Cost-Effectiveness Comparison of Carbon-Ion Radiation Therapy and Transarterial Chemoembolization for Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Purpose: Carbon-ion radiation therapy (CIRT) is a treatment option for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that results in better outcomes with fewer side effects despite its high cost. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of CIRT for HCC from medical and economic perspectives by comparing CIRT and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in patients with localized HCC who were ineligible for surgery or radiofrequency ablation. Methods and Materials: This study included 34 patients with HCC who underwent either CIRT or TACE at Gunma University between 2007 and 2016. Patient characteristics were employed to select each treatment group using the propensity score matching method. Life years were used as the outcome indicator. The CIRT technical fee was ¥3,140,000; however, a second CIRT treatment on the same organ within 2 years was performed for free. Results: Our study showed that CIRT was dominant over TACE, as the CIRT group had a higher life year (point estimate, 2.75 vs 2.41) and lower total cost (mean, ¥4,974,278 vs ¥5,284,524). We conducted a sensitivity analysis to validate the results because of the higher variance in medical costs in the TACE group, which demonstrated that CIRT maintained its cost effectiveness with a high acceptability rate. Conclusions: CIRT is a cost-effective treatment option for localized HCC cases unsuitable for surgical resection.

Long-term effects of contrast media exposure on renal failure progression: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: With the constant need for technique improvement for ensuring correct diagnoses and precise treatment, imaging examinations that use contrast media have become unavoidable and indispensable. However, the long-term effects of contrast media on renal function remain unclear in populations with advanced renal failure. This study aimed to examine the relationship between contrast media exposure and long-term trends in renal function in patients with renal failure. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included patients with a definitive diagnosis of chronic kidney disease who visited medical institutions in Japan between April 2012 and December 2020. The cohort was divided into contrast agent therapy and non-contrast agent therapy groups. The assessment indices were the number of contrast exposures and renal function decline. Renal function decline was calculated based on observed chronic kidney disease stage trends and glomerular filtration rate correspondence tables sourced from various guidelines. A stratified analysis focusing on changes in renal function while accounting for the acceleration of chronic kidney disease progression was also performed. RESULTS: After adjusting for patient background with propensity score matching, 333 patients each were included in both groups. The observation period was 5.3 ± 2.1 and 4.9 ± 2.2 years per case in the contrast-enhanced and non-contrast-enhanced groups, respectively. The baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate at the beginning of the observation period was 55.2 ± 17.8 mL/min/1.73 m2 in the contrast-enhanced groups (P = 0.65). Although only slightly different in both groups, the glomerular filtration rate change was 1.1 ± 3.3 mL/min/1.73 m2/year in the contrast agent therapy group and tended to be higher with contrast media exposure. Stratified analysis showed that the annual glomerular filtration rate changes in patients with more contrast media exposures and altered renal function were 7.9 ± 7.1 mL/min/1.73 m2/year and 4.7 ± 3.6 mL/min/1.73 m2/year in the contrast agent therapy and non-contrast agent therapy groups, respectively (1.69 times, P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: We were able to identify a clinical trend of successful measures for preventing adverse renal outcomes associated with contrast media exposure. However, increased frequency of contrast media exposure has a long-term effect on renal function in patients with altered it. Appropriate treatment choices related to contrast media may control chronic kidney disease.

Study Protocol of Cardiac Rehabilitation for Acute Myocardial Infarction From the JROAD/JROAD-DPC Database　- JROAD-CR.

Background: Although cardiac rehabilitation (CR) has been reported to be effective for improving the prognosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), more patients must participate in CR during admission and as outpatients. Factors contributing to, and countermeasures against, the low CR participation rate need to be identified. Here we describe the protocol for a study designed to evaluate the effectiveness and problems of CR for AMI from the Japanese Registry of All Cardiac and Vascular Diseases (JROAD) and the JROAD-Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination system (JROAD-DPC) database. Methods and Results: This is a multicenter retrospective cohort study that will use the JROAD/JROAD-DPC database to evaluate the effectiveness of CR for AMI (JROAD-CR). Five thousand patients with AMI who were admitted to hospitals registered in the JROAD database in 2014 will be investigated with regard to their baseline characteristics, AMI severity and treatment, examination results, history of CR, and prognosis up to 5 years. We will also investigate the presence, quantity, and quality of CR, and evaluate the effectiveness of CR with respect to cost, exercise tolerance, and prognosis during admission and follow-up. Conclusions: The JROAD-CR study will seek to reveal the effectiveness of CR for AMI in the era of early reperfusion therapy and shortened hospitalization.

