Recognizing Statistical Problems in Reports of Clinical Trials: A Readers' Aid. Part 33 of a Series on Evaluation of Scientific Publications.

BACKGROUND: Readers of clinical trial reports should be able to critically evaluate the design, results, and conclusions of the trial. There are internationally accepted guidelines that define methodological standards for trial planning, statistical methods, and the display and interpretation of the results. Publications may nonetheless contain erroneous findings and interpretations. METHODS: Statistical errors can arise in the planning of the trial, the analysis and display of the results, as well as in the interpretation of p-values and treatment effects in experimental and observational clinical trials. A useful aid for readers of medical publications should include a description of the potential statistical problems without complex theoretical background information. With this aim, we discuss certain major types of statistical error that the reader should be familiar with in order to be able to interpret the conclusions of these publications more easily. RESULTS: Statistical errors can already arise at an early stage through the choice of the wrong question to be addressed or the wrong population to be analyzed; such errors will inevitably have consequences. Before the start of any clinical trial, a primary endpoint must be defined, the sample size must be calculated, and the trial must be appropriately registered (among other requirements). With regard to the analysis, readers should for example take into account whether a statistical analysis plan with an intention-to-treat analysis existed for the study in question. They must be able to recognize erroneous methods of displaying and comparing data, confounding, as well as incorrect interpretations of p-values, and should take these problems into account when interpreting the findings. The problem of invalid causal inferences is not restricted to observational studies. CONCLUSION: Statistical errors do, indeed, arise. They should be detected as early as possible in various test instances. Nonetheless, readers should be able to judge independently whether the published clinical trial reflects meticulous and correct trial planning, appropriate display of the trial's results, and a proper, reasoned interpretation of the findings. The published checklists are a good aid for this purpose.

Blood-based cardiometabolic phenotypes in atrial fibrillation and their associated risk: EAST-AFNET 4 biomolecule study.

AIMS: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and concomitant cardiometabolic disease processes interact and combine to lead to adverse events, such as stroke, heart failure, myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death. Circulating biomolecules provide quantifiable proxies for cardiometabolic disease processes. The aim of this study was to test whether biomolecule combinations can define phenotypes in patients with AF. METHODS AND RESULTS: This pre-specified analysis of the EAST-AFNET 4 biomolecule study assigned patients to clusters using polytomous variable latent-class analysis based on baseline concentrations of 13 precisely quantified biomolecules potentially reflecting ageing, cardiac fibrosis, metabolic dysfunction, oxidative stress, cardiac load, endothelial dysfunction, and inflammation. In each cluster, rates of cardiovascular death, stroke, or hospitalization for heart failure or acute coronary syndrome, the primary outcome of EAST-AFNET 4, were calculated and compared between clusters over median 5.1 years follow-up. Findings were independently validated in a prospective cohort of 748 patients with AF (BBC-AF; median follow-up 2.9 years).Unsupervised biomolecule analysis assigned 1586 patients (71 years old, 46% women) into four clusters. The highest risk cluster was dominated by elevated bone morphogenetic protein 10, insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 7, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, angiopoietin 2, and growth differentiation factor 15. Patients in the lowest risk cluster showed low concentrations of these biomolecules. Two intermediate-risk clusters differed by high or low concentrations of C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, and D-dimer. Patients in the highest risk cluster had a five-fold higher cardiovascular event rate than patients in the low-risk cluster. Early rhythm control was effective across clusters (Pinteraction = 0.63). Sensitivity analyses and external validation in BBC-AF replicated clusters and risk gradients. CONCLUSION: Biomolecule concentrations identify cardiometabolic subphenotypes in patients with AF at high and low cardiovascular risk.

Is an intraoperative liver function assessment possible? Application of the 13C-methacetin-breath-test during major liver resections - a pilot study.

