Survival among patients receiving eteplirsen for up to 8 years for the treatment of Duchenne muscular dystrophy and contextualization with natural history controls.

INTRODUCTION/AIMS: Eteplirsen, approved in the US for patients with Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) with exon 51 skip-amenable variants, is associated with attenuated ambulatory/pulmonary decline versus DMD natural history (NH). We report overall survival in a US cohort receiving eteplirsen and contextualize these outcomes versus DMD NH. METHODS: US patients with DMD receiving eteplirsen were followed through a patient support program, with data collected on ages at eteplirsen initiation and death/end of follow-up. Individual DMD NH data were extracted by digitizing Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves from published systematic and targeted literature reviews. Overall survival age was analyzed using KM curves and contextualized with DMD NH survival curves; subanalyses considered age groups and duration of eteplirsen exposure. Overall survival time from treatment initiation was also evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 579 eteplirsen-treated patients were included. During a total follow-up of 2119 person-years, median survival age was 32.8 years. DMD NH survival curves extracted from four publications (follow-up for 1224 DMD NH controls) showed overall pooled median survival age of 27.4 years. Eteplirsen-treated patients had significantly longer survival from treatment initiation versus age-matched controls (age-adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.44-0.98; p < .05). Longer treatment exposure was associated with improved survival (HR, 0.15; 95% CI, 0.05-0.41; p < .001). Comparisons using different DMD NH cohorts to address common risks of bias yielded consistent findings. DISCUSSION: Data suggest eteplirsen may prolong survival in patients with DMD across a wide age range. As more data become available, the impact of eteplirsen on survival will be further elucidated.

Real-world evidence of Pressure-Enabled Drug Delivery for trans-arterial chemoembolization and radioembolization among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and liver metastases.

OBJECTIVES: Pressure-Enabled Drug Delivery (PEDD), a method using pressure to advance catheter-delivered drug distribution, can improve treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and liver metastases, but real-world evidence is limited. We compared baseline patient characteristics, clinical complexity, and post-procedure healthcare resource utilization (HRUs) and clinical complications for PEDD and non-PEDD procedures. METHODS: This study used a retrospective, longitudinal, cohort design of claims data from Clarivate's Real World Data Repository, which includes 98% of US payers with over 300 million unique patients from all US states. We identified patients with a trans-arterial chemoembolization (TACE) or trans-arterial radioembolization (TARE) from 1 January 2019 to 31 December 2022. Subsamples grouped patients with HCC receiving a TARE procedure at their first embolization and patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC) that received a TARE procedure. We reported descriptive comparisons of our full sample of patients with HCC and liver metastases receiving PEDD versus non-PEDD procedures. We then conducted a matching-adjusted comparison of HRUs and clinical complications for PEDD and non-PEDD patients among our subsamples (HCC receiving a TARE procedure at their first embolization and patients with metastatic CRC that received a TARE procedure). Matching was based on baseline demographic and clinical characteristics using coarsened exact matching and propensity-score matching. HRUs included inpatient, outpatient, and emergency department visits. Clinical complications included ascites, cholecystitis, fatigue, gastric ulcer, gastritis, jaundice, LFT increase, lymphopenia, portal hypertension, and post-embolization syndrome. RESULTS: PEDD procedures were used on patients with worse baseline disease burdens: baseline Charlson comorbidity index (mean of 6.5 vs. 5.8), any prior clinical complication related to underlying disease (33.7 vs. 31.0%), and prior systemic therapy (22.1% vs. 16.2%). PEDD patients had a greater number of procedural codes indicative of technical complexity for TACE (PEDD mean = 226.3; non-PEDD mean = 134.5; p value <.01) and TARE (PEDD mean = 205.56; non-PEDD mean = 94.8; p value <0.01). Matching-adjusted analyses of patients with HCC and CRC demonstrated comparable HRU and clinical complications for PEDD and non-PEDD procedures post-index. CONCLUSION: Despite higher baseline disease burden and complexity, post-procedure HRU and clinical complications for PEDD patients were similar to non-PEDD patients. The complex baseline clinical profile may reflect selection of challenging cases for PEDD use. Future studies should validate the benefits observed with PEDD embolization in larger samples with greater statistical power.

Real-world evidence of eteplirsen treatment effects in patients with Duchenne muscular dystrophy in the USA.

