Lobe-specific lymph node sampling is associated with lower risk of cancer recurrence.

Objective: Adequate intraoperative lymph node (LN) assessment is a critical component of early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) resection. The National Comprehensive Cancer Network and the American College of Surgeons Commission on Cancer (CoC) recommend station-based sampling minimums agnostic to tumor location. Other institutions advocate for lobe-specific LN sampling strategies that consider the anatomic likelihood of LN metastases. We examined the relationship between lobe-specific LN assessment and long-term outcomes using a robust, highly curated cohort of stage I NSCLC patients. Methods: We performed a cohort study using a uniquely compiled dataset from the Veterans Health Administration and manually abstracted data from operative and pathology reports for patients with clinical stage I NSCLC (2006-2016). For simplicity in comparison, we included patients who had right upper lobe (RUL) or left upper lobe (LUL) tumors. Based on modified European Society of Thoracic Surgeons guidelines, lobe-specific sampling was defined for RUL tumors (stations 2, 4, 7, and 10 or 11) and LUL tumors (stations 5 or 6, 7, and 10 or 11). Our primary outcome was the risk of cancer recurrence, as assessed by Fine and Gray competing risks modeling. Secondary outcomes included overall survival (OS) and pathologic upstaging. Analyses were adjusted for relevant patient, disease, and treatment variables. Results: Our study included 3534 patients with RUL tumors and 2667 patients with LUL tumors. Of these, 277 patients (7.8%) with RUL tumors and 621 patients (23.2%) with LUL tumors met lobe-specific assessment criteria. Comparatively, 34.7% of patients met the criteria for count-based assessment, and 25.8% met the criteria for station-based sampling (ie, any 3 N2 stations and 1 N1 station). Adherence to lobe-specific assessment was associated with lower cumulative incidence of recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.83; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.70-0.98) and a higher likelihood of pathologic upstaging (aHR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.20-1.86). Lobe-specific assessment was not associated with OS. Conclusions: Adherence to intraoperative LN sampling guidelines is low. Lobe-specific assessment is associated with superior outcomes in early-stage NSCLC. Quality metrics that assess adherence to intraoperative LN sampling, such as the CoC Operative Standards manual, also should consider lobe-specific criteria.

The Association of Agent Orange Exposure with the progression of monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance to multiple myeloma: a population-based study of Vietnam War Era Veterans.

Herbicide and pesticide exposure [e.g., agent orange (AO)] is associated with an increased risk of multiple myeloma (MM) due to the contaminant, 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD). However, it is unclear whether TCDD/AO exposure (AO exposure hereafter) increases the risk of progression of monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) to MM. We sought to evaluate the association in a nationwide study of US Veterans. A natural language processing algorithm was used to confirm MGUS and progression to MM. We included Veterans who were diagnosed with MGUS from 10/1/1999 to 12/31/2021 and served during the Vietnam War Era from 1/9/1962 to 5/7/1975. AO exposure was stratified according to three TCDD exposure levels: high (1/9/1962-11/30/1965), medium (12/1/1965-12/31/1970), or low (1/1/1971-5/7/1975). The association between AO exposure and progression was analyzed using multivariable Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard model with death as a competing event. The analytic cohort included 10,847 Veterans with MGUS, of whom 26.3% had AO exposure and 7.4% progressed to MM over a median follow-up of 5.2 years. In multivariable analysis, high exposure was associated with an increased progression rate (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio 1.48; 95% confidence interval 1.02-2.16), compared to Veterans with no exposure. This information is critical to inform progression risk in patients diagnosed with MGUS and prior AO exposure. It is also applicable to MGUS patients with occupational TCDD exposure from herbicides and pesticides.

Exposure to Agent Orange is associated with increased recurrence after surgical treatment of stage I non-small cell lung cancer.

