Pediatric severe traumatic brain injury mortality prediction determined with machine learning-based modeling.

INTRODUCTION: Severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI) is a leading cause of mortality in children. As clinical prognostication is important in guiding optimal care and decision making, our goal was to create a highly discriminative sTBI outcome prediction model for mortality. METHODS: Machine learning and advanced analytics were applied to the patient admission variables obtained from a comprehensive pediatric sTBI database. Demographic and clinical data, head CT imaging abnormalities and blood biochemical data from 196 children and adolescents admitted to a tertiary pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) with sTBI were integrated using feature ranking by way of a forest of randomized decision trees, and a model was generated from a reduced number of admission variables with maximal ability to discriminate outcome. RESULTS: In total, 36 admission variables were analyzed using feature ranking with variable weighting to determine their predictive importance for mortality following sTBI. Reduction analysis utilizing Borata feature selection resulted in a parsimonious six-variable model with a mortality classification accuracy of 82%. The final admission variables that predicted mortality were: partial thromboplastin time (22%); motor Glasgow Coma Scale (21%); serum glucose (16%); fixed pupil(s) (16%); platelet count (13%) and creatinine (12%). Using only these six admission variables, a t-distributed stochastic nearest neighbor embedding algorithm plot demonstrated visual separation of sTBI patients that lived or died, with high mortality predictive ability of this model on the validation dataset (AUC = 0.90) which was confirmed with a conventional area-under-the-curve statistical approach on the total dataset (AUC = 0.91; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning-based modeling identified the most clinically important prognostic factors resulting in a pragmatic, high performing prognostic tool for pediatric sTBI with excellent discriminative ability to predict mortality risk with 82% classification accuracy (AUC = 0.90). After external multicenter validation, our prognostic model might help to guide treatment decisions, aggressiveness of therapy and prepare family members and caregivers for timely end-of-life discussions and decision making. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III; Prognostic.

Development of a Mortality Prediction Tool in Pediatric Severe Traumatic Brain Injury.

Severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI) is a leading cause of pediatric death, yet outcomes remain difficult to predict. The goal of this study was to develop a predictive mortality tool in pediatric sTBI. We retrospectively analyzed 196 patients with sTBI (pre-sedation Glasgow Coma Scale [GCS] score <8 and head Maximum Abbreviated Injury Scale (MAIS) score >4) admitted to a pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). Overall, 56 patients with sTBI (29%) died during PICU stay. Of the survivors, 88 (63%) were discharged home, and 52 (37%) went to an acute care or rehabilitation facility. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses of admission variables showed that pre-sedation GCS score, Rotterdam computed tomography (CT) score, and partial thromboplastin time (PTT) were fair predictors of PICU mortality (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.79, 0.76, and 0.75, respectively; p < 0.001). Cutoff values best associated with PICU mortality were pre-sedation GCS score <5 (sensitivity = 0.91, specificity = 0.54), Rotterdam CT score >3 (sensitivity = 0.84, specificity = 0.53), and PTT >34.5 sec (sensitivity = 0.69 specificity = 0.67). Combining pre-sedation GCS score, Rotterdam CT score, and PTT in ROC curve analysis yielded an excellent predictor of PICU mortality (AUC = 0.91). In summary, pre-sedation GCS score (<5), Rotterdam CT score (>3), and PTT (>34.5 sec) obtained on hospital admission were fair predictors of PICU mortality, ranked highest to lowest. Combining these three admission variables resulted in an excellent pediatric sTBI mortality prediction tool for further prospective validation.

Radiographic assessment of degenerative lumbar spinal stenosis: is MRI superior to CT?

OBJECTIVE: To determine the reliability and dependability of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and computerized tomography (CT) in the assessment of lumbar spinal stenosis and correlate the qualitative assessment to both a quantitative assessment and functional outcome measures. Multiple studies have addressed the issue of CT and MRI imaging in lumbar spinal stenosis. None showed superiority of one modality. METHODS: We performed a standardized qualitative and quantitative review of CT and MRI scans of 54 patients. Intra-observer and inter-observer reliability was determined between three reviewer using Kappa coefficient. Agreement between the two modalities was analyzed. ODI and SF-36 outcomes were correlated with the imaging assessments. RESULTS: Almost perfect intra-observer reliability for MRI was achieved by the two expert reviewers (κ = 0.91 for surgeon and κ = 0.92 for neuro-radiologist). For CT, substantial intra-observer agreement was found for the surgeon (κ = 0.77) while the neuro-radiologist was higher (κ = 0.96). For both CT and MRI the standardized qualitative assessment used by the two expert reviewers had a better inter-observer reliability than that between the expert reviewers and the general reporting radiologist, who did not utilize a standardized assessment system. When the qualitative assessment was compared directly, CT overestimated the degree of stenosis 20-35 % of the time (p < 0.05) while MRI overestimated the degree of stenosis 2-11 % of the time (p < 0.05). No correlation was found between qualitative and quantitative analysis with functional status. CONCLUSIONS: This study directly demonstrates that MRI is a more reliable tool than CT, but neither correlates with functional status. Both experience of the reader and the standardization of a qualitative assessment are influential to the reliability.

