Gore & Associates, Flagstaff, Arizona) efficacy in the maintenance or re-establishment of hemodialysis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Fifty HBS Viabahn stents deployed in 37 consecutive patients with hemodialysis dysfunction from January 2008 to May 2016 were evaluated in a single-institution retrospective review. Outcomes were stent patency intended as primary circuit patency (PP), assisted primary patency (APP), target lesion primary patency (TLPP) and secondary patency (SP). Moreover, the risk factor analysis for hemodialysis dysfunction that required reintervention was performed. A subgroup analysis was conducted to assess patency of Viabahn stent to treat peripheral venous long segment obstruction (LSO). RESULTS: Overall Kaplan-Meyer PPs were 60% at 12 months and 42% at 24 months. Overall TLPP estimated rates were 68% and 49% at 12 and 24 months, respectively. The corresponding SP rates were 85% and 78% at the same period. Estimated PP rates at 12 and 24 months for stent placement after peripheral venous long segment recanalization procedure were 53% and 31%, respectively. Corresponding SP rates were 82% and 68%, respectively. The APP rates were 79% at 12 months and 61% at 24 months. Female sex, access age and thrombosis were associated with reduced primary patency. CONCLUSIONS: Considering the high rates of PP, TLPP, APP and SP, Viabahn stents have been proven effective in maintaining or re-establishing the hemodialysis access. Moreover, stent placement after recanalization of LSO of venous out-flow represented a valid approach to rescue a dysfunctional fistula that would otherwise be abandoned.

Precoagulation-assisted parenchyma-sparing laparoscopic liver surgery: rationale and surgical technique.

BACKGROUND: For the treatment of both primary and metastatic liver tumors, laparoscopic parenchyma-sparing surgery is advocated to reduce postoperative liver failure and facilitate reoperation in the case of recurrence. However, atypical and wedge resections are associated with a higher amount of intraoperative bleeding than are anatomical resections, and such bleeding is known to affect short- and long-term outcomes. Beyond the established role of radiofrequency and microwave ablation in the setting of inoperable liver tumors, the application of thermoablative energy along the plane of the liver surface to be transected results in a zone of coagulative necrosis, possibly minimizing bleeding of the cut liver surface during parenchymal transection. METHODS: From January 2013 to March 2016, a total of 20 selected patients underwent laparoscopic ultrasound-guided liver resection with thermoablative precoagulation of the transection line. RESULTS: During a period of 38 months, 50 laparoscopic thermoablative procedures were performed. Colorectal liver metastases were the most frequent diagnosis. Seventy-two percent of the nodules were removed using parenchymal transection with radiofrequency-precoagulation, while microwave-precoagulation was performed for 20 % of the resected nodules. The remaining 8 % of the nodules were treated by thermoablation alone. The hepatic pedicle was intermittently clamped in six patients. The mean blood loss was 290 mL, and four patients required perioperative transfusions. CONCLUSIONS: Precoagulation-assisted parenchyma-sparing laparoscopic liver surgery can get minimal blood loss during parenchymal transection and lower the need for perioperative transfusions, providing a nonquantifiable margin of oncological safety on the remaining liver. Additional results from larger series are advocated to confirm these preliminary data.

A Rare Anatomical Variant of Spermatic Vein as Cause of Recurrence After Surgical Correction of Varicocele.

Varicocele may be treated with many different modalities, including radiologic and surgical approaches, but what is the best treatment remains controversial. The recurrence rate following varicocele repair ranges from 0.6% to 35% depending upon the technique used. We describe in detail a rare anatomical variant of the left internal spermatic veins and the appropriate treatment of recurrent varicocele with percutaneous scleroembolization. In case of recurrent varicocele after surgical repair, knowledge of anatomical variability of internal spermatic veins is essential for treatment planning.

Role of B-scan ocular ultrasound as an adjuvant for the clinical assessment of eyeball diseases: a pictorial essay.

We report our experience in B-mode ocular ultrasonography, focusing on its contribution when the clinical examination proves to be difficult, mainly due to the existence of intraocular opacities of the ocular fundus or diagnostic doubts. We revise the ocular ultrasound technique, its indications and contraindications, comparing to the other imaging techniques. In our experience ultrasonography revealed pathological findings which confirmed the clinical suspicion in most of cases or provide additional information. With understanding of the indications for ultrasonography and proper examination technique, one can gather a vast amount of information not possible with clinical examination alone.

Rosuvastatin-induced acute interstitial nephritis.

