ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION AND AIM: As first receivers of suspected coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients, clinicians of the Emergency Department (ED) have to rapidly perform the first clinical assessment evaluating the intensity of care needed. So far, clear management guidelines still lack. We identified variables associated with hospitalization in order to give a quick tool to assist clinicians in stratifying cases based on the severity at their arrival at the ED and in predicting the need for hospital care. Methods: This is a monocentric observational prospective study enrolling COVID-19 patients. A score for hospitalization prediction (CovHos Score) was created using variables associated with hospitalization at multivariate analysis and then validated on an internal subsequent cohort. RESULTS: A total of 667 patients were included; 465 (69.7%) were hospitalized and 108 (16.2%) died at 30-days follow-up. In a multivariate analysis, male sex, age>65, alveolar-to-arterial oxygen gradient percentage increase compared to that expected for age, neutrophils/lymphocytes ratio and C-reactive protein levels were significantly associated with a higher rate of hospital admission. A CovHos score cut-off of 12 points predicted hospitalization with 85% sensitivity and 82.4 % specificity (area under a receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] = 0.909, 95% CI 0.884 - 0.935). Similar results were obtained in the validation court. A cut-off of 22 has 79% sensitivity and 77% specificity in predicting mortality (AUROC = 0.824; 95% CI 0.782-0.866); sensitivity and specificity were respectively 71.4% and 71.3% in the validation group. CONCLUSIONS: Although medical judgment still remains crucial, the CovHos score is an effective tool to assist emergency clinicians in predicting the need for hospitalization or to optimize allocation in a shortage of hospital resources.
ABSTRACT
Amyloid cardiomyopathy is a condition characterized by intra-myocardial deposit of protein-like material, in fibrillar shape (amyloid), which presence determine a progressive thickening and stiffening of the cardiac walls leading to a cardiac dysfunction. The proteins most often involved with cardiac amyloid are the light chains of the immunoglobulin, typical of amyloidosis AL, and transthyretin, responsible for transthyretin amyloidosis, in both its forms, hereditary and wild type. An accurate estimate of the incidence of cardiac amyloidosis is still difficult due to the variety and complexity of the clinical presentation of the condition. Nonetheless, the condition has stimulated the interest of the scientific community, so that a specific diagnostic path has been developed, beginning from the clinical suspicion and first-line testing, such as electrocardiogram, echocardiogram, and blood work, to progress to the diagnostic confirmation using more sophisticated testing such as magnetic resonance, scintiscan, and eventually cardiac biopsy. To understand and recognize this condition is very important, stemming from the availability of 'aetiology oriented therapies' (designed to prevent, control and possibly regress amyloid deposition), which should be added to the 'supportive therapies', used for the treatment of the complication of the condition, namely heart failure.