OBJECTIVE: Approximately 3 million Americans served in the armed forces during the Vietnam War. Veterans have a higher incidence rate of lung cancer compared with the general population, which may be related to exposures sustained during service. Agent Orange, one of the tactical herbicides used by the armed forces as a means of destroying crops and clearing vegetation, has been linked to the development of several cancers including non-small cell lung cancer. However, traditional risk models of lung cancer survival and recurrence often do not include such exposures. We aimed to examine the relationship between Agent Orange exposure and overall survival and disease recurrence for surgically treated stage I non-small cell lung cancer. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study using a uniquely compiled dataset of US Veterans with pathologic I non-small cell lung cancer. We included adult patients who served in the Vietnam War and underwent surgical resection between 2010 and 2016. Our 2 comparison groups included those with identified Agent Orange exposure and those who were unexposed. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazards and Fine and Gray competing risk analyses to examine overall survival and disease recurrence for patients with pathologic stage I disease, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 3958 Vietnam Veterans with pathologic stage I disease were identified (994 who had Agent Orange exposure and 2964 who were unexposed). Those who had Agent Orange exposure were more likely to be male, to be White, and to live a further distance from their treatment facility (P < .05). Tumor size distribution, grade, and histology were similar between cohorts. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling identified similar overall survival between cohorts (Agent Orange exposure hazard ratio, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.86-1.09). Patients who had Agent Orange exposure had a 19% increased risk of disease recurrence (hazard ratio, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.02-1.40). CONCLUSIONS: Veterans with known Agent Orange exposure who undergo surgical treatment for stage I non-small cell lung cancer have an approximately 20% increased risk of disease recurrence compared with their nonexposed counterparts. Agent Orange exposure should be taken into consideration when determining treatment and surveillance regimens for Veteran patients.

Natural Language Processing-Assisted Classification Models to Confirm Monoclonal Gammopathy of Undetermined Significance and Progression in Veterans' Electronic Health Records.

PURPOSE: To develop and validate natural language processing (NLP)-assisted machine learning (ML)-based classification models to confirm diagnoses of monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) and multiple myeloma (MM) from electronic health records (EHRs) in the Veterans Health Administration (VHA). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We developed precompiled lexicons and classification rules as features for the following ML classifiers: logistic regression, random forest, and support vector machines (SVMs). These features were trained on 36,044 EHR documents from a random sample of 400 patients with at least one International Classification of Disease code for MGUS diagnosis from 1999 to 2021. The best-performing feature combination was calibrated in the validation set (17,826 documents/200 patients) and evaluated in the testing set (9,250 documents/100 patients). Model performance in diagnosis confirmation was compared with manual chart review results (gold standard) using recall, precision, accuracy, and F1 score. For patients correctly labeled as disease-positive, the difference between model-identified diagnosis dates and the gold standard was also computed. RESULTS: In the testing set, the NLP-assisted classification model using SVMs achieved best performance in both MGUS and MM confirmation with recall/precision/accuracy/F1 of 98.8%/93.3%/93.0%/96.0% for MGUS and 100.0%/92.3%/99.0%/96.0% for MM. Dates of diagnoses matched (±45 days) with those of gold standard in 73.0% of model-confirmed MGUS and 84.6% of model-confirmed MM. CONCLUSION: An NLP-assisted classification model can reliably confirm MGUS and MM diagnoses and dates and extract laboratory results using automated interpretation of EHR data. This algorithm has the potential to be adapted to other disease areas in VHA EHR system.

The Association of Agent Orange (AO) Exposure with Monoclonal Gammopathy of Undetermined Significance (MGUS) to Multiple Myeloma (MM) Progression: A Population-based Study of Vietnam War Era Veterans.

