Development of a Symptom-Based Tool for Screening of Children at High Risk of Preschool Asthma.

Importance: Despite advances in asthma therapeutics, the burden remains highest in preschool children; therefore, it is critical to identify primary care tools that distinguish preschool children at high risk for burdensome disease for further evaluation. Current asthma prediction tools, such as the modified Asthma Predictive Index (mAPI), require invasive tests, limiting their applicability in primary care and low-resource settings. Objective: To develop and evaluate the use of a symptom-based screening tool to detect children at high risk of asthma, persistent wheeze symptoms, and health care burden. Design, Setting, and Participants: The cohort for this diagnostic study included participants from the CHILD Study (n = 2511) from January 1, 2008, to December 31, 2012, the Raine Study from January 1, 1989, to December 31, 2012 (n = 2185), and the Canadian Asthma Primary Prevention Study (CAPPS) from January 1, 1989, to December 31, 1995 (n = 349), with active follow-up to date. Data analysis was performed from November 1, 2019, to May 31, 2022. Exposures: The CHILDhood Asthma Risk Tool (CHART) identified factors associated with asthma in patients at 3 years of age (timing and number of wheeze or cough episodes, use of asthma medications, and emergency department visits or hospitalizations for asthma or wheeze) to identify children with asthma or persistent symptoms at 5 years of age. Main Outcomes and Measures: Within the CHILD Study cohort, CHART was evaluated against specialist clinician diagnosis and the mAPI. External validation was performed in both a general population cohort (Raine Study [Australia]) and a high-risk cohort (CAPPS [Canada]). Predictive accuracy was measured by sensitivity, specificity, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), and positive and negative predicted values. Results: Among 2511 children (mean [SD] age at 3-year clinic visit, 3.08 [0.17] years; 1324 [52.7%] male; 1608 of 2476 [64.9%] White) with sufficient questionnaire data to apply CHART at 3 years of age, 2354 (93.7%) had available outcome data at 5 years of age. CHART applied in the CHILD Study at 3 years of age outperformed physician assessments and the mAPI in predicting persistent wheeze (AUROC, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.90-0.97), asthma diagnosis (AUROC, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.69-0.77), and health care use (emergency department visits or hospitalization for wheeze or asthma) (AUROC, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.61-0.78). CHART had a similar predictive performance for persistent wheeze in the Raine Study (N = 2185) in children at 5 years of age (AUROC, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.79-0.86) and CAPPS (N = 349) at 7 years of age (AUROC, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.80-0.94). Conclusions and Relevance: In this diagnostic study, CHART was able to identify children at high risk of asthma at as early as 3 years of age. CHART could be easily incorporated as a routine screening tool in primary care to identify children who need monitoring, timely symptom control, and introduction of preventive therapies.

Wheeze trajectories: Determinants and outcomes in the CHILD Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Wheezing in early life is associated with asthma in adulthood; however, the determinants of wheezing trajectories and their associations with asthma and lung function in childhood remain poorly understood. OBJECTIVE: In the CHILD Cohort Study, we aimed to identify wheezing trajectories and examine the associations between these trajectories, risk factors, and clinical outcomes at age 5 years. METHODS: Wheeze data were collected at 8 time points from 3 months to 5 years of age. We used group-based trajectory models to derive wheeze trajectories among 3154 children. Associations with risk factors and clinical outcomes were analyzed by weighted regression models. RESULTS: We identified 4 trajectories: a never/infrequent trajectory, transient wheeze, intermediate-onset (preschool) wheeze, and persistent wheeze. Higher body mass index was a common risk factor for all wheeze trajectories compared with that in the never/infrequent group. The unique predictors for specific wheeze trajectories included male sex, lower respiratory tract infections, and day care attendance for transient wheeze; paternal history of asthma, atopic sensitization, and child genetic risk score of asthma for intermediate wheeze; and maternal asthma for persistent wheeze. Blood eosinophil counts were higher in children with the intermediate wheeze trajectory than in those children with the other trajectories at the ages of 1 and 5 years. All wheeze trajectories were associated with decreased lung function and increased risk of asthma at age 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: We identified 4 distinct trajectories in children from 3 months to 5 years of age, reflecting different phenotypes of early childhood wheeze. These trajectories were characterized by different biologic and physiologic traits and risk factors.

Innovations in suicide assessment and prevention during pandemics.

Emerging evidence, based on the synthesis of reports from past infectious disease-related public health emergencies, supports an association between previous pandemics and a heightened risk of suicide or suicide-related behaviours and outcomes. Anxiety associated with pandemic media reporting appears to be one critical contributing factor. Social isolation, loneliness, and the disconnect that can result from public health strategies during global pandemics also appear to increase suicide risk in vulnerable individuals. Innovative suicide risk assessment and prevention strategies are needed to recognise and adapt to the negative impacts of pandemics on population mental health.

The Impact of Infectious Disease-Related Public Health Emergencies on Suicide, Suicidal Behavior, and Suicidal Thoughts.