We report a case of acute interstitial nephritis (AIN), most likely induced by rosuvastatin, in an 83-year-old male patient. The patient underwent angioplasty of the left internal carotid artery, after which he began a regimen of rosuvastatin (20 mg/day). After 3 weeks the patient was admitted to our unit for acute renal failure with mild proteinuria with negligible urinary sediment. A left kidney biopsy showed dense interstitial infiltrates, mainly composed of lymphocytes with evident tubulitis. Rosuvastatin withdrawal plus prednisolone (1 mg/kg/day) treatment, which was slowly tapered over a period of 4 weeks, allowed for a complete recovery of renal function. To our knowledge, this is the first case report of rosuvastatin-induced AIN. Acute renal failure is associated with a clear increase in morbidity, length of hospital stay and mortality. Moreover, since statins are among the most widely prescribed drugs in Western countries, we think that the risk of AIN should be taken into account as a possible side effect of rosuvastatin.

Comparison of embolic load in femoropopliteal interventions: percutaneous transluminal angioplasty versus stenting.

PURPOSE: To compare the incidence of distal emboli occurring during percutaneous transluminal angioplasty (PTA) and primary stent on the superficial femoral artery (SFA) METHODS: A total of 50 consecutive patients were entered in a prospective, randomized trial. Inclusion criteria were the presence of symptomatic limb ischemia due to stenosis or occlusion of the SFA. An embolic protection device was placed in the popliteal artery. The patients were then randomly assigned to undergo primary stent implantation or PTA. The filters were retrieved and sent for histologic examination. RESULTS: Stenting in the SFA produced more emboli (1.44 mm(3)) than PTA (0.772 mm(3)), P = .031. Reanalyzing the patients according to actual treatment performed, volume of debris in the stent group was 1.271 mm(3) and in the PTA group was 0.191 mm(3), P = .00087. CONCLUSION: Volume of embolized material during endovascular interventions in the SFA-above-knee popliteal artery is higher when a stent is used.

The 'docking maneuver' for Gore Excluder positioning in the treatment of abdominal aortic aneurysms with an ectatic neck.

The aim was to present a technical modification to the 'funnel technique' that allows endovascular repair of infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysms with an ectatic neck. The body of the Excluder endograft is opened inside the aneurysm, using the slow deployment technique, stopping as soon as the contralateral limb is open. The gate is cannulated in the usual fashion. A percutaneous transluminal angioplasty (PTA) balloon is introduced in the contralateral limb and inflated to nominal pressure. By pulling the introducer of the Excluder delivery system on one side and the PTA balloon on the other, the graft is positioned on the bifurcation with the contralateral leg inside the common iliac artery. At this point, the ipsilateral iliac leg is deployed and the thoracic endograft can be positioned through the abdominal component. Finally, the contralateral iliac leg is deployed. The technique described offers a simple method to treat aortic abdominal aneurysms with an ectatic neck by positioning a bifurcated abdominal graft in such a way that subsequent insertion of the thoracic component is facilitated.

Endovascular repair of a profunda femoris artery aneurysm.

Profunda femoris artery (PFA) aneurysms are rare and they are usually treated with open surgery. We report the case of an 87-year-old patient who during the preoperative work-up for an abdominal aortic aneurysm was found to have a 4.2-cm aneurysm of the right PFA. A percutaneous transcatheter coil embolization was successfully performed using a contralateral retrograde approach. To date, only three patients, including the present case, have been treated with transcatheter coil embolization for a PFA aneurysm. In the absence of concomitant superficial femoral artery disease, embolization of aneurysms of the profunda femoris seems to be a safe and minimally invasive alternative to open repair in selected patients.

Use of India ink during preoperative computed tomography localization of small peripheral undiagnosed pulmonary nodules for thoracoscopic resection.

BACKGROUND: Computed tomography (CT) scans of the chest permit us to identify a large number of small peripheral, undefined pulmonary lesions that require a diagnosis. Broncoscopy results are generally negative in these cases, and needle aspiration results are often inconclusive owing to poor cytology and false-negative cases. Thoracoscopy is an ideal tool but allows us only to localize lesions that retract the visceral pleura. Our aim in this study was to establish a marking procedure for excising nodules of unknown etiology by injecting India ink on the surface of the lung. METHODS: Since January 2008, eight patients (six men, two women) who had been diagnosed as having a peripheral small pulmonary nodule of unknown etiology were selected for preoperative tattooing under CT guidance to facilitate thoracoscopic wedge resection. RESULTS: In six cases, thoracoscopy allowed diagnosis and definitive treatment of two benign peripheral nodules and four single metastases from colon carcinoma. In two patients who had been diagnosed to have a primitive non-small-cell lung cancer on frozen section following thoracoscopy, the surgical treatment was concluded with limited lateral thoracotomy and lobectomy with ilomediastinal node dissection. CONCLUSIONS: Our experience suggests that this CT technique, which includes using India ink to label and localize peripheral small pulmonary nodules, is a safe, valid option for marking the lung, thereby facilitating subsequent thoracoscopic resection.