Variability in body temperature in healthy adults and in patients receiving chemotherapy: prospective observational cohort study.

Between-individual variability of body temperature has been little investigated, but is of clinical importance: for example, in detection of neutropenic sepsis during chemotherapy. We studied within-person and between-person variability in temperature in healthy adults and those receiving chemotherapy using a prospective observational design involving 29 healthy participants and 23 patients undergoing chemotherapy. Primary outcome was oral temperature. We calculated each patient's mean temperature, standard deviation within each patient (within-person variability), and between patients (between-person variability). Secondary analysis explored temperature changes in the three days before admission for neutropenic sepsis. 1,755 temperature readings were returned by healthy participants and 1,765 by chemotherapy patients. Mean participant temperature was 36.16 C (95% CI 36.07-36.26) in healthy participants and 36.32 C (95% CI 36.18-36.46) in chemotherapy patients. Healthy participant within-person variability was 0.40 C (95% CI 0.36-0.44) and between-person variability was 0.26 C (95% CI 0.16-0.35). Chemotherapy patient within-person variability was 0.39 C (95% CI 0.34-0.44) and between-person variability was 0.34 C (95% CI 0.26-0.48). Thus, use of a population mean rather than personalised baselines is probably sufficient for most clinical purposes as between-person variability is not large compared to within-person variability. Standardised guidance and provision of thermometers to patients might help to improve recording and guide management.

Timings for HbA1c testing in people with diabetes are associated with incentive payments: an analysis of UK primary care data.

AIMS: Guidelines recommend testing HbA1c every 3-6 months in people with diabetes. In the United Kingdom (UK), primary care clinics are financially incentivized to monitor HbA1c at least annually and report proportions of patients meeting targets on 31 March. We explored the hypothesis that this reporting deadline may be associated with over-frequent or delayed HbA1c testing. METHODS: This analysis used HbA1c results from 100 000 people with diabetes during 2005-2014 in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink UK primary care database. Logistic regression was used to explore whether the four months prior to the deadline for quality reporting (December to March) or individual's previous HbA1c were aligned with retesting HbA1c within 60 days or > 1 year from the previous test, and identify other factors associated with the timing of HbA1c testing. RESULTS: Retesting HbA1c within 60 days or > 1 year was more common in December to March compared with other months of the year (odds ratio 1.06, 95% confidence interval 1.04-1.08 for retesting within 60 days). Those with higher HbA1c were more likely to have a repeat test within 60 days and less likely to have a repeat test > 1 year from the previous test. CONCLUSIONS: We have found that retesting HbA1c within 60 days and > 1 year from the previous test was more common in December to March compared with the other months of the year. This work suggests that both practice-centred administrative factors and patient-centred considerations may be influencing diabetes care in the UK.

How can point-of-care HbA1c testing be integrated into UK primary care consultations? - A feasibility study.

AIMS: Point-of-care (POC) HbA1c testing gives a rapid result, allowing testing and treatment decisions to take place in a single appointment. Trials of POC testing have not been shown to improve HbA1c, possibly because of how testing was implemented. This study aimed to identify key components of POC HbA1c testing and determine strategies to optimise implementation in UK primary care. METHODS: This cohort feasibility study recruited thirty patients with type 2 diabetes and HbA1c>7.5% (58mmol/mol) into three primary care clinics. Patients' clinical care included two POC HbA1c tests over six months. Data were collected on appointment duration, clinical decisions, technical performance and patient behaviour. RESULTS: Fifty-three POC HbA1c consultations took place during the study; clinical decisions were made in 30 consultations. Five POC consultations with a family doctor lasted on average 11min and 48 consultations with nurses took on average 24min. Five POC study visits did not take place in one clinic. POC results were uploaded to hospital records from two clinics. In total, sixty-three POC tests were performed, and there were 11 cartridge failures. No changes in HbA1c or patient behaviour were observed. CONCLUSIONS: HbA1c measurement with POC devices can be effectively implemented in primary care. This work has identified when these technologies might work best, as well as potential challenges. The findings can be used to inform the design of a pragmatic trial to implement POC HbA1c testing.

Short- and medium-term effects of light to moderate alcohol intake on glycaemic control in diabetes mellitus: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized trials.