BACKGROUND: As prevention of posthepatectomy-liver-failure is crucial, there is need of dynamic assessment of liver function, even intraoperatively. 13C-methacetin-breath-test estimates the organ's microsomal functional capacity. This is its first intraoperative evaluation in major liver surgery. METHODS: 30 patients planed for resection of ≥3 liver segments, between March-November 2019, were prospectively enrolled in this "single-center", pilot study. Using the 13C-methacetin-breath-test, liver function was assessed four times: preoperatively, intraoperatively before and after resection and postoperatively. The resulted maximum-liver-function-capacity (LiMAx)-values and delta-over-baseline (DOB)-curves were compared, further analyzed and correlated to respective liver volumes. RESULTS: The intraoperative LiMAx-values before resection were mostly lower than the preoperative ones (-11.3% ± 28%). The intraoperative measurements after resection resulted to mostly higher values than the postoperative ones (42.35% ± 46.19%). Pharmacokinetically, an interference between the two intraoperative tests was observed. There was no strong correlation between residual liver volume and function with a percentual residual-LiMAx mostly lower than the percentual residual volume (-17.7% ± 4.1%). CONCLUSIONS: Intraoperative application of the 13C-methacetin-breath-test during major liver resections seems to deliver lower values than the standard preoperative test. As multiple intraoperative tests interfere significantly to each other, a single intraoperative measurement is suggested. Multicentric standardized measurements could define the "normal" range for intraoperative measurements and control their predictive value.

Relationship between ICD implantation volume and treatment parameters of patients receiving an ICD with remote monitoring.

BACKGROUND: Both highly specialized heart centres and less specialized hospitals care for patients with implantable ICDs/CRT-Ds with remote monitoring. OBJECTIVE: To investigate potential differences in patient treatment according to centre's ICD implantation volume. METHODS: Based on their 2012 ICD/CRT-D implantation volume, centres enrolled in the NORDIC ICD trial in Germany were assigned to one of three groups: high- (HV, n= 345), medium- (MV, n= 340) or low-volume (LV, n= 189). RESULTS: The HV-centres had a significant higher CRT-D proportion (41.7%; LV: 36.5%; MV: 23.2%; P𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑙< 0.001), significant shorter median procedure duration (49 min; MV: 58 min; LV: 60 min; P𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑙< 0.001) but significant longer median hospital stay (4 days; MV and LV: 3 days; P𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑙< 0.001) compared to MV- and LV-centres. The X-ray exposure was shorter in MV/HV-centres (MV: 3.4 min; HV: 3.6 min; LV: 5.5 min; P𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑙< 0.001). Only 3.5% (LV: 2.6%; HV: 3.5%; MV: 4.1%) patients received at least one delivered inappropriate shock and 2.5% (HV: 2.0%; LV: 2.6%; MV: 2.9%) patients had withheld inappropriate ICD shocks without subsequent inappropriate shock delivery within 24.5 months of median follow-up. CONCLUSION: Implantation volume-dependent differences were observed in the device selection, procedure duration and x-ray exposure duration. Remote monitoring in combination with adequate response pattern prevented imminent inappropriate shocks in all three groups.

Psychological risk factors for Long COVID and their modification: study protocol of a three-arm, randomised controlled trial (SOMA.COV).

BACKGROUND: Growing evidence suggests that in addition to pathophysiological, there are psychological risk factors involved in the development of Long COVID. Illness-related anxiety and dysfunctional symptom expectations seem to contribute to symptom persistence. AIMS: With regard to the development of effective therapies, our primary aim is to investigate whether symptoms of Long COVID can be improved by a targeted modification of illness-related anxiety and dysfunctional symptom expectations. Second, we aim to identify additional psychosocial risk factors that contribute to the persistence of Long COVID, and compare them with risk factors for symptom persistence in other clinical conditions. METHOD: We will conduct an observer-blinded, three-arm, randomised controlled trial. A total of 258 patients with Long COVID will be randomised into three groups of equal size: targeted expectation management in addition to treatment as usual (TAU), non-specific supportive treatment plus TAU, or TAU only. Both active intervention groups will comprise three individual online video consultation sessions and a booster session after 3 months. The primary outcome is baseline to post-interventional change in overall somatic symptom severity. CONCLUSIONS: The study will shed light onto the action mechanisms of a targeted expectation management intervention for Long COVID, which, if proven effective, can be used stand-alone or in the context of broader therapeutic approaches. Further, the study will enable a better understanding of symptom persistence in Long COVID by identifying additional psychological risk factors.

