Emulating Randomized Controlled Trials with Hybrid Control Arms in Oncology: A Case Study.

This proof-of-concept study retrospectively assessed the feasibility of applying a hybrid control arm design to a completed phase III randomized controlled trial (RCT; CheckMate-057) in advanced non-small cell lung cancer using a real-world data (RWD) source. The emulated trial consists of an experimental arm (patients from the RCT experimental cohort) and a hybrid control arm (patients from the RCT and RWD control cohorts). For the RWD control cohort, this study used a nationwide electronic health record-derived de-identified database. Three frequentist statistical borrowing methods were evaluated: a two-step Cox model, a fixed Cox model, and propensity score-integrated composite likelihood ("Methods 1-3"). The experimental treatment effect for hybrid control designs were evaluated using hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence interval (CI) estimated from the Cox models accounting for covariate differences. The reduction in study duration compared to the RCT was also evaluated. All three statistical borrowing methods achieved comparable experimental treatment effects to that observed in the CheckMate-057 clinical trial, with HRs of 0.73 (95% CI: 0.59, 0.92), 0.74 (95% CI: 0.61, 0.91), 0.72 (95% CI: 0.59, 0.88) for Methods 1-3, respectively. Reduction in study duration time was 99-115 days when borrowing 30-38 events for Methods 1-3, respectively. This study demonstrated that it is feasible to emulate an RCT using a hybrid control arm design using three frequentist propensity-score based statistical borrowing methods. Selection of an appropriate, fit-for-use RWD cohort is critical to minimizing bias in experimental treatment effect.

Severe Pericardial Effusion Due to Autoimmune Hypothyroidism With Levothyroxine Withdrawal and Systemic Lupus Erythematosus.

The presence of autoantibodies is a common link between autoimmune hypothyroidism (AH) and Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE). The coexistence of AH (Hashimoto's Thyroiditis) and SLE is common; however, massive pericardial effusion (PEEF) with signs of tamponade is extremely rare and only a few cases have been reported in literature. We present a case of a 54-year-old female who came in with progressive dyspnea who was found out to have massive PEEF from overt AH and concurrent SLE, which was successfully managed medically. This gave us valuable insight that massive pericardial effusion occurring in overt hypothyroidism may be secondarily caused by other co-existing disease entities such as SLE. The importance of the correct diagnosis cannot be overemphasized, as this largely contributed to the successful management of this case.

STAT5b is a marker of poor prognosis, rather than a therapeutic target in glioblastomas.

The copy number and mRNA expression of STAT5b were assessed in samples from the TCGA repository of glioblastomas (GBM). The activation of this transcription factor was analyzed on tissue microarrays comprising 392 WHO 2016 GBM samples from our clinical practice. These data were correlated with patient survival using multivariable Cox analysis and, for a subset of 167 tumors, with signs of tumor invasiveness on the MRI. The effects of STAT5b knockdown by siRNA were assessed on the growth, therapeutic resistance, invasion and migration of GBM cell lines U87, U87­EGFRVIII and LN18 and primary cultures GM2 and GM3. The activation, but not the copy number or the mRNA expression of nuclear transcription factor STAT5b expression correlated inversely with patient survival independently of IDH1R132H status, age, Karnofsky Performance Score, treatment and tumor volume. STAT5b inhibition neither altered the cell proliferation nor reduced the clonogenic proliferative potency of GBM cells, and did not sensitize them to the cytotoxic effect of ionizing radiation and temozolomide in vitro. STAT5b inhibition significantly increased GBM cell migration, but decreased the invasion of some GBM cells in vitro. There was no correlation between the activation of STAT5b in clinical tumors and the extent of invasion on MRI OF patients. In conclusion, STAT5b is frequently activated in GBM and correlates inversely with patient survival. It does not contribute to the growth and resistance of these tumors, and is thus rather a potential prognostic marker than a therapeutic target in these tumors.

Concordance of Clinician-Documented and Imaging Response in Patients With Stage IV Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Treated With First-Line Therapy.

