Effectiveness of first generation disease-modifying therapy to prevent conversion to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: The use of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) in multiple sclerosis (MS) has been associated with reduced relapse rates and accumulation of disability. However, studies examining impact of DMT on risk of transition to secondary progressive MS (SPMS) leveraging population-based nationwide data are still rare. Here, we determine the population incidence of conversion to SPMS using two consecutive nation-wide cohorts, one immediately before and one after the introduction of DMT in Sweden. METHODS: We included two consecutive population cohorts of relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) from the Swedish national MS register for the periods 1975-1994 (n = 2161), before DMT availability, and 1995-2011 (n = 3510), in which DMTs, mainly first generation DMT (injectables), became available and eventually were used by 70% of patients. We explored the risk of transition to SPMS as a calendar year function encompassing the two cohorts. In addition, we determined the incidence of transition to SPMS through age strata below and above 50 years in untreated and treated patient subgroups. RESULTS: The risk of conversion to SPMS (adjusted for current age, current time since onset, calendar year and sex) was significantly lower in the second compared with the first population cohort (hazard ratio 0.58; CI 0.48, 0.70). The risk of SPMS conversion per calendar year decreased by 2.6% annually (p < 0.001) after 1995. The risk of SPMS conversion increased with age until age 50. Thereafter, it was unchanged or decreased among those with early MS onset age (<35 years), but continued to increase with onset at higher age, with similar trends in treated and untreated subgroups. CONCLUSION: The incidence of SPMS conversion significantly decreased at the population level after introduction of first generation DMTs by 1995. DMT efficiency was confirmed by a downward turn of the annual trajectory of the risk of SPMS conversion after 1995. An onset age determined pattern of variable SPMS incidence in higher age appeared in both treated and untreated strata. While first generation DMT delayed conversion to SPMS, their long-term effect was only moderate.

Prevention of post-dural puncture headache: a randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: We investigated 952 subjects undergoing diagnostic lumbar puncture (LP) to study the effects of needle size, needle design and stylet reinsertion on the risk of post-dural puncture headache (PDPH). METHODS: This randomized double-blind study was performed at Umeå University Hospital in Sweden during 2013-2018. Subjects were randomly assigned one of three needles [22 gauge (G) atraumatic, 25G atraumatic and 25G cutting] and stylet reinsertion before needle withdrawal or not. The main outcome measure was PDPH assessed by standardized telephone interview(s) 5 days after the LP, repeated until headache cessation. We used logistic regression to calculate odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for PDPH. RESULTS: The mean (SD) age was 51.1 (16.7) years and 53.6% were females. The smaller bore (25G) atraumatic needle incurred a lower risk of headache compared with the larger bore (22G) atraumatic needle [22.0% (69/314) vs. 30.2% (98/324); OR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.45-0.93] and compared with the cutting needle [32.8% (103/314); OR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.40-0.82]. Reinserting the stylet before needle withdrawal did not reduce the risk of headache. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that a 25G atraumatic needle is superior to a larger atraumatic needle, and to a same-sized cutting needle, in preventing PDPH after diagnostic LP. In contrast to one earlier report, this study did not find that stylet reinsertion was effective in preventing PDPH. This study provides class I evidence that a small atraumatic needle decreases the risk of PDPH and that stylet reinsertion does not influence PDPH risk.

Managing Epstein-Barr virus and other risk factors in MS-Future perspectives.

Here, we discuss the rationale and feasibility of treatment directed against the modifiable risk factors in multiple sclerosis. The established environmental risk factors vitamin D insufficiency, cigarette smoke exposure, adolescence overweight, and Epstein-Barr virus infection are reviewed. Already available measures to target these risk factors are discussed.

Vitamin D and axonal injury in multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) have shown an association between high serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25[OH]D) levels and decreased inflammatory activity. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to examine the association between 25(OH)D levels and axonal injury in MS. Cerebrospinal fluid neurofilament light (CSF-NFL) was used as a marker for axonal injury. METHODS: Patients were identified through clinical practice at the Department of Neurology in Umeå University Hospital, Sweden. Blood draw, magnetic resonance imaging, scoring of disability and lumbar puncture were performed at inclusion in 153 patients, and also at median 12 months follow-up in 87 patients. For analyses of serum 25(OH)D levels and CSF-NFL, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays were used. RESULTS: There was an inverse association between serum 25(OH)D and CSF-NFL levels in categorical (dichotomized at 75 or 100 nmol/l) analyses. A dose-response effect for 25(OH)D levels on CSF-NFL levels (p for trend=0.034) was also present. Serum 25(OH)D levels above 100 nmol/l were associated with lower CSF-NFL levels independently of ongoing MS treatment. CONCLUSION: High 25(OH)D levels are associated with decreased axonal injury in MS.