Heart weight must not be measured before dissection during autopsies.

During autopsies, weighing the heart is a standard procedure. In addition to myocardial pathologies, heart size, and ventricular wall thickness, heart weight is a common parameter to describe cardiac pathology and should be recorded as accurately as possible. To date, there exists no standard for recording heart weight at autopsy, although some authors recommend weighing the heart after dissection and removal of blood and blood clots. In the study presented, the hearts of 58 decedents were weighed after being dissected out of the pericardial sac (a), after dissection using the short-axis or inflow-outflow method with manual removal of blood and blood clots (b), and after rinsing and drying (c). Depending on the dissection method, the heart weight was 7.8% lower for the inflow-outflow method and 11.6% lower for the short-axis method after dissection compared to before and correspondingly 2.9% to 5% lower again after rinsing and drying respectively. Accordingly, the heart should be dissected, blood and blood clots removed, rinsed with water, and dried with a surgical towel after dissection, before weighing.

Association of genetic risk and outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: interactions with early rhythm control in the EAST-AFNET4 trial.

AIMS: The randomized Early Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation for Stroke Prevention Trial found that early rhythm control reduces cardiovascular events in patients with recently diagnosed atrial fibrillation (AF) compared with usual care. How genetic predisposition to AF and stroke interacts with early rhythm-control therapy is not known. METHODS AND RESULTS: Array genotyping and imputation for common genetic variants were performed. Polygenic risk scores (PRS) were calculated for AF (PRS-AF) and ischaemic stroke risk (PRS-stroke). The effects of PRS-AF and PRS-stroke on the primary outcome (composite of cardiovascular death, stroke, and hospitalization for acute coronary syndrome or worsening heart failure), its components, and recurrent AF were determined.A total of 1567 of the 2789 trial patients were analysed [793 randomized to early rhythm control; 774 to usual care, median age 71 years (65-75), 704 (44%) women]. Baseline characteristics were similar between randomized groups. Early rhythm control reduced the primary outcome compared with usual care [HR 0.67, 95% CI: (0.53, 0.84), P < 0.001]. The randomized intervention, early rhythm control, did not interact with PRS-AF (interaction P = 0.806) or PRS-stroke (interaction P = 0.765). PRS-AF was associated with recurrent AF [HR 1.08 (01.0, 1.16), P = 0.047]. PRS-stroke showed an association with the primary outcome [HR 1.13 (1.0, 1.27), P = 0.048], driven by more heart failure events [HR 1.23 (1.05-1.43), P = 0.010] without differences in stroke [HR 1.0 (0.75, 1.34), P = 0.973] in this well-anticoagulated cohort. In a replication analysis, PRS-stroke was associated with incident AF [HR 1.16 (1.14, 1.67), P < 0.001] and with incident heart failure in the UK Biobank [HR 1.08 (1.06, 1.10), P < 0.001]. The association with heart failure was weakened when excluding AF patients [HR 1.03 (1.01, 1.05), P = 0.001]. CONCLUSIONS: Early rhythm control is effective across the spectrum of genetic AF and stroke risk. The association between genetic stroke risk and heart failure calls for research to understand the interactions between polygenic risk and treatment. REGISTRATION: ISRCTN04708680, NCT01288352, EudraCT2010-021258-20, www.easttrial.org.

Early rhythm-control therapy for atrial fibrillation in patients with a history of stroke: a subgroup analysis of the EAST-AFNET 4 trial.