Importance: In observational oncology studies of solid tumors, response to treatment can be evaluated based on electronic health record (EHR) documentation (clinician-assessed response [CAR]), an approach different from standardized radiologist-measured response (Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumours [RECIST] 1.1). Objective: To evaluate the feasibility of an imaging response based on RECIST (IRb-RECIST) and the concordance between CAR and imaging response based on RECIST assessments, and investigate discordance causes. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used an EHR-derived, deidentified database that included patients with stage IV non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) diagnosed between January 1, 2011, to June 30, 2019, selected from 3 study sites. Data analysis was conducted in August, 2020. Exposures: Undergoing first-line therapy and imaging assessments of response to treatment. Main Outcomes and Measures: In this study, CAR assessments (referred to in prior publications as "real-world response" [rwR]) were defined as clinician-documented changes in disease burden at radiologic evaluation time points; they were abstracted manually and assigned to response categories. The RECIST-based assessments accommodated routine practice patterns by using a modified version of RECIST 1.1 (IRb-RECIST), with independent radiology reads. Concordance was calculated as the percent agreement across all response categories and across a dichotomous stratification (response [complete or partial] vs no response), unconfirmed or confirmed. Results: This study found that, in 100 patients evaluated for concordance, agreement between CAR and IRb-RECIST was 71% (95% CI, 61%-80%), and 74% (95% CI, 64%-82%) for confirmed and unconfirmed response, respectively. There were more responders using CAR than IRb-RECIST (40 vs 29 with confirmation; 64 vs 43 without confirmation). The main sources of discordance were the different use of thresholds for tumor size changes by RECIST vs routine care, and unavailable baseline or follow-up scans resulting in inconsistent anatomic coverage over time. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of patients with stage IV NSCLC, we collected routine-care imaging, showing the feasibility of response evaluation using IRb-RECIST criteria with independent centralized review. Concordance between CAR and centralized IRb-RECIST was moderate. Future work is needed to evaluate the generalizability of these results to broader populations, and investigate concordance in other clinical settings.

Molecular Surveillance for Imported Antimicrobial Resistant Plasmodium falciparum, Ontario, Canada.

Single-nucleotide polymorphisms at several loci have been correlated with Plasmodium falciparum drug resistance. We examined the prevalence of resistance markers in P. falciparum from imported malaria cases in Canada during 3 time periods, 2008-2009, 2013-2014, and 2017-2018. We evaluated single-nucleotide polymorphisms at atpase6 (pfATPase6), pfcrt (chloroquine resistance transporter), cytb (cytochrome b), dhfr (dihydrofolate reductase), dhps (dihydropteroate synthetase), mdr1 (multidrug resistance protein) and mdr1 copy number, and kelch13 (kelch protein gene on chromosome 13). Over time, we observed increasing mutant genotypes for dhfr S108N and dhps A613T and decreasing mutant genotypes for mdr1 N86Y, D1246Y, pfcrt K76T, and pfcrt 74-75; we identified no kelch13 mutations. We observed fewer mutations indicative of chloroquine resistance over time, which may reflect reduced chloroquine pressure in specimens from travelers to Africa. Mutations conferring proguanil resistance increased over time. Minor genotypes confirm the heterogeneous nature of infection and may affect treatment success.

Approaches for Enhanced Extrapolation of Long-Term Survival Outcomes Using Electronic Health Records of Patients With Cancer.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to demonstrate enhanced survival extrapolation methods using electronic health record-derived real-world data (RWD). METHODS: The study population included patients diagnosed of ER+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer who started first-line treatment with anastrozole or letrozole between November 18, 2014, and November 18, 2015. Two patient cohorts were constructed: a clinical trial cohort from digitized MONARCH-3 clinical trial results and a RWD cohort from a deidentified electronic health record-derived database. RWD patients were weighted to trial baseline covariate distributions. Standard parametric approaches were applied to trial data and a "best-fit" model was selected. We demonstrate traditional and enhanced hybrid (pooling with weighted RWD at start, 75%, or end of trial) extrapolation approaches. RESULTS: Observed and estimated 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) rates in extrapolating the trial control arm (n = 165) were comparable across all methods. Compared with the observed 5-year mean PFS in the RWD cohort (n = 118) of 20.4 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 16.9-23.8), there was some variation among studied methods. Best-fit standard parametric model (log-normal) had 5-year mean PFS of 21.3 months (95% CI 18.2-24.9), and for the hybrid methods in order of estimate conservativeness was start of trial (20.8 months; 95% CI 18.5-23.2), 75% of trial (21.3 months; 95% CI 18.1-24.5), and end of trial (21.8 months; 95% CI 18.8-25.2). CONCLUSIONS: Our study leverages RWD to enhance long-term survival extrapolation. Future use cases should include applying patient eligibility criteria, weighting on baseline characteristics, and choice of time window to add RWD to trial data.

Emulating Control Arms for Cancer Clinical Trials Using External Cohorts Created From Electronic Health Record-Derived Real-World Data.