Background: Herbicide and pesticide exposure (e.g., agent orange [AO]) is associated with an increased risk of multiple myeloma (MM) due to the contaminant, 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD). Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) is the precursor state to MM; however, not all patients with MGUS progress to MM. It is unclear whether AO exposure increases the risk of progression of MGUS to MM. Purpose: We aimed to determine the association between AO exposure and progression to MM in a nation-wide study of U.S. Veterans with MGUS. Patients and Methods: This is a population-based cohort study of Vietnam Era Veterans diagnosed with MGUS. A natural language processing (NLP) algorithm was used to confirm MGUS and progression to MM. The association between AO and progression was analyzed using multivariable Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard model with death as a competing event. Veterans who served during the Vietnam War Era from 1/9/1962-5/7/1975 and were diagnosed with MGUS between 10/1/1999-12/31/2021 were included. We excluded patients with missing BMI values, progression within 1 year after MGUS diagnosis date, non-IgG or IgA MGUS, or birth years outside of the range of the AO exposed group, and race other than Black and White. AO exposure and service during 1/9/1962-;5/7/1975 and stratified according to TCDD exposure levels by three time periods: 1/9/1962-11/30/1965 (high), 12/1/1965-12/31/1970 (medium), or 1/1/1971-5/7/1975 (low). The association between AO and progression was analyzed using multivariable Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard model with death as a competing event. Results: We identified 10,847 Veterans with MGUS, of whom 7,996 had AO exposure. Overall, 7.4% of MGUS patients progressed to MM over a median follow-up of 5.2 years. In multivariable analysis, AO exposure from 1/9/1962-11/30/1965, high TCDD exposure, was associated with an increased risk of progression (adjusted hazard ratio 1.48; 95% confidence interval 1.02-2.16), compared to Veterans with no exposure. Conclusions: In patients with MGUS, the high Agent Orange exposure time period is associated with a 48% increased risk of progression to multiple myeloma. This suggests that patients with MGUS and prior Agent Orange exposure or occupational exposure to TCDD (eg. Agricultural workers) may require thorough screening for plasma cell dyscrasias.

Clinical characteristics and outcomes of infection with human T-lymphotropic virus in a non-endemic area: a single institution study.

Introduction: Understanding of human T-lymphotropic virus (HTLV) remains largely based on epidemiologic and clinical data from endemic areas. Globalization has resulted in migration of persons living with HTLV (PLHTLV) from endemic to non-endemic areas, and a rise of HTLV infection in the United States. Yet, due to the historical rarity of this disease, affected patients are often under- and mis-diagnosed. Thus, we sought to characterize the epidemiology, clinical features, comorbidities, and survival of HTLV-1- or HTLV-2-positive individuals identified in a non-endemic area. Methods: Our study was a single institution, retrospective case-control analysis of HTLV-1 or HTLV-2 patients between 1998 and 2020. We utilized two HTLV-negative controls, matched for age, sex, and ethnicity, for each HTLV-positive case. We evaluated associations between HTLV infection and several hematologic, neurologic, infectious, and rheumatologic covariates. Finally, clinical factors predictive of overall survival (OS) were assessed. Results: We identified 38 cases of HTLV infection, of whom 23 were HTLV-1 and 15 were HTLV-2 positive. The majority (~54%) of patients in our control group received HTLV testing for transplant evaluation, compared to ~24% of HTLV-seropositive patients. Co-morbidities associated with HTLV, hepatitis C seropositivity were higher in HTLV-seropositive patients compared to controls (OR 10.7, 95% CI = 3.2-59.0, p < 0.001). Hepatitis C and HTLV co-infection resulted in decreased OS, compared to no infection, hepatitis C infection alone, or HTLV infection alone. Patients with any cancer diagnosis and HTLV infection had worse OS compared to patients with cancer or HTLV alone. HTLV-1 positive patients had lower median OS compared to HTLV-2 patients (47.7 months vs. 77.4 months). In univariate analysis, the hazard for 1-year all-cause mortality was increased among patients with HTLV-seropositivity, adult T-cell leukemia, acute myelogenous leukemia, and hepatitis C infection. When corrected, multivariate analysis showed that HTLV seropositivity was no longer associated with 1 year all-cause mortality; however association with AML and hepatitis C infection remained significant. Conclusion: HTLV-seropositivity was not associated with increased 1 year mortality in multivariate analysis. However, our study is limited by our small patient sample size, as well as the biased patient control population due to selection factors for HTLV testing.

