Geographic variation of HIV infection in childbearing women with syphilis in the United States.

OBJECTIVES: Substantial biologic and epidemiologic data indicate the importance of syphilis as a potential cofactor for sexual transmission of HIV infection, but few detailed data exist on the geographic covariation of these two important sexually transmitted infections. DESIGN: HIV prevalence in childbearing women and primary and secondary (P&S) syphilis data from 29 states were examined to explore the importance of the epidemiology of syphilis as a factor in facilitating HIV transmission. METHOD: The spatial relationship between P&S syphilis and HIV infection in the health districts of 29 states was analyzed and adjusted for demographic and socioeconomic factors such as racial composition, income, housing, education levels, and access to medical services using the 1990 US census, and geographic location. RESULTS: In 29 states and the District of Colombia, 448 health districts, representing more than 75% of the US population, reported HIV prevalence rates for mothers' district of residence. The HIV seroprevalence ranged from 0 to 1258/10 000 in these health districts. The incidence of P&S syphilis from 1984-1994 in these districts ranged from 0 to 87/100 000. The P&S syphilis incidence was positively associated with the prevalence of HIV infection among childbearing women (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Syphilis that persists in communities in the United States appears to represent a 'sentinel public health event' reflecting risk for sexual HIV transmission. These findings, along with other biologic and epidemiologic information, reinforce the importance of syphilis as an indicator for targeting HIV prevention efforts generally, as well as syphilis control as a specific HIV-prevention strategy.

Quality of HMO vaccination databases used to monitor childhood vaccine safety. Vaccine Safety DataLink Team.

The availability of large, population-based, automated, medical care databases provides unique opportunities for monitoring the safety of childhood vaccines. The authors assessed the quality of automated vaccination databases by comparing them with vaccinations documented in paper-based medical records at three large US West Coast health maintenance organizations (HMOs) participating in the Vaccine Safety DataLink (VSD) study, a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention collaborative study of childhood vaccine safety. The authors randomly selected 1% or 2% samples of VSD study populations (n = 1,224-2,577) for data quality analyses. Agreement between automated and abstracted vaccinations required identical triads of child identification number, vaccination date, and vaccine type. Separate analyses were conducted for each HMO and for each vaccine type administered between 1991 and 1995. Agreement was measured by three matching proportions: 1) the proportion of automated vaccinations present in the abstracted source, 2) the proportion of abstracted vaccinations present in the automated source, and 3) the proportion of vaccinations from either source present in both sources. Overall, for common childhood vaccines, proportion 1 ranged from 83% to 99%, proportion 2 ranged from 82% to 98%, and proportion 3 ranged from 70% to 97%. Lack of automated data was the most frequent type of discrepancy, followed by date mismatches and vaccine type mismatches. Vaccination exposure classification errors in the range reported here were found by mathematical modeling to only modestly bias measured medical outcome rate ratios toward the null hypothesis. The results of the data quality analyses support the usefulness of vaccination exposure data derived from these automated HMO vaccination databases.

Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of linking the special supplemental program for women, infants, and children (WIC) and immunization activities.

OBJECTIVE: To raise immunization coverage among children at risk for underimmunization, we evaluated the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of immunization activities in the Special Supplemental Program for Women, Infants and Children (WIC). METHOD: A controlled intervention trial was conducted in seven WIC sites in Chicago between October 1990 and March 1994. At intervention sites, staff screened children for vaccination status at every visit, referred vaccine-eligible children to either an on-site WIC nurse, on-site clinic, or off-site community provider, and issued either a 3-month supply of food vouchers to up-to-date children or a 1-month supply to children not up-to-date--a usual practice for high-risk WIC children. Our primary measure of effectiveness was the change in the baseline percentage of up-to-date children at the second birthday; cost-effectiveness was approximated for each of the three referral interventions. RESULTS: After one year, up-to-date vaccination coverage increased 23% above baseline for intervention groups and decreased 9% in the control group. After the second year, up-to-date vaccination further increased to 38% above baseline in intervention groups and did not change in the control group. The total cost per additional up-to-date child ranged from $30 for sites referring children off-site to $73 for sites referring children on-site to a nurse. CONCLUSION: This controlled intervention trial of screening, referral, and a voucher incentive in the WIC program demonstrated a substantial increase in immunization coverage at a low cost. Continuing to design linkages between WIC and immunization programs by building on WIC's access to at-risk populations is worth the investment.