Home safe home: Evaluation of a childhood home safety program.

BACKGROUND: The London Health Sciences Centre Home Safety Program (HSP) provides safety devices, education, a safety video, and home safety checklist to all first-time parents for the reduction of childhood home injuries. The objective of this study was to evaluate the HSP for the prevention of home injuries in children up to 2 years of age. METHODS: A program evaluation was performed with follow-up survey, along with an interrupted time series analysis of emergency department (ED) visits for home injuries 5 years before (2007-2013) and 2 years after (2013-2015) implementation. Spatial analysis of ED visits was undertaken to assess differences in home injury rates by dissemination areas controlling differences in socioeconomic status (i.e., income, education, and lone-parent status) at the neighborhood level. RESULTS: A total of 3,458 first-time parents participated in the HSP (a 74% compliance rate). Of these, 20% (n = 696) of parents responded to our questionnaire, with 94% reporting the program to be useful (median, 6; interquartile range, 2 on a 7-point Likert scale) and 81% learning new strategies for preventing home injuries. The median age of the respondent's babies were 12 months (interquartile range, 1). The home safety check list was used by 87% of respondents to identify hazards in their home, with 95% taking action to minimize the risk. The time series analysis demonstrated a significant decline in ED visits for home injuries in toddlers younger than2 years of age after HSP implementation. The declines in ED visits for home injuries remained significant over and above each socioeconomic status covariate. CONCLUSION: Removing hazards, supervision, and installing safety devices are key facilitators in the reduction of home injuries. Parents found the HSP useful to identify hazards, learn new strategies, build confidence, and provide safety products. Initial finding suggests that the program is effective in reducing home injuries in children up to 2 years of age. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic/care management study, level V.

An evidence-based method for targeting an abusive head trauma prevention media campaign and its evaluation.

BACKGROUND: A triple-dose abusive head trauma (AHT) prevention program (Period of PURPLE Crying) was implemented. The third dose consisted of an education media campaign. The study objectives were to describe the qualitative and spatial methods developed to target AHT prevention and to evaluate this campaign. METHODS: A questionnaire on the level of importance of factors, rated on a 7-point Likert scale, was distributed to a panel of experts to determine the best advertising locations. Ranked factors were used to create weights for statistical modeling and mapping within a Geographic Information Systems to determine optimal ad locations. The media campaign was evaluated via a telephone survey of randomly selected households. RESULTS: The survey found locations of new families, high population density, and high percentage of lone parents to be the most important factors for selecting billboard sites. Spatial analysis revealed six areas that ranked highest in our factors. Five billboards, four media posters, and six transit shelters were selected for our advertisements. A population-based telephone survey revealed that 23% of respondents knew the campaign. Nearly half (42%) heard the radio public service announcements, and 9% saw billboards. CONCLUSION: Extending primary prevention efforts to the public helps to create a cultural change in the way inconsolable crying, the trigger for AHT, is viewed. With the use of ranked factors and Geographic Information Systems, geographic locations with high visibility and specific risk factors for AHT were identified for targeting the campaign, facilitating the likelihood that our message was reaching the population in greatest need.

From focus groups to production of a distracted driving video: Using teen input to drive injury prevention programming.

