The Framingham Risk Score Is Associated with Chronic Graft Failure in Renal Transplant Recipients.

Predicting chronic graft failure in renal transplant recipients (RTR) is an unmet clinical need. Chronic graft failure is often accompanied by transplant vasculopathy, the formation of de novo atherosclerosis in the transplanted kidney. Therefore, we determined whether the 10-year Framingham risk score (FRS), an established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease prediction module, is associated with chronic graft failure in RTR. In this prospective longitudinal study, 600 well-characterised RTR were followed for 10 years. The association with death-censored chronic graft failure (n = 81, 13.5%) was computed. An extended Cox model showed that each one percent increase of the FRS significantly increased the risk of chronic graft failure by 4% (HR: 1.04, p < 0.001). This association remained significant after adjustment for potential confounders, including eGFR (HR: 1.03, p = 0.014). Adding the FRS to eGFR resulted in a higher AUC in a receiver operating curve (AUC = 0.79, p < 0.001) than eGFR alone (AUC = 0.75, p < 0.001), and an improvement in the model likelihood ratio statistic (67.60 to 88.39, p < 0.001). These results suggest that a combination of the FRS and eGFR improves risk prediction. The easy to determine and widely available FRS has clinical potential to predict chronic graft failure in RTR.

Proteoglycan binding as proatherogenic function metric of apoB-containing lipoproteins and chronic kidney graft failure.

Lipoprotein-proteoglycan binding is an early key event in atherosclerotic lesion formation and thus conceivably could play a major role in vasculopathy-driven chronic graft failure and cardiovascular mortality in renal transplant recipients. The present study investigated whether lipoprotein-proteoglycan binding susceptibility (LPBS) of apoB-containing lipoproteins and levels of the classical atherosclerosis biomarker LDL-C were associated with cardiovascular mortality (n = 130) and graft failure (n = 73) in 589 renal transplant recipients who were followed up from at least 1 year after transplantation for 9.5 years. At baseline, LPBS was significantly higher in patients who subsequently developed graft failure than in those with a surviving graft (1.68 ± 0.93 vs. 1.46 ± 0.49 nmol/mmol, P = 0.001). Cox regression analysis showed an association between LPBS and chronic graft failure in an age- and sex-adjusted model (hazard ratio: 1.45; 95% CI, 1.14-1.85; P = 0.002), but no association was observed with cardiovascular mortality. LDL-C levels were not associated with graft failure or cardiovascular mortality. This study shows that measurement of cholesterol retention outperformed the traditionally used quantitative parameter of LDL-C levels in predicting graft failure, suggesting a higher relevance of proatherogenic function than the quantity of apoB-containing lipoproteins in chronic kidney graft failure.