Association between imaging surveillance frequency and outcomes following surgical treatment of early-stage lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: Recent studies have suggested that more frequent postoperative surveillance imaging via computed tomography following lung cancer resection may not improve outcomes. We sought to validate these findings using a uniquely compiled dataset from the Veterans Health Administration, the largest integrated health-care system in the United States. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of veterans with pathologic stage I non-small cell lung cancer receiving surgery (2006-2016). We assessed the relationship between surveillance frequency (chest computed tomography scans within 2 years after surgery) and recurrence-free survival and overall survival. RESULTS: Among 6171 patients, 3047 (49.4%) and 3124 (50.6%) underwent low-frequency (<2 scans per year; every 6-12 months) and high-frequency (≥2 scans per year; every 3-6 months) surveillance, respectively. Factors associated with high-frequency surveillance included being a former smoker (vs current; adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 1.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.05 to 1.33), receiving a wedge resection (vs lobectomy; aOR = 1.21, 95% CI = 1.05 to 1.39), and having follow-up with an oncologist (aOR = 1.58, 95% CI = 1.42 to 1.77), whereas African American race was associated with low-frequency surveillance (vs White race; aOR = 0.64, 95% CI = 0.54 to 0.75). With a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 7.3 (3.4-12.5) years, recurrence was detected in 1360 (22.0%) patients. High-frequency surveillance was not associated with longer recurrence-free survival (adjusted hazard ratio = 0.93, 95% CI = 0.83 to 1.04, P = .22) or overall survival (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.04, 95% CI = 0.96 to 1.12, P = .35). CONCLUSIONS: We found that high-frequency surveillance does not improve outcomes in surgically treated stage I non-small cell lung cancer. Future lung cancer treatment guidelines should consider less frequent surveillance imaging in patients with stage I disease.

A real-world study of pneumonitis in non-small cell lung cancer patients receiving durvalumab following concurrent chemoradiation.

Background: Locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (LA-NSCLC) treated with the programmed death-ligand 1 inhibitor durvalumab has been associated with significant rates of pneumonitis, which has led to higher rates of discontinuation of therapy in real-world populations. Thus far there has been no consensus in the literature on the impact of pneumonitis on survival. Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study of veterans receiving durvalumab between 12/5/2017 and 4/15/2020. Participants were identified using VINCI data services. Patients were followed through 9/14/2021. Development of clinical pneumonitis was assessed through review of documentation and graded using CTCAE 4.0 criteria. Univariate logistic regression analysis evaluated for associations between body mass index (BMI), age, race, co-morbidity index, chemotherapy regimen, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) severity, and development of clinical pneumonitis. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier methods. Cox proportional hazards models were utilized to evaluate the association between risk of death at 1 and 2 years and candidate predictor variables. Results: A total of 284 patients were included in this study. Sixty-one patients developed clinically significant pneumonitis, 7 patients developed grade 5 pneumonitis (death from pneumonitis). The median OS in patients that developed pneumonitis was 27.8 vs. 36.9 months in patients that did not develop pneumonitis (P=0.22). BMI was found to be a clinical predictor of pneumonitis (P=0.04). COPD severity, race, age at durvalumab start date, chemotherapy regimen, and Romano comorbidity index were not significant predictors of pneumonitis. Cox proportional hazards analysis failed to demonstrate an association between the development of pneumonitis and risk of death in this population. Conclusions: The incidence of clinically significant pneumonitis is higher than noted in the PACIFIC trial in this cohort, however this high rate of pneumonitis does not have an impact on OS or PFS. Obesity was found to be a significant predictor of pneumonitis in this patient population.

Treating advanced lung cancer in older veterans with comorbid conditions and frailty.

Advanced lung cancer is a deadly malignancy that is a common cause of death among Veterans. Significant advancements in lung cancer therapeutics have been made over the past decade and survival outcomes have improved. The Veteran population is older, has more medical comorbidities and frailty compared to the general population. These factors must be accounted for when evaluating patients for treatment and selecting treatment options. This article explores the impact of these important issues in the management of advanced lung cancer. Recent clinical trials leading to the approval of modern therapies will be outlined and treatment outcomes specific to older patients discussed. The impact of key comorbidities that are common in Veterans and their impact on lung cancer treatment will be reviewed. There is no gold standard frailty index for assessment of frailty in patients with advanced lung cancer and the ability to predict tolerability and benefit from systemic therapies. Currently available systemic therapies are associated with higher risk of adverse events and lower potential for clinically meaningful improvement in outcomes. Future research needs to focus on designing better frailty indices and developing novel therapies that are safer and more effective therapies for frail patients, who constitute a considerable proportion of individuals diagnosed with lung cancer.