Vitamin D and multiple sclerosis­from epidemiology to prevention.

In the present review, we discuss observational and experimental data suggesting a protective effect from sun exposure and/or vitamin D in multiple sclerosis (MS). These data include geographic variations in MS occurrence, temporal trends, genetics, biobank, and questionnaire data. We look more closely at the differentiation between general effects from UV exposure, and those of vitamin D per se, including plausible mechanisms of action. Finally, primary prevention is touched upon, and we suggest actions to be taken while awaiting the results from ongoing randomized controlled trials with vitamin D in MS.

Increasing prevalence of multiple sclerosis in Västerbotten County of Sweden.

OBJECTIVES: To update the incidence and prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS) in Västerbotten County, Sweden, and to compare this to previous investigations in the same area. BACKGROUND: Northern Sweden is a high-risk area for developing MS. Västerbotten County has previously been surveyed in detail regarding the occurrence of MS. In several countries, increases in MS prevalence and incidence as well as a change in the sex ratio have been reported. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Multiple sources were used to identify MS cases in Västerbotten that either had their onset of the disease from 1998 to 2010 and/or lived in Västerbotten, the two dates chosen for prevalence calculation: the 31st of December 2005 and 2010. RESULTS: The mean yearly incidence of MS in Västerbotten during the entire period 1998-2010 was 6.0/100,000. The female to male ratio was 2.1. The prevalence of MS in Västerbotten was 188/100,000 on 31st of December 2005 and 215/100,000 on 31st of December 2010. The MS prevalence increased over time from 1990 to 2010. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of MS in Västerbotten County has increased between 1990 and 2010, while no statistically significant increase in incidence was seen.

Targeting Epstein-Barr virus infection as an intervention against multiple sclerosis.

We here review contemporary data on genetic and environmental risk factors, particularly Epstein-Barr virus infection, for multiple sclerosis. There is an important immunogenetic etiological factor for multiple sclerosis. However, a general assumption is that immune defense genes are activated by the environment, basically by infections. We contend that the relationship between infectious mononucleosis and multiple sclerosis cannot be completely explained by genetics and inverse causality. Epstein-Barr infection as indicated by positive serology is an obligatory precondition for multiple sclerosis, which is a stronger attribute than a risk factor only. Data on events in the early pathogenesis of multiple sclerosis are cumulating from bio-banks with presymptomatic specimens, but there is only little information from the critical age when Epstein-Barr infection including infectious mononucleosis is acquired, nor on the detailed immunological consequences of this infection in individuals with and without multiple sclerosis. We discuss how focused bio-banking may elaborate a rationale for the development of treatment or vaccination against Epstein-Barr virus infection. A cohort in which intervention against Epstein-Barr infections was performed should be the object of neurological follow-up.

Cytomegalovirus seropositivity is negatively associated with multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiological data suggest a role for common viruses in the pathogenesis of multiple sclerosis (MS), and recent data showed a negative association of past cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection on pediatric MS risk. OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to analyze the association of CMV infection with MS risk in an adult case-control material. A meta-analysis was performed to validate our findings. METHODS: Epidemiological Investigation in MS (EIMS) is a case-control study with incident cases and population-based controls. Anti-CMV antibody titers were measured with ELISA, and HLA-A and DRB1 genotyping was performed with SSP-PCR, in 658 MS cases, who all fulfilled the McDonald criteria for MS, and 786 controls. RESULTS: CMV seropositivity was associated with a decreased MS risk, OR = 0.73 (0.58-0.92 95% CI), p = 0.005, adjusted for index age, gender, smoking, sun exposure, EBNA1 IgG titer and HLA-A*02 and DRB1*15. When we removed all cases and controls younger than 18 years at index, the protective effect was still apparent. CONCLUSIONS: CMV is negatively associated with adult-onset MS pathology, consistent with results from a study on pediatric MS cases. It remains to be shown whether this negative association is due to a true protective effect of CMV infection on MS risk.

