Climbing Stairs, Handrail Use, and Survival.

BACKGROUND: Negotiating stairs is identified as a challenging task by older people, and using a handrail to climb stairs is a compensatory gait strategy to overcome mobility difficulties. We examine the association between handrail use to climb stairs at increasing ages, and long term survival. METHODS: Data were collected by the Jerusalem Longitudinal Study, which is a prospective study of a representative sample from the 1920-1921 birth-cohort living in West Jerusalem. Comprehensive assessment at home in 1990, 1998, and 2005, at ages 70 (n=446), 78 (n=897), and 85 (n=1041) included direct questioning concerning handrail use for climbing stairs. Mortality data were collected from age 70-90. RESULTS: The frequency of handrail use to climb stairs at ages 70, 78, 85 years was 23.1% (n=103/446), 41.0% (n=368/897), and 86.7% (n=903/1041) respectively. Handrail use was associated throughout follow-up with a consistent pattern of negative demographic, functional and medical parameters. Between ages 70-78, 70-90, 78-85, 78-90, and 85-90, survival was significantly lower among subjects using a handrail, with unadjusted mortality Hazard Ratios of HR 1.57 (95%CI, 1.01-2.42), HR 1.65 (95%CI, 1.27-2.14), HR 1.78 (95%CI, 1.41-2.25), HR 1.71 (95%CI, 1.41-2.06), and HR 1.53 (95%CI, 1.01-2.33) respectively. HR's remained significant at all ages after adjusting for sociodemographic factors (gender, education, marital, and financial status), and common medical conditions (ischemic heart disease, hypertension, diabetes, chronic pain), as well as between ages 78-85 and 78-90 after adjusting for functional covariables (self-rated health, physical activity, depression, BMI and ADL difficulties). CONCLUSION: Using a handrail to climb stairs is increasingly common with rising age, was associated with a negative profile of health parameters and is associated with subsequent mortality.

Frailty, cognitive impairment and mortality among the oldest old.

INTRODUCTION: Both frailty and cognitive impairment are increasingly prevalent with advancing age. Nonetheless among the oldest old their relationship is poorly described. This study examines the association between frailty status and cognitive impairment at age 85 and their impact on 5-year mortality. METHODS: A representative sample of 840 community dwelling people from the Jerusalem Longitudinal Cohort Study was comprehensively assessed at age 85. Frailty was defined according to the "phenotype of frailty", as including at least three of the following: weight loss, slowness, weakness, exhaustion and low physical activity levels. Pre frailty was defined as 1-2/5 criteria. Cognitive impairment was assessed according to the Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE). Mortality data was collected from age 85-90. RESULTS: A total of 164 (19.5%) were frail, 470 (56%) were pre frail and 206 (24.5%) were not frail, with prevalence of MMSE≤24 being 53.3%, 15%, and 7.4% respectively. A uniform pattern of increased adverse health, affective, disease and functional measures were associated with frailty status. Frailty status was significantly associated with cognitive impairment, with an Odds Ratios of 3.77 (95%CI 1.42-9.99) for MMSE≤24 after adjustment for socio demographic, medical mood and functional covariates. Among frail, pre frail and non frail subjects, 5-year mortality was 44.5%, 20.4%, 13.6% respectively. Mortality among frail subjects with or without cognitive impairment was 54.2% vs. 54.9%, p=0.9). Adjusting together for frailty, MMSE, education and gender, the Hazards ratio for 5-year mortality for frailty was 3.861 (95%CI 2.4-6.2), and for MMSE≤24 was 1.25 (95%CI 0.87-1.78). CONCLUSIONS: Among the oldest old, frailty status was significantly associated with cognitive impairment; after adjustment, frailty alone was predictive of subsequent mortality.