BACKGROUND: Patients with atrial fibrillation and a history of stroke are at high risk of recurrent stroke and cardiovascular complications. In the EAST-AFNET 4 trial we showed that a systematic strategy of early rhythm control was associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular outcomes than usual care in patients with atrial fibrillation diagnosed in the past 12 months. In this pre-specified subgroup analysis we aimed to assess whether a strategy of early rhythm control is safe and can prevent adverse cardiovascular outcomes compared with usual care in such patients. METHODS: EAST-AFNET 4 was a randomised, open-label trial with blinded-outcome assessment done at 135 hospitals and secondary care practices in 11 European countries. Adults with early atrial fibrillation (ie, diagnosed ≤12 months before enrolment) were randomly assigned (1:1) to either early rhythm control or usual care, with stratification according to site and variable block lengths used for concealment. The first primary outcome was time to first occurrence of the composite of cardiovascular death, ischaemic or haemorrhagic stroke, or hospital admission with worsening of heart failure or acute coronary syndrome. The second primary outcome was the number of nights spent in hospital in 1 year. The primary safety outcome was the composite of any death, stroke, or serious adverse events related to rhythm-control therapy. Here we present the results of these outcomes in patients with a history of stroke. Analyses were done in the intention-to-treat population. EAST-AFNET 4 is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT01288352), EudraCT (2010-021258-20), and ISRCTN (ISRCTN04708680). FINDINGS: Between July 28, 2011, and Dec 30, 2016, 2789 patients were randomly assigned in the EAST-AFNET 4 trial to either early rhythm control (n=1395) or usual care (n=1394). Of these patients, five had no information on history of stroke and were excluded from this subgroup analysis. 217 (8%) patients had a history of stroke, of whom 110 were assigned to early rhythm control and 107 to usual care. The median age of participants with a history of stroke was 72·0 years (IQR 66·0-76·0). 95 (44%) participants were female and 122 (56%) were male. During a median follow-up of 4·7 years (3·5-6·4) for patients with a history of stroke, a first primary outcome event occurred in 18 (16%) of 110 patients in the early rhythm-control group (3·7 per 100 person-years) and 33 (31%) of 107 in the usual care group (7·4 per 100 person-years; hazard ratio [HR] 0·52, 95% CI 0·29-0·93). The mean number of nights spent in hospital per year was 5·1 (SD 13·2) for patients with a history of stroke assigned to early rhythm control and 6·6 (10·1) for those assigned to usual care (incidence rate ratio 0·87, 95% CI 0·55-1·38). Among patients with a history of stroke, primary safety events occurred in 17 (15%) patients in the early rhythm-control group versus 30 (28%) in the usual care group. INTERPRETATION: In this prespecified subgroup analysis in patients with recently diagnosed atrial fibrillation and a history of stroke, the effects of early rhythm control were consistent with the findings of the primary analysis. As the evidence from this subgroup analysis is considered supportive and exploratory, further research is needed to confirm the safety and efficacy of this approach in patients with a history of stroke. FUNDING: German Ministry of Education and Research, German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), Atrial Fibrillation Network (AFNET), European Heart Rhythm Association, St Jude Medical-Abbott, Sanofi, and the German Heart Foundation.

Association of NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT with Imaging Markers of Diastolic Dysfunction and Focal Myocardial Fibrosis in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy.

Serum biomarkers such as N-terminal prohormone of the brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and cardiac troponins are elevated in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). At present, it is not clear if these markers are associated with distinct clinical alterations in HCM, such as left ventricular hypertrophy, outflow tract obstruction, myocardial fibrosis and/or diastolic dysfunction (DD), which are associated with adverse cardiovascular outcome. Here we evaluate the association of NT-proBNP and high sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) to a variety of cardiac imaging parameters in HCM patients in a multivariable regression analysis. This retrospective cross-sectional study included 366 HCM patients who underwent transthoracic echocardiography (TTE), 218 of whom also obtained cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) to assess focal myocardial fibrosis by LGE. Multivariable regression analyses revealed the strongest association of the DD parameters E/E' mean and E/E' septal with NT-proBNP (b = 0.06, 95%-CI [0.05−0.07], p < 0.001, R2 = 0.28; b = 0.08, 95%-CI [0.06−0.1], p < 0.001, R2 = 0.25) and LGE size showed the strongest association with hs-cTnT (b = 0.20, 95%-CI [0.15−0.24], p < 0.001, R2 = 0.28). This study indicates that NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT are associated with structural and functional alterations in HCM. NT-proBNP is a stronger predictor for DD, while hs-cTnT is associated with the extent of focal myocardial fibrosis. Both biomarkers might be useful in the diagnostic procedure in addition to imaging parameters.