Automated determination of brain parenchymal fraction in multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Brain atrophy is a manifestation of tissue damage in MS. Reduction in brain parenchymal fraction is an accepted marker of brain atrophy. In this study, the approach of synthetic tissue mapping was applied, in which brain parenchymal fraction was automatically calculated based on absolute quantification of the tissue relaxation rates R1 and R2 and the proton attenuation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The BPF values of 99 patients with MS and 35 control subjects were determined by using SyMap and tested in relationship to clinical variables. A subset of 5 patients with MS and 5 control subjects were also analyzed with a manual segmentation technique as a reference. Reproducibility of SyMap was assessed in a separate group of 6 healthy subjects, each scanned 6 consecutive times. RESULTS: Patients with MS had significantly lower BPF (0.852 ± 0.0041, mean ± SE) compared with control subjects (0.890 ± 0.0040). Significant linear relationships between BPF and age, disease duration, and Expanded Disability Status Scale scores were observed (P < .001). A strong correlation existed between SyMap and the reference method (r = 0.96; P < .001) with no significant difference in mean BPF. Coefficient of variation of repeated SyMap BPF measurements was 0.45%. Scan time was <6 minutes, and postprocessing time was <2 minutes. CONCLUSIONS: SyMap is a valid and reproducible method for determining BPF in MS within a clinically acceptable scan time and postprocessing time. Results are highly congruent with those described using other methods and show high agreement with the manual reference method.

Epstein-Barr virus and multiple sclerosis: interaction with HLA.

Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection, history of infectious mononucleosis (IM) and HLA-A and DRB1 have all been proposed as risk factors for multiple sclerosis (MS). Our aim was to analyse possible interactions between antibodies against Epstein-Barr virus nuclear antigen 1 (EBNA1) or EBNA1 fragments, presence of DRB1*15 and absence of A*02. The study population includes newly diagnosed cases and matched controls. Interaction on the additive scale was calculated using attributable proportion due to interaction (AP), which is the proportion of the incidence among individuals exposed to two interacting factors that is attributable to the interaction per se. IM showed association with MS, odds ratio (OR)=1.89 (1.45-2.48% confidence interval (CI)), as did raised EBNA1 IgG OR=1.74 (1.38-2.18 95%CI). All EBNA1 fragment IgGs were associated with MS risk. However, EBNA1 fragment 385-420 IgG levels were more strongly associated to MS than total EBNA1 IgG, OR=3.60 (2.75-4.72 95%CI), and also interacted with both DRB1*15 and absence of A*02, AP 0.60 (0.45-0.76 95%CI) and AP 0.39 (0.18-0.61 95%CI), respectively. The observed interaction between HLA class I and II genotype and reactivity to EBV-related epitopes suggest that the mechanism through which HLA genes influence the risk of MS may, at least in part, involve the immune control of EBV infection.

Epithelial cell secretions from the human female reproductive tract inhibit sexually transmitted pathogens and Candida albicans but not Lactobacillus.

Female reproductive tract (FRT) epithelial cells protect against potential pathogens and sexually transmitted infections. The purpose of this study was to determine if epithelial cells from the upper FRT secrete antimicrobials that inhibit reproductive tract pathogens that threaten women's health. Apical secretions from primary cultures of Fallopian tube, uterine, cervical, and ectocervical epithelial cells were incubated with Neisseria gonorrhoeae, Candida albicans (yeast and hyphal forms), human immunodeficiency virus 1 (HIV-1), and Lactobacillus crispatus before being tested for their ability to grow and/or infect target cells. Epithelial cell secretions from the upper FRT inhibit N. gonorrhoeae and both forms of Candida, as well as reduce HIV-1 (R5) infection of target cells. In contrast, none had an inhibitory effect on L. crispatus. An analysis of cytokines and chemokines in uterine secretions revealed several molecules that could account for pathogen inhibition. These findings provide definitive evidence for the critical role of epithelial cells in protecting the FRT from infections, without comprising the beneficial presence of L. crispatus, which is part of the normal vaginal microflora of humans.

Season of birth and multiple sclerosis in Sweden.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the risk of multiple sclerosis (MS) by month of birth in Sweden. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Cases (n = 9361) were obtained from the Swedish MS Registry. All births in Sweden 1900-2007 served as controls (n = 12,116,853). The risk of MS was analyzed for each month of birth separately compared with birth during the other 11 months. RESULTS: More (11%) cases with MS than expected were born in June. Fewer (8% and 10%) cases with MS than expected were born in December and January (non-significant after correction for multiple analyses). More (5%) cases with MS than expected were born in February-July as compared with August-January. CONCLUSIONS: This study supports previous results suggesting an association between the risk of MS and the season of birth. Decreased exposure to sun in the winter leading to low vitamin D levels during pregnancy is a possible explanation that needs further research.