Background: Infectious disease-related public health emergencies (epidemics) may increase suicide risk, and high-quality evidence is needed to guide an international response. Aims: We investigated the potential impacts of epidemics on suicide-related outcomes. Method: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsycInfo, CINAHL, Scopus, Web of Science, PsyArXiv, medRxiv, and bioRxiv from inception to May 13-16, 2020. Inclusion criteria: primary studies, reviews, and meta-analyses; reporting the impact of epidemics; with a primary outcome of suicide, suicidal behavior, suicidal ideation, and/or self-harm. Exclusion criteria: not concerned with suicide-related outcomes; not suitable for data extraction. PROSPERO registration: #CRD42020187013. Results: Eight primary papers were included, examining the effects of five epidemics on suicide-related outcomes. There was evidence of increased suicide rates among older adults during SARS and in the year following the epidemic (possibly motivated by social disconnectedness, fears of virus infection, and concern about burdening others) and associations between SARS/Ebola exposure and increased suicide attempts. A preprint study reported associations between COVID-19 distress and past-month suicidal ideation. Limitations: Few studies have investigated the topic; these are of relatively low methodological quality. Conclusion: Findings support an association between previous epidemics and increased risk of suicide-related outcomes. Research is needed to investigate the impact of COVID-19 on suicide outcomes.

Diagnosing atopic dermatitis in infancy: Questionnaire reports vs criteria-based assessment.

BACKGROUND: Persisting atopic dermatitis (AD) is known to be associated with more serious allergic diseases at later ages; however, making an accurate diagnosis during infancy is challenging. We assessed the diagnostic performance of questionnaire-based AD measures with criteria-based in-person clinical assessments at age 1 year and evaluated the ability of these diagnostic methods to predict asthma, allergic rhinitis and food allergies at age 5 years. METHODS: Data relate to 3014 children participating in the Canadian Healthy Infant Longitudinal Development (CHILD) Study who were directly observed in a clinical assessment by an experienced healthcare professional using the UK Working Party criteria. The majority (2221; 73.7%) of these children also provided multiple other methods of AD ascertainment: a parent reporting a characteristic rash on a questionnaire, a parent reporting the diagnosis provided by an external physician and a combination of these two reports. RESULTS: Relative to the direct clinical assessment, the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve for a parental report of a characteristic rash, reported physician diagnosis and a combination of both were, respectively, 0.60, 0.69 and 0.70. The strongest predictor of asthma at 5 years was AD determined by criteria-based in-person clinical assessment followed by the combination of parental and physician report. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that questionnaire data cannot accurately substitute for assessment by experienced healthcare professionals using validated criteria for diagnosis of atopic dermatitis. Combining the parental report with diagnosis by a family physician might sometimes be appropriate (eg to avoid costs of a clinical assessment).

Predicting the atopic march: Results from the Canadian Healthy Infant Longitudinal Development Study.

BACKGROUND: The atopic march describes the progression from atopic dermatitis during infancy to asthma and allergic rhinitis in later childhood. In a Canadian birth cohort we investigated whether concomitant allergic sensitization enhances subsequent development of these allergic diseases at age 3 years. METHODS: Children completed skin prick testing at age 1 year. Children were considered sensitized if they produced a wheal 2 mm or larger than that elicited by the negative control to any of 10 inhalant or food allergens. Children were also assessed for atopic dermatitis by using the diagnostic criteria of the UK Working Party. At age 3 years, children were assessed for asthma, allergic rhinitis, food allergy, and atopic dermatitis. Data from 2311 children were available. RESULTS: Atopic dermatitis without allergic sensitization was not associated with an increased risk of asthma at age 3 years after adjusting for common confounders (relative risk [RR], 0.46; 95% CI, 0.11-1.93). Conversely, atopic dermatitis with allergic sensitization increased the risk of asthma more than 7-fold (RR, 7.04; 95% CI, 4.13-11.99). Atopic dermatitis and allergic sensitization had significant interactions on both the additive (relative excess risk due to interaction, 5.06; 95% CI, 1.33-11.04) and multiplicative (ratio of RRs, 5.80; 95% CI, 1.20-27.83) scales in association with asthma risk. There was also a positive additive interaction between atopic dermatitis and allergic sensitization in their effects on food allergy risk (relative excess risk due to interaction, 15.11; 95% CI, 4.19-35.36). CONCLUSIONS: Atopic dermatitis without concomitant allergic sensitization was not associated with an increased risk of asthma. In combination, atopic dermatitis and allergic sensitization had strong interactive effects on both asthma and food allergy risk at age 3 years.

Timing of food introduction and development of food sensitization in a prospective birth cohort.

BACKGROUND: The effect of infant feeding practices on the development of food allergy remains controversial. We examined the relationship between timing and patterns of food introduction and sensitization to foods at age 1 year in the Canadian Healthy Infant Longitudinal Development (CHILD) birth cohort study. METHODS: Nutrition questionnaire data prospectively collected at age 3, 6, 12, 18, and 24 months were used to determine timing of introduction of cow's milk products, egg, and peanut. At age 1 year, infants underwent skin prick testing to cow's milk, egg white, and peanut. Logistic regression models were fitted to assess the impact of timing of food exposures on sensitization outcomes, and latent class analysis was used to study patterns of food introduction within the cohort. RESULTS: Among 2124 children with sufficient data, delaying introduction of cow's milk products, egg, and peanut beyond the first year of life significantly increased the odds of sensitization to that food (cow's milk adjOR 3.69, 95% CI 1.37-9.08; egg adjOR 1.89, 95% CI 1.25-2.80; peanut adjOR 1.76, 95% CI 1.07-3.01). Latent class analysis produced a three-class model: early, usual, and delayed introduction. A pattern of delayed introduction, characterized by avoidance of egg and peanut during the first year of life, increased the odds of sensitization to any of the three tested foods (adjOR 1.78, 95% CI 1.26-2.49). CONCLUSIONS: Avoidance of potentially allergenic foods during the first year of life significantly increased the odds of sensitization to the corresponding foods.