Advancing age and the risk of bleomycin pulmonary toxicity in a largely older cohort of patients with newly diagnosed Hodgkin Lymphoma.

OBJECTIVES: In patients with Hodgkin Lymphoma (HL), the relationship between increasing age and bleomycin pulmonary toxicity (BPT) remains unclear. This study explores associations between age and BPT in a real-world cohort of largely older patients with HL. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This study retrospectively evaluated a nationwide patient cohort of United States Veterans diagnosed with HL in VA medical centers between October 1, 2002 and December 31, 2013 (follow up through April 15, 2016). The primary outcome was the development BPT, defined as: ambient air oxygen saturations <92% with pulmonary infiltrates on chest radiograph and no other etiologies OR clinician documentation of BPT. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate variables associated with development of BPT. Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed to evaluate the risk of death up-to 5-years from diagnosis. RESULTS: Overall, 847 patients received chemotherapy and 739 of these patients received bleomycin. Sixty-six patients (9.3%) developed BPT. The incidence of BPT per age category: 0.03 (9/262), 0.07 (13/188), 0.13 (23/171), and 0.24 (21/88) for age categories: ≤ 49, 50-59, 60-69 and ≥ 70 years. Odds of BPT steadily increased with advancing age (compared to patients age ≤ 49 years) with odds ratios of 1.65 (95% CI 0.68-4.03), 3.24 (1.43-7.34), 6.01(2.52-7.34) for age categories 50-59, 60-69 and ≥ 70 years, respectively. The was no association between bleomycin and risk of death up-to 5-years [HR: 0.87; 95% CI (0.61-1.23)]. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates a direct relationship between age >60 years and odds of developing clinically significant BPT.

Splanchnic vein thrombosis predicts worse survival in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer.

INTRODUCTION: Pancreatic cancer is a thrombogenic malignancy with nearly half of venous thrombotic events occurring in the splanchnic circulation. The effect of splanchnic vein thrombosis on mortality in pancreatic cancer is unknown. We studied the effect of splanchnic vein thrombosis on mortality in veterans with advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma, and explored the association of anticoagulant therapy on mortality and hemorrhage. METHODS: Using International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes, we identified eligible patients and outcomes in the Veterans Health Administration database. Using Cox proportional hazards regression, we analyzed the association between splanchnic vein thrombosis and mortality among patients with advanced pancreatic cancer. We used propensity score inverse probability-of-treatment weighting to balance the groups who did and did not receive anticoagulation. To understand the role of anticoagulant therapy, we used Cox proportional hazards regression to analyze mortality and competing risk analysis to assess the risk of hemorrhage. RESULTS: Of the patients with advanced pancreatic cancer (N = 6164), 122 developed splanchnic vein thrombosis. Splanchnic vein thrombosis was associated with a two-fold increase in mortality, aHR 2.02, 95% CI 1.65-2.47. The finding held true after restricting the analysis to patients undergoing treatment for pancreatic cancer, and after adjusting for immortal time bias by a 30-day landmark analysis. Anticoagulant therapy did not affect mortality (aHR 0.99, 95% CI 0.65-1.51), and increased the risk of hemorrhage (aHR 2.7, 95% CI 1.02-7.07). CONCLUSION: Splanchnic vein thrombosis predicts worse survival in patients with advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Anticoagulant therapy may not mitigate this increased mortality, and increases the risk of hemorrhage.

Metformin Use and Pancreatic Cancer Survival among Non-Hispanic White and African American U.S. Veterans with Diabetes Mellitus.