BACKGROUND: People with diabetes are told that drinking alcohol may increase their risk of hypoglycaemia. AIMS: To report the effects of alcohol consumption on glycaemic control in people with diabetes mellitus. METHODS: Medline, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library databases were searched in 2015 to identify randomized trials that compared alcohol consumption with no alcohol use, reporting glycaemic control in people with diabetes. Data on blood glucose, HbA1c and numbers of hypoglycaemic episodes were pooled using random effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: Pooled data from nine short-term studies showed no difference in blood glucose concentrations between those who drank alcohol in doses of 16-80 g (median 20 g, 2.5 units) compared with those who did not drink alcohol at 0.5, 2, 4 and 24 h after alcohol consumption. Pooled data from five medium-term studies showed that there was no difference in blood glucose or HbA1c concentrations at the end of the study between those who drank 11-18 g alcohol/day (median 13 g/day, 1.5 units/day) for 4-104 weeks and those who did not. We found no evidence of a difference in number of hypoglycaemic episodes or in withdrawal rates between randomized groups. CONCLUSIONS: Studies to date have not provided evidence that drinking light to moderate amounts of alcohol, with or without a meal, affects any measure of glycaemic control in people with Type 2 diabetes. These results suggest that current advice that people with diabetes do not need to refrain from drinking moderate quantities of alcohol does not need to be changed; risks to those with Type 1 diabetes remain uncertain.

The use of statistical methodology to determine the accuracy of grading within a diabetic retinopathy screening programme.

AIMS: We aimed to use longitudinal data from an established screening programme with good quality assurance and quality control procedures and a stable well-trained workforce to determine the accuracy of grading in diabetic retinopathy screening. METHODS: We used a continuous time-hidden Markov model with five states to estimate the probability of true progression or regression of retinopathy and the conditional probability of an observed grade given the true grade (misclassification). The true stage of retinopathy was modelled as a function of the duration of diabetes and HbA1c . RESULTS: The modelling dataset consisted of 65 839 grades from 14 187 people. The median number [interquartile range (IQR)] of examinations was 5 (3, 6) and the median (IQR) interval between examinations was 1.04 (0.99, 1.17) years. In total, 14 227 grades (21.6%) were estimated as being misclassified, 10 592 (16.1%) represented over-grading and 3635 (5.5%) represented under-grading. There were 1935 (2.9%) misclassified referrals, 1305 were false-positive results (2.2%) and 630 were false-negative results (1.0%). Misclassification of background diabetic retinopathy as no detectable retinopathy was common (3.4% of all grades) but rarely preceded referable maculopathy or retinopathy. CONCLUSION: Misclassification between lower grades of retinopathy is not uncommon but is unlikely to lead to significant delays in referring people for sight-threatening retinopathy.

Estimating the effect of sulfonylurea on HbA1c in diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Sulfonylureas are widely prescribed glucose-lowering medications for diabetes, but the extent to which they improve glycaemia is poorly documented. This systematic review evaluates how sulfonylurea treatment affects glycaemic control. METHODS: Medline, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library and clinical trials registries were searched to identify double-blinded randomised controlled trials of fixed-dose sulfonylurea monotherapy or sulfonylurea added on to other glucose-lowering treatments. The primary outcome assessed was change in HbA1c, and secondary outcomes were adverse events, insulin dose and change in body weight. RESULTS: Thirty-one trials with a median duration of 16 weeks were included in the meta-analysis. Sulfonylurea monotherapy (nine trials) lowered HbA1c by 1.51% (17 mmol/mol) more than placebo (95% CI, 1.25, 1.78). Sulfonylureas added to oral diabetes treatment (four trials) lowered HbA1c by 1.62% (18 mmol/mol; 95% CI 1.0, 2.24) compared with the other treatment, and sulfonylurea added to insulin (17 trials) lowered HbA1c by 0.46% (6 mmol/mol; 95% CI 0.24, 0.69) and lowered insulin dose. Higher sulfonylurea doses did not reduce HbA1c more than lower doses. Sulfonylurea treatment resulted in more hypoglycaemic events (RR 2.41, 95% CI 1.41, 4.10) but did not significantly affect the number of other adverse events. Trial length, sulfonylurea type and duration of diabetes contributed to heterogeneity. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Sulfonylurea monotherapy lowered HbA1c level more than previously reported, and we found no evidence that increasing sulfonylurea doses resulted in lower HbA1c. HbA1c is a surrogate endpoint, and we were unable to examine long-term endpoints in these predominately short-term trials, but sulfonylureas appear to be associated with an increased risk of hypoglycaemic events.