Risk of hospitalization because of aseptic meningitis after measles-mumps-rubella vaccination in one- to two-year-old children: an analysis of the Vaccine Safety Datalink (VSD) Project.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the level of increased risk, if any, of hospitalizations for aseptic meningitis after Jeryl-Lynn mumps strain measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine in the Vaccine Safety Datalink population. STUDY DESIGN: A possible increased risk of aseptic meningitis 8 to 14 days after receipt of MMR was observed in a preliminary screening analysis of automated data from the Vaccine Safety Datalink (VSD) project Year 2 analysis. To further evaluate this association a retrospective 10-year matched case-control study was undertaken in the four health maintenance organizations (HMOs) in the VSD project. Cases ascertained from a broad scan of the automated data were validated against a standard case definition. Two controls matched on age, sex, HMO and HMO membership were assigned per case. RESULTS: The VSD project involves the cooperative collection of automated vaccination and medical outcome data from four large HMOs that currently have 500,000 children younger than 7 years of age under surveillance. Review of automated screening results from the first 2 years of data revealed a possible increased risk of aseptic meningitis 0 to 14 days after MMR with a relative risk of 3.61 (95% confidence interval, 1.0 to 13.1) although the total number of cases was small. Although the automated data had suggested a possible association of aseptic meningitis with MMR containing the Jeryl-Lynn strain of mumps, review of validated hospitalized cases during the observation period did not reveal evidence of an increased risk of aseptic meningitis after MMR containing the Jeryl-Lynn strain of mumps (odds ratio < 1.0 for all analyses). CONCLUSION: Although it is recognized that hospitalized cases represent a minority of the total cases of aseptic meningitis, it is reassuring that in this evaluation no increased risk of aseptic meningitis after MMR vaccine was found.

Changing levels of measles antibody titers in women and children in the United States: impact on response to vaccination. Kaiser Permanente Measles Vaccine Trial Team.

OBJECTIVES: In the United States, younger women are more likely to have immunity to measles from vaccination and are less likely to have been exposed to the wild virus than are older women. To evaluate changes in measles antibody titers in women in the United States and children's responses to measles vaccination, we analyzed data from a measles vaccine trial. METHODS: Sera collected from children before vaccination at 6, 9, or 12 months of age and from their mothers were assayed for measles antibodies by plaque reduction neutralization. Responses to vaccination with Merck Sharp & Dohme live measles virus vaccines at 9 months (Attenuvax) and 12 months (M-M-R II) were also analyzed. RESULTS: Among women born in the United States (n = 614), geometric mean titers (GMTs) of measles antibodies decreased with increasing birth year. For those born before 1957, 1957 through 1963, and after 1963, GMTs were 4798, 2665, and 989, respectively. Among women born outside of the United States (n = 394), there were no differences in GMTs by year of birth. Children of younger women born in the United States were less likely than those of older women to be seropositive at 6, 9, or 12 months. The response to the vaccines varied by maternal birth year for children of women born in the United States. Among 9-month-old children, 93% of those whose mothers were born after 1963 responded, compared with 77% and 60% of those whose mothers were born in 1957 through 1963 and before 1957, respectively. Among 12-month-old children, 98% of those born to the youngest mothers responded, compared with 90% and 83% of those whose mothers were born in 1957 through 1963 and before 1957. The responses of children of women born outside of the United States were not associated with maternal year of birth. CONCLUSIONS: An increasing proportion of children in the United States will respond to the measles vaccine at younger ages because of lower levels of passively acquired maternal measles antibodies.

Measles outbreaks in the United States, 1987 through 1990.

BACKGROUND: During 1989 and 1990 reported measles cases in the United States increased 6- to 9-fold over the annual mean of 3000 between 1985 and 1988. To evaluate recent epidemiology we summarized measles outbreaks. METHODS: Confirmed measles cases reported to the National Notifiable Disease Surveillance System during 1987 through 1990 were analyzed. An outbreak was defined as > or = 5 epidemiologically linked cases. RESULTS: There were 815 outbreaks, accounting for 94% of the 52,846 cases reported. Similar to 1985 and 1986, 3 patterns of measles transmission during outbreaks were identified: (1) predominantly among unvaccinated pre-school age children < 5 years of age (38% of outbreaks); (2) predominantly among vaccinated school age children 5 to 17 years of age (40%); and (3) predominantly among unvaccinated and vaccinated post-school age persons > or = 18 years of age (22%). Most outbreaks were small (median, 12 cases), but very large outbreaks occurred (maximum size, 10,670). Although school age outbreaks (58%) predominated during 1987 and 1988, preschool age (40%) and post-school age (23%) outbreaks were more important during 1989 and 1990. CONCLUSIONS: Recent epidemiology suggests that to achieve elimination of measles, ACIP recommendations must be fully implemented, including (1) routine administration of the first dose of measles vaccine from 12 to 15 months of age and (2) use of a routine two-dose schedule to prevent school age and post-school age outbreaks.