BACKGROUND: The effect of metformin use on survival among patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is controversial. Furthermore, there are no data on African American patients. To address these, we analyzed data from the United States Veterans Health Administration (VHA). METHODS: A population-based retrospective cohort study evaluating overall survival among 3,811 patients with PDAC with preexisting diabetes mellitus, diagnosed with PDAC within the VHA between 1998 and 2013. We calculated HRs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) using multivariable adjusted time-varying Cox proportional hazards regression to control for immortal time bias and confounders. RESULTS: Metformin use was not associated with overall survival in the complete analyses (HR = 1.05; 95% CI, 0.92-1.14; P = 0.28). However, among patients who were metformin naïve at the time of PDAC diagnosis (N = 1,158), metformin use was associated with improved overall survival in non-Hispanic white patients (HR = 0.78; 95% CI, 0.61-0.99; P = 0.04), but not African American patients (HR = 1.20; 95% CI, 0.75-1.93; P = 0.45). The survival benefit among non-Hispanic whites was limited to patients with metastatic disease (HR = 0.67; 95% CI, 0.44-1.01; P = 0.06). Among African American patients with metastatic disease, HR was 1.30 (95% CI, 0.77-2.53; P = 0.28). There was a suggestion of heterogeneity by race in patients with metastatic disease (P heterogeneity = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: We observed no associations between metformin use and survival in patients with PDAC, but there appears to be a survival benefit among non-Hispanic white patients who were metformin naïve at the time of PDAC diagnosis. IMPACT: If confirmed in other studies, our findings suggest that metformin as an adjunctive treatment for PDAC may not improve survival among African American patients.

Post-MGUS Diagnosis Serum Monoclonal-Protein Velocity and the Progression of Monoclonal Gammopathy of Undetermined Significance to Multiple Myeloma.

BACKGROUND: Multiple myeloma is a common hematologic malignancy consistently preceded by monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS). Little is known about postdiagnosis clinical predictors of progression of MGUS to multiple myeloma to guide MGUS management. This study aimed to investigate whether the rate of rise in serum monoclonal protein concentration during the year after MGUS diagnosis-M-protein velocity-predicts progression of MGUS to multiple myeloma. METHODS: Data from the U.S. Veterans Health Administration system were used. A retrospective cohort of patients with MGUS who progressed to multiple myeloma were matched on age at MGUS diagnosis and race in a 1:4 ratio to the patients with MGUS using incidence density sampling. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted. Univariable and multivariable conditional logistic regression analyses were fitted from the matched risk sets. RESULTS: A total of 128 cases and 490 matched controls were included. The case group contained a higher percentage of patients with M-protein velocity >0.1 g/dL/year than the control group (44.5% vs. 28.2%, P <0.0001). M-protein velocity of >0.1 g/dL during the year following MGUS diagnosis was positively associated with progression of MGUS to multiple myeloma (multivariable-adjusted odds ratio = 2.15; 95% confidence interval, 1.37-3.35). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with a positive M-protein velocity during the year after MGUS diagnosis may be considered for more frequent monitoring for early detection and timely treatment of multiple myeloma. Future prevention studies could target these patients for intervention evaluation. IMPACT: Our results suggest a new clinical predictor of progression to multiple myeloma following MGUS diagnosis, which has potential to identify high-risk patients for management and prevention.

Predicting venous thromboembolism in multiple myeloma: development and validation of the IMPEDE VTE score.