Combined effects of smoking, anti-EBNA antibodies, and HLA-DRB1*1501 on multiple sclerosis risk.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the interplay between smoking, serum antibody titers to the Epstein-Barr virus nuclear antigens (anti-EBNA), and HLA-DR15 on multiple sclerosis (MS) risk. METHODS: Individual and pooled analyses were conducted among 442 cases and 865 controls from 3 MS case-control studies-a nested case-control study in the Nurses' Health Study/Nurses' Health Study II, the Tasmanian MS Study, and a Swedish MS Study. Conditional logistic regression models were used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CIs for the association between smoking, anti-EBNA titers, HLA-DR15, and MS risk. Study estimates were pooled using inverse variance weights to determine a combined effect and p value. RESULTS: Among MS cases, anti-EBNA titers were significantly higher in ever smokers compared to never smokers. The increased risk of MS associated with high anti-EBNA Ab titers was stronger among ever smokers (OR = 3.9, 95% CI = 2.7-5.7) compared to never smokers (OR = 1.8, 95% CI = 1.4-2.3; p for interaction = 0.001). The increased risk of MS associated with a history of smoking was no longer evident after adjustment for anti-EBNA Ab titers. No modification or confounding by HLA-DR15 was observed. The increased risk of MS associated with ever smoking was only observed among those who had high anti-EBNA titers (OR = 1.7, 95% CI = 1.1-2.6). CONCLUSIONS: Smoking appears to enhance the association between high anti-EBNA titer and increased multiple sclerosis (MS) risk. The association between HLA-DR15 and MS risk is independent of smoking. Further work is necessary to elucidate possible biologic mechanisms to explain this finding.

Season of birth and multiple sclerosis in Sweden.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the risk of multiple sclerosis (MS) by month of birth in Sweden. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Cases (n = 9361) were obtained from the Swedish MS Registry. All births in Sweden 1900-2007 served as controls (n = 12,116,853). The risk of MS was analyzed for each month of birth separately compared with birth during the other 11 months. RESULTS: More (11%) cases with MS than expected were born in June. Fewer (8% and 10%) cases with MS than expected were born in December and January (non-significant after correction for multiple analyses). More (5%) cases with MS than expected were born in February-July as compared with August-January. CONCLUSIONS: This study supports previous results suggesting an association between the risk of MS and the season of birth. Decreased exposure to sun in the winter leading to low vitamin D levels during pregnancy is a possible explanation that needs further research.

Smoking worsens the prognosis in multiple sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the effect of smoking on the risk for progression in multiple sclerosis (MS). METHODS: Self-reported data were used on smoking habits in 122 incident cases with disability assessments made after a median of 6 years disease duration. RESULTS: Ever smokers were more likely to have progressive disease compared with never smokers (P < 0.01). This was most pronounced in ever smokers with early smoking debut (< or = 15 years of age) for whom progressive disease was significantly more likely and occurred at an earlier age, compared with those with later smoking debut (P < 0.01 for both) or never smokers (P < 0.01 for both). Earlys moking start also predisposed to a progressive disease from onset when compared with never smokers (P = 0.012). A multivariate Cox regression analysis of sex, age at disease onset (above vs. under median) and smoking (ever vs. never) status showed that cases with late disease onset had three times higher risk and ever smokers had twice as high a risk for progression. CONCLUSION: Past smoking is associated with a worsened prognosis in MS. The negative effect from smoking is most obvious in ever smokers with early smoking debut, which also affects MS phenotype significantly.

EBNA-1 reactivity and HLA DRB1*1501 as statistically independent risk factors for multiple sclerosis: a case-control study.

OBJECTIVES AND METHODS: The interaction between the two best documented risk factors (human leukocyte antigen [HLA] class II [DRB1*1501 positivity] and Epstein-Barr virus [elevated Epstein-Barr nuclear antigen 1 (EBNA-1) antibody reactivity]) for multiple sclerosis (MS) was studied in a case-control study of biobank samples from 109 MS cases and 212 matched referents. RESULTS: Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that both were statistically significant in both sexes. HLA DRB1*1501-positive referents had higher EBNA-1 reactivity than HLA-negative referents. Less EBNA-1 reactivity was required to increase the MS risk in HLA DRB1*1501-positives than in HLA-negatives. CONCLUSION: We suggest that HLA DRB1*1501-positive individuals have an increased vulnerability to EBV-induced autoimmunity.