Clinical and Economic Evaluation of Impella Treatment for Fulminant Myocarditis　- A Preliminary Retrospective Cohort Study in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Fulminant myocarditis (FM) is rare but has an extremely poor prognosis. Impella, a catheter-based heart pump, is a new therapeutic strategy, but reports regarding its health economics are lacking.Methods and Results: This retrospective cohort study compared Impella treatment (Group I) with existing treatments (Group E) using medical data collected from October 2017 to September 2021, with a 1-year analysis period. Cost-effectiveness indices were life-years (LY; effect index) and medical fee amount (cost index). Results were validated using probabilistic sensitivity analysis. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated using quality-adjusted LY (QALY) and medical costs. Each group included 7 patients, and more than half (57.1%) received combined Impella plus extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. There was no significant difference between Groups I and E in 1-year mortality rates (28.6% vs. 57.1%, respectively) or LY (mean [±SD] 163.1±128.3 vs. 107.8±127.3 days, respectively), but mortality risk was significantly lower in Group I than Group E (95% confidence interval 0.02-0.96; P<0.05). Compared with Group E, Group I had higher total costs (9,270,597±4,121,875 vs. 6,397,466±3,801,364 JPY/year; P=0.20) and higher cost-effectiveness (32,443,987±14,742,966 vs. 92,637,756±98,225,604 JPY/LY; P=0.74), which was confirmed in the sensitivity analysis. ICER probability distribution showed 23.2% and 51.5% reductions below 5 million and 10 million JPY/QALY, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Impella treatment is more cost-effective than conventional FM treatments. Large-scale studies are needed to validate the added effects and increasing costs.

Trends in the cost-effectiveness level of percutaneous coronary intervention: Macro socioeconomic analysis and health technology assessment.

Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), one of the most prevalent techniques of revascularization, is a procedure that remarkably improves treatment outcomes. However, it consumes large amounts of medical resources and has resulted in an increased socioeconomic burden due to the increasing number of target patients. In recent years, there have been sporadic discussions, both in Japan and other countries, regarding the optimization of interventions and the perspective of medical economics. Based on this, previous studies on PCI-related cost-effectiveness were reviewed in order to consider the current level of medical economics regarding PCI. Using the databases MEDLINE and EMBASE, a survey involving data from original articles and systematic reviews was conducted from January 2010 to August 2022. Conditions were not imposed on the evidence level due to the paucity of studies, although field studies were prioritized over simulation studies. The macro medical economics of acute myocardial infarction treatment, which is the primary target of PCI, were generally at an average level when compared to those in other countries; however, there is room for further improvement in Japan's performance. Revascularization in a population with multivessel coronary artery disease showed that coronary artery bypass graft surgery tended to be more cost-effective than PCI in the long-term setting. However, it was suggested that PCI may be more cost-effective in patients with SYNTAX Score ≤22 or left main artery disease. A cost-effectiveness report for stable angina patients was not in favor of PCI over medical therapy. Moreover, there were some reports showing the medical economic superiority of early myocardial ischemia evaluation, and it was foreseen that active selection of patients will contribute to the improvement of the overall cost-effectiveness of PCI. In order to further improve the socioeconomic significance of PCI in the future, it is necessary to aim for harmony between clinical practice and health economics.

Health state utilities of patients with hepatitis B and C and hepatitis-related conditions in Japan.