Glomerular filtration rate estimation and mortality in an elderly population.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have addressed the link between minor renal dysfunction and mortality in the elderly. AIM: To compare three equations for estimated GFR (eGFR) in assessing renal dysfunction and predicting mortality in an elderly population. DESIGN: Longitudinal observational study. METHODS: We studied 441 people from the Jerusalem Seventy Year Olds Longitudinal Study who had measurements of serum creatinine, all of whom were aged 70 years at study initiation and were living in the community. GFR was estimated based on serum creatinine and using the Cockcroft-Gault (CG), the abbreviated Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) and the Mayo Clinic equations. Twelve-year mortality was the main outcome measure. RESULTS: The prevalence of reduced eGFR was 51% using the CG, 34% using MDRD and 16% using the Mayo Clinic equation. eGFR dichotomized by the definition of CKD significantly predicted mortality only with the Mayo Clinic equation (hazard ratio 1.56, 95%CI 1.01-2.39). When eGFR was divided into quartiles and the lowest compared to the highest, all equations predicted mortality. Hazard ratios (95%CI) were 5.48 (1.27-23.65), 7.47 (2.74-20.3), and 7.375 (3.13-17.36), for CG, MDRD, and Mayo Clinic, respectively. DISCUSSION: Reduced eGFR was prevalent in this study group, and associated with mortality. This association was strongest using the Mayo Clinic equation.

Moderate renal insufficiency at 70 years predicts mortality.

BACKGROUND: Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) diminishes with age. Kidney function in the elderly is often assessed by serum creatinine alone, although it is insensitive in this age group. Formulae for predicting GFR are not widely used. AIM: To study the effect of low predicted GFR on mortality. DESIGN: Longitudinal cohort study. SETTING: The community-based Jerusalem Seventy Year Olds Longitudinal Study. METHODS: We studied 445 subjects, all aged 70 years, using questionnaires, a medical examination with history-taking, and standard laboratory tests. Moderate renal insufficiency was defined as a predicted GFR of <60 ml/min, based on the Cockcroft-Gault (CG) and the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) equations. RESULTS: Predicted GFR was normally distributed, with a mean +/- SD of 62.4 +/- 15.27 ml/min. Predicted GFR was <60 ml/min in 221 (46%), most of whom had normal serum creatinine. Twelve-year mortality was 38.7% in these 221 vs. 27% in the other 204. The survival advantage was already evident after 3 years. Under Cox proportional hazard analysis using numerous common risk factors as independent variables, lower predicted GFR had a significant mortality risk (hazard ratio 2.108, 95%CI 1.43-3.12, p = 0.0002). DISCUSSION: In community-dwelling elderly people, moderate renal insufficiency as assessed using the CG equation is a strong and independent predictor of mortality. Most of these at-risk patients have 'normal' serum creatinine.

A prospective comparison of the use of nasogastric and percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy tubes for long-term enteral feeding in older people.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the indications for and the outcome of long-term enteral feeding by nasogastric tube (NGT) with that of percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy (PEG) tube. DESIGN: A prospective, multicenter cohort study. SETTING: Acute geriatric units and long-term care (LTC) hospitals in Jerusalem, Israel. PARTICIPANTS: 122 chronic patients aged 65 years and older for whom long-term enteral feeding was indicated as determined by the treating physician. Patients with acute medical conditions at the time of tube placement were excluded. MEASUREMENTS: We examined the indications for enteral feeding, nutritional status, outcome and complications in all subjects. Subjects were followed for a minimum period of six months. RESULTS: Although the PEG patients were older and had a higher incidence of dementia, there was an improved survival in those patients with PEG as compared to NGT (hazard ratio (HR)=0.41; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.22-0.76; P=0.01). Also, the patients with PEG had a lower rate of aspiration (HR=0.48; 95% CI 0.26-0.89) and self-extubation (HR=0.17; 95% CI 0.05-0.58) than those with NGT. Apart from a significant improvement in the serum albumin level at the 4-week follow-up assessment in the patients with PEG compared to those with NGT (adjusted mean 3.35 compared to 3.08; F=4.982), nutritional status was otherwise similar in both groups. CONCLUSION: In long-term enteral feeding, in a selected group of non-acute patients, the use of PEG was associated with improved survival, was better tolerated by the patient and was associated with a lower incidence of aspiration. A randomized controlled study is needed to determine whether PEG is truly superior to NGT.

Nutrition and quality of life in the aged: the Jerusalem 70-year olds longitudinal study.