Cancer outcomes and all-cause mortality in adults allocated to metformin: systematic review and collaborative meta-analysis of randomised clinical trials.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Observational studies suggest that metformin may reduce cancer risk by approximately one-third. We examined cancer outcomes and all-cause mortality in published randomised controlled trials (RCTs). METHODS: RCTs comparing metformin with active glucose-lowering therapy or placebo/usual care, with minimum 500 participants and 1-year follow-up, were identified by systematic review. Data on cancer incidence and all-cause mortality were obtained from publications or by contacting investigators. For two trials, cancer incidence data were not available; cancer mortality was used as a surrogate. Summary RRs, 95% CIs and I (2)statistics for heterogeneity were calculated by fixed effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: Of 4,039 abstracts identified, 94 publications described 14 eligible studies. RRs for cancer were available from 11 RCTs with 398 cancers during 51,681 person-years. RRs for all-cause mortality were available from 13 RCTs with 552 deaths during 66,447 person-years. Summary RRs for cancer outcomes in people randomised to metformin compared with any comparator were 1.02 (95% CI 0.82, 1.26) across all trials, 0.98 (95% CI 0.77, 1.23) in a subgroup analysis of active-comparator trials and 1.36 (95% CI 0.74, 2.49) in a subgroup analysis of placebo/usual care comparator trials. The summary RR for all-cause mortality was 0.94 (95% CI 0.79, 1.12) across all trials. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Meta-analysis of currently available RCT data does not support the hypothesis that metformin lowers cancer risk by one-third. Eligible trials also showed no significant effect of metformin on all-cause mortality. However, limitations include heterogeneous comparator types, absent cancer data from two trials, and short follow-up, especially for mortality.

Establishing an evidence base for frequency of monitoring glycated haemoglobin levels in patients with Type 2 diabetes: projections of effectiveness from a regression model.

AIMS: Glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) is monitored to guide treatment decisions in relation to glycaemic goals over time. Changes between two consecutive HbA1c tests result not only from deterioration or improvement in glycaemic control, but also from biovariability and measurement error. We model how this short-term variability impacts on HbA1c monitoring. METHODS: Using data from a randomized trial of non-insulin treated patients with Type 2 diabetes we fitted a random-effects model for progression and variability of HbA1c. We estimated how many tests where HbA1c ≥ 7.5% (58.5 mmol/mol) would be false-positive (underlying HbA1c < 7.5% but test ≥ 7.5% owing to variability) vs. true-positive, in people with initial HbA1c between 6.5% and 7.3% (48 mmol/mol and 56 mmol/mol). RESULTS: Participants (n = 320) had mean (SD) age 66 (10) years, BMI 31.3 (6.0) kg/m2 and median HbA1c was 7.1% (54 mmol/mol) with interquartile range 6.6% (49 mmol/mol) to 7.7% (61 mmol/mol). Mean (95% CI) change in HbA1c was 0.1% (1 mmol/mol) with 95% confidence interval 0.05% (0.5 mmol/mol) to 0.15% (2 mmol/mol) per 6 months. The minimum interval at which a true-positive test is more likely than a false positive test is 270 days for a starting HbA1c of 6.9% (52 mmol/mol) and 360 days at a starting value of 6.5% (48 mmol/mol). CONCLUSION: In patients with initial HbA1c close to treatment goal, retesting at 6 months would yield more true-positive than false-positive tests. For patients with lower initial HbA1c, retesting at 6 months would yield more false than true-positive tests. In all patients, retesting at 12 months yields more true than false-positive tests. In very few patients would retesting at 3 months be justified.

Injury to the lateral cutaneous nerve of forearm after venous cannulation: a case report and literature review.

Venepuncture may be associated with nerve injuries and is commonly performed at the median cubital vein (MCV). Injuries to the superficial radial nerve at the wrist and to the median nerve, anterior and posterior interosseus nerves and medial and lateral cutaneous nerves (LCN) of the forearm at the cubital fossa have been reported. The LCN is a sensory branch of the musculocutaneous nerve and the position of the nerve in relation to the MCV is variable within the cubital fossa. The LCN supplies sensory innervation to the C6 dermatome corresponding to an area of skin overlying the radial border of the forearm. We report the case of a 30-year-old right-handed woman who presented with loss of sensation in the left forearm after donating blood at a transfusion centre. This was due to an injury of the LCN. After 3, 18 and 36 months of follow-up, the sensory deficit had only improved minimally. The lack of recovery of the sensation after 36 months indicates a permanent nerve injury such as neurotmesis rather than neurapraxia of the LCN. A thorough knowledge of the clinical anatomy of the MCV and the LCN, which is highlighted, is essential in preventing venepuncture-associated nerve injury.

