ABSTRACT
Background: Large vessel ischemic strokes account for more than one-third of all strokes associated with substantial morbidity and mortality without early intervention. The incidence of large vessel occlusion (LVO) is not known in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Definitive vessel imaging is not routinely available in resource-limited settings. Aims: We aimed to investigate the burden and outcomes of presumed LVO among patients with ischemic stroke admitted to a large tertiary academic hospital in Tanzania. Methods: This cohort study recruited all consenting first-ever ischemic stroke participants admitted at a tertiary hospital in Tanzania. Demographic data were recorded, and participants were followed up to 1 year using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS). A diagnosis of presumed LVO was made by a diagnostic neuroradiologist and interventional neurologist based on contiguous ischemic changes in a pattern consistent with proximal LVO on a non-contrast computed tomography head. We examined factors associated with presumed LVO using logistic regression analysis. Inter-observer Kappa was calculated. Results: We enrolled 158 first-ever ischemic strokes over 8 months with a mean age of 59.7 years. Presumed LVO accounted for 39.2% [95% confidence interval (CI) 31.6-47.3%] and an overall meantime from the onset of stroke symptoms to hospital arrival was 1.74 days. Participants with presumed LVO were more likely to involve the middle cerebral artery (MCA) territory (70.9%), p < 0.0001. Independent factors on multivariate analysis associated with presumed LVO were hypertension [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 5.74 (95% CI: 1.74-18.9)] and increased waist-hip ratio [aOR 7.20 (95% CI: 1.83-28.2)]. One-year mortality in presumed LVO was 80% when compared with 73.1% in participants without presumed LVO. The Cohen's Kappa inter-observer reliability between the diagnostic neuroradiologist and interventional neurologist was 0.847. Conclusion: There is a high burden of presumed LVO associated with high rates of 1-year morbidity and mortality at a tertiary academic hospital in Tanzania. Efforts are needed to confirm these findings with definitive vessel imaging, promoting cost-effective preventive strategies to reduce the burden of non-communicable diseases (NCDs), and a call for adopting endovascular therapies to reduce morbidity and mortality.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Stroke contributes to a significant proportion of deaths and disability worldwide, with a high fatality rate within 30 days following a first ever stroke. We describe the outcomes within one year among patients who succumbed a first ever stroke and survived the first 30 days. METHODS: Participants were patients who survived after 30 days from succumbing a first ever stroke admitted at the Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences Academic Medical Center. Stroke survivors or their next of kin were contacted at one year after succumbing a first stroke to determine the outcomes. We assessed participants' vital status and level of disability using the modified Rankin scale. Assessment on utilization of stroke secondary preventive measures among survivors was done by an interviewer-based questionnaire that assessed the number of times participants attended follow up clinics, medication refill and adherence. Participants were examined for waist-hip ratio, body mass index and blood pressure. Cholesterol levels were assessed at one year post first stroke for survivors. Outcomes were summarized as proportions, survival at one year was estimated by using the Kaplan Meier analysis and Cox regression analysis was performed to determine for predictors of mortality. RESULTS: We recruited 130 first stroke survivors. Mortality within one year was 53/130 (40.8%) and disability rate measured by Modified Rankin Scale with scores of 3-5 was 29/77 (37.7%) among survivors. Factors associated with mortality were residual disability HR = 8.60, {95% CI (1.16-63.96)}, severe stroke, HR = 2.67 {95% CI (1.44-4.95)} and residing in Dar-es-Salaam HR = 2.15 {95% (CI 1.06-4.36)}. Non-adherence rates to antihypertensives, antiplatelets and statins was 11/73 (15.1%), 9/23 (39.1%) and 18/22 (81.8%) respectively. Attendance rates of follow-up clinics among all survivors and physiotherapy among survivors with disability are 45/77 (58.4%) and 16/29 (55.2%) respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The mortality and disability rates within a year following a first ever stroke among 30 days stroke survivors is high. Secondary stroke preventive measures should be enhanced to mitigate stroke adverse outcomes. Community outreach programs could be useful interventions in preventing the adverse outcomes of stroke.