Electronic health record (EHR)-derived real-world data (RWD) can be sourced to create external comparator cohorts to oncology clinical trials. This exploratory study assessed whether EHR-derived patient cohorts could emulate select clinical trial control arms across multiple tumor types. The impact of analytic decisions on emulation results was also evaluated. By digitizing Kaplan-Meier curves, we reconstructed published control arm results from 15 trials that supported drug approvals from January 1, 2016, to April 30, 2018. RWD cohorts were constructed using a nationwide EHR-derived de-identified database by aligning eligibility criteria and weighting to trial baseline characteristics. Trial data and RWD cohorts were compared using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards regression models for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS; individual cohorts) and multitumor random effects models of hazard ratios (HRs) for median endpoint correlations (across cohorts). Post hoc, the impact of specific analytic decisions on endpoints was assessed using a case study. Comparing trial data and weighted RWD cohorts, PFS results were more similar (HR range = 0.63-1.18, pooled HR = 0.84, correlation of median = 0.91) compared to OS (HR range = 0.36-1.09, pooled HR = 0.76, correlation of median = 0.85). OS HRs were more variable and trended toward worse for RWD cohorts. The post hoc case study had OS HR ranging from 0.67 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.56-0.79) to 0.92 (95% CI: 0.78-1.09) depending on specific analytic decisions. EHR-derived RWD can emulate oncology clinical trial control arm results, although with variability. Visibility into clinical trial cohort characteristics may shape and refine analytic approaches.

Real-world outcomes in locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma following platinum and PD-1/L1 inhibitor therapy.

Aim: To investigate real-world overall survival (rwOS) and real-world progression-free survival (rwPFS) in locally advanced/metastatic urothelial carcinoma postplatinum and postprogrammed death receptor-1/death ligand 1 inhibitors. Patients & methods: Adult patients diagnosed with locally advanced/metastatic urothelial carcinoma from 1 January 2011 to 31 December 2018 and treated with taxane monotherapy or any therapy postplatinum and post-PD-1/L1 inhibitors were included from a nationwide electronic health record-derived oncology database. Results: Median rwOS among 72 patients treated with taxane monotherapy was 7.6 months (95% CI: 5.2-14.4) and rwPFS was 2.9 months (95% CI: 2.4-4.0). Among 208 patients treated with any therapy, median rwOS was 8.9 months (95% CI: 7.3-10.6) and rwPFS was 3.6 months (95% CI: 2.7-4.7). Conclusion: Short duration of rwOS and rwPFS were observed, highlighting the need for effective and safe treatments in this patient population.

Lay abstract Few studies have evaluated survival outcomes in patients with advanced urothelial cancer who have disease relapse after chemotherapy and PD-1/L1 inhibitor therapy in clinical practice. In this study, we used electronic health records from a nationwide cancer database to assess survival in adult patients who received further treatment in this setting from 2011 to 2018. Among 72 patients who were treated with taxane monotherapy after chemotherapy and a PD-1/L1 inhibitor, average overall survival was 7.6 months and progression-free survival was 2.9 months. Among 208 patients who were treated with any therapy, average overall survival was 8.9 months and progression-free survival was 3.6 months. These results highlight the need for safer and more effective therapies in patients with advanced urothelial cancer who have disease relapse after chemotherapy and PD-1/L1 inhibitor therapy.

The Effect of Including Benchmark Prevalence Data of Common Imaging Findings in Spine Image Reports on Health Care Utilization Among Adults Undergoing Spine Imaging: A Stepped-Wedge Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Lumbar spine imaging frequently reveals findings that may seem alarming but are likely unrelated to pain. Prior work has suggested that inserting data on the prevalence of imaging findings among asymptomatic individuals into spine imaging reports may reduce unnecessary subsequent interventions. Objective: To evaluate the impact of including benchmark prevalence data in routine spinal imaging reports on subsequent spine-related health care utilization and opioid prescriptions. Design, Setting, and Participants: This stepped-wedge, pragmatic randomized clinical trial included 250 401 adult participants receiving care from 98 primary care clinics at 4 large health systems in the United States. Participants had imaging of their backs between October 2013 and September 2016 without having had spine imaging in the prior year. Data analysis was conducted from November 2018 to October 2019. Interventions: Either standard lumbar spine imaging reports (control group) or reports containing age-appropriate prevalence data for common imaging findings in individuals without back pain (intervention group). Main Outcomes and Measures: Health care utilization was measured in spine-related relative value units (RVUs) within 365 days of index imaging. The number of subsequent opioid prescriptions written by a primary care clinician was a secondary outcome, and prespecified subgroup analyses examined results by imaging modality. Results: We enrolled 250 401 participants (of whom 238 886 [95.4%] met eligibility for this analysis, with 137 373 [57.5%] women and 105 497 [44.2%] aged >60 years) from 3278 primary care clinicians. A total of 117 455 patients (49.2%) were randomized to the control group, and 121 431 patients (50.8%) were randomized to the intervention group. There was no significant difference in cumulative spine-related RVUs comparing intervention and control conditions through 365 days. The adjusted median (interquartile range) RVU for the control group was 3.56 (2.71-5.12) compared with 3.53 (2.68-5.08) for the intervention group (difference, -0.7%; 95% CI, -2.9% to 1.5%; P = .54). Rates of subsequent RVUs did not differ between groups by specific clinical findings in the report but did differ by type of index imaging (eg, computed tomography: difference, -29.3%; 95% CI, -42.1% to -13.5%; magnetic resonance imaging: difference, -3.4%; 95% CI, -8.3% to 1.8%). We observed a small but significant decrease in the likelihood of opioid prescribing from a study clinician within 1 year of the intervention (odds ratio, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.91 to 1.00; P = .04). Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, inserting benchmark prevalence information in lumbar spine imaging reports did not decrease subsequent spine-related RVUs but did reduce subsequent opioid prescriptions. The intervention text is simple, inexpensive, and easily implemented. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02015455.

