3D CT-Inclusive Deep-Learning Model to Predict Mortality, ICU Admittance, and Intubation in COVID-19 Patients.

Chest CT is a useful initial exam in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) for assessing lung damage. AI-powered predictive models could be useful to better allocate resources in the midst of the pandemic. Our aim was to build a deep-learning (DL) model for COVID-19 outcome prediction inclusive of 3D chest CT images acquired at hospital admission. This retrospective multicentric study included 1051 patients (mean age 69, SD = 15) who presented to the emergency department of three different institutions between 20th March 2020 and 20th January 2021 with COVID-19 confirmed by real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). Chest CT at hospital admission were evaluated by a 3D residual neural network algorithm. Training, internal validation, and external validation groups included 608, 153, and 290 patients, respectively. Images, clinical, and laboratory data were fed into different customizations of a dense neural network to choose the best performing architecture for the prediction of mortality, intubation, and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. The AI model tested on CT and clinical features displayed accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and ROC-AUC, respectively, of 91.7%, 90.5%, 92.4%, and 95% for the prediction of patient's mortality; 91.3%, 91.5%, 89.8%, and 95% for intubation; and 89.6%, 90.2%, 86.5%, and 94% for ICU admission (internal validation) in the testing cohort. The performance was lower in the validation cohort for mortality (71.7%, 55.6%, 74.8%, 72%), intubation (72.6%, 74.7%, 45.7%, 64%), and ICU admission (74.7%, 77%, 46%, 70%) prediction. The addition of the available laboratory data led to an increase in sensitivity for patient's mortality (66%) and specificity for intubation and ICU admission (50%, 52%, respectively), while the other metrics maintained similar performance results. We present a deep-learning model to predict mortality, ICU admittance, and intubation in COVID-19 patients. KEY POINTS: • 3D CT-based deep learning model predicted the internal validation set with high accuracy, sensibility and specificity (> 90%) mortality, ICU admittance, and intubation in COVID-19 patients. • The model slightly increased prediction results when laboratory data were added to the analysis, despite data imbalance. However, the model accuracy dropped when CT images were not considered in the analysis, implying an important role of CT in predicting outcomes.

Machine Learning Algorithm: Texture Analysis in CNO and Application in Distinguishing CNO and Bone Marrow Growth-Related Changes on Whole-Body MRI.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study is to analyze the texture characteristics of chronic non-bacterial osteomyelitis (CNO) bone lesions, identified as areas of altered signal intensity on short tau inversion recovery (STIR) sequences, and to distinguish them from bone marrow growth-related changes through Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) analysis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We included a group of 66 patients with confirmed diagnosis of CNO and a group of 28 patients with suspected extra-skeletal systemic disease. All examinations were performed on a 1.5 T MRI scanner. Using the opensource 3D Slicer software version 4.10.2, the ROIs on CNO lesions and on the red bone marrow were sampled. Texture analysis (TA) was carried out using Pyradiomics. We applied an optimization search grid algorithm on nine classic ML classifiers and a Deep Learning (DL) Neural Network (NN). The model's performance was evaluated using Accuracy (ACC), AUC-ROC curves, F1-score, Positive Predictive Value (PPV), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root-Mean-Square Error (RMSE). Furthermore, we used Shapley additive explanations to gain insight into the behavior of the prediction model. RESULTS: Most predictive characteristics were selected by Boruta algorithm for each combination of ROI sequences for the characterization and classification of the two types of signal hyperintensity. The overall best classification result was obtained by the NN with ACC = 0.91, AUC = 0.93 with 95% CI 0.91-0.94, F1-score = 0.94 and PPV = 93.8%. Between classic ML methods, ensemble learners showed high model performance; specifically, the best-performing classifier was the Stack (ST) with ACC = 0.85, AUC = 0.81 with 95% CI 0.8-0.84, F1-score = 0.9, PPV = 90%. CONCLUSIONS: Our results show the potential of ML methods in discerning edema-like lesions, in particular by distinguishing CNO lesions from hematopoietic bone marrow changes in a pediatric population. The Neural Network showed the overall best results, while a Stacking classifier, based on Gradient Boosting and Random Forest as principal estimators and Logistic Regressor as final estimator, achieved the best results between the other ML methods.

Synthetic Post-Contrast Imaging through Artificial Intelligence: Clinical Applications of Virtual and Augmented Contrast Media.

Contrast media are widely diffused in biomedical imaging, due to their relevance in the diagnosis of numerous disorders. However, the risk of adverse reactions, the concern of potential damage to sensitive organs, and the recently described brain deposition of gadolinium salts, limit the use of contrast media in clinical practice. In recent years, the application of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques to biomedical imaging has led to the development of 'virtual' and 'augmented' contrasts. The idea behind these applications is to generate synthetic post-contrast images through AI computational modeling starting from the information available on other images acquired during the same scan. In these AI models, non-contrast images (virtual contrast) or low-dose post-contrast images (augmented contrast) are used as input data to generate synthetic post-contrast images, which are often undistinguishable from the native ones. In this review, we discuss the most recent advances of AI applications to biomedical imaging relative to synthetic contrast media.

Sex Differences in Autism Spectrum Disorder: Diagnostic, Neurobiological, and Behavioral Features.

Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is a complex neurodevelopmental disorder with a worldwide prevalence of about 1%, characterized by impairments in social interaction, communication, repetitive patterns of behaviors, and can be associated with hyper- or hypo-reactivity of sensory stimulation and cognitive disability. ASD comorbid features include internalizing and externalizing symptoms such as anxiety, depression, hyperactivity, and attention problems. The precise etiology of ASD is still unknown and it is undoubted that the disorder is linked to some extent to both genetic and environmental factors. It is also well-documented and known that one of the most striking and consistent finding in ASD is the higher prevalence in males compared to females, with around 70% of ASD cases described being males. The present review looked into the most significant studies that attempted to investigate differences in ASD males and females thus trying to shade some light on the peculiar characteristics of this prevalence in terms of diagnosis, imaging, major autistic-like behavior and sex-dependent uniqueness. The study also discussed sex differences found in animal models of ASD, to provide a possible explanation of the neurological mechanisms underpinning the different presentation of autistic symptoms in males and females.

AI and High-Grade Glioma for Diagnosis and Outcome Prediction: Do All Machine Learning Models Perform Equally Well?

Radiomic models outperform clinical data for outcome prediction in high-grade gliomas (HGG). However, lack of parameter standardization limits clinical applications. Many machine learning (ML) radiomic models employ single classifiers rather than ensemble learning, which is known to boost performance, and comparative analyses are lacking in the literature. We aimed to compare ML classifiers to predict clinically relevant tasks for HGG: overall survival (OS), isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) mutation, O-6-methylguanine-DNA-methyltransferase (MGMT) promoter methylation, epidermal growth factor receptor vIII (EGFR) amplification, and Ki-67 expression, based on radiomic features from conventional and advanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Our objective was to identify the best algorithm for each task. One hundred fifty-six adult patients with pathologic diagnosis of HGG were included. Three tumoral regions were manually segmented: contrast-enhancing tumor, necrosis, and non-enhancing tumor. Radiomic features were extracted with a custom version of Pyradiomics and selected through Boruta algorithm. A Grid Search algorithm was applied when computing ten times K-fold cross-validation (K=10) to get the highest mean and lowest spread of accuracy. Model performance was assessed as AUC-ROC curve mean values with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Extreme Gradient Boosting (xGB) obtained highest accuracy for OS (74,5%), Adaboost (AB) for IDH mutation (87.5%), MGMT methylation (70,8%), Ki-67 expression (86%), and EGFR amplification (81%). Ensemble classifiers showed the best performance across tasks. High-scoring radiomic features shed light on possible correlations between MRI and tumor histology.

COVID Mortality Prediction with Machine Learning Methods: A Systematic Review and Critical Appraisal.

More than a year has passed since the report of the first case of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID), and increasing deaths continue to occur. Minimizing the time required for resource allocation and clinical decision making, such as triage, choice of ventilation modes and admission to the intensive care unit is important. Machine learning techniques are acquiring an increasingly sought-after role in predicting the outcome of COVID patients. Particularly, the use of baseline machine learning techniques is rapidly developing in COVID mortality prediction, since a mortality prediction model could rapidly and effectively help clinical decision-making for COVID patients at imminent risk of death. Recent studies reviewed predictive models for SARS-CoV-2 diagnosis, severity, length of hospital stay, intensive care unit admission or mechanical ventilation modes outcomes; however, systematic reviews focused on prediction of COVID mortality outcome with machine learning methods are lacking in the literature. The present review looked into the studies that implemented machine learning, including deep learning, methods in COVID mortality prediction thus trying to present the existing published literature and to provide possible explanations of the best results that the studies obtained. The study also discussed challenging aspects of current studies, providing suggestions for future developments.

Deep Learning Can Differentiate IDH-Mutant from IDH-Wild GBM.

Isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) mutant and wildtype glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) often show overlapping features on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), representing a diagnostic challenge. Deep learning showed promising results for IDH identification in mixed low/high grade glioma populations; however, a GBM-specific model is still lacking in the literature. Our aim was to develop a GBM-tailored deep-learning model for IDH prediction by applying convoluted neural networks (CNN) on multiparametric MRI. We selected 100 adult patients with pathologically demonstrated WHO grade IV gliomas and IDH testing. MRI sequences included: MPRAGE, T1, T2, FLAIR, rCBV and ADC. The model consisted of a 4-block 2D CNN, applied to each MRI sequence. Probability of IDH mutation was obtained from the last dense layer of a softmax activation function. Model performance was evaluated in the test cohort considering categorical cross-entropy loss (CCEL) and accuracy. Calculated performance was: rCBV (accuracy 83%, CCEL 0.64), T1 (accuracy 77%, CCEL 1.4), FLAIR (accuracy 77%, CCEL 1.98), T2 (accuracy 67%, CCEL 2.41), MPRAGE (accuracy 66%, CCEL 2.55). Lower performance was achieved on ADC maps. We present a GBM-specific deep-learning model for IDH mutation prediction, with a maximal accuracy of 83% on rCBV maps. Highest predictivity achieved on perfusion images possibly reflects the known link between IDH and neoangiogenesis through the hypoxia inducible factor.