BACKGROUND: The Impact program is an adolescent, injury prevention program with both school- and hospital-based components aimed at decreasing high-risk behaviors and preventing injury. The objective of this study was to obtain student input on the school-based component of Impact, as part of the program evaluation and redesign process, to ensure that the program content and format were optimal and relevant, addressing injury-related issues important for youth in our region. METHODS: Secondary schools were selected in various geographic regions with students varying in language, religion, and socioeconomic status. A mixed-methods questionnaire was developed and pretested on program content, format, relevance, quality, and effectiveness. Attitude and opinion questions on issues facing teens today were ranked on a 7-point Likert scale. Open-ended, qualitative questions were included in the focus groups, with responses themed. RESULTS: There were 167 respondents in the nine geographically, socioeconomically, and culturally diverse focus groups with a mean age of 16 years, 52% were male, and 69% were in Grade 11. Ninety-three percent of respondents rated the content of Impact as comprehensive (median, 6 of 7, with 7 being very comprehensive), and 29% rated the format a 5 of 7. Impact was rated relevant (89%), addressing issues for teens (median, 6 of 7). Issues suggested to highlight included texting and driving, drugs, partying, self-harm, and abusive relationships. Texting while driving was perceived as a significantly more common (81%) injury issue for adolescents compared with other driving risk factors (p < 0.001), with one student commenting, "If you don't (text and drive), you either don't have a phone or don't have a driver's license." CONCLUSION: Injury prevention programs must be continually evaluated to ensure they are relevant, addressing issues important for youth, and presented in a format that resonates with the audience. Student focus groups identified motor vehicle collisions and texting as important issues as well as a desire for teens to hear personal stories with a visual element. This provided the information needed to develop the next logical direction for our program, the production of a distracted driving video ("Distracted Driving: Josh's Story," http://youtu.be/BFPke9gBybc) to be incorporated into school presentations. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Epidemiologic/prognostic study, level III.

Basal skull fractures are associated with mortality in pediatric severe traumatic brain injury.

BACKGROUND: Basal skull fractures (BSFs) are caused by blunt force trauma, occurring in the temporal, occipital, sphenoid, and/or ethmoid bones. In pediatric severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI), there is a paucity of data on BSFs. Our goal was to investigate the BSF prevalence, anatomy, and association with short-term outcomes in pediatric sTBI. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed all severely injured (Injury Severity Score ≥12) pediatric patients (aged <18 years) admitted to our hospital after experiencing an sTBI (Glasgow Coma Scale score ≤8 and head Abbreviated Injury Scale score ≥4). Neuroimaging for all sTBI patients was reviewed for skull fractures. Data were analyzed with both univariate and multivariate techniques. RESULTS: Of the 180 patients with sTBI, 47 had BSFs for a prevalence of 26% (69 BSFs in total; 16 sTBI patients had ≥2 BSFs). The squamous temporal bone was fractured most frequently (n=30/47 sTBI patients with BSFs). Patients with BSFs were heavier and had more facial injuries than those without (p < 0.05) but were similar in all other admission demographics, injury profiles, and clinical characteristics. Cerebrospinal fluid leak was found in 32% (n = 15 of 47) of BSF patients (otorrhea, n = 12; rhinorrhea, n = 1; otorrhea/rhinorrhea, n = 2; p < 0.001). Mortality, acute central diabetes insipidus, and fewer ventilator-free days were associated with BSFs (p < 0.005), whereas in sTBI survivors, BSFs were associated with longer lengths of stay (p < 0.05). Multiple logistic regression showed that BSFs were positively associated with the presence of subarachnoid hemorrhage (odds ratio [OR], 4.00; p = 0.001), contusion (OR, 2.48; p = 0.029), herniation (OR, 3.40; p = 0.037), and cerebral edema (OR, 2.30; p = 0.047) but negatively associated with diffuse axonal injury (OR, 0.20; p = 0.003). BSFs and mortality were strongly associated (OR, 6.87; p = 0.019). CONCLUSION: BSFs occurred in 26% of pediatric sTBI patients. The temporal bone was fractured in two thirds of sTBI patients with BSFs, and one third was associated with cerebrospinal fluid leaks. BSFs represent a significant linear blunt force and are independent predictors of mortality. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic and epidemiologic study, level III.

Subarachnoid hemorrhage prevalence and its association with short-term outcome in pediatric severe traumatic brain injury.

BACKGROUND: Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is an independent prognostic indicator of outcome in adult severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI). There is a paucity of investigations on SAH in pediatric sTBI. The goal of this study was to determine in pediatric sTBI patients SAH prevalence, associated factors, and its relationship to short-term outcome. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 171 sTBI patients (pre-sedation GCS ≤8 and head MAIS ≥4) who underwent CT head imaging within the first 24 h of hospital admission. Data were analyzed with both univariate and multivariate techniques. RESULTS: SAH was found in 42 % of sTBI patients (n = 71/171), and it was more frequently associated with skull fractures, cerebral edema, diffuse axonal injury, contusion, and intraventricular hemorrhage (p < 0.05). Patients with SAH had higher Injury Severity Scores (p = 0.032) and a greater frequency of fixed pupil(s) on admission (p = 0.001). There were no significant differences in etiologies between sTBI patients with and without SAH. Worse disposition occurred in sTBI patients with SAH, including increased mortality (p = 0.009), increased episodes of central diabetes insipidus (p = 0.002), greater infection rates (p = 0.002), and fewer ventilator-free days (p = 0.001). In sTBI survivors, SAH was associated with increased lengths of stay (p < 0.001) and a higher level of care required on discharge (p = 0.004). Despite evidence that SAH is linked to poorer outcomes on univariate analyses, multivariate analysis failed to demonstrate an independent association between SAH and mortality (p = 0.969). CONCLUSION: SAH was present in almost half of pediatric sTBI patients, and it was indicative of TBI severity and a higher level of care on discharge. SAH in pediatric patients was not independently associated with increased risk of mortality.

