Comparing Comorbidity Polypharmacy Score and Charlson Comorbidity Index in predicting outcomes in older trauma patients.

BACKGROUND: The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and Comorbidity Polypharmacy Score (CPS) may potentially risk-stratify older trauma patients more accurately than traditional trauma severity scores. We aim to evaluate if CCI or CPS are better predictors of mortality and discharge venue in such patients. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study using registry data from two tertiary trauma centres. Patients aged 65 years and above who presented to the emergency departments (EDs) between January 2011 and December 2015 with traumatic injuries were included. Charts were reviewed for demographics, injury mechanism and severity, discharge outcomes, and types of comorbidities and medications used. Primary outcome was overall mortality; secondary outcomes included ED disposition and hospital discharge venue. Discriminatory power of the score(s) were compared using area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. RESULTS: There were 2,750 patients, with overall female predominance (56.7%, 1,560/2,750) and median age of 78 years (interquartile range [IQR] 72 to 84 years). Median CCI score was 1 (IQR 0 to 2) and median CPS was 8 (IQR 4 to 12). Overall mortality was 9.4% (259/2,750). Every 1-point increase in CCI score resulted in increased odds of death by 16% (adjusted odds ratio 1.16, 95% confidence interval 1.07 to 1.26, p<0.001). Addition of CCI to the Injury Severity Score (ISS) increased the discriminatory power for mortality (AUROC for ISS = 0.832; AUROC for ISS with CCI = 0.843). Every 1-point increase in CCI was significantly associated with decreased odds of admission to a rehab facility by 8%. CPS did not predict mortality and discharge venue. CONCLUSION: CCI, but not CPS, was a predictor of mortality. A higher CCI was associated with decreased odds of discharge to a subacute facility, likely related to underlying rehabilitation potential. Further studies should be undertaken to explore an integrated scoring system that considers injury severity, comorbidities, and polypharmacy.

Neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin: a biochemical marker for acute kidney injury and long-term outcomes in patients presenting to the emergency department.

Introduction: Creatinine has limitations in identifying and predicting acute kidney injury (AKI). Our study examined the utility of neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) in predicting AKI in patients presenting to the emergency department (ED), and in predicting the need for renal replacement therapy (RRT), occurrence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and all-cause mortality at three months post visit. Methods: This is a single-centre prospective cohort study conducted at Singapore General Hospital (SGH). Patients presenting to SGH ED from July 2011 to August 2012 were recruited. They were aged ≥21 years, with an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m2, and had congestive cardiac failure, systemic inflammatory response syndrome or required hospital admission. AKI was diagnosed by researchers blinded to experimental measurements. Serum NGAL was measured as a point-of-care test. Results: A total of 784 patients were enrolled, of whom 107 (13.6%) had AKI. Mean serum NGAL levels were raised (P < 0.001) in patients with AKI (670.0 ± 431.9 ng/dL) compared with patients without AKI (490.3 ± 391.6 ng/dL). The sensitivity and specificity of NGAL levels >490 ng/dL for AKI were 59% (95% confidence interval [CI] 49%-68%) and 65% (95% CI 61%-68%), respectively. Need for RRT increased 21% per 100 ng/dL increase in NGAL (P < 0.001), whereas odds of death in three months increased 10% per 100 ng/dL increase in NGAL (P = 0.028). No clear relationship was observed between NGAL levels and MACE. Conclusion: Serum NGAL identifies AKI and predicts three-month mortality.

Characteristics of injuries resulting from falls from height in the construction industry

INTRODUCTION@#Falls from heights contribute to 34% of fatal accidents in Singapore. Of these, 51% of the accidents occur in the construction industry. This retrospective review, of all persons falling from heights in the construction industry from 2006 to 2012 and attending a major hospital, analysed injury patterns and related them to mechanisms and contributory factors.@*METHODS@#Information collected included injury and casualty characteristics, safety measures, pre-existing medical conditions and clinical outcomes.@*RESULTS@#Of 1,085 patients, 951 were male with a mean age of 39.8 years, mean height of 165.9 cm and mean weight of 69.7 kg. Most of the casualties fell between 0800 and 2000 hours. Among the severely injured patients, 2.4% had head injuries, 54.9% had chest injuries and 39.2% had abdominal and pelvic injuries. For these casualties, the mortality rate was 60.8%. For patients with less than major trauma, the commonest injuries were in the lower limbs (41.8%), upper limbs (40.8%) and spine (22.2%). All the casualties survived. Falls from scaffolding, formwork and platforms were the most common causes of severe injuries (41.1%). Safety helmets and harnesses were reported to be used in 1.8% and 4.1% of instances of falls, respectively.@*CONCLUSION@#Studying the patterns of injuries following falls at construction sites has the potential for injury prevention through safe practices, use of safety equipment and targeted training.

Epidemiology and outcomes of older trauma patients in Singapore: A multicentre study.

BACKGROUND: An ageing population has caused rising trauma cases amongst older patients. Multiple comorbidities, polypharmacy and limited reserves predispose them to poorer outcomes following a traumatic event. The Comorbidity Polypharmacy Score (CPS) has been found to predict outcomes and mortality in older trauma patients, but has not been studied in Asians. AIM: We aim to describe the epidemiological characteristics of older trauma patients and explore the association of CPS on clinical outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observational study using data from the trauma registries of 2 tertiary trauma centres. Patients aged 45 years and above attending the emergency departments (EDs) from January 2011 to December 2015 with traumatic injuries (Injury Severity Score [ISS] of 9 and above) were included. Demographics, clinical data including number of comorbidities and medications used were collected to calculate the CPS. Outcomes of mortality, ED disposition and hospital discharge venue were examined. RESULTS: There were 4,522 patients (median age 70 years; males 53.8%), with majority sustaining Tier 2 injuries (ISS 9 to 15; 68.9%). Falls were the predominant mechanism for those aged above 60 years and above (76%). Median CPS was 6 (interquartile range [IQR] 1 to 11). Amongst patients 75 years and older, 56% comprised the moderate to morbid CPS groups (CPS ≥ 8). Overall mortality was 8.4%; patients above 75 years had longer median length of stay (10 versus 7.1-8.9 days in other ages). Male gender (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.51; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12-2.02), increasing age (aOR 1.04; 95% CI 1.03-1.05), injury to abdomen (aOR 3.24; 95% CI 1.93-5.45) and severe CPS category (aOR 1.88; 95% CI 1.23-2.89) were associated with increased odds of death. Increasing age and moderate CPS category increased odds of discharge to a rehabilitation (aOR for age 1.03, 95% CI 1.02-1.04; aOR for moderate CPS 1.72, 95% CI 1.43-2.07) or long-term care facility (aOR for age 1.05, 95% CI 1.03-1.06; aOR for CPS 1.60, 95% CI 1.10-2.32). CONCLUSION: CPS predicted mortality and discharge to a rehabilitation or care facility in this urban, ageing Asian population. Its use may aid future trauma research and needs assessments in such patients.