Health state utilities are global measurements of quality of life and have been used to evaluate health outcomes for the cost-utility analysis. This study aimed to estimate the health state utilities of patients with hepatitis B (HB), hepatitis C (HC), and hepatitis-related diseases in Japan. We distributed a self-administered questionnaire, including the EuroQol 5-Dimension 5-Level (EQ-5D-5L), to 9,952 outpatients with several clinical conditions caused by HB or HC virus infection (such as asymptomatic chronic hepatitis, chronic hepatitis, compensated cirrhosis, and decompensated cirrhosis) and estimated the condition-specific utilities of patients with HB or HC. In patients with more severe conditions (patients with acute hepatitis, fulminant hepatitis, and hepatocellular carcinoma and patients undergoing post-liver transplantation), the utilities of these severe conditions were estimated by three hepatitis experts using the EQ-5D-5L. The means of the utilities for acute hepatitis, fulminant hepatitis, asymptomatic chronic hepatitis, chronic hepatitis, compensated cirrhosis, compensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma stage I/II, hepatocellular carcinoma stage III/IV, and post-liver transplantation were 0.529, - 0.111, 0.904, 0.868, 0.845, 0.722, 0,675, 0,428, and 0.651 and 0.876, 0.821, 0.737, 0.671, 0.675, 0.428, and 0.651 in HB and HC, respectively. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study that comprehensively assessed the health state utilities of patients with HB, HC and hepatitis-related conditions from a nationwide survey in Japan using the EQ-5D-5L.

Cost-effectiveness of follow-up invasive coronary angiography after percutaneous coronary stenting: a real-world observational cohort study in Japan.

OBJECTIVES: Follow-up invasive coronary angiography (FUICA) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) has been shown to increase the rate of early coronary revascularisation without reducing the incidence of subsequent myocardial infarction or death. However, no studies have evaluated the cost-effectiveness of FUICA in patients after coronary stenting. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of FUICA after PCI. DESIGN: Retrospective observational cohort study. SETTING: 497 hospitals. PARTICIPANTS AND INTERVENTIONS: Overall, 558 patients who underwent coronary artery stenting between April 2014 and March 2015 were matched and included in the invasive angiographic follow-up (AF) group (n=279), in which patients underwent FUICA 6-12 months after PCI, or in the clinical follow-up alone group (CF; n=279) using propensity scores. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary endpoint was the composite outcome of death, myocardial infarction, urgent coronary revascularisation, stroke or hospitalisation for the heart failure. The secondary endpoints included all-cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, urgent revascularisation, coronary artery bypass grafting, stroke, hospitalisation for the heart failure and any coronary revascularisation after a minimum of 6 months of follow-up. RESULTS: Costs were calculated as direct medical expenses based on medical fee billing information. The cumulative 3-year incidence of the primary endpoint was 5.3% in the AF group and 4.7% in the CF group (HR 1.02; 95% CI 0.47 to 2.20; p=0.98). The total incremental cost at the 3-year endpoint in the AF group was US$1874 higher than that in the CF group (US$8947±US$5684 vs US$7073±US$6360; p≤0.001). CONCLUSIONS: FUICA increased the costs but did not improve clinical benefits. Thus, FUICA is not economically more attractive than CF alone. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: UMIN000039768.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of infliximab for the treatment of Kawasaki disease refractory to the initial treatment: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Infliximab (IFX) treatment is approved in Japan for health insurance coverage in patients with Kawasaki disease (KD). This study aimed to compare the cost-effectiveness of IFX and other therapeutic strategies for KD refractory to initial treatment, including intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG), steroids, immunosuppressants, and plasma exchange therapy. METHODS: This multicenter, retrospective cohort study utilized data from the public medical insurance system of Japan. The target population included those who received treatment for KD between April 2012 and March 2019. Eligibility criteria were as follows: 1) initial onset of KD, 2) age < 15 years at onset, and 3) administration of 3rd line treatment if the 1st line treatment was IVIG alone or 2nd line treatment if the 1st line treatment was a combination of IVIG and steroids, in accordance with Japanese guidelines (2012). Those with KD-related cardiovascular complications before admission and those with congenital cardiac disease were excluded. The primary outcome was cost-effectiveness, which was calculated based on the number of admission events per annum divided by medical expenses per annum (times/10,000 US dollars). The Wilcoxon test was applied to analyze the difference in cost-effectiveness between patients who had received IFX and those who had not. RESULTS: Among 1267 patients with KD, 25 received IFX treatment, while 206 received another treatment after the disease was designated refractory to initial treatment. The frequency of steroid use during initial IVIG treatment (a predictor of severity) was higher in the non-IFX group than in the IFX group (70.4% vs. 32.0%, p < 0.001) but became comparable after propensity-score matching. Our analysis indicated that IFX was more cost-effective than other treatments [1.04 (0.86, 1.34) vs. 1.38 (1.03, 1.79) (times/10,000 US dollars), p = 0.006]. CONCLUSIONS: IFX treatment may be more cost-effective than non-IFX treatment for patients with KD that is refractory to initial treatment.