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a common cause of morbidity and mortality among patients with multiple myeloma (MM). The International Myeloma Working Group (IMWG) developed guidelines recommending primary thromboprophylaxis, in those identified at high-risk of VTE by the presence of risk factors. The National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) has adopted these guidelines; however, they lack validation. We sought to develop and validate a risk prediction score for VTE in MM and to evaluate the performance of the current IMWG/NCCN guidelines. Using 4446 patients within the Veterans Administration Central Cancer Registry, we used time-to-event analyses to develop a risk score for VTE in patients with newly diagnosed MM starting chemotherapy. We externally validated the score using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, End Results (SEER)-Medicare database (N = 4256). After identifying independent predictors of VTE, we combined the variables to develop the IMPEDE VTE score (Immunomodulatory agent; Body Mass Index ≥25 kg/m2 ; Pelvic, hip or femur fracture; Erythropoietin stimulating agent; Dexamethasone/Doxorubicin; Asian Ethnicity/Race; VTE history; Tunneled line/central venous catheter; Existing thromboprophylaxis). The score showed satisfactory discrimination in the derivation cohort, c-statistic = 0.66. Risk of VTE significantly increased as score increased (hazard ratio 1.20, P = <.0001). Within the external validation cohort, IMPEDE VTE had a c-statistic of 0.64. For comparison, when evaluating the performance of the IMWG/NCCN guidelines, the c-statistic was 0.55. In summary, the IMPEDE VTE score outperformed the current IMWG/NCCN guidelines and could be considered as the new standard risk stratification for VTE in MM.

Treatment of Advanced Prostate Cancer.

Advanced prostate cancer is a heterogenous disease with multiple treatment options. Patients with advanced disease are stratified based evidence of metastasis and sensitivity to hormone therapy. Men with hormone sensitive disease are treated with androgen deprivation therapy and possibly chemotherapy. The treatment options for men with castrate resistant disease are rapidly evolving with multiple recently approved treatment options. Determining the proper sequence and combination of these therapies remains a work in progress.

Comparative effectiveness of upfront esophagectomy versus induction chemoradiation in clinical stage T2N0 esophageal cancer: A decision analysis.

OBJECTIVES: We compared the effectiveness of upfront esophagectomy versus induction chemoradiation followed by esophagectomy for overall survival in patients with clinical T2N0 (cT2N0) esophageal cancer. We also assessed the influence of the diagnostic uncertainty of endoscopic ultrasound on the expected benefit of chemoradiation. METHODS: We created a decision analysis model representing 2 treatment strategies for cT2N0 esophageal cancer: upfront esophagectomy that may be followed by adjuvant therapy for upstaged patients and induction chemoradiation for all patients with cT2N0 esophageal cancer followed by esophagectomy. Parameter values within the model were obtained from published data, and median survival for pathologic subgroups was derived from the National Cancer Database. In sensitivity analyses, staging uncertainty of endoscopic ultrasound was introduced by varying the probability of pathologic upstaging. RESULTS: The baseline model showed comparable median survival for both strategies: 48.3 months for upfront esophagectomy versus 45.9 months for induction chemoradiation and surgery. The sensitivity analysis demonstrated induction chemoradiation was beneficial, with probability of upstaging > 48.1%, which is within the published range of 32% to 65% probability of pathologic upstaging after cT2N0 diagnosis. The presence of any of 3 key variables (size larger than 3 cm, high grade, or lymphovascular invasion) was associated with > 48.1% risk of upstaging, thus conferring a survival advantage to induction chemoradiation. CONCLUSIONS: The optimal treatment strategy for cT2N0 esophageal cancer depends on the accuracy of endoscopic ultrasound staging. High-risk features that confer increased probability of upstaging can inform clinical decision making to recommend induction chemoradiation for select cT2N0 patients.

Obesity and the Transformation of Monoclonal Gammopathy of Undetermined Significance to Multiple Myeloma: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

Background: Multiple myeloma (MM) is one of the most common hematologic malignancies in the United States and is consistently preceded by monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS). This study investigates the role of obesity in the progression of MGUS to MM. Methods: A retrospective identified cohort of patients in the US Veterans Health Administration database diagnosed with MGUS between October 1, 1999, and December 31, 2009, was followed through August 6, 2013. Patient-level clinical data were reviewed to verify MM diagnosis, if any. Survival analyses utilizing interval-censored data were used to investigate the risk of progression of MGUS to MM. Statistical tests were two-sided. Results: The analytic cohort consisted of 7878 MGUS patients with a median follow-up of 68 months. Within the cohort, 39.8% were overweight and 33.8% were obese; 64.1% were of white race. During follow-up, 329 MGUS patients (4.2%) progressed to MM: 72 (3.5%) normal-weight patients (median follow-up = 61.9 months), 144 (4.6%) overweight patients (median follow-up = 69.1 months), and 113 (4.3%) obese patients (median follow-up = 70.6 months). In the multivariable analysis, overweight (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.55, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.16 to 2.06) and obesity (HR = 1.98, 95% CI = 1.47 to 2.68) were associated with an increased risk of transformation of MGUS to MM. Moreover, black race was associated with a higher risk of MM (HR = 1.98, 95% CI = 1.55 to 2.54). Conclusions: Obesity and black race are risk factors for transformation of MGUS to MM. Future clinical trials should examine whether weight loss is a way to prevent the progression to MM in MGUS patients.

