Impact of PNPLA3 p.I148M and Hepatic Steatosis on Long-Term Outcomes for Hepatocellular Carcinoma and HBsAg Seroclearance in Chronic Hepatitis B.

Background: Coexistence of hepatitis B and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is common; however, little is known about the impact of hepatic steatosis and its major genetic determinants on the natural history of HBV infection. We aimed to study the effects of hepatic steatosis and PNPLA3 variant p.I148M on the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and the lifetime probability of HBsAg seroclearance, which is associated with functional remission and improved long-term outcome of HBV infection. Methods: We conducted a cohort study of 2385 male, HBsAg-positive Taiwanese civil servants recruited in 1989-1992, and followed up until 2019. Cox regression with competing-risk models was used to estimate sub-distribution hazard ratios (sHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results: Of 2385 participants, 628 experienced HBsAg seroclearance and 217 developed HCC. Hepatic steatosis, excess body-mass index, and the PNPLA3-148M variant were significantly associated with higher HBsAg seroclearance rate. However, multivariate analyses accounting for HBsAg seroclearance and various HCC risk factors showed that, while steatosis was associated with decreased HCC risk (sHR [95% CI]: 0.49 [0.36-0.66]), carriage of the PNPLA3-148M variant allele (vs II homozygotes: 1.64 [1.20-2.25] for MI heterozygotes; 1.83 [1.20-2.78] for MM homozygotes) and obesity (1.51 [1.07-2.13]) were associated with increased risk. The inverse hepatic steatosis-HCC association persisted after additional adjustment for other viral factors or using different follow-up time cut-offs to account for reverse causality. Moreover, the PNPLA3 MM genotype was positively associated with elevations of ALT and AST and liver cirrhosis, while hepatic steatosis was positively associated with ALT but inversely associated with AST and liver cirrhosis. Conclusion: Hepatic steatosis and PNPLA3-148M variant appeared to have distinct impacts on the development of HBV-related progressive liver disease and HCC. PNPLA3 p.I148M, but not a diagnosis of hepatic steatosis, can help to identify HBV carriers with high-risk fatty liver disease in the progression to HCC.

Longitudinal change of metabolite profile and its relation to multiple risk factors for the risk of developing hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma.

Despite considerable knowledge of viral pathogenesis, the pathophysiological changes related to the multifactorial, multistep process of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development remains unclear. Longitudinal metabolomics study can reveal biological process for disease progression. We performed metabolite profiling with longitudinal prediagnostic plasma samples from two nested case-control studies of hepatitis B surface antigen carriers participating in ultrasound screening for HCC, one within a government employee cohort (870 samples from 109 HCC cases and 107 controls) and the other within a hospital-based cohort (266 samples from 63 HCC cases and 114 controls). Of the 34 measured metabolites, tyrosine, isoleucine, and glutamine were consistently associated with HCC. In analyses combining longitudinal data, a high metabolic risk score based on the three amino acids was robustly associated with increased risk of HCC (OR = 3.71, 95% confidence interval: 2.53-5.42), even after adjustment for clinical factors, or when assessed for different times up to ≥8 years before diagnosis. Similar association was observed in an independent, prospective analysis comprising 633 randomly selected individuals of the government employee cohort. More importantly, this metabolite signature was longitudinally influenced by HBV-infection phase and involved in gradual progression to liver fibrosis and cirrhosis. Furthermore, mediation analysis showed that the score mediated substantial proportions of the associations of key viral factors, insulin resistance, and diabetes status with HCC risk. Our results suggest that an amino-acid dysregulation metabotype may play a role in HBV-related HCC development, and may also be linked to common pathways that mediate increased HCC risks.

Progressive accumulation of mutations in the hepatitis B virus genome and its impact on time to diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma.

UNLABELLED: To evaluate how hepatitis B virus (HBV) genetic variation affected progression from chronic carrier state to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), we analyzed HBV full-length sequences in blood obtained <1-20 years before diagnosis from 117 HCC cases and 118 controls nested in a cohort of 4,841 HBV carriers, for whom HBV genotypes B and C are predominant. The relationship between each viral single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) and HCC development was assessed using ordinal logistic models according to five periods of time to diagnosis (TTD). Thirty-one HBV-SNPs showed significant association with TTD after adjustment for HBV genotype, 24 of which could also be analyzed with an extended analysis on the full-length data in conjunction with 512 partial sequences (nucleotides 2,436-1,623) from the cohort. The obtained 10 robust candidate HBV-SNPs (P ≤ 0.0304), which showed odds ratios ranging from 1.89 to 8.68, were further confirmed in 163 GenBank HBV-HCC sequences from nine Asia regions, assayed after HCC diagnosis, representing the end stage of progressive hepatic diseases. The prevalence of these HBV-SNPs and their cumulative number, presented in terms of mutation score, increased with time approaching HCC diagnosis, with an odds ratio of 2.17, 4.21, 8.15, and 19.15, respectively, for the mutation score of 1, 2, 3, and ≥4 versus 0. The mutation score for predicting short-term HCC risk outperformed other factors, including HBV-DNA levels, viral genotype, and various combinations of risk factors, and revealed increasing accuracy with shorter TTD (<4.5 years before diagnosis: area under the curve = 0.83-0.89; sensitivity = 72.7%-94.1%; specificity = 58.3%-70.5%; conditioned on optimized cutoff for genotype B and C, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Identifying and tracking viral mutations is important for monitoring hepatitis B progression and early detection of HCC. (Hepatology 2016;64:720-731).