HLA class II expression on tumor cells and low numbers of tumor-associated macrophages predict clinical outcome in oropharyngeal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) is a highly immunogenic tumor and differences in tumor microenvironment might contribute to the improved survival of HPV-positive OPSCC patient. METHODS: A comprehensive multivariate analysis with clinical and immune variables (human leukocyte antigen [HLA] I/II, programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1), programmed death receptor 1 (PD1), T cells, and macrophages) was performed in 142 OPSCC patients. RESULTS: We found an inverse correlation between the expression of HLA class II molecules on tumor cells and CD68+ CD163+ tumor-associated macrophages (TAMs). High HLA-DP/DQ/DR expression and low number of TAMs were associated with longer disease-specific survival and disease-free survival (DFS). Furthermore, a new population of CD8+ FoxP3+ T cells was correlated with shorter DFS in multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: \We identified new prognostic markers for patients with oropharyngeal cancer, which can be used for selecting patients that can benefit from immunotherapy.

The effectiveness of outcome based education on the competencies of nursing students: A systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Outcome Based Education (OBE) is a student-centered approach of curriculum design and teaching that emphasize on what learners should know, understand, demonstrate and how to adapt to life beyond formal education. However, no systematic review has been seen to explore the effectiveness of OBE in improving the competencies of nursing students. OBJECTIVE: To appraise and synthesize the best available evidence that examines the effectiveness of OBE approaches towards the competencies of nursing students. DESIGN: A systematic review of interventional experimental studies. DATA SOURCES: Eight online databases namely CINAHL, EBSCO, Science Direct, ProQuest, Web of Science, PubMed, EMBASE and SCOPUS were searched. REVIEW METHODS: Relevant studies were identified using combined approaches of electronic database search without geographical or language filters but were limited to articles published from 2006 to 2016, handsearching journals and visually scanning references from retrieved studies. Two reviewers independently conducted the quality appraisal of selected studies and data were extracted. RESULTS: Six interventional studies met the inclusion criteria. Two of the studies were rated as high methodological quality and four were rated as moderate. Studies were published between 2009 and 2016 and were mostly from Asian and Middle Eastern countries. Results showed that OBE approaches improves competency in knowledge acquisition in terms of higher final course grades and cognitive skills, improve clinical skills and nursing core competencies and higher behavioural skills score while performing clinical skills. Learners' satisfaction was also encouraging as reported in one of the studies. Only one study reported on the negative effect. CONCLUSIONS: Although OBE approaches does show encouraging effects towards improving competencies of nursing students, more robust experimental study design with larger sample sizes, evaluating other outcome measures such as other areas of competencies, students' satisfaction, and patient outcomes are needed.

Long-term outcomes of a large, prospective observational cohort of older adults with back pain.