Membrane associated cancer-oocyte neoantigen SAS1B/ovastacin is a candidate immunotherapeutic target for uterine tumors.

The metalloproteinase SAS1B [ovastacin, ASTL, astacin-like] was immunolocalized on the oolemma of ovulated human oocytes and in normal ovaries within the pool of growing oocytes where SAS1B protein was restricted to follicular stages spanning the primary-secondary follicle transition through ovulation. Gene-specific PCR and immunohistochemical studies revealed ASTL messages and SAS1B protein in both endometrioid [74%] and malignant mixed Mullerian tumors (MMMT) [87%] of the uterus. A MMMT-derived cell line, SNU539, expressed cell surface SAS1B that, after binding polyclonal antibodies, internalized into EEA1/LAMP1-positive early and late endosomes. Treatment of SNU539 cells with anti-SAS1B polyclonal antibodies caused growth arrest in the presence of active complement. A saporin-immunotoxin directed to SAS1B induced growth arrest and cell death. The oocyte restricted expression pattern of SAS1B among adult organs, cell-surface accessibility, internalization into the endocytic pathway, and tumor cell growth arrest induced by antibody-toxin conjugates suggest therapeutic approaches that would selectively target tumors while limiting adverse drug effects in healthy cells. The SAS1B metalloproteinase is proposed as a prototype cancer-oocyte tumor surface neoantigen for development of targeted immunotherapeutics with limited on-target/off tumor effects predicted to be restricted to the population of growing oocytes.

Association between metformin use and progression of monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance to multiple myeloma in US veterans with diabetes mellitus: a population-based retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Multiple myeloma is one of the most common haematological malignancies in the USA and is consistently preceded by monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS). We aimed to assess the association between metformin use and progression of MGUS to multiple myeloma. METHODS: We did a retrospective cohort study of patients registered in the US Veterans Health Administration database and diagnosed with MGUS between Oct 1, 1999, and Dec 31, 2009. We included patients (aged >18 years) with at least one International Classification of Diseases (9th revision) code for diabetes mellitus and one treatment for their diabetes before MGUS diagnosis. We reviewed patient-level clinical data to verify diagnoses and extract any available data for size of baseline M-protein and type of MGUS. We defined metformin users as patients with diabetes who were given metformin consistently for 4 years after their diabetes diagnosis and before multiple myeloma development, death, or censorship. Our primary outcome was time from MGUS diagnosis to multiple myeloma diagnosis. We used Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox models to analyse the association between metformin use and MGUS progression. FINDINGS: We obtained data for 3287 patients, of whom 2003 (61%) were included in the final analytical cohort. Median follow-up was 69 months (IQR 49­96). 463 (23%) participants were metformin users and 1540 (77%) participants were non-users. 13 (3%) metformin users progressed to multiple myeloma compared with 74 (5%) non-users. After adjustment, metformin use was associated with a reduced risk of progression to multiple myeloma (hazard ratio 0·47, 95% CI 0·25­0·87). INTERPRETATION: For patients with diabetes diagnosed with MGUS, metformin use for 4 years or longer was associated with a reduced risk of progression of MGUS to multiple myeloma. Prospective studies are needed to establish whether this association is causal and whether these results can be extrapolated to non-diabetic individuals. FUNDING: Barnes-Jewish Hospital Foundation, National Institutes of Health, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, American Cancer Society.