Proxy responses regarding quality of life of patients with terminal lung cancer: preliminary results from a prospective observational study.

OBJECTIVE: This prospective study used the EQ-5D utility and Visual Analogue Scale (VAS) scores to analyse the potential usefulness of proxy responses in quality of life assessments of Japanese patients with terminal lung cancer sufficiently healthy to communicate and reply by themselves. We did not investigate the potential usefulness of using proxy responses for patients who could not respond by themselves. DESIGN: A prospective observational study. SETTING: Single centre. PARTICIPANTS: The EQ-5D and VAS responses were gathered from 30 in-hospital patients with lung cancer for a total of three observation points. At nearly the same time, two nurses responded by providing proxy responses. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: EQ-5D and VAS responses. RESULTS: There were no significant differences between the patients' and nurses' responses for EQ-5D utility and VAS scores. For the five dimensions of the EQ-5D, significant differences were found between the patients' and nurses' responses for usual activities (patients' response 1.64±0.07, nurses' response 1.41±0.05, p=0.03) and anxiety/depression (patients' response: 1.40±0.05, nurses' response: 1.19±0.03, p=0.02). There was a significant weak positive correlation between patients' and nurses' responses regarding changes in responses from the first to the third observation point (Spearman's rank correlation coefficient ρ=0.228; p<0.01). CONCLUSION: The results suggest that proxy responses are useful because there were no significant differences between the patients' and nurses' responses for EQ-5D utility and VAS scores at the three observation points. These findings should, however, be verified in future large-scale trials.

Socioeconomic Determinants of Universal Health Coverage in the Asian Region.

The World Health Organization (WHO) states that examining medical financial systems is the most important process in evaluating universal health coverage (UHC). This study used the service coverage index (SCI) as a proxy of the progress toward UHC in eleven Asian countries. We employed a fixed-effects regression model to analyze panel data from 2015 to 2017, to explain the interrelationship between the SCI and major socioeconomic indicators. We also conducted a performance analysis (ratio of achieved SCI level to gross domestic product (GDP) or health expenditure displacement) to examine the balance between the degree of achievements related to UHC and a country's economic level. The results showed that GDP and health expenditure were significantly positively correlated with the SCI (p < 0.01). The panel data analysis results showed that GDP per capita was a factor that greatly influenced the SCI as well as poverty (partial regression coefficient: 0.0017, 95% CI: 0.0013-0.0021). The results of the performance analysis showed that the Philippines had the highest scores (GDP: 1.84 SCI score/USD per capita, health expenditure: 1.04 SCI score/USD per capita) and South Korea the lowest. We conclude that socioeconomic factors, such as GDP, health expenditure, unemployment, poverty, and population influence the progress of UHC, regardless of system maturity or geographic characteristics.

Prevalence of HIV infection among non-elderly individuals with hepatitis C in Japan: a population-based cohort study using a health insurance claim data.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) has been mainly transmitted through injection drug use, but recently, sexual transmission among men who have sex with men (MSM), which is also a major route of HIV transmission, is increasing. However, the prevalence of HIV and the incidence of other sexually transmitted infections (STIs) among HCV patients have been rarely reported. METHODS: Using a healthcare insurance claim data of employees and their dependents covering seven-million people in Japan, we evaluated HIV prevalence among HCV patients aged 20-59 years. Hemophilia patients were excluded. HIV and HCV were defined by registered diagnoses and receiving viral RNA testing. The time course of HCV and HIV infections was analyzed. Incidences of syphilis, amebiasis, chlamydia, gonorrhea, hepatitis A, and hepatitis B were assessed. RESULTS: From April 2012 to August 2018, 6,422 HCV patients were identified. HIV prevalence was 0.48% (31/6422, 95% CI [confidence interval]: 0.33-0.68%). HIV was diagnosed after HCV in 3.2% (1/31), before HCV in 58.1% (18/31), and concurrently in 38.7% (12/31). Compared with HCV patients without HIV infection, HCV/HIV co-infected patients were younger (median age, 37 vs 51 years, p < 0.001), more likely to be male (30/31 [96.8%] vs 3059/6391 [47.9%], p < 0.001), more likely to have other STIs (38.7% [12/31] vs 0.9% [56/6391], p < 0.001), and live in Tokyo, the most populous capital city in Japan (67.7% [21/31] vs 11.6% [742/6391], p < 0.001). In Tokyo, the HIV prevalence among 20-30 s male with HCV was 18.6% (13/70; 95% CI, 10.3-29.7%). CONCLUSIONS: HIV prevalence among young male HCV patients was very high in Tokyo. HCV/HIV co-infected patients were more likely to acquire HIV before HCV, which is a known feature of MSM. They also had a higher incidence of STIs. These findings suggest that HCV might be prevalent as an STI among MSM particularly in Tokyo.