Inadequate nutrition is a major problem of elderly people today. Yet, despite the prevalence and significance of the problem, there is little information on the nutritional status of elderly persons in the community, and its impact on their quality of life. During 1990-1991, as part of a first cross-section in a longitudinal medical and social study of 70-year olds in Jerusalem, we surveyed the nutritional status of this population. During the first phase, 605 people were examined in their homes; data were collected regarding socioeconomic status, education, self-perceived health state, use of medications and health services, and ADL. During the second stage, a sub-group of 463 people was examined in a geriatric outpatient clinic; all subjects underwent medical history, physical examination, cognitive assessment, psychiatric questionnaire, blood and urine tests, electrocardiogram, and pulmonary function tests. In addition, general hospital admissions and morbidity and mortality in the two years following the study were studied. The nutritional status of the participants was determined according to nutritional assessment (NA) scale, based on the Mini Nutritional Assessment (MNA). The majority of the study population lived at home, was without cognitive disturbance (86%), and was independent in ADL (83%). Based on NA > 24, 91% of the study population were in good nutritional state, 8.3% were at risk of undernutrition, and 0.7% were malnourished. There was a significant positive relationship between NA score and ADL as well as cognitive state. In addition, a strong negative relation was found between NA score and visits to the family physician in the previous fortnight, visits to the emergency room in the previous year, and hospital admissions in the following two years. An inverse relation, although not significant, was found between NA score and two-year post-study mortality. These results suggest that the nutritional status of the studied population is inadequate, and that the nutritional state is one of the major determinants of the quality of life in the elderly and therefore, should be part of any geriatric assessment. Elder population surveys are needed to identify and treat at risk elders.

The effects of physical activity on mortality in the Jerusalem 70-Year-Olds Longitudinal Study.

OBJECTIVE: To study the association between physical activity and mortality in older men and women. DESIGN: A community-based cohort study: the Jerusalem 70-Year-Olds Longitudinal Study. PARTICIPANTS: A systematically selected and representative sample of all residents of the western part of Jerusalem born in 1920-1921: 456 subjects, 25% of the total population. MEASUREMENTS: An extensive social and medical profile was developed by extensive interview and physical and ancillary examination. Medical diagnoses were established and subjects reported their level of regular physical activity. RESULTS: Unadjusted mortality at 6-year follow-up was significantly greater for subjects reporting no regular exercise than for those walking as little as 4 hours weekly (23.4% vs 9.9%, odds ratio (OR) = 2.77; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.64-4.69). The significance of these benefits was demonstrated for males as well as for females (30.28% vs 12.14%, P < .001, 16.19% vs 6.86%, P = .036, respectively). Logistic regression analysis demonstrated the survival advantage to be independent of gender, smoking, subjective economic hardship, or preexisting medical conditions (hypertension; diabetes; coronary artery, cerebrovascular, renal, and respiratory diseases; anemia; and malignancy). Increased regularity of activity correlated with declining mortality. The odds ratios for mortality compared to the sedentary group were 0.73 (CI, 0.33-1.62) for those doing sports activity at least twice weekly, 0.41 (CI, 0.19-0.91) for those walking at least 4 hours weekly, 0.14 (CI, 0.04-0.50) for those exercising daily, and 0.40 (CI, 0.22-0.72) for all levels of physical activity combined. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that regular physical activity confers increased survival in the aged. It is proposed that older people be encouraged to engage in regular, moderate physical activity.

Maggot therapy for the treatment of intractable wounds.

BACKGROUND: Fly maggots have been known for centuries to help debride and heal wounds. Maggot therapy was first introduced in the USA in 1931 and was routinely used there until the mid-1940s in over 300 hospitals. With the advent of antimicrobiols, maggot therapy became rare until the early 1990s, when it was re-introduced in the USA, UK, and Israel. The objective of this study was to assess the efficacy of maggot therapy for the treatment of intractable, chronic wounds and ulcers in long-term hospitalized patients in Israel. METHODS: Twenty-five patients, suffering mostly from chronic leg ulcers and pressure sores in the lower sacral area, were treated in an open study using maggots of the green bottle fly, Phaenicia sericata. The wounds had been present for 1-90 months before maggot therapy was applied. Thirty-five wounds were located on the foot or calf of the patients, one on the thumb, while the pressure sores were on the lower back. Sterile maggots (50-1000) were administered to the wound two to five times weekly and replaced every 1-2 days. Hospitalized patients were treated in five departments of the Hadassah Hospital, two geriatric hospitals, and one outpatient clinic in Jerusalem. The underlying diseases or the causes of the development of wounds were venous stasis (12), paraplegia (5), hemiplegia (2), Birger's disease (1), lymphostasis (1), thalassemia (1), polycythemia (1), dementia (1), and basal cell carcinoma (1). Subjects were examined daily or every second day until complete debridement of the wound was noted. RESULTS: Complete debridement was achieved in 38 wounds (88.4%); in three wounds (7%), the debridement was significant, in one (2.3%) partial, and one wound (2.3%) remained unchanged. In five patients who were referred for amputation of the leg, the extremities was salvaged after maggot therapy. CONCLUSIONS: Maggot therapy is a relatively rapid and effective treatment, particularly in large necrotic wounds requiring debridement and resistant to conventional treatment and conservative surgical intervention.