Impact of genetic heterogeneity in polymerase of hepatitis B virus on dynamics of viral load and hepatitis B progression.

OBJECTIVE: The hepatitis B virus (HBV)-polymerase region overlaps pre-S/S genes with high epitope density and plays an essential role in viral replication. We investigated whether genetic variation in the polymerase region determined long-term dynamics of viral load and the risk of hepatitis B progression in a population-based cohort study. METHODS: We sequenced the HBV-polymerase region using baseline plasma from treatment-naïve individuals with HBV-DNA levels≥1000 copies/mL in a longitudinal viral-load study of participants with chronic HBV infection followed-up for 17 years, and obtained sequences from 575 participants (80% with HBV genotype Ba and 17% with Ce). RESULTS: Patterns of viral sequence diversity across phases (i.e., immune-tolerant, immune-clearance, non/low replicative, and hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative hepatitis phases) of HBV-infection, which were associated with viral and clinical features at baseline and during follow-up, were similar between HBV genotypes, despite greater diversity for genotype Ce vs. Ba. Irrespective of genotypes, however, HBeAg-negative participants had 1.5-to-2-fold higher levels of sequence diversity than HBeAg-positive participants (P<0.0001). Furthermore, levels of viral genetic divergence from the population consensus sequence, estimated by numbers of nucleotide substitutions, were inversely associated with long-term viral load even in HBeAg-negative participants. A mixed model developed through analysis of the entire HBV-polymerase region identified 153 viral load-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms in overall and 136 in HBeAg-negative participants, with distinct profiles between HBV genotypes. These polymorphisms were most evident at sites within or flanking T-cell epitopes. Seven polymorphisms revealed associations with both enhanced viral load and a more than 4-fold increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma and/or liver cirrhosis. CONCLUSIONS: The data highlight a role of viral genetic divergence in the natural course of HBV-infection. Interindividual differences in the long-term dynamics of viral load is not only associated with accumulation of mutations in HBV-polymerase region, but differences in specific viral polymorphisms which differ between genotypes.

Insulin, glucose and hepatocellular carcinoma risk in male hepatitis B carriers: results from 17-year follow-up of a population-based cohort.

This study aimed to investigate the association of fasting insulin and glucose levels with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in a case-cohort study within a cohort (1989-2006) of 2903 male government employees chronically infected with hepatitis B virus (HBV) in Taiwan. Insulin, glucose and HBV-related factors were assayed in baseline plasma among 124 HCC cases and a random subcohort of 1084 of the total cohort. After adjustment for demographics and HBV-related factors, including viral load and genotype, the HCC risk was higher for the highest [>6.10 µU/ml, hazard ratio (HR) = 2.36, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.43-3.90] and lowest (<2.75 µU/ml, HR = 1.57, 95% CI: 0.96-2.58) categories of insulin, compared with insulin of 2.75-4.10 µU/ml. The dose-response relationship between insulin and HCC varied by follow-up time, with stronger association for the HCC cases that occurred ≥8 years after baseline (P for trend <0.0001). The effect of higher insulin on HCC risk remained after adjustment for other metabolic factors, and was fairly consistent across strata of age, body mass index, and HBV genotypic variants. However, it was more profound among those with viral load <4.39 log(10) copies/ml at recruitment (>6.10 µU/ml, HR = 6.15, 95% CI: 2.48-15.22). Higher insulin was also associated with an increased risk for cirrhosis diagnosed by ultrasonography and elevated alanine aminotransferase. No association with either cirrhosis or HCC was noted for glucose or diabetes after adjusting for insulin. In conclusion, elevated insulin levels are an independent risk factor for HCC among HBV carriers, especially for those with lower viral load.

Hepatitis B virus core variants modify natural course of viral infection and hepatocellular carcinoma progression.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We assessed the influence of genetic variants in the hepatitis B virus (HBV) core, which is a principal immunologic target, on the progression to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in a cohort of 4841 male HBV carriers followed up for 16 years. METHODS: First, baseline sera from 116 HCC cases and 154 controls nested within the cohort were used for sequencing of the HBV core gene to screen for variants with effects on HCC progression. By applying a high-throughput assay for detecting viral single nucleotide substitutions, we then used a longitudinal study (n = 1143) to examine whether 2 identified variants that lie in the region within or flanking epitopes affected the natural course of hepatitis B through investigating their relationships with time trends for viral load and clinical features. RESULTS: In the nested case-control study, there were 6 core variants associated with decreased risk of HCC after accounting for viral genotype; 5 lie in the region within or flanking epitopes (P < .04). Each variant correlated with a 0.7- to 1-log decrease in viral load and hepatitis B virus e antigen negativity at baseline. The longitudinal study further showed that the appearance of 2 such variants (T1938C and T2045A) was preceded by long-term diminished viral load and decreased rate of liver abnormalities and was significantly less frequent in individuals with a prolonged immune clearance phase that associated with spectrum of liver disease than those in inactive carrier or reactivation phase. CONCLUSIONS: HBV core variants affecting the kinetics of host-virus interplay may influence longitudinal viral load and HCC progression.