Smoke exposure increases the risk for multiple sclerosis.

PURPOSE AND METHODS: To estimate the effect of exposure to smoking on the risk for multiple sclerosis (MS), we analyzed nicotine metabolite (cotinine) levels in biobank samples from 109 MS cases and 218 matched referents. RESULTS: Elevated cotinine levels, even modest elevations, were associated with an increased risk for MS (all other categories versus lowest: OR = 2.9; 95% CI: 1.3-6.3). A similar but non-significant risk increase was observed also in the small subset of individuals with samples collected before the onset of MS (all other categories versus lowest: OR = 2.4; 95% CI: 0.26-21). Elevated cotinine was associated with an increased risk for MS predominantly in women (all other categories versus lowest category: OR = 3.9; 95% CI: 1.3-12), whereas the risk increase in men was smaller and non-significant. DISCUSSION: Smoke exposure is associated with a higher risk for MS than previously estimated. There seems to be a threshold effect present in the lower range of cotinine in its relation to MS. Modestly elevated cotinine levels suggestive of passive smoking are associated with an increased risk for MS. Smoke exposure may explain the higher incidence of MS in women. These preliminary findings need to be confirmed in an expanded material of prospectively collected samples.

No support for a truncated interferon-alpha 17 allele as risk factor for MS.

Cytokines have a central role in multiple sclerosis (MS) pathogenesis and may contribute to the aetiology of MS. A polymorphism in the IFNA17 gene with an allele carrying a pre-mature stop codon has been suggested to convey a 26-fold increased risk for MS. We investigated the possible association between this polymorphism and MS using population-based samples from a genetically well-characterized population. The IFNA17 gene variant was found in 2.8% of 327 MS cases and 3.3% of 698 referents (P = 0.64). Thus, our study does not support an association between the IFNA17 allele and risk for MS.

Neurofilament and glial fibrillary acidic protein in multiple sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate levels of neurofilament light (NFL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) in CSF from patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) in relation to clinical progress of the disease. METHODS: CSF levels of NFL and GFAP were determined by sensitive ELISAs in 99 patients with different subtypes of MS, classified in terms of "ongoing relapse" or "clinically stable disease," and 25 control subjects. Levels were compared with paraclinical data such as immunoglobulin G index and inflammatory cell count in the CSF, and the levels were related to Expanded Disability Status Scale score and progression index at clinical follow-up evaluations later in the disease course. RESULTS: NFL and GFAP levels were elevated in MS patients as compared with control subjects (p < 0.001). The NFL levels were higher at relapses, whereas GFAP levels were unaffected. High NFL levels correlated with progression in patients with an active relapse (r = 0.49; p < 0.01) and in clinically stable patients (r = 0.29; p < 0.05). GFAP correlated to progression in the total patient cohort (r = 0.24; p < 0.05). Moreover, a strong correlation between NFL levels and inflammatory cell counts was evident in the group of patients with an ongoing relapse (r = 0.52; p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: CSF levels of neurofilament light and glial fibrillary acidic protein may have prognostic value in multiple sclerosis.

An altered immune response to Epstein-Barr virus in multiple sclerosis: a prospective study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between human herpesviruses and multiple sclerosis (MS), as well as between measles virus and MS. METHODS: The authors identified prospectively collected serum samples from 73 MS cases and retrospective sera from 161 MS cases in two population-based serum bank registers. Analyses of IgG antibody responses in cases and matched referents were performed for Epstein-Barr virus (EBV [EBNA-1 and VCA]), human herpesvirus 6 (HHV-6), herpes simplex virus (HSV), varicella zoster virus (VZV), and measles. RESULTS: All cases showed signs of past EBV infection. High activity to EBNA-1 and HHV-6 significantly (borderline significance for HHV-6) increased the risk for MS in prospective sera. A discrepancy between activities to EBNA-1 and VCA was striking in MS samples collected less than 5 years before relapsing-remitting MS onset, where high activity to EBNA-1 significantly increased, and high VCA activity significantly decreased the risk for MS. There was no support for major causal roles for HSV, VZV, or measles. CONCLUSION: Individuals who will develop MS exhibit an altered immune response against the EBV virus characterized by a high IgG activity to EBNA-1 in the absence of high activity to VCA, this being most pronounced in the 5-year period preceding MS onset.