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2.
Appl Econ Perspect Policy ; 43(1): 280-291, 2021 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33042512

ABSTRACT

Impacts from the coronavirus pandemic have depressed market returns to corn and soybean farmers in the Midwest, extending pressures that have existed since 2013 and worsened by trade disputes with China. Without large ad hoc federal aid, income on Midwestern grain farms would have been quite low and the ongoing cash flow crunch much worse. Farmland prices have not adjusted downward, in part due to continuing ad hoc federal aid, but also because interest rates have been historically very low. The financial (solvency) position of Midwestern grain farms is surprisingly strong because of the strength in land values. However, the financial condition of Midwestern row-crop agriculture could deteriorate markedly if recent and large infusions of ad hoc federal aid dissipates or if interest rates rise sharply.

3.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 12(9): e0006762, 2018 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30208032

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: During the Ebola virus disease (EVD) epidemic in Liberia, contact tracing was implemented to rapidly detect new cases and prevent further transmission. We describe the scope and characteristics of contact tracing in Liberia and assess its performance during the 2014-2015 EVD epidemic. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: We performed a retrospective descriptive analysis of data collection forms for contact tracing conducted in six counties during June 2014-July 2015. EVD case counts from situation reports in the same counties were used to assess contact tracing coverage and sensitivity. Contacts who presented with symptoms and/or died, and monitoring was stopped, were classified as "potential cases". Positive predictive value (PPV) was defined as the proportion of traced contacts who were identified as potential cases. Bivariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to identify characteristics among potential cases. We analyzed 25,830 contact tracing records for contacts who had monitoring initiated or were last exposed between June 4, 2014 and July 13, 2015. Contact tracing was initiated for 26.7% of total EVD cases and detected 3.6% of all new cases during this period. Eighty-eight percent of contacts completed monitoring, and 334 contacts were identified as potential cases (PPV = 1.4%). Potential cases were more likely to be detected early in the outbreak; hail from rural areas; report multiple exposures and symptoms; have household contact or direct bodily or fluid contact; and report nausea, fever, or weakness compared to contacts who completed monitoring. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Contact tracing was a critical intervention in Liberia and represented one of the largest contact tracing efforts during an epidemic in history. While there were notable improvements in implementation over time, these data suggest there were limitations to its performance-particularly in urban districts and during peak transmission. Recommendations for improving performance include integrated surveillance, decentralized management of multidisciplinary teams, comprehensive protocols, and community-led strategies.


Subject(s)
Contact Tracing , Disease Transmission, Infectious , Epidemics , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/transmission , Female , Humans , Liberia/epidemiology , Male , Predictive Value of Tests , Retrospective Studies , Sensitivity and Specificity
4.
Foodborne Pathog Dis ; 15(10): 612-620, 2018 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30036085

ABSTRACT

Newport is the third most common Salmonella enterica serotype identified among the estimated 1.2 million human salmonellosis infections occurring annually in the United States. Risk factors for infection and food items implicated in outbreaks vary by antimicrobial resistance pattern. We conducted a descriptive analysis of data from four enteric disease surveillance systems capturing information on incidence, demographics, seasonality, geographic distribution, outbreaks, and antimicrobial resistance of Newport infections over a 10-year period from 2004 through 2013. Incidence increased through 2010, then declined to rates similar to those in the early years of the study. Incidence was highest in the South and among children <5 years old. Among isolates submitted for antimicrobial susceptibility testing, 88% were susceptible to all antimicrobials tested (pansusceptible) and 8% were resistant to at least seven agents, including ceftriaxone. Rates of pansusceptible isolates were also highest in the South and among young children, particularly in 2010. Pansusceptible strains of Newport have been associated with produce items and environmental sources, such as creek water and sediment. However, the role of environmental transmission of Newport in human illness is unclear. Efforts to reduce produce contamination through targeted legislation, as well as collaborative efforts to identify sources of contamination in agricultural regions, are underway.


Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacology , Population Surveillance/methods , Salmonella Food Poisoning/epidemiology , Salmonella Food Poisoning/microbiology , Salmonella enterica/isolation & purification , Adolescent , Adult , Age Distribution , Child , Child, Preschool , Drug Resistance, Multiple, Bacterial/drug effects , Female , Food Microbiology , Humans , Incidence , Male , Microbial Sensitivity Tests , Middle Aged , Salmonella enterica/genetics , Serotyping , Sex Distribution , United States/epidemiology , Young Adult
5.
MSMR ; 25(1): 2-7, 2018 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29381076

ABSTRACT

Military and Coast Guard recruits are particularly susceptible to respiratory infections. Although seasonal influenza vaccinations are mandatory for recruits, the vaccine expires annually in June. On 29 July 2016, the U.S. Coast Guard Training Center Cape May, NJ, identified an increase in febrile respiratory illness (FRI) among recruits. During 24 July-21 August, a total of 115 recruits reported symptoms. A total of 74 recruits tested positive for respiratory infections: influenza A (H3) (n=34), rhinovirus (n=28), influenza/rhinovirus co-infection (n=11), and adenovirus/rhinovirus co-infection (n=1), while 41 recruits had no laboratory-confirmed specimen but were considered suspected cases. Only one recruit reported receiving the seasonal influenza vaccine within the previous 12 months. Influenza predominated during 24 July-6 August, whereas rhinovirus predominated during 7 August-20 August. Most (92.2%) cases were identified in four of 10 recruit companies; incidence rates were highest among recruits in weeks 2-4 of an 8-week training cycle. Key factors for outbreak control included rapid detection through routine FRI surveillance, quick decision-making and streamlined response by using a single chain of command, and employing both nonpharmaceutical and pharmaceutical interventions.


Subject(s)
Coinfection/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Military Personnel/statistics & numerical data , Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology , Adenovirus Infections, Human/diagnosis , Adenovirus Infections, Human/epidemiology , Adenovirus Infections, Human/therapy , Adenoviruses, Human/isolation & purification , Adult , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Coinfection/diagnosis , Cross-Sectional Studies , Disease Outbreaks , Female , Humans , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype/isolation & purification , Influenza Vaccines , Influenza, Human/diagnosis , Influenza, Human/therapy , Male , New Jersey/epidemiology , Oseltamivir/therapeutic use , Picornaviridae Infections/diagnosis , Picornaviridae Infections/epidemiology , Picornaviridae Infections/therapy , Respiratory Tract Infections/diagnosis , Respiratory Tract Infections/therapy , Respiratory Tract Infections/virology , Rhinovirus/isolation & purification , Young Adult
6.
Clin Infect Dis ; 65(10): 1624-1631, 2017 Oct 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29020144

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Campylobacteriosis, a leading cause of foodborne illness in the United States, was not nationally notifiable until 2015. Data describing national patterns and trends are limited. We describe the epidemiology of Campylobacter infections in the United States during 2004-2012. METHODS: We summarized laboratory-confirmed campylobacteriosis data from the Nationally Notifiable Disease Surveillance System, National Outbreak Reporting System, National Antimicrobial Resistance Monitoring System, and Foodborne Diseases Active Surveillance Network. RESULTS: During 2004-2012, 303520 culture-confirmed campylobacteriosis cases were reported. Average annual incidence rate (IR) was 11.4 cases/100000 persons, with substantial variation by state (range, 3.1-47.6 cases/100000 persons). IRs among patients aged 0-4 years were more than double overall IRs. IRs were highest among males in all age groups. IRs in western states and rural counties were higher (16.2/100000 and 14.2/100000, respectively) than southern states and metropolitan counties (6.8/100000 and 11.0/100000, respectively). Annual IRs increased 21% from 10.5/100000 during 2004-2006 to 12.7/100000 during 2010-2012, with the greatest increases among persons aged >60 years (40%) and in southern states (32%). The annual median number of Campylobacter outbreaks increased from 28 in 2004-2006 to 56 in 2010-2012; in total, 347 were reported. Antimicrobial susceptibility testing of isolates from 4793 domestic and 1070 travel-associated infections revealed that, comparing 2004-2009 to 2010-2012, ciprofloxacin resistance increased among domestic infections (12.8% vs 16.1%). CONCLUSIONS: During 2004-2012, incidence of campylobacteriosis, outbreaks, and clinically significant antimicrobial resistance increased. Marked demographic and geographic differences exist. Our findings underscore the importance of national surveillance and understanding of risk factors to guide and target control measures.


Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacology , Campylobacter Infections , Campylobacter/drug effects , Disease Outbreaks/statistics & numerical data , Drug Resistance, Bacterial , Public Health Surveillance , Adolescent , Adult , Campylobacter Infections/epidemiology , Campylobacter Infections/microbiology , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Incidence , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , United States/epidemiology , Young Adult
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