Attaining sinus rhythm mediates improved outcome with early rhythm control therapy of atrial fibrillation: the EAST-AFNET 4 trial.

AIMS: A strategy of systematic, early rhythm control (ERC) improves cardiovascular outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). It is not known how this outcome-reducing effect is mediated. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using the Early treatment of Atrial Fibrillation for Stroke prevention Trial (EAST-AFNET 4) data set, potential mediators of the effect of ERC were identified in the total study population at 12-month follow up and further interrogated by use of a four-way decomposition of the treatment effect in an exponential model predicting future primary outcome events. Fourteen potential mediators of ERC were identified at the 12-month visit. Of these, sinus rhythm at 12 months explained 81% of the treatment effect of ERC compared with usual care during the remainder of follow up (4.1 years). In patients not in sinus rhythm at 12 months, ERC did not reduce future cardiovascular outcomes (hazard ratio 0.94, 95% confidence interval 0.65-1.67). Inclusion of AF recurrence in the model only explained 31% of the treatment effect, and inclusion of systolic blood pressure at 12 months only 10%. There was no difference in outcomes in patients who underwent AF ablation compared with those who did not undergo AF ablation. CONCLUSION: The effectiveness of early rhythm control is mediated by the presence of sinus rhythm at 12 months in the EAST-AFNET 4 trial. Clinicians implementing ERC should aim for rapid and sustained restoration of sinus rhythm in patients with recently diagnosed AF and cardiovascular comorbidities.

Effect of adaptive servo ventilation on central sleep apnea and sleep structure in systolic heart failure patients: polysomnography data from the SERVE-HF major sub study.

This SERVE-HF (Treatment of Predominant Central Sleep Apnea by Adaptive Servo Ventilation in Patients With Heart Failure) sub study analysis evaluated polysomnography (PSG) data in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and predominant central sleep apnea (CSA) randomised to guideline-based medical therapy, with or without adaptive servo ventilation (ASV). Patients underwent full overnight PSG at baseline and at 12 months. All PSG recordings were analysed by a core laboratory. Only data for patients with baseline and 3- or 12-month values were included. The sub study included 312 patients; the number with available PSG data differed for each variable (94-103 in the control group, 77-99 in the ASV group). After 12 months, baseline-adjusted respiratory measures were significantly better in the ASV group versus control. Although some between-group differences in sleep measures were seen at 12 months (e.g., better sleep efficiency in the ASV group), these were unlikely to be clinically significant. The number of periodic leg movements during sleep (PLMS) increased in the ASV group (p = 0.039). At 12 months, the respiratory arousal index was significantly lower in the ASV versus control group (p < 0.001), whilst the PLMS-related arousal index was significantly higher in the ASV group (p = 0.04 versus control). ASV attenuated the respiratory variables characterising sleep apnea in patients with HFrEF and predominant CSA in SERVE-HF. Sleep quality improvements during ASV therapy were small and unlikely to be clinically significant. The increase in PLMS and PLMS-related arousals during ASV warrants further investigation, particularly relating to their potential association with increased cardiovascular risk.

Systematic, early rhythm control strategy for atrial fibrillation in patients with or without symptoms: the EAST-AFNET 4 trial.