Evidence for a dose effect of renin-angiotensin system inhibition on progression of microalbuminuria in Type 2 diabetes: a meta-analysis.

AIMS: Renin-angiotensin inhibitors in Type 2 diabetes and microalbuminuria reduce renal and cardiovascular risk, but evidence supporting use of maximal tolerated dose is unclear. We aimed to determine the extent of renin-angiotensin inhibitor dose-dependent effects from randomized trials carried out in a clinical setting. METHODS: In a meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials, alternate doses of angiotensin receptor blockers or angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors in patients with Type 2 diabetes and microalbuminuria were compared. MEDLINE, EMBASE and the Cochrane Register of Controlled Trials were searched from January 2006 to August 2010. Trials prior to January 2006 were identified from a prior systematic review. Identified outcomes were albumin excretion rate, progression and regression of albuminuria and adverse events. RESULTS: Four trials including 1051 patients compared doses of angiotensin receptor blockers. No trials compared doses of angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor. The percentage decline in albumin excretion rate from baseline was greater with higher doses (18% higher, 95% CI 8-28%), the regression to normoalbuminuria was greater (OR 1.66, 95% CI 1.22-2.27), with less progression to macroalbuminuria (OR 0.62, CI 0.38-1.02). Adverse events were fewer with lower-dose angiotensin receptor blockers (OR 1.32, 95% CI 0.90-1.92). CONCLUSIONS: Higher-dose compared with lower-dose angiotensin receptor blockers in Type 2 diabetes with microalbuminuria are associated with significantly reduced albumin excretion rate and increased regression to normoalbuminuria. Adverse events are more frequent, but not significantly so. There is potential for trials to determine clinical cardiovascular and renal outcomes at differing doses. Our findings support current recommendations to titrate renin-angiotensin inhibitors to maximum dose whilst considering risk of adverse side effects with higher doses.

A simple, effective and cheap device for the safe irrigation of open traumatic wounds.

This study reports the use of an overturned plastic gallipot from a sterile wound dressing pack as a splashguard during the irrigation of traumatic wounds with a device consisting of a 20 ml syringe and a 21F gauge hypodermic needle. This simple, effective and cheap device can be constructed from items readily available within the emergency department or operating theatre and minimises exposure to biologically hazardous material during wound irrigation.

Impact of using a non-diabetes-specific risk calculator on eligibility for statin therapy in type 2 diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of using a non-diabetes-specific cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk calculator to determine eligibility for statin therapy according to current UK National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) guidelines for those patients with type 2 diabetes who are at an increased risk of CVD (10 year risk >or=20%). METHODS: The 10 year CVD risks were estimated using the UK Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) Risk Engine and the Framingham equation for 4,025 patients enrolled in the Lipids in Diabetes Study who had established type 2 diabetes and LDL-cholesterol <4.1 mmol/l. RESULTS: The mean (SD) age of the patients was 60.7 (8.6) years, blood pressure 141/83 (17/10) mmHg and the total cholesterol:HDL-cholesterol ratio was 3.9 (1.0). The median (interquartile range) diabetes duration was 6 (3-11) years and the HbA(1c) level was 8.0% (7.2-9.0%). The cohort comprised 65% men, 91% whites, 4% Afro-Caribbeans, 5% Asian Indians and 15% current smokers. More patients were classified as being at high risk by the UKPDS Risk Engine (65%) than by the Framingham CVD equation (63%) (p < 0.0001). The Framingham CVD equation classified fewer men and people aged <50 years old as high risk (p < 0.0001). There was no difference between the UKPDS Risk Engine and Framingham classification of women at high risk (p = 0.834). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: These results suggest that the use of Framingham-derived rather than UKPDS Risk Engine-derived CVD risk estimates would deny about one in 25 patients statin therapy when applying current NICE guidelines. Thus, under these guidelines the choice of CVD risk calculator is important when assessing CVD risk in patients with type 2 diabetes, particularly for the identification of the relatively small proportion of younger people who require statin therapy.

A case of hyperkalaemia associated with hypocalcaemia.