BACKGROUND CONTEXT: Although back pain is common among older adults, there is relatively little research on the course of back pain in this age group. PURPOSE: Our primary goals were to report 2-year outcomes of older adults initiating primary care for back pain and to examine the relative importance of patient factors versus medical interventions in predicting 2-year disability and pain. STUDY DESIGN/SETTING: This study used a predictive model using data from a prospective, observational cohort from a primary care setting. PATIENT SAMPLE: The study included patients aged ≥65 years at the time of new primary care visits for back pain. OUTCOME MEASURES: Self-reported 2-year disability (Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire [RDQ]) and back pain (0-10 numerical rating scale [NRS]). METHODS: We developed our models using a machine learning least absolute shrinkage and selection operator approach. We evaluated the predictive value of baseline characteristics and the incremental value of interventions that occurred between 0 and 90 days, and the change in patient disability and pain from 0 to 90 days. Limitations included confounding by indication and unmeasured confounding. RESULTS: Of 4,665 patients (89%) with follow-up, both RDQ (from mean 9.6 [95% confidence interval {CI} 9.4-9.7] to mean 8.3 [95% CI 8.0-8.5]) and back pain NRS (from mean 5.0 [95% CI 4.9-5.1] to mean 3.5 [95% CI 3.4-3.6]) scores improved slightly. Only 16% (15%-18%) reported no back pain-related disability or back pain at 2 years after initial visits. Regression model parameters explained 40% of the variation (R2) in 2-year RDQ scores, and the addition of 0- to 3-month change in RDQ score and pain improved prediction (R2=51%). The most consistent predictors of 2-year RDQ scores and back pain NRS scores were 0- to 90-day change in each respective outcome and patient confidence in improvement. Patients experienced 50% and 43% improvement in back pain and disability, respectively, 2 years after their initial visit. However, fewer than 20% of patients had complete resolution of their back pain and disability at that time. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline patient factors were more important than early interventions in explaining disability and pain after 2 years.

High-Dose Erythropoietin and Hypothermia for Hypoxic-Ischemic Encephalopathy: A Phase II Trial.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if multiple doses of erythropoietin (Epo) administered with hypothermia improve neuroradiographic and short-term outcomes of newborns with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy. METHODS: In a phase II double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial, we randomized newborns to receive Epo (1000 U/kg intravenously; n = 24) or placebo (n = 26) at 1, 2, 3, 5, and 7 days of age. All infants had moderate/severe encephalopathy; perinatal depression (10 minute Apgar <5, pH <7.00 or base deficit ≥15, or resuscitation at 10 minutes); and received hypothermia. Primary outcome was neurodevelopment at 12 months assessed by the Alberta Infant Motor Scale and Warner Initial Developmental Evaluation. Two independent observers rated MRI brain injury severity by using an established scoring system. RESULTS: The mean age at first study drug was 16.5 hours (SD, 5.9). Neonatal deaths did not significantly differ between Epo and placebo groups (8% vs 19%, P = .42). Brain MRI at mean 5.1 days (SD, 2.3) showed a lower global brain injury score in Epo-treated infants (median, 2 vs 11, P = .01). Moderate/severe brain injury (4% vs 44%, P = .002), subcortical (30% vs 68%, P = .02), and cerebellar injury (0% vs 20%, P = .05) were less frequent in the Epo than placebo group. At mean age 12.7 months (SD, 0.9), motor performance in Epo-treated (n = 21) versus placebo-treated (n = 20) infants were as follows: Alberta Infant Motor Scale (53.2 vs 42.8, P = .03); Warner Initial Developmental Evaluation (28.6 vs 23.8, P = .05). CONCLUSIONS: High doses of Epo given with hypothermia for hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy may result in less MRI brain injury and improved 1-year motor function.

Lumbar Imaging With Reporting Of Epidemiology (LIRE)--Protocol for a pragmatic cluster randomized trial.

BACKGROUND: Diagnostic imaging is often the first step in evaluating patients with back pain and likely functions as a "gateway" to a subsequent cascade of interventions. However, lumbar spine imaging frequently reveals incidental findings among normal, pain-free individuals suggesting that treatment of these "abnormalities" may not be warranted. Our prior work suggested that inserting the prevalence of imaging findings in patients without back pain into spine imaging reports may reduce subsequent interventions. We are now conducting a pragmatic cluster randomized clinical trial to test the hypothesis that inserting this prevalence data into lumbar spine imaging reports for studies ordered by primary care providers will reduce subsequent spine-related interventions. METHODS/DESIGN: We are using a stepped wedge design that sequentially randomizes 100 primary care clinics at four health systems to receive either standard lumbar spine imaging reports, or reports containing prevalence data for common imaging findings in patients without back pain. We capture all outcomes passively through the electronic medical record. Our primary outcome is spine-related intervention intensity based on Relative Value Units (RVUs) during the following year. Secondary outcomes include subsequent prescriptions for opioid analgesics and cross-sectional lumbar spine re-imaging. DISCUSSION: If our study shows that adding prevalence data to spine imaging reports decreases subsequent back-related RVUs, this intervention could be easily generalized and applied to other kinds of testing, as well as other conditions where incidental findings may be common. Our study also serves as a model for cluster randomized trials that are minimal risk and highly pragmatic.