AIMS: Clinical practice guidelines restrict rhythm control therapy to patients with symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF). The EAST-AFNET 4 trial demonstrated that early, systematic rhythm control improves clinical outcomes compared to symptom-directed rhythm control. METHODS AND RESULTS: This prespecified EAST-AFNET 4 analysis compared the effect of early rhythm control therapy in asymptomatic patients (EHRA score I) to symptomatic patients. Primary outcome was a composite of death from cardiovascular causes, stroke, or hospitalization with worsening of heart failure or acute coronary syndrome, analyzed in a time-to-event analysis. At baseline, 801/2633 (30.4%) patients were asymptomatic [mean age 71.3 years, 37.5% women, mean CHA2DS2-VASc score 3.4, 169/801 (21.1%) heart failure]. Asymptomatic patients randomized to early rhythm control (395/801) received similar rhythm control therapies compared to symptomatic patients [e.g. AF ablation at 24 months: 75/395 (19.0%) in asymptomatic; 176/910 (19.3%) symptomatic patients, P = 0.672]. Anticoagulation and treatment of concomitant cardiovascular conditions was not different between symptomatic and asymptomatic patients. The primary outcome occurred in 79/395 asymptomatic patients randomized to early rhythm control and in 97/406 patients randomized to usual care (hazard ratio 0.76, 95% confidence interval [0.6; 1.03]), almost identical to symptomatic patients. At 24 months follow-up, change in symptom status was not different between randomized groups (P = 0.19). CONCLUSION: The clinical benefit of early, systematic rhythm control was not different between asymptomatic and symptomatic patients in EAST-AFNET 4. These results call for a shared decision discussing the benefits of rhythm control therapy in all patients with recently diagnosed AF and concomitant cardiovascular conditions (EAST-AFNET 4; ISRCTN04708680; NCT01288352; EudraCT2010-021258-20).

CHD1 loss negatively influences metastasis-free survival in R0-resected prostate cancer patients and promotes spontaneous metastasis in vivo.

The outcome of prostate cancer (PCa) patients is highly variable and depends on whether or not distant metastases occur. Multiple chromosomal deletions have been linked to early tumor marker PSA recurrence (biochemical relapse, BCR) after radical prostatectomy (RP), but their potential role for distant metastasis formation is largely unknown. Here, we specifically analyzed whether deletion of the tumor suppressor CHD1 (5q21) influences the post-surgical risk of distant metastasis and whether CHD1 loss directly contributes to metastasis formation in vivo. By considering >6800 patients we found that the CHD1 deletion negatively influences metastasis-free survival in R0 patients (HR: 2.32; 95% CI: 1.61, 3.33; p < 0.001) independent of preoperative PSA, pT stage, pN status, Gleason Score, and BCR. Moreover, CHD1 deletion predicts shortened BCR-free survival in pT2 patients and cancer-specific survival in all patients. In vivo, CHD1 loss increases spontaneous pulmonary metastasis formation in two distinct PCa models coupled with a higher number of multicellular colonies as compared to single-cell metastases. Transcriptome analyses revealed down-regulation of the PCa-specific metastasis suppressor and TGFß signaling regulator PMEPA1 after CHD1 depletion in both tested PCa models. CHD1 loss increases the risk of postoperative metastasis in R0-resected PCa patients and promotes spontaneous metastasis formation in vivo.

Anticoagulation, therapy of concomitant conditions, and early rhythm control therapy: a detailed analysis of treatment patterns in the EAST - AFNET 4 trial.