Preschool children at high risk for measles: opportunities to vaccinate.

OBJECTIVES: In 1989 and 1990 the United States experienced a measles epidemic with more than 18,000 and 27,000 reported cases, respectively. Nearly half of all persons with measles were unvaccinated preschool children under 5 years of age. We sought to identify potential sites for vaccine delivery. METHODS: Preschool children with measles were surveyed in five inner cities with measles outbreaks in 1989 to 1990 to assess the children's use of health care services and federal assistance programs before contracting measles. RESULTS: Of 972 case children surveyed, 618 (64%) were eligible for measles vaccination at measles onset. Of those, 93% had previously visited a health care provider (private physician, public clinic, hospital emergency department, or hospital outpatient department) and 65% were enrolled in a federal assistance program (AFDC, WIC, or food stamps). Based on parent-reported reasons for health care visits, in Dallas and New York City, health care providers of 24% of 172 children may have missed at least one opportunity to administer measles vaccine. CONCLUSIONS: Many potential opportunities exist to raise the vaccination coverage of unvaccinated preschool children. These opportunities depend on (1) health care providers taking advantage of all opportunities to vaccinate, and (2) immunization services being linked to federal assistance programs.

Successes and failures in vaccine delivery: evaluation of the immunization delivery system in Puerto Rico.

The objective of this study was to evaluate immunization delivery and determine reasons for low coverage among preschool-age public clinic attendees in Puerto Rico. In 25 randomly selected clinics, coverage and missed immunization opportunities were assessed in 273 children aged 2 to 59 months, exist interviews were conducted with parents, and providers were interviewed. Two neighborhoods close to the clinics were surveyed to determine parental knowledge about immunizations, and the vaccination status of children in these neighborhoods was assessed. Two hundred seventy-three clinic attendees were interviewed. Among 229 (84%) with vaccination cards, only 126 (55%) had received all indicated vaccines by completion of the clinic visit. Forty-five percent of children with cards in the household survey were not up-to-date. Of 171 (75%) clinic attendees eligible for vaccination at the visit, 118 (69%) missed one or more immunizations at the visit. In addition, half of all children had previously missed one or more immunizations when they had received another vaccine. Missed opportunities occurred because of nonavailability of vaccines, lack of integration of services, provider misconceptions about contraindications, and failure to administer vaccines simultaneously. Other problems included barriers to immunization services and lack of information and education activities. It is concluded that deficiencies in immunization delivery substantially delay immunization and reduce coverage.

Assessing the effects of the Medicare Prospective Payment System on the demand for VA inpatient services: an examination of transfers and discharges of problem patients.

An examination of patient data from three medical districts that vary in urban/rural composition and in their proportion of proprietary hospitals was undertaken to determine if high-cost patients whose illnesses place them in "problem" DRGs (diagnosis-related groups identified as "problems" through interviews with private hospital administrators and from information published by the Wisconsin Hospital Association) are being shifted from non-Department of Veterans Affairs (non-VA) hospitals to VA hospitals. Two outcome measures were employed to detect shifting: patient transfers between non-VA and VA hospitals and discharges of veterans in a sample of DRGs identified as unprofitable by private hospitals. A comparison of patient transfers for fiscal year 1982 and fiscal year 1984 (pre- and post-DRG implementation) revealed substantial increases in the number of transfers, but there appeared to be no concentration of transfers in particular DRGs. An examination of discharges for FY 1982 and FY 1984 within 21 problem DRGs showed average increases ranging from 27 percent to 41 percent among patients aged 65 years or older. A comparison of discharges within a sample of 21 randomly selected DRGs showed either no increase or small decreases in discharges from FY 1982 to FY 1984. The possibility is discussed that some of the cost reductions (or slowing of the rise in costs) attributed to the prospective payment system are merely phantom savings. Hospitals may simply be shifting costs from Medicare to the VA system.

Predictive utility, sex of rater differences, and interrater reliabilities of the NOSIE-30.

Results suggest that the NOSIE-30 may have predictive utility. Twelve Token Economy patients rated by nine staff members were followed for 1 year. Patients discharged within a year after the NOSIE-30 was administered had higher scores on Social Competence, Personal Neatness, Total Positive Factors, Total Patient Assets and a lower score on Total Negative Factors than patients who remained hospitalized. Generally, there were higher interrater reliabilities on subscales for which behaviors could be observed easily, such as social competence, neatness, and irratability, and less agreement on subscales such as manifest psychosis and social interest. Sex differences found in the raters' perception of a patient behavior indicated that male raters tend to be more tolerant of a patient's negative behaviors. The NOSIE-30 can be a useful tool in staff training and in patient evaluation with a multidisciplinary approach.