Riding high: seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 after 4 pandemic waves in Manitoba, Canada, April 2020-February 2022.

BACKGROUND: Canada is emerging from the largest SARS-CoV-2 Omicron wave to date, with over 3.3 million confirmed cases. Unfortunately, PCR confirmed cases illuminate only a small portion of infections in the community and underestimate true disease burden. Population based seroprevalence studies, which measure antibody levels against a virus can more accurately estimate infection rates in the community and identify geographical and epidemiological trends to inform public health responses. METHODS: The Manitoba COVID-19 Seroprevalence (MCS) study is a population-based cross-sectional study to assess the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies across the province. Residual convenience specimens (n = 14,901) were tested for anti-SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid and spike IgG antibodies from April 1, 2020 to February 31, 2022. We estimated the monthly and cumulative prevalence using an exponential decay model, accounting for population demographics, sensitivity/specificity, and antibody waning. This approach generated estimates of natural infection as well as total antibody including vaccine-induced immunity within the community. FINDINGS: After four waves of the pandemic, 60.1% (95%CI-56.6-63.7) of Manitobans have generated SARS-CoV-2 antibodies due to natural exposure independent of vaccination. Geographical analysis indicates a large portion of provincial prevalence stems from increased transmission in the Northern (92.3%) and Southern (71.8%) regional health authorities. Despite the high mortality rates reported by Manitoba, infection fatality ratios (IFR) peaked at 0.67% and declined to 0.20% following the Omicron wave, indicating parity with other national and international jurisdictions. Manitoba has achieved 93.4% (95%CI- 91.5-95.1) total antibody when including vaccination. INTERPRETATION: Our data shows that more than 3 in 5 Manitobans have been infected by SARS-CoV-2 after four waves of the pandemic. This study also identifies key geographical and age specific prevalence rates that have contributed greatly to the overall severity of the pandemic in Manitoba and will inform jurisdictions considering reduction of public health measures.

Expanded prenatal syphilis screening in Manitoba, Canada: a direct short-term cost-avoidance analysis in an outbreak context.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to provide a direct short-term cost-avoidance analysis of expanded three-time prenatal syphilis screening in the context of Manitoba's ongoing outbreak. METHODS: A conservative modelling approach increased all financial costs of prenatal screening and minimized the direct costs of congenital syphilis treatment. The cost of syphilis screening was calculated using instrument, reagent and consumable costs as well as laboratory overhead and labour costs as documented by Cadham Provincial Laboratory. The short-term direct costs of treating congenital syphilis were calculated using hospital costs and doctor's billing fees. All costs were calculated in 2021 Canadian dollars. These numbers were applied to Manitoba's 2021 congenital syphilis statistics to provide a pragmatic cost-avoidance analysis. RESULTS: The cost of applying three-time prenatal syphilis screening to all 16,800 yearly pregnancies in Manitoba equalled CAD $139,608.00 per year. The direct short-term cost of treating one uncomplicated case of congenital syphilis was $18,151.40. As 81 cases of congenital syphilis were treated in Manitoba in 2021, the short-term direct cost of treating congenital syphilis in Manitoba in 2021 was $1,470,263.40. Applying screening costs to the 125 adequately prevented cases of congenital syphilis in 2021, the screening program is associated with a cost-avoidance ratio of 16.25. If no prenatal syphilis program existed in Manitoba, an expanded screening program would be associated with a cost-avoidance ratio of 26.8. CONCLUSION: Expanding prenatal syphilis screening is highly cost-avoidant in Manitoba. The 81 cases of congenital syphilis treated in Manitoba in 2021 highlight the need for novel community-based approaches to increase accessibility and engagement with prenatal care.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIF: Dans le contexte de l'éclosion de syphilis qui sévit actuellement au Manitoba, notre étude vise à présenter une analyse des coûts directs à court terme qui pourraient être évités en étendant le dépistage de la syphilis au cours des trois trimestres de la grossesse. MéTHODE: En adoptant une approche de modélisation prudente, nous avons accru tous les coûts financiers du dépistage anténatal et réduit les coûts de traitement directs de la syphilis congénitale. Les coûts de dépistage de la syphilis ont été calculés en utilisant les coûts des instruments, des réactifs et des consommables, ainsi que les frais généraux et les coûts de main-d'œuvre des laboratoires selon le Laboratoire provincial Cadham. Les coûts directs à court terme du traitement de la syphilis congénitale ont été calculés en utilisant les frais hospitaliers et les frais facturés par les médecins. Tous les coûts ont été calculés en dollars canadiens de 2021. Ces chiffres ont été appliqués aux statistiques de 2021 du Manitoba sur la syphilis congénitale pour produire une analyse pragmatique de prévention des coûts. RéSULTATS: Le coût d'étendre le dépistage de la syphilis au cours des trois trimestres de la grossesse aux 16 800 grossesses annuelles au Manitoba représentait 139 608 $ CAN par année. Le coût direct à court terme du traitement d'un cas de syphilis congénitale sans complications était de 18 151,40 $. Étant donné que 81 cas de syphilis congénitale ont été traités au Manitoba en 2021, le coût direct à court terme du traitement de syphilis congénitale dans la province en 2021 s'est élevé à 1 470 263,40 $. En appliquant les coûts de dépistage aux 125 cas de syphilis congénitale que l'on a réussi à prévenir en 2021, le programme de dépistage est associé à un rapport de prévention des coûts de 16,25. S'il n'existait aucun programme de dépistage anténatal de la syphilis au Manitoba, un programme de dépistage élargi serait associé à un rapport de prévention des coûts de 26,8. CONCLUSION: L'expansion du dépistage anténatal de la syphilis serait une mesure de prévention des coûts très efficace au Manitoba. Les 81 cas de syphilis congénitale traités dans la province en 2021 montrent qu'il faut adopter de nouvelles approches de proximité pour améliorer l'accès et la participation aux soins anténatals.

Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome Following SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination in Two Children.

This report presents 2 pediatric cases of multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children and adults (MIS-C/A) post severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccination (MIS-V). Both children presented with MIS-V within 6 weeks of receiving their first and only dose of Pfizer-BioNTech's SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. The first patient had symptoms of MIS-C/A with peri-myocarditis and shock, and the second 1 had classic Kawasaki disease features. Both responded well to intravenous immunoglobulins and/or systemic corticosteroids. Both children were positive only for SARS-2-CoV antispike (S) (and not for antinucleocapsid [NC]) antibodies consistent with a postvaccine, and not a postinfection, event. Surveillance for rare adverse events following immunization should continue, especially now that SARS-CoV-2 vaccination is approved in the 5 to 11 year age group that has had the highest risk of developing MIS-C post SARS-CoV-2 infection. Our patients did not receive any further SARS-CoV-2 vaccines. Our report highlights the importance of measuring differentiating antibodies (anti-S and anti-NC) that can be used within a specific timeframe to help determine if a patient has MIS-V post vaccine (only anti-S present), or MIS-C/A post SARS-CoV-2 infection (both anti-S and anti-NC present).