An epidemiologic profile of pediatric concussions: identifying urban and rural differences.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to describe the epidemiology of concussions presenting to the emergency department (ED). METHODS: A retrospective cohort of concussions for pediatric (age < 18 years) patients treated in the ED of a regional pediatric Level 1 trauma center from 2006 to 2011 was examined. Descriptive and geographic analyses were completed, with comparisons by age groups and residence (urban/rural). RESULTS: There were a total of 2,112 treated pediatric concussions. Two thirds of the concussions occurred in males (67%), with a median age of 13 years (interquartile range [IQR], 6). Nearly half of the pediatric concussions were sports related (48%); 36% of these concussions were from hockey. Significant differences were found in the distribution of the mechanism of injury across age groups (p < 0.001). Falls were most prevalent among young children, and sports concussions, for children 10 years and older. Two fifths of concussions occurred during winter months. Discharge disposition significantly differed by age (p < 0.001), with home discharge increasing with age up to 14 years. There were a total of 387 rural (19%) and 1,687 urban (81%) concussed patients, for a mean ED concussion visit rate of 2.2 per 1,000 and 3.5 per 1,000, respectively. Rural patients were older (14 [IQR, 6] vs. 13 [IQR, 6], p = 0.019] and sustained 2.5 times more concussions from a motor vehicle crash compared with urban youth patients (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Males in early adolescence are at highest risk for concussion, particularly from sport-related activities. Urban and rural children have differences in their etiology and severity of concussions. Concussions are predictable, and their prevention should be targeted based on epidemiologic and environmental data. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Epidemiologic, study, level III.

Analgesia in the management of paediatric and adolescent trauma during the resuscitative phase: the role of the pediatric trauma centre.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to evaluate the use of analgesia in the resuscitative phase of severely injured children and adolescents. METHODS: A retrospective cohort of paediatric (age<18 years), severely injured (ISS≥12) patients were identified from the London Health Sciences Centre's Trauma Registry from 2007 to 2010. Variables were compared between Analgesia and Non-analgesia groups with Pearson Chi-square and Mann-Whitney U tests. Resuscitative analgesia use was assessed through multivariable logistic regression controlling for age, gender, mechanism, arrival and Trauma Team Activation (TTA). RESULTS: Analgesia was used in 32% of cases. Univariate analysis did not reveal any differences in gender, age, injury type, injury profile and arrival patterns. Significant differences were found with analgesia used more frequently in patients injured in a motor vehicle collision (58% vs. 42%, p=0.026) and having parents in the resuscitation room (17% vs. 6%, p=0.01). Analgesia patients were more injured (median ISS 22 vs. 17, p=0.027) and had 2.25 times more TTA (39% vs. 17%). Logistic regression revealed patients arriving directly to a trauma centre had a higher incidence of receiving analgesia (OR 2.01, 95% CI: 1.03-3.93), as did TTA (OR 2.18, 95% CI: 1.01-4.73) and having parents in resuscitation room (3.56, 95% CI: 1.23-10.33). Narcotics were most commonly used (85%), followed by benzodiazepines (16%), with 66% given during the primary survey. CONCLUSION: Use of analgesia is important in the acute management of paediatric trauma. Direct presentation to a level I trauma centre, TTA and the presence of parents lead to higher appropriate use of analgesia in paediatric trauma resuscitation.

The role of serious concomitant injuries in the treatment and outcome of pediatric severe traumatic brain injury.