Health economics-based verification of functional myocardial ischemia evaluation of stable coronary artery disease in Japan: A long-term longitudinal study using propensity score matching.

BACKGROUND: The procedural numbers and medical costs of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), mainly elective PCI, have been increasing in Japan. Owing to increased interest in the appropriateness of coronary revascularization, we conducted this medical economics-based evaluation of testing and diagnosis of stable coronary artery disease (CAD). METHODS AND RESULTS: We reviewed patients' medical insurance data to identify stable CAD patients who underwent coronary computed tomography angiography, cardiac single-photon emission computed tomography, coronary angiography, or fractional flow reserve. Subjects were divided into anatomical and functional evaluation groups according to the modality of testing, and background factors were matched by propensity score. The endpoints were major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), life years (LYs), medical costs, and cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA). The observations were performed for 36 months. MACE, medical costs, and CEA of the functional group in the overall category were trending to be better than the anatomical group (MACE, P = .051; medical costs: 3,105 US$ vs 4,430 US$, P = .007; CEA: 2,431 US$/LY vs 2,902 US$/LY, P = .043). CONCLUSIONS: The functional evaluation approach improved long-term clinical outcomes and reduced cumulative medical costs. As a result, the modality composition of functional myocardial ischemia evaluation was demonstrated to offer superior cost-effectiveness in stable CAD.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of the Treatment Strategies with or without Opioid Medications in Surgery-Eligible Patients with Osteoarthritis in Japan.

AIM: The aim of this study was to evaluate the cost effectiveness of treatment strategies without opioid medications (non-opioid treatment strategy) versus strategies with opioid medications (opioid treatment strategy) among surgery-eligible patients with osteoarthritis (OA) of the knee or hip in Japan. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We built a Markov cohort model to evaluate outcomes for the treatment strategies in surgery-eligible patients aged ≥ 65 years with OA of the knee or hip in Japan. The opioid treatment strategy as an intervention includes a health state with opioid medication in the treatment pathway. On the other hand, for the non-opioid treatment strategy, there is no health state with opioid medication. A targeted literature review and database analysis were conducted to identify and define the values of the variables included in the model. The time horizon was set to 30 years, and a 2% discount was applied for cost and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Sensitivity analysis and scenario analysis were performed in the model. The outcomes were QALYs and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). RESULTS: In the base-case analysis, the non-opioid treatment strategy was dominant over the opioid treatment strategy and associated with an incremental cost and QALYs of - 53,878 JPY (- 499 USD) and 0.03 QALYs, respectively, in patients with knee OA, and - 54,129 JPY (- 502 USD) and 0.02 QALYs, respectively, in patients with hip OA. One-way sensitivity analysis showed the ICER was most sensitive to the QALY for opioid monotherapy. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses showed a high degree of uncertainty associated with the results. LIMITATIONS: Study limitations included assumptions related to transition probabilities of the health states, and a lack of Japanese-specific data for transition probabilities, incidence of adverse events and utility values. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that the non-opioid treatment strategy is cost effective compared with the opioid treatment strategy in the management of surgery-eligible patients with OA of the knee or hip. However, this final conclusion may not be accurate as the methodology is heavily reliant on assumptions.

Cost-effectiveness of carbon-ion radiotherapy versus stereotactic body radiotherapy for non-small-cell lung cancer.

