ABSTRACT
PURPOSE: This study aimed to identify independent predictive factors for return to sports (RTS) after anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction in competitive-level athletes and to determine optimal cut-off values for these factors at 6 months after surgery. METHODS: A total of 124 competitive athletes (50 males and 74 females; mean age, 17.0 years; preinjury Tegner activity scale > 7) who underwent primary ACL reconstruction were enrolled. Assessments at 6 months after surgery consisted of knee functional tests [quadriceps index, hamstrings index, and single-leg hop for distance (SLH)] and 2 self-report questionnaires [IKDC subjective score and ACL-Return to Sport after Injury scale (ACL-RSI)]. At 1 year after surgery, athletes were classified into the RTS group (n = 101) or non-RTS group (n = 23) based on self-reported sports activities. After screening possible predictive factors of RTS, multivariate logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic curve analyses were performed to identify independent factors. RESULTS: Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified SLH (odds ratio, 2.861 per 10 unit increase; P < 0.001) and ACL-RSI (odds ratio, 1.810 per 10 unit increase; P = 0.001) at 6 months as independent predictors of RTS at 1 year after surgery. Optimal cut-off values of SLH and ACL-RSI were 81.3% (sensitivity = 0.891; specificity = 0.609) and 55 points (sensitivity = 0.693; specificity = 0.826), respectively. CONCLUSION: In competitive athletes, SLH < 81% and ACL-RSI < 55 points at 6 months after surgery were associated with a greater risk of unsuccessful RTS at 1 year after surgery. SLH and ACL-RSI at 6 months could serve as screening tools to identify athletes who have difficulties with returning to sports after ACL reconstruction. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III.