BACKGROUND: The study objective was to describe the epidemiology of serious concomitant injuries and their effects on outcome in pediatric severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI). METHODS: A retrospective cohort of all severely injured (Injury Severity Score [ISS] ≥ 12) pediatric patients (<18 years) admitted to our pediatric intensive care unit, between 2000 and 2011, after experiencing an sTBI (Glasgow Coma Scale [GCS] score ≤ 8 and head Abbreviated Injury Scale [AIS] ≥ 4) were included. Two groups were compared based on the presence of serious concomitant injuries (maximum AIS score ≥ 3). Multivariate logistic regression was undertaken to determine variable associations with mortality. RESULTS: Of the 180 patients with sTBI, 113 (63%) sustained serious concomitant injuries. Chest was the most commonly injured extracranial body region (84%), with lung being the most often injured. Patients with serious concomitant injuries had increased age, weight, and injury severity (p < 0.001) and were more likely injured in a motor vehicle collision (91% vs. 48%, p < 0.001). Those with serious concomitant injuries had worse sTBI, based on lower presedation GCS (p = 0.031), higher frequency of fixed pupils (p = 0.006), and increased imaging abnormalities (SAH and DAI, p ≤ 0.01). Non-neurosurgical operations and blood transfusions were more frequent in the serious concomitant injury group (p < 0.01). The differences in mortality for the two groups failed to reach statistical significant (p = 0.053), but patients with serious concomitant injuries had higher rates of infection and acute central diabetes insipidus, fewer ventilator-free days, and greater length of stays (p < 0.05). Multivariate analyses revealed fixed pupillary response (odd ratio [OR], 63.58; p < 0.001), presedation motor GCS (OR, 0.23; p = 0.001), blood transfusion (OR, 5.80; p = 0.008), and hypotension (OR, 4.82; p = 0.025) were associated with mortality, but serious concomitant injuries was not (p = 0.283). CONCLUSION: Head injury is the most important prognostic factor in mortality for sTBI pediatric patients, but the presence of serious concomitant injuries does contribute to greater morbidity, including longer stays, more infections, fewer ventilator-free days, and a higher level of care required on discharge from hospital. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic and epidemiologic study, level III.

Central diabetes insipidus in pediatric severe traumatic brain injury.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the occurrence rate of central diabetes insipidus in pediatric patients with severe traumatic brain injury and to describe the clinical, injury, biochemical, imaging, and intervention variables associated with mortality. DESIGN: Retrospective chart and imaging review. SETTING: Children's Hospital, level 1 trauma center. PATIENTS: Severely injured (Injury Severity Score ≥ 12) pediatric trauma patients (>1 month and <18 yr) with severe traumatic brain injury (presedation Glasgow Coma Scale ≤ 8 and head Maximum Abbreviated Injury Scale ≥ 4) that developed acute central diabetes insipidus between January 2000 and December 2011. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Of 818 severely injured trauma patients, 180 had severe traumatic brain injury with an overall mortality rate of 27.2%. Thirty-two of the severe traumatic brain injury patients developed acute central diabetes insipidus that responded to desamino-8-D-arginine vasopressin and/or vasopressin infusion, providing an occurrence rate of 18%. At the time of central diabetes insipidus diagnosis, median urine output and serum sodium were 6.8 ml/kg/hr (interquartile range = 5-11) and 154 mmol/L (interquartile range = 149-159), respectively. The mortality rate of central diabetes insipidus patients was 87.5%, with 71.4% declared brain dead after central diabetes insipidus diagnosis. Early central diabetes insipidus onset, within the first 2 days of severe traumatic brain injury, was strongly associated with mortality (p < 0.001), as were a lower presedation Glasgow Coma Scale (p = 0.03), a lower motor Glasgow Coma Scale (p = 0.01), an occurrence of fixed pupils (p = 0.04), and a prolonged partial thromboplastin time (p = 0.04). Cerebral edema on the initial computed tomography, obtained in the first 24 hrs after injury, was the only imaging finding associated with death (p = 0.002). Survivors of central diabetes insipidus were more likely to have intracranial pressure monitoring (p = 0.03), have thiopental administered to induce coma (p = 0.04) and have received a decompressive craniectomy for elevated intracranial pressure (p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of central diabetes insipidus in pediatric patients with severe traumatic brain injury is 18%. Mortality was associated with early central diabetes insipidus onset and cerebral edema on head computed tomography. Central diabetes insipidus nonsurvivors were less likely to have received intracranial pressure monitoring, thiopental coma and decompressive craniectomy.

Hypernatremia is associated with increased risk of mortality in pediatric severe traumatic brain injury.