Carbon-ion radiotherapy (CIRT) for clinical stage I non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is used as an advanced medical treatment regimen in Japan. Carbon-ion radiotherapy reportedly aids in achieving excellent treatment outcomes, despite its high medical cost. We aimed to compare CIRT with stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) in terms of cost-effectiveness for treating clinical stage I NSCLC. Data of patients with clinical stage I NSCLC treated with CIRT or SBRT at Gunma University between 2010 and 2015 were analyzed. The CIRT and SBRT groups included 62 and 27 patients, respectively. After propensity-score matching, both groups comprised 15 patients. Life year (LY) was used as an indicator of outcome. The CIRT technical fee was 3 140 000 JPY. There was no technical fee for the second CIRT carried out on the same organ within 2 years. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated by dividing the incremental cost by the incremental LY for 5 years after treatment. Sensitivity analysis was applied to evaluate the impact of LY or costs of each group on ICER. The ICERs were 7 491 017 JPY/LY and 3 708 330 JPY/LY for all patients and matched patients, respectively. Hospitalization and examination costs were significantly higher in the CIRT group, and the impact of the CIRT technical costs was smaller than other costs and LY. Carbon-ion radiotherapy is a cost-effective treatment approach. However, our findings suggest that reducing excessive costs by considering the validity and necessity of examinations and hospitalizations would make CIRT a more cost-effective approach.

Comparison of the Effectiveness of Pharmacological Treatments for Patients with Chronic Low Back Pain: A Nationwide, Multicenter Study in Japan.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic low back pain (CLBP) is a leading cause of disability, yet there is limited high-quality evidence to identify the most suitable pharmacological therapy. The purpose of this Japanese nationwide, multicenter, prospective study was to compare the effectiveness of four representative drug therapies-acetaminophen, celecoxib, loxoprofen, and a tramadol and acetaminophen (T+A) combination drug-to establish evidence for a drug of choice for CLBP. METHODS: Patients with CLBP (N=471) received one of the four treatments and were evaluated, prospectively and comprehensively, once every month for six months using a visual analog scale (VAS) for LBP, the Japanese Orthopedic Association (JOA) score, the JOA Back Pain Evaluation Questionnaire (JOABPEQ), the Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire (RDQ), the EuroQol five-dimensions three-levels (EQ-5D-3L), and the Short Form-8 item health survey (SF-8). We conducted multivariable linear regression analyses of the four drugs at 1 and 6 months after drug allocation. Differences with P<0.05 were considered statistically significant. RESULTS: Patients who received acetaminophen showed a significant improvement from baseline in the mental health subscale of the JOABPEQ at one month (P=0.02) and the JOA score at six months (P<0.01). None of the other outcome measures among the four drugs differed significantly. Across groups, all outcome measures, except the mental component summary (MCS) score of the SF-8, improved equivalently, although most measurements showed no obvious cumulative effect over six months. The MCS score of the SF-8 decreased gradually over six months in all groups. CONCLUSIONS: Most of the outcome measures among the treated groups were not significantly different, indicating similar treatment effects of the four drugs for CLBP. Our study indicated the limit of each outcome measure for evaluating the patient status, suggesting that a single outcome measure is insufficient to reflect treatment effectiveness.

Preliminary Examination of an Appropriate Price Calculation Method and Medical Treatment Costs for Foreign Visitors in Japan.

This study proposes a method for calculating the appropriate medical treatment price level for foreign visitors (FVs) in Japan. Hospital management costs and foreign prices were analyzed from a market principles perspective to determine the medical treatment price. The study involved two stages: a preliminary survey and an extended survey, supplemented by an international survey. Relatively frequent diseases were selected, and the costs incurred by hospitals for the treatment of FVs were analyzed though data from three hospitals, covering 24 outpatients and 4 inpatients. Payments made by three insurance companies for overseas medical institution services for Japanese tourists with pharyngitis were analyzed. This study shows that the appropriate medical treatment prices for FVs, considering profits, were 1.22-4.26 times higher compared with prices under Japan's public health insurance plans. Furthermore, these prices were 1.31-4.26 times higher for outpatients with pharyngitis and external injury and 1.22-3.66 times higher for inpatients with appendicitis and femoral fractures. The price of pharyngitis treatment in 12 countries was USD 20.32-158.75 per patient for Japanese tourists, whereas FVs paid 60.24 dollars (1.13 times higher than Japan's public healthcare price) in Japan. This study shows it was appropriate to set the ideal price level for FVs higher than that for Japanese patients.

