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1.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22272664

ABSTRACT

BackgroundsEvidence from several meta-analyses are still controversial about the effects of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs)/angiotensin-receptor blockers (ARBs) on COVID-19 outcomes. PurposeUmbrella review of systematic reviews/meta-analysis to provide comprehensive assessment of the effect of ACEIs/ARBs on COVID-19 related outcomes by summarising the currently available evidence. Data SourceMedline (OVID), Embase, Scopus, Cochrane library and medRxiv from inception to 1st February 2021. Study SelectionSystematic reviews with meta-analysis that evaluated the effect of ACEIs/ARBs on COVID-19 related clinical outcomes Data ExtractionTwo reviewers independently extracted the data and assessed studies risk of bias using AMSTAR 2 Critical Appraisal Tool. Data SynthesisPooled estimates were combined using the random-effects meta-analyses model including several sub-group analyses. Overall, 47 reviews were eligible for inclusion. Out of the nine COVID-19 outcomes evaluated, there was significant associations between ACEIs/ARBs use and each of death (OR=0.80, 95%CI=0.75-0.86; I2=51.9%), death/ICU admission as composite outcome (OR=0.86, 95%CI=0.80-0.92; I2=43.9%), severe COVID-19 (OR=0.86, 95%CI=0.78-0.95; I2=68%), and hospitalisation (OR=1.23, 95%CI=1.04-1.46; I2= 76.4%). The significant reduction in death/ICU admission, however, was higher among studies which presented adjusted measure of effects (OR=0.63, 95%CI=0.47-0.84) and were of moderate quality (OR=0.74, 95%CI=0.63-0.85). LimitationsThe effect of unmeasured confounding could not be ruled out. Only 21.3% (n=10) of the studies were of moderate quality. ConclusionCollective evidence from observational studies indicate a good quality evidence on the significant association between ACEIs/ARBs use and reduction in death and death/ICU admission, but poor-quality evidence on both reducing severe COVID-19 and increasing hospitalisation. Our findings further support the current recommendations of not discontinuing ACEIs/ARBs therapy in patients with COVID-19. RegistrationThe study protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42021233398). Funding SourceNone

2.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21268587

ABSTRACT

ObjectivesTo estimate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cardiovascular disease (CVD) and CVD management using routinely collected medication data as a proxy. DesignDescriptive and interrupted time series analysis using anonymised individual-level population-scale data for 1.32 billion records of dispensed CVD medications across 15.8 million individuals in England, Scotland and Wales. SettingCommunity dispensed CVD medications with 100% coverage from England, Scotland and Wales, plus primary care prescribed CVD medications from England (including 98% English general practices). Participants15.8 million individuals aged 18+ years alive on 1st April 2018 dispensed at least one CVD medicine in a year from England, Scotland and Wales. Main outcome measuresMonthly counts, percent annual change (1st April 2018 to 31st July 2021) and annual rates (1st March 2018 to 28th February 2021) of medicines dispensed by CVD/ CVD risk factor; prevalent and incident use. ResultsYear-on-year change in dispensed CVD medicines by month were observed, with notable uplifts ahead of the first (11.8% higher in March 2020) but not subsequent national lockdowns. Using hypertension as one example of the indirect impact of the pandemic, we observed 491,203 fewer individuals initiated antihypertensive treatment across England, Scotland and Wales during the period March 2020 to end May 2021 than would have been expected compared to 2019. We estimated that this missed antihypertension treatment could result in 13,659 additional CVD events should individuals remain untreated, including 2,281 additional myocardial infarctions (MIs) and 3,474 additional strokes. Incident use of lipid-lowering medicines decreased by an average 14,793 per month in early 2021 compared with the equivalent months prior to the pandemic in 2019. In contrast, the use of incident medicines to treat type-2 diabetes (T2DM) increased by approximately 1,642 patients per month. ConclusionsManagement of key CVD risk factors as proxied by incident use of CVD medicines has not returned to pre-pandemic levels in the UK. Novel methods to identify and treat individuals who have missed treatment are urgently required to avoid large numbers of additional future CVD events, further adding indirect cost of the COVID-19 pandemic.

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