Acquired hypernatremia in hospitalized patients is often associated with poorer outcomes. Our aim was to evaluate the relationship between acquired hypernatremia and outcome in children with severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI). We performed a retrospective cohort study of all severely injured trauma patients (Injury Severity Score ≥12) with sTBI (Glasgow Coma Scale [GCS] ≤8 and Maximum Abbreviated Injury Scale [MAIS] ≥4) admitted to a Pediatric Critical Care Unit ([PCCU]; 2000-2009). In a cohort of 165 patients, 76% had normonatremia (135-150 mmol/L), 18% had hypernatremia (151-160 mmol/L), and 6% had severe hypernatremia (>160 mmol/L). The groups were similar except for lower GCS (p=0.002) and increased incidence of fixed pupil(s) on admission in both hypernatremia groups (p<0.001). Mortality rate was four-fold and six-fold greater with hypernatremia and severe hypernatremia, respectively (p<0.001), and mortality rates were unchanged when patients with fixed pupils or those with central diabetes insipidus were excluded (p<0.001). Hypernatremic patients had fewer ventilator-free days (p<0.001). Survivors with hypernatremia had greater PCCU (p=0.001) and hospital (p=0.031) lengths of stays and were less frequently discharged home (p=0.008). Logistic regression analyses of patient characteristics and sTBI interventions demonstrated that hypernatremia was independently associated with the presence of fixed pupil(s) on admission (odds ratio [OR] 5.38; p=0.003); administration of thiopental (OR 8.64; p=0.014), and development of central diabetes insipidus (OR 5.66; p=0.005). Additional logistic regression analyses demonstrated a significant association between hypernatremia and mortality (OR 6.660; p=0.034). In summary, acquired hypernatremia appears to signal higher risk of mortality in pediatric sTBI and is associated with a higher discharge level of care in sTBI survivors.

Shaken baby syndrome and a triple-dose strategy for its prevention.

OBJECTIVES: Inflicted traumatic brain injury associated with Shaken Baby Syndrome (SBS) is a leading cause of injury mortality and morbidity in infants. A triple-dose SBS prevention program was implemented with the aim to reduce the incidence of SBS. The objectives of this study were to describe the epidemiology of SBS, the triple-dose prevention program, and its evaluation. METHODS: Descriptive and spatial epidemiologic profiles of SBS cases treated at Children's Hospital, London Health Sciences Centre, from 1991 to 2010 were created. Dose 1 (in-hospital education): pre-post impact evaluation of registered nurse training, with a questionnaire developed to assess parents' satisfaction with the program. Dose 2 (public health home visits): process evaluation of additional education given to new parents. Dose 3 (media campaign): a questionnaire developed to rate the importance of factors on a 7-point Likert scale. These factors were used to create weights for statistical modeling and mapping within a geographic information system to target prevention ads. RESULTS: Forty-three percent of severe infant injuries were intentional. A total of 54 SBS cases were identified. The mean age was 6.7 months (standard deviation, 10.9 months), with 61% of infant males. The mean Injury Severity Score was 26.3 (standard deviation, 5.5) with a 19% mortality rate. Registered nurses learned new information on crying patterns and SBS, with a 47% increase in knowledge posttraining (p < 0.001). Over 10,000 parents were educated in-hospital, a 93% education compliance rate. Nearly all parents (93%) rated the program as useful, citing "what to do when the crying becomes frustrating" as the most important message. Only 6% of families needed to be educated during home visits. Locations of families with a new baby, high population density, and percentage of lone parents were found to be the most important factors for selecting media sites. The spatial analysis revealed six areas needed to be targeted for ad locations. CONCLUSIONS: SBS is a devastating intentional injury that often results in poor outcomes for the child. Implementing a triple-dose prevention program that provides education on crying patterns, coping strategies, and the dangers of shaking is key to SBS prevention. The program increased knowledge. Parents rated the program as useful. The media campaign allowed us to extend the primary prevention beyond new parents to help create a cultural change in the way crying, the primary trigger for SBS, is viewed. Targeting our intervention increased the likelihood that our message was reaching the population in greatest need.

Injury analyses in rural children: comparison of Old-Order Anabaptists and non-Anabaptists.

