Analysis of phthalate plasticizer migration from PVDC packaging materials to food simulants using molecular dynamics simulations and artificial neural network.

Based on the experimental data of gas chromatography-mass spectrometry, an improved artificial neural network was first established to predict the migration of 2-ethylhexyl phthalate (DEHP) plasticizer from poly(vinylidene chloride) (PVDC) into food simulants (ie., heptane, ethanol and water). The sensitivity analysis indicated that temperature acted as a crucial factor influencing the migration values of DEHP. Then, a combined experimental and molecular dynamic (MD) simulation was performed to understand the migration kinetics and the mechanism of DEHP. Hansen solubility parameters of three component (δd, δp, δh) were simplified into two-component solubility parameters (δvdW, δe), and the tuple was successfully applied to describe the interactions between PVDC and food simulants. The MD results showed that high interaction energy and fractional free volume in PVDC/DEHP/food simulant systems accelerated the migration of DEHP. These fundamental studies would provide significant insights into the migration of environmental contaminants.

Malaria elimination in remote communities requires integration of malaria control activities into general health care: an observational study and interrupted time series analysis in Myanmar.

BACKGROUND: Community health workers (CHWs) can provide diagnosis and treatment of malaria in remote rural areas and are therefore key to the elimination of malaria. However, as incidence declines, uptake of their services could be compromised if they only treat malaria. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 571,286 malaria rapid diagnostic tests conducted between 2011 and 2016 by 1335 CHWs supported by Medical Action Myanmar. We assessed rates of decline in Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax incidence and rapid diagnostic test (RDT) positivity rates using negative binomial mixed effects models. We investigated whether broadening the CHW remit to provide a basic health care (BHC) package was associated with a change in malaria blood examination rates. RESULTS: Communities with CHWs providing malaria diagnosis and treatment experienced declines in P. falciparum and P. vivax malaria incidence of 70% (95% CI 66-73%) and 64% (59-68%) respectively each year of operation. RDT positivity rates declined similarly with declines of 70% (95% CI 66-73%) for P. falciparum and 65% (95% CI 61-69%) for P. vivax with each year of CHW operation. In four cohorts studied, adding a BHC package was associated with an immediate and sustained increase in blood examination rates (step-change rate ratios 2.3 (95% CI 2.0-2.6), 5.4 (95% CI 4.0-7.3), 1.7 (95% CI 1.4-2.1), and 1.1 (95% CI 1.0.1.3)). CONCLUSIONS: CHWs have overseen dramatic declines in P. falciparum and P. vivax malaria in rural Myanmar. Expanding their remit to general health care has sustained community uptake of malaria services. In similar settings, expanding health services offered by CHWs beyond malaria testing and treatment can improve rural health care while ensuring continued progress towards the elimination of malaria.