Permutation entropy analysis of EEG signals for distinguishing eyes-open and eyes-closed brain states: Comparison of different approaches.

Developing reliable methodologies to decode brain state information from electroencephalogram (EEG) signals is an open challenge, crucial to implementing EEG-based brain-computer interfaces (BCIs). For example, signal processing methods that identify brain states could allow motor-impaired patients to communicate via non-invasive, EEG-based BCIs. In this work, we focus on the problem of distinguishing between the states of eyes closed (EC) and eyes open (EO), employing quantities based on permutation entropy (PE). An advantage of PE analysis is that it uses symbols (ordinal patterns) defined by the ordering of the data points (disregarding the actual values), hence providing robustness to noise and outliers due to motion artifacts. However, we show that for the analysis of multichannel EEG recordings, the performance of PE in discriminating the EO and EC states depends on the symbols' definition and how their probabilities are estimated. Here, we study the performance of PE-based features for EC/EO state classification in a dataset of N=107 subjects with one-minute 64-channel EEG recordings in each state. We analyze features obtained from patterns encoding temporal or spatial information, and we compare different approaches to estimate their probabilities (by averaging over time, over channels, or by "pooling"). We find that some PE-based features provide about 75% classification accuracy, comparable to the performance of features extracted with other statistical analysis techniques. Our work highlights the limitations of PE methods in distinguishing the eyes' state, but, at the same time, it points to the possibility that subject-specific training could overcome these limitations.

Entropy-based early detection of critical transitions in spatial vegetation fields.

In semiarid regions, vegetated ecosystems can display abrupt and unexpected changes, i.e., transitions to different states, due to drifting or time-varying parameters, with severe consequences for the ecosystem and the communities depending on it. Despite intensive research, the early identification of an approaching critical point from observations is still an open challenge. Many data analysis techniques have been proposed, but their performance depends on the system and on the characteristics of the observed data (the resolution, the level of noise, the existence of unobserved variables, etc.). Here, we propose an entropy-based approach to identify an upcoming transition in spatiotemporal data. We apply this approach to observational vegetation data and simulations from two models of vegetation dynamics to infer the arrival of an abrupt shift to an arid state. We show that the permutation entropy (PE) computed from the probabilities of two-dimensional ordinal patterns may provide an early warning indicator of an approaching tipping point, as it may display a maximum (or minimum) before decreasing (or increasing) as the transition approaches. Like other spatial early warning indicators, the spatial permutation entropy does not need a time series of the system dynamics, and it is suited for spatially extended systems evolving on long time scales, like vegetation plots. We quantify its performance and show that, depending on the system and data, the performance can be better, similar or worse than the spatial correlation. Hence, we propose the spatial PE as an additional indicator to try to anticipate regime shifts in vegetated ecosystems.

Inferring directed climatic interactions with renormalized partial directed coherence and directed partial correlation.

Inferring interactions between processes promises deeper insight into mechanisms underlying network phenomena. Renormalised partial directed coherence is a frequency-domain representation of the concept of Granger causality, while directed partial correlation is an alternative approach for quantifying Granger causality in the time domain. Both methodologies have been successfully applied to neurophysiological signals for detecting directed relationships. This paper introduces their application to climatological time series. We first discuss the application to El Niño-Southern Oscillation-Monsoon interaction and then apply the methodologies to the more challenging air-sea interaction in the South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ). In the first case, the results obtained are fully consistent with the present knowledge in climate modeling, while in the second case, the results are, as expected, less clear, and to fully elucidate the SACZ air-sea interaction, further investigations on the specificity and sensitivity of these methodologies are needed.

Unravelling the community structure of the climate system by using lags and symbolic time-series analysis.

Many natural systems can be represented by complex networks of dynamical units with modular structure in the form of communities of densely interconnected nodes. Unraveling this community structure from observed data requires the development of appropriate tools, particularly when the nodes are embedded in a regular space grid and the datasets are short and noisy. Here we propose two methods to identify communities, and validate them with the analysis of climate datasets recorded at a regular grid of geographical locations covering the Earth surface. By identifying mutual lags among time-series recorded at different grid points, and by applying symbolic time-series analysis, we are able to extract meaningful regional communities, which can be interpreted in terms of large-scale climate phenomena. The methods proposed here are valuable tools for the study of other systems represented by networks of dynamical units, allowing the identification of communities, through time-series analysis of the observed output signals.

Inferring the connectivity of coupled oscillators from time-series statistical similarity analysis.

A system composed by interacting dynamical elements can be represented by a network, where the nodes represent the elements that constitute the system, and the links account for their interactions, which arise due to a variety of mechanisms, and which are often unknown. A popular method for inferring the system connectivity (i.e., the set of links among pairs of nodes) is by performing a statistical similarity analysis of the time-series collected from the dynamics of the nodes. Here, by considering two systems of coupled oscillators (Kuramoto phase oscillators and Rössler chaotic electronic oscillators) with known and controllable coupling conditions, we aim at testing the performance of this inference method, by using linear and non linear statistical similarity measures. We find that, under adequate conditions, the network links can be perfectly inferred, i.e., no mistakes are made regarding the presence or absence of links. These conditions for perfect inference require: i) an appropriated choice of the observed variable to be analysed, ii) an appropriated interaction strength, and iii) an adequate thresholding of the similarity matrix. For the dynamical units considered here we find that the linear statistical similarity measure performs, in general, better than the non-linear ones.

Self-collimated axial jet seeds from thin accretion disks.

We show how an appropriate stationary crystalline structure of the magnetic field can induce a partial fragmentation of the accretion disk, generating an axial jet seed composed of hot plasma twisted in a funnel-like structure due to the rotation of the system. The most important feature we outline is the high degree of collimation, naturally following from the basic assumptions underlying the crystalline structure. The presence of nonzero dissipative effects allows the plasma ejection throughout the axial jet seed and the predicted values of the accretion rate are in agreement with observations.