BACKGROUND: Southwestern Ontario largely comprises rural farming districts and is home to numerous Old-Order Anabaptist settlements. Our objective was to describe the injuries sustained by rural children, both Old-Order Anabaptist and non-Anabaptist, to better target injury prevention programs. METHODS: We retrospectively examined injury data of rural children in Southwestern Ontario with injury severity scores ≥ 12 obtained from hospital and trauma databases (1997-2007). RESULTS: A total of 422 rural children were included in this study: 7.8% Anabaptist (n = 33) and 92.2% non-Anabaptist (n = 389). The age of injured Anabaptist children (median, 7 years; interquartile range = 10) was younger than non-Anabaptist children (median, 14 years; interquartile range = 7; p < 0.001). Anabaptist children were most frequently injured on their property (48.5%; n = 16 of 33; p < 0.001). Non-Anabaptist children were mostly injured on roads (56.8%; n = 221 of 389; p < 0.05) and by motor vehicle collisions (MVCs; 40.1%; n = 156 of 389; p = 0.02). Frequent causes of injury among Anabaptist children were falls (24.2%; n = 8 of 33; p = 0.02), animals (15.2%; n = 5 of 33; p = 0.004), and buggies (9.1%; n = 3 of 33). Approximately half of both groups injured in MVCs did not use seat belts. There were no significant differences between cohorts in sex, injury severity scores, hospitalization days, rates of complications, interventions, comorbidities, or mortality rates. CONCLUSIONS: Injuries to Anabaptist children occur at a young age, primarily on their property, and exhibit a unique spectrum of mechanisms. In contrast, injuries to non-Anabaptist children occur at an older age, primarily on roads, and in MVCs. The use of protective devices was low among all rural children. Development of collaborative injury prevention programs targeted to distinct rural communities, including Anabaptist and non-Anabaptist, are needed for reducing injuries among rural children.

Evaluation of an adolescent hospital-based injury prevention program.

BACKGROUND: IMPACT (Impaired Minds Produce Actions Causing Trauma) is an adolescent, hospital-based program aimed to prevent injuries and their consequences caused by alcohol or drug impairment and other high-risk behaviors. The overall objective of this evaluation was to determine the effect of the program on students' knowledge and behavior regarding drinking and driving, over time. METHODS: A randomized control trial between students randomly selected to attend IMPACT and those not selected served as a control group. Students completed a questionnaire before the program and at three posttime periods (1 week, 1 month, and 6 months). Panel data models were used to analyze the effects of the experiment on students' knowledge of alcohol and crash issues and negative driving behaviors (no seat belt, driving while using a cell phone, involved in conversation, eating, annoyed with other drivers, and drowsy). Descriptive statistics and logistic regression models were used to analyze the effect of IMPACT on students' influence on friends and family about road safety. RESULTS: This study consisted of 269 students (129 IMPACT; 140 control) with an overall response rate of 84% (range, 99% presurvey to 71% at 6 months). The IMPACT group had a 57%, 38%, and 43% increase in the number of correct answers on alcohol and crash issues during the three time periods, respectively (p < 0.05). Students in the IMPACT group would try to influence friends and family to improve their road safety twice as often as 1-week postprogram (odds ratio 1.94, confidence interval 1.07, 3.53). The models did not suggest that the program had an effect on negative driving behaviors. Men and students who drove more frequently had worse driving behavior. CONCLUSIONS: Our evaluation demonstrates that the IMPACT program had a statistically significant, positive effect on students' knowledge of alcohol and crash issues that was sustained over time. IMPACT had an initial effect on students' behaviors in terms of peer influence toward improving road safety (i.e., buckling up, not drinking, and driving) 1 week after the program, but this effect diminished after 1 month. Other negative driving behaviors had low prevalence at baseline and were not further influenced by the program.

Canadian benchmarks in trauma.

BACKGROUND: Benchmarks are used in trauma care for program evaluation, quality improvement, and research. National outcome benchmarks relevant to the Canadian trauma population need to be defined for evaluation of trauma care in Canada. The purpose of this study was to derive survival probabilities associated with trauma diagnoses using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9) codes. METHODS: All patients admitted to an acute care hospital with nonpenetrating trauma and submitted to the National Trauma Registry of Canada between 1994 through 2000 inclusively were included in analyses. Both inclusive and exclusive survival risk ratios (SRRs) were calculated for groups of ICD-9 injury codes between 800 to 959. RESULTS: For the study period, there were 1,003,905 and 803,776 eligible trauma patients used to calculate inclusive SRRs and exclusive SRRs, respectively. Survival probabilities for injuries are given according to ICD-9 codes. CONCLUSION: This is the first study to define national survival benchmarks for the Canadian trauma population. These results can be used to assess survival of patients using the ICISS [(ICD-9) based Injury Severity Score (ISS)] methodology. With regular updates, these data can further be developed for continual trauma outcome assessment, quality improvement, and research into trauma care in Canada.

Human immunodeficiency virus, hepatitis B, and hepatitis C seroprevalence in a Canadian trauma population.