An 84-year-old woman presented with lethargy and anorexia. Although routine biochemistry demonstrated mild hyponatraemia, moderate hyperkalaemia and severe hypocalcaemia, the patient did not demonstrate the usual symptoms of hypocalcaemia. An electrocardiogram did not demonstrate evidence of hyperkalaemia or hypocalcaemia. Repeated biochemistry confirmed hyponatraemia but that was associated with hypokalaemia and normocalcaemia. Initial management involved correction of the hyponatraemia and hypokalaemia with appropriate intravenous fluids. If serum biochemistry demonstrates hyperkalaemia in association with hypocalcaemia, pseudohyperkalaemia and pseudohypocalcaemia caused by contamination with potassium ethylenediaminetetraacetic acid should always be considered. This can be confirmed by repeating biochemistry, but ensuring the serum gel tube is drawn first when taking multiple blood samples to avoid this contamination.

A method for assessing quality of control from glucose profiles.

AIM: As the practice of multiple assessments of glucose concentration throughout the day increases for people with diabetes, there is a need for an assessment of glycaemic control weighted for the clinical risks of both hypoglycaemia and hyperglycaemia. METHODS: We have developed a methodology to report the degree of risk which a glycaemic profile represents. Fifty diabetes professionals assigned risk values to a range of 40 blood glucose concentrations. Their responses were summarised and a generic function of glycaemic risk was derived. This function was applied to patient glucose profiles to generate an integrated risk score termed the Glycaemic Risk Assessment Diabetes Equation (GRADE). The GRADE score was then reported by use of the mean value and the relative percent contribution to the weighted risk score from the hypoglycaemic, euglycaemic, hyperglycaemic range, respectively, e.g. GRADE (hypoglycaemia%, euglycaemia%, hyperglycaemia%). RESULTS: The GRADE scores of indicative glucose profiles were as follows: continuous glucose monitoring profile non-diabetic subjects GRADE = 1.1, Type 1 diabetes continuous glucose monitoring GRADE = 8.09 (20%, 8%, 72%), Type 2 diabetes home blood glucose monitoring GRADE = 9.97 (2%, 7%, 91%). CONCLUSIONS: The GRADE score of a glucose profile summarises the degree of risk associated with a glucose profile. Values < 5 correspond to euglycaemia. The GRADE score is simple to generate from any blood glucose profile and can be used as an adjunct to HbA1c to report the degree of risk associated with glycaemic variability.

Pancreatic cancer in type 1 and young-onset diabetes: systematic review and meta-analysis.

We conducted a systematic review of the risk of pancreatic cancer in people with type I and young-onset diabetes. In three cohort and six case-control studies, the relative risk for pancreatic cancer in people with (vs without) diabetes was 2.00 (95% confidence interval 1.37-3.01) based on 39 cases with diabetes.

Fast neutron radiography scanner for the detection of contraband in air cargo containers.

There is a growing need to rapidly scan bulk air cargo for contraband such as illicit drugs and explosives. The Commonwealth Science and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) have been working with Australian Customs Service to develop a scanner capable of directly scanning airfreight containers in 1--2 minutes without unpacking. The scanner combines fast neutron and gamma-ray radiography to provide high-resolution images that include information on material composition. A full-scale prototype scanner has been successfully tested in the laboratory and a commercial-scale scanner is due to be installed at Brisbane airport in 2005.

Cost-utility analyses of intensive blood glucose and tight blood pressure control in type 2 diabetes (UKPDS 72).

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: This study estimated the economic efficiency (1) of intensive blood glucose control and tight blood pressure control in patients with type 2 diabetes who also had hypertension, and (2) of metformin therapy in type 2 diabetic patients who were overweight. METHODS: We conducted cost-utility analysis based on patient-level data from a randomised clinical controlled trial involving 4,209 patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes conducted in 23 hospital-based clinics in England, Scotland and Northern Ireland as part of the UK Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS). Three different policies were evaluated: intensive blood glucose control with sulphonylurea/insulin; intensive blood glucose control with metformin for overweight patients; and tight blood pressure control of hypertensive patients. Incremental cost : effectiveness ratios were calculated based on the net cost of healthcare resources associated with these policies and on effectiveness in terms of quality-adjusted life years gained, estimated over a lifetime from within-trial effects using the UKPDS Outcomes Model. RESULTS: The incremental cost per quality-adjusted life years gained (in year 2004 UK prices) for intensive blood glucose control was 6,028 UK pounds, and for blood pressure control was 369 UK pounds. Metformin therapy was cost-saving and increased quality-adjusted life expectancy. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Each of the three policies evaluated has a lower cost per quality-adjusted life year gained than that of many other accepted uses of healthcare resources. The results provide an economic rationale for ensuring that care of patients with type 2 diabetes corresponds at least to the levels of these interventions.