Development of a predictive model for integrated medical and long-term care resource consumption based on health behaviour: application of healthcare big data of patients with circulatory diseases.

BACKGROUND: Medical costs and the burden associated with cardiovascular disease are on the rise. Therefore, to improve the overall economy and quality assessment of the healthcare system, we developed a predictive model of integrated healthcare resource consumption (Adherence Score for Healthcare Resource Outcome, ASHRO) that incorporates patient health behaviours, and examined its association with clinical outcomes. METHODS: This study used information from a large-scale database on health insurance claims, long-term care insurance, and health check-ups. Participants comprised patients who received inpatient medical care for diseases of the circulatory system (ICD-10 codes I00-I99). The predictive model used broadly defined composite adherence as the explanatory variable and medical and long-term care costs as the objective variable. Predictive models used random forest learning (AI: artificial intelligence) to adjust for predictors, and multiple regression analysis to construct ASHRO scores. The ability of discrimination and calibration of the prediction model were evaluated using the area under the curve and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. We compared the overall mortality of the two ASHRO 50% cut-off groups adjusted for clinical risk factors by propensity score matching over a 48-month follow-up period. RESULTS: Overall, 48,456 patients were discharged from the hospital with cardiovascular disease (mean age, 68.3 ± 9.9 years; male, 61.9%). The broad adherence score classification, adjusted as an index of the predictive model by machine learning, was an index of eight: secondary prevention, rehabilitation intensity, guidance, proportion of days covered, overlapping outpatient visits/clinical laboratory and physiological tests, medical attendance, and generic drug rate. Multiple regression analysis showed an overall coefficient of determination of 0.313 (p < 0.001). Logistic regression analysis with cut-off values of 50% and 25%/75% for medical and long-term care costs showed that the overall coefficient of determination was statistically significant (p < 0.001). The score of ASHRO was associated with the incidence of all deaths between the two 50% cut-off groups (2% vs. 7%; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: ASHRO accurately predicted future integrated healthcare resource consumption and was associated with clinical outcomes. It can be a valuable tool for evaluating the economic usefulness of individual adherence behaviours and optimising clinical outcomes.

Long-Term Pain Management and Health Care Resource Use Among an Employed Population in Japan with Knee Osteoarthritis Combined with Low Back Pain.

OBJECTIVE: Assess long-term comorbidity burden and pain management patterns among working-age patients with knee osteoarthritis (KOA) only without low back pain (LBP) (KOA-noLBP) and patients with KOA plus LBP (KOA+LBP) in Japan. METHODS: Retrospective claims data analyses were conducted on data from the Japan Medical Data Center (JMDC) database. Adult patients (≥40 years) with a diagnosis of knee osteoarthritis (KOA) (January 1, 2011-December 31, 2012) and 5 years of follow-up were evaluated. The first claim with a KOA diagnosis defined the index date. Longitudinal pain management patterns were assessed in both cohorts. RESULTS: Overall, 1,828 patients met study criteria (717 with KOA-noLBP; 1,111 with KOA+LBP). The mean age of patients with KOA-noLBP was 52.1 years, and that of patients with KOA+LBP was 53.1 years, with more females in the KOA+LBP cohort (49.4% vs. 55.0%). Regardless of cohort, >90% of patients received pharmacological intervention during the 5-year follow-up period. The most common regimen first received was either topical or oral nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs. A higher mean number of pharmaceutical treatments were received by patients in the KOA+LBP cohort (3.6) than by patients in the KOA-noLBP cohort (2.7) during the follow-up period. Regardless of cohort, most of the direct medical cost was derived from medication. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates that a greater proportion of the JMDC population of working individuals with KOA were comorbid with LBP and received pain-related treatment in the long-term perspective relative to patients with KOA without LBP. Appropriate pain management for both KOA and LBP would be key for effective resource utilization in an aging society facing socioeconomic burdens.