BACKGROUND: The current seroprevalence of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), hepatitis B, and hepatitis C in the Canadian trauma population is unknown. Establishing the seroprevalence of these diseases is vital for education, postexposure prophylaxis, and counseling, and to establish potential screening guidelines. The purpose of this study was to determine the seroprevalence of HIV, hepatitis B, and hepatitis C in the trauma population of London, Ontario, Canada. METHODS: All adult (aged > or = 18 years) trauma patients treated by the trauma team at London Health Sciences Centre were prospectively studied from January to December 2003. The study was conducted as a linked, confidential serosurvey with delayed full disclosure. Serum was analyzed for HIV, hepatitis C antibody, and Hepatitis B surface antigen. RESULTS: A total of 287 (76%) of 377 consecutive trauma patients had blood testing completed. Of the 287 patients tested, 1 (0.3%) was positive for hepatitis B, 8 (2.8%) were positive for hepatitis C, and no patients tested positive for HIV. Hepatitis C-positive patients were predominantly men (63%) with a mean age of 46 years and a mean Injury Severity Score of 19; 63% were injured in a motor vehicle crash, and 88% were discharged alive. There were no statistically significant differences in the demographic and injury profiles from the hepatitis C-negative patients (p > 0.2 for all). CONCLUSION: This is the first study to determine the rates of HIV, hepatitis B, and hepatitis C in the Canadian trauma population. Our trauma population demonstrated a threefold higher hepatitis C seroprevalence rate compared with the general population. Hepatitis C poses the highest risk to the trauma team of the three bloodborne diseases studied. With no vaccine or postexposure prophylaxis currently available for hepatitis C, this study highlights the importance of prevention and the strict use of universal precautions in the setting of trauma.

Pediatric trauma in southwestern Ontario: linking data with injury prevention initiatives.

BACKGROUND: Our objective was to provide an epidemiologic description of pediatric trauma in SW Ontario using multiple data sets. Injury prevention (IP) initiatives were linked with predominant injury mechanisms to determine whether IP programs were supported by data. METHODS: Descriptive analysis was undertaken for five pediatric age groups (<1 year, 1-4 years, 5-9 years, 10-14 years, 15-19 years) using the Ontario Trauma Registry's Death Data Set, Comprehensive Data Set (Lead Trauma Hospitals [LTH] patients), and Minimal Data Set (hospital admissions), 1999-2000, for all pediatric patients residing in SW Ontario. National Ambulatory Care Reporting System (NACRS) data from the Children's Hospital of Western Ontario/London Health Sciences Centre were used to capture the Emergency Room (ER) injury data. Information on IP initiatives for children and youth was gathered through an Internet search, supplemented by a survey. RESULTS: Injury in SW Ontario resulted in 13,197 ER visits, 1,616 hospital admissions, 70 severe trauma (ISS > 12) cases treated at a LTH and 47 deaths to children and youth. More males than females were injured, with the sex differential more pronounced as age increased. Falls were the leading mechanism for ER visits (37%) and hospital admissions (26%). Recreational injuries represented approximately 30% of injuries to the 10-14 yr age group. As ISS increased, MVCs emerged as an important mechanism, representing 71% of LTH cases and 53% of pediatric injury deaths in SW Ontario. There were 61 pediatric IP programs identified in SW Ontario. Eighty-four percent of programs (51/61) were supported by data, and were related to one of the predominant injury mechanisms. CONCLUSIONS: Injury is a serious problem for children in SW Ontario. Data can be used to identify modifiable risk factors to develop and implement new IP initiatives with the goal of reducing childhood injury and death. There is a need to integrate and link IP programs in SW Ontario for full coverage of all injury mechanisms.

Management of blunt thoracic aortic injuries: endovascular stents versus open repair.

BACKGROUND: Endovascular stent graft (EV) technology has been successfully adapted to the repair of blunt traumatic aortic injuries. The purpose of this study was to compare the outcomes of patients treated with EV repair and open repair after blunt thoracic aortic trauma. METHODS: A review of a tertiary trauma center's prospective trauma registry identified all patients who suffered a blunt traumatic thoracic aortic injury over an 11-year period (1991-2002). Operative interventions and outcomes were then compared. RESULTS: Over an 11-year period, 18 patients underwent repair of a blunt thoracic aortic injury (EV, 6; open, 12). There were no significant differences in demographics, injury, or crash statistics between groups. The open group had a 17% early mortality rate (n = 2), a paraplegia rate of 16% (n = 2), and an 8.3% incidence of recurrent laryngeal nerve injury (n = 1). This is in contrast to a 0% rate of mortality, paraplegia, and recurrent laryngeal nerve injury in the EV group. A definite trend toward decreased morbidity, mortality, intensive care unit length of stay, and number of ventilator-dependent days was seen with EV repair. CONCLUSION: We observed a clear trend toward improved outcomes after EV repair of thoracic aortic injuries compared with standard open repair. EV repair is emerging as the preferred method of repairing blunt thoracic aortic injuries in trauma patients with multiple injuries.