AIMS: Treatment patterns were compared between randomized groups in EAST-AFNET 4 to assess whether differences in anticoagulation, therapy of concomitant diseases, or intensity of care can explain the clinical benefit achieved with early rhythm control in EAST-AFNET 4. METHODS AND RESULTS: Cardiovascular treatment patterns and number of visits were compared between randomized groups in EAST-AFNET 4. Oral anticoagulation was used in >90% of patients during follow-up without differences between randomized groups. There were no differences in treatment of concomitant conditions between groups. The type of rhythm control varied by country and centre. Over time, antiarrhythmic drugs were given to 1171/1395 (84%) patients in early therapy, and to 202/1394 (14%) in usual care. Atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation was performed in 340/1395 (24%) patients randomized to early therapy, and in 168/1394 (12%) patients randomized to usual care. 97% of rhythm control therapies were within class I and class III recommendations of AF guidelines. Patients randomized to early therapy transmitted 297 166 telemetric electrocardiograms (ECGs) to a core lab. In total, 97 978 abnormal ECGs were sent to study sites. The resulting difference between study visits was low (0.06 visits/patient/year), with slightly more visits in early therapy (usual care 0.39 visits/patient/year; early rhythm control 0.45 visits/patient/year, P < 0.001), mainly due to visits for symptomatic AF recurrences or recurrent AF on telemetric ECGs. CONCLUSION: The clinical benefit of early, systematic rhythm control therapy was achieved using variable treatment patterns of antiarrhythmic drugs and AF ablation, applied within guideline recommendations.

Incidence and risk factors of mental disorders in the elderly: The European MentDis_ICF65+ study.

OBJECTIVE: While incidence rates of depression and anxiety disorders in the elderly have been comprehensively investigated, the incidence rates of other mental disorders have rarely been researched. The incidence rate and predictors of various mental disorders in the elderly were evaluated in different European and associated countries. METHODS: A cross-sectional and longitudinal multi-centre survey of Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (4th ed.) diagnoses was conducted in different European and associated countries (Germany, Italy, Spain, Switzerland, the United Kingdom and Israel) to collect data on the prevalence and incidence of mental disorders in the elderly. The sample size of the longitudinal wave was N = 2592 elderly. RESULTS: The overall 1-year incidence rate for any mental disorder in the elderly is 8.65%. At 5.18%, any anxiety disorder had the highest incidence rate across all diagnostic groups. The incidence rate for any affective disorder was 2.97%. The lowest incidence rates were found for agoraphobia (1.37%) and panic disorder (1.30%). Risk factors for the development of any mental disorder were never having been married, no religious affiliation, a higher number of physical illnesses and a lower quality of life. CONCLUSION: In comparison to other studies, lower incidence rates for any affective disorder and middle-range incidence for any anxiety disorder were found. To the authors' knowledge, no prior studies have reported 1-year incidence rates for somatoform disorder, bipolar disorder and substance misuse in community-dwelling elderly. These findings indicate the need to raise awareness of psychosocial problems in the elderly and to ensure adequate availability of mental health services.

Early Rhythm Control Therapy in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: Even on optimal therapy, many patients with heart failure and atrial fibrillation experience cardiovascular complications. Additional treatments are needed to reduce these events, especially in patients with heart failure and preserved left ventricular ejection fraction. METHODS: This prespecified subanalysis of the randomized EAST-AFNET4 trial (Early Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation for Stroke Prevention Trial) assessed the effect of systematic, early rhythm control therapy (ERC; using antiarrhythmic drugs or catheter ablation) compared with usual care (allowing rhythm control therapy to improve symptoms) on the 2 primary outcomes of the trial and on selected secondary outcomes in patients with heart failure, defined as heart failure symptoms New York Heart Association II to III or left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF] <50%. RESULTS: This analysis included 798 patients (300 [37.6%] female, median age 71.0 [64.0, 76.0] years, 785 with known LVEF). The majority of patients (n=442) had heart failure and preserved LVEF (LVEF≥50%; mean LVEF 61±6.3%), the others had heart failure with midrange ejection fraction (n=211; LVEF 40%-49%; mean LVEF 44 ± 2.9%) or heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (n=132; LVEF<40%; mean LVEF 31±5.5%). Over the 5.1-year median follow-up, the composite primary outcome of cardiovascular death, stroke, or hospitalization for worsening of heart failure or for acute coronary syndrome occurred less often in patients randomly assigned to ERC (94/396; 5.7 per 100 patient-years) compared with patients randomly assigned to usual care (130/402; 7.9 per 100 patient-years; hazard ratio, 0.74 [0.56-0.97]; P=0.03), not altered by heart failure status (interaction P value=0.63). The primary safety outcome (death, stroke, or serious adverse events related to rhythm control therapy) occurred in 71 of 396 (17.9%) patients with heart failure randomly assigned to ERC and in 87 of 402 (21.6%) patients with heart failure randomly assigned to usual care (hazard ratio, 0.85 [0.62-1.17]; P=0.33). LVEF improved in both groups (LVEF change at 2 years: ERC 5.3±11.6%, usual care 4.9±11.6%, P=0.43). ERC also improved the composite outcome of death or hospitalization for worsening of heart failure. CONCLUSIONS: Rhythm control therapy conveys clinical benefit when initiated within 1 year of diagnosing atrial fibrillation in patients with signs or symptoms of heart failure. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT01288352. URL: http://www.controlled-trials.com; Unique identifier: ISRCTN04708680. URL: https://www.clinicaltrialsregister.eu; Unique identifier: 2010-021258-20.

[Coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic from a nephrological perspective]. / "Coronavirus-disease-2019"-Pandemie aus nephrologischer Perspektive.

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has also resulted in substantial challenges for nephrology worldwide. Patients with chronic kidney diseases are a particularly vulnerable patient group in this context and in severe courses of COVID-19 the kidneys are most frequently affected by organ failure after the lungs. MATERIAL AND METHODS: In order to reliably evaluate the prevalence and mortality of dialysis patients in Germany with respect to COVID-19, during the first wave in spring 2020 the German Society of Nephrology implemented a registry for dialysis patients. Weekly data on the number and course of dialysis patients affected by COVID-19 were recorded and analyzed. RESULTS: The prevalence of COVID-19 in dialysis patients in Germany developed in two waves, similar to the course of the pandemic in the general population. In spring the prevalence in dialysis patients reached 1.4% and considerably declined during the summer. In December during the second wave of the pandemic the prevalence again rose to 1.9%, despite comprehensively implemented hygiene measures in dialysis centers. Similar to other industrial nations, dialysis patients in Germany also showed a very high lethality of COVID-19 of up to 20%. CONCLUSION: Immediate consequences for hygiene measures in dialysis institutions as well as vaccination strategies and vaccination prioritization for this patient group and the personnel treating them can be derived from the high mortality in dialysis patients. A consequence of the frequent involvement of the kidneys during infections with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in patients who had not previously suffered from advanced kidney disease should be the consistent nephrological aftercare.

Pharmacological rhythm versus rate control in patients with atrial fibrillation and heart failure: the CASTLE-AF trial.

BACKGROUND: The value of antiarrhythmics to maintain normal sinus rhythm in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) is still being debated. We aimed to determine whether rhythm control using antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs) is more effective than rate control in improving outcomes in this population. METHOD: In this sub-analysis of the CASTLE-AF study, we included patients that were treated pharmacologically either to maintain sinus rhythm or to achieve rate control. The primary endpoint was defined as a composite of death from any cause or worsening of HF that led to an unplanned overnight hospitalization. RESULT: Among 210 patients (mean age of 64.1 ± 10.8 years, 83.3% male) treated pharmacologically, 60 patients were in the rhythm control group and 150 were in the rate control group. Patients in the rhythm control group were less likely to be assigned a beta-blocker (53 (88.3%) vs 141 (97.9%), P = 0.004) and digitalis (8 (13.3%) vs 53 (36.8%), P < 0.001). Over a median follow-up of 3.76 (95% confidence interval (CI), 3.23, 4.48) years, the primary composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and HF admissions occurred in 23 patients (38.3%) in the rhythm control arm vs 67 (44.7%) in the rate control arm (hazard ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.62 to 1.60; P = 0.976). CONCLUSION: In CASTLE-AF among AF patients with HF, rhythm control with AADs did not significantly reduce the primary composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and HF hospitalization when compared with a pharmacological rate control strategy.