Independence in instrumental activities of daily living and its effect on mortality.

Factors relating to six-year mortality in a representative sample of seventy-year-old Jerusalem residents (N = 605) were investigated using logistic regression techniques. Around 16.3% of the study population died during the six-year post-interview period. Bivariate analysis found elevated mortality related to being male, having more than one IADL dysfunction, more than two ADL dysfunctions, financial problems, no social support in times of emergencies, bad self-rated health status, cognitive impairment, confinement to bed during the fortnight prior to interview, and lack of regular exercise. Logistic regression controlling for gender, various clinical diagnoses, financial state, social support and smoking status showed IADL (ROR = 4.57, 95% CI 1.51, 13.90), cognitive impairment (ROR = 3.99, 95% CI 1.85, 8.59) and having been bed-sick a week or more during the preceding fortnight (ROR = 6.60, 95% CI 1.00, 43.86) to be independent predictors of mortality. All persons who had a cognitive problem and were dysfunctional in more than two IADL categories, and 93.8% of persons who had been bed-sick and had more than one IADL dysfunction died during the study period. Combined measures of these three easily obtainable variables could prove a cheap and efficient method of identifying at-risk elderly persons in order to provide them with specific programs aimed at decreasing functional decline, and hence mortality.

Mortality in the Jerusalem 70-year-olds longitudinal study: does nifedipine have a role?

BACKGROUND: Short-acting nifedipine was found to be associated with increased mortality in elderly patients in some studies. METHODS: We examined effects of long-acting nifedipine in a longitudinal study of Jerusalem 70 year olds (448 participants). RESULTS: After follow-up of 6.5 years (1990-1996) 70 subjects died. We examined the effects of baseline variables on total mortality. Hypertensives had higher mortality than normotensives, 21.2% versus 13.8%, p = 0.01. Diuretic-treated patients (n = 72), mostly hypertensive (n = 71), had significantly higher mortality than non-diuretic-treated patients (n = 375), 45.5% versus 14.1%; p < 0.001. Although nifedipine-treated patients had a higher prevalence of coronary heart disease diagnosis than diuretic-treated patients (52% versus 35%), their relative risk of mortality was 0.8 (CI 0.4-1.4) of that of diuretic-treated patients. A multiple logistic regression model, including gender, systolic blood pressure, creatinine, cholesterol, diagnosis of congestive heart failure, cardiovascular arrest, diabetes, previous myocardial infarction, physical activity, nifedipine, other calcium channel and beta blockers and diuretics, found only serum creatinine and diuretic therapy associated with total mortality, p = 0.004 and p < 0.02, respectively. When interaction terms were added to account for drug combinations, diuretic therapy lost significance, but the combination of diuretics and beta blockers (probably representing a more severe form of hypertension) became significant, p = 0.03. CONCLUSION: Long acting nifedipine is not associated with increased mortality in elderly hypertensives.

The siesta in the elderly: risk factor for mortality?

BACKGROUND: During the siesta, blood pressure declines like it does during night sleep. Because cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events cluster during the morning hours, when hemodynamic changes from nocturnal baseline are maximal, we hypothesized that an additional sleep period during the day (the siesta) may increase cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events, and thus mortality. METHODS: A prospective population-based cohort study of 455 70-year-old residents of Jerusalem, Israel, using self-reported siesta at baseline and 6 1/2 years of total mortality data. RESULTS: The prevalence of the practice of the siesta was 60.7%. It was more prevalent among men than women (68% vs 51%, P<.001) and in survivors of previous myocardial infarction than in those without previous myocardial infarction (78% vs 58%, P = .009). After 6 1/2 years of follow-up (1990-1996), 75 subjects died. For those who practiced the siesta, total mortality was 20% vs 11% for those who did not (P = .01; risk odds ratio, 2.0; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-3.4). In a multiple logistic regression model that included several lifestyle descriptors, risk factors, and diseases, the siesta remained predictive of mortality (P = .03; risk odds ratio, 2.1; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-3.9).

Home hospitalization in the spectrum of community geriatric care.

The Home Hospitalization Programme was initiated in Jerusalem in 1991 to provide intensive medical care at home in order to prevent or shorten hospitalizations. The programme was based upon regular home visits by physicians, and nursing assessment to determine the need for regular nursing care. Primary-care physicians and nurses were renumerated by a global monthly fee, and were on 24-h call in addition to their periodic visits. Patients were recruited by senior geriatric physicians from acute hospital wards, as well as from the community, at the family doctor's request. Ancillary services available to the home hospitalization team included laboratory and electrocardiographic testing, specialty consultations, physical occupational or speech therapy, social work and home help up to 3 h daily. Monthly visits by a senior physician provided oversight and further consultation. Home hospitalization grew out of the continuing care division of the Clalit Sick Fund, a health maintenance organization providing umbrella medical insurance and ambulatory care. The programme grew synergistically with the other facilities of continuing care to encompass a network of comprehensive services to acute, subacute and chronic patients both at home and in institutional settings. In 4 years this network succeeded in establishing the focus of subacute intensive care in the community, achieving high levels of patient and family satisfaction, as well as striking economic advantages. In its first 2 years of operation home hospitalization saved S4 million due to reduced hospital utilization, and preliminary data for the subsequent 2 years indicated that this trend continued. Home hospitalization became the hub of a far-reaching system of supportive, intensive and humane care in the community.

Laboratory reference values for the 70 year olds.

Reference values for common laboratory tests were determined as part of a cross-sectional survey of 70 year olds in Jerusalem in 1991. Subjects were systematically chosen from electoral lists. They were extensively interviewed regarding demographic, socioeconomic and health characteristics. Subsequently, 456 underwent a thorough medical examination including hematologic, biochemical and endocrinologic testing. Analysis of disease-specific mortality and hospital morbidity at 3 year follow-up proved these subjects to be representative of the overall Jerusalem Jewish population of 70 year olds. Test-specific reference subgroups were determined to exclude effects of known diseases and drug consumption. Reference values in these subgroups differ significantly from reference values currently used for adults without regard to age. The determination of disease for subjects provided the opportunity to identify changes that might reflect normal aging and those that might be affected by subclinical pathology. Interpretation of laboratory testing of older adults must consider the age-related differences in reference values.

The nutritional status of 70 year olds in Jerusalem.

Inadequate nutrition is a major problem of elderly people today, a rapidly growing segment of western societies. Yet information on the nutritional state of the elderly in the community is much needed. We surveyed the nutritional status of a cohort of 70 year olds living in western Jerusalem. A total of 605 persons were interviewed in their home regarding socioeconomic variables, education, self-assessed global health status, use of medicines, and activities of daily living (ADL). In the second stage, a subsample of 463 of the above attended an outpatient geriatric clinic where a medical history was taken and a physical examination, a cognitive test, a psychological profile, blood and urine tests, electrocardiogram, pulmonary function tests, and grip strength measurement performed. Most of the sample population lived at home. Twelve percent reported having severe financial problems. Approximately 14% exhibited some cognitive problems, 83% were totally independent in ADL, and only 15% were housebound with 2.5% being bedbound. Body mass index (BMI) of < 19 kg/m2 was found in 1.1% of the population, while obesity, defined as a BMI > 30 kg/m2, was found in 13.5% of males and 28.6% of females. Polypharmacy was prevalent. A quarter of the study population were taking three or more prescription drugs. Serum triglycerides were below the normal limit in 7.3% of males and 4.7% of females, while total serum cholesterol concentrations were low in 13.9% and 4.7% of males and females respectively. Serum albumin was found below the lower limit of normal (35 g/l) in 16.9% of females and 11.4% of males. The significance of these results, their relation to other nutritional surveys, and their implications for the future are discussed.