Aim: To evaluate treatment effects of eteplirsen among patients with Duchenne muscular dystrophy. Methods: Using real-world claims and electronic medical record data, this retrospective comparative analysis assessed eteplirsen-treated and control cohorts matched by age, disease progression state, and pre-index period healthcare resource utilization. Poisson regression was used to evaluate eteplirsen effects on healthcare resource utilization outcomes. Results: Eteplirsen was associated with statistically significant reductions in rates of hospital encounters (31%), emergency room visits (31%), need for pulmonary management (33%), cardiac management (21%), tracheostomy (86%), and assisted ventilation (39%) versus the control group. Other assessed outcomes favored eteplirsen numerically but did not all reach statistical significance. Conclusion: Eteplirsen-treated patients had reduced rates of multiple healthcare resource utilization measures versus matched controls.

Delays in pulmonary decline in eteplirsen-treated patients with Duchenne muscular dystrophy.

INTRODUCTION/AIMS: Pulmonary decline is a major issue in patients with Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD). Eteplirsen is a United States-approved treatment for patients with DMD and exon 51 skip-amenable mutations. Previous analyses have shown that eteplirsen is associated with a statistically significant attenuation of pulmonary decline. In this study we evaluate the effect of eteplirsen treatment from newly available data sources on pulmonary function over time in patients with DMD. METHODS: We used a post hoc pooled analysis to compare the percentage of predicted forced vital capacity (FVC%p) and projected time with pulmonary function milestones in patients with DMD and exon 51 skip-amenable mutations receiving eteplirsen (Studies 204 and 301) or standard of care (SoC; Cooperative International Neuromuscular Research Group Duchenne Natural History Study). A mixed model for repeated-measures framework was applied to evaluate the impact of eteplirsen. RESULTS: An average annual rate of FVC%p decline for eteplirsen-treated patients was estimated to be 3.47%, a statistically significant attenuation from the 5.95% rate of decline estimated in SoC patients (P = .0001). Using linear extrapolations of the model-estimated decline in FVC%p, the attenuation in FVC%p decline for eteplirsen-treated patients corresponded to a delay of 5.72 years in time to needing continuous ventilation, 3.31 years in time to needing nighttime ventilation, and 2.11 years in time to needing a cough assist device compared with SoC patients. DISCUSSION: The attenuation of FVC%p decline suggests that eteplirsen-treated patients had statistically significant and clinically meaningful attenuations in pulmonary decline compared with SoC patients.

Disease Progression Stages and Burden in Patients with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy Using Administrative Claims Supplemented by Electronic Medical Records.

INTRODUCTION: This study aims to identify stages of Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) and assess the disease burden by progression stage using real-world administrative claims supplemented by relevant electronic medical record (EMR) data. METHODS: Claims and EMR data from the Decision Resources Group's Real World Data Repository (2011-2020) were used to identify patients with DMD by diagnosis code and to stratify them into four disease stages by diagnosis and procedure markers reflective of DMD progression. Clinical and medical history data from the Cooperative International Neuromuscular Research Group (CINRG) were used to validate the developed claims-based staging algorithm. The distribution and drivers by disease stage, as well as disease burden, were examined. RESULTS: A total of 938 (94%) of patients with DMD identified in claims/EMR data had sufficient information for stage classification. Patients were classified by stage based on patient characteristics and the presence or absence of progression markers such as genetic testing, wheelchair usage, scoliosis treatment, or ventilation assistance. Average ages at stages 1-4 are 7, 13, 18, and 23 years, respectively. Using natural history data, the claims-based staging algorithm was validated with high sensitivity and specificity rates. Both healthcare resource utilization and medical charges increased by stage. For example, the average annualized total charges were $17,688 (stage 1), $36,868 (stage 2), $72,801 (stage 3), and $167,285 (stage 4). CONCLUSIONS: Large-scale claims data supplemented by EMR data can be used to characterize DMD progression and evaluate disease burden which may inform the design of future real-world studies about DMD.

Effects of metreleptin in patients with lipodystrophy with and without baseline concomitant medication use.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effects of metreleptin in distinct subgroups of patients with generalized lipodystrophy (GL) and partial lipodystrophy (PL), using multivariate linear regression modeling to account for the role of patients' baseline usage of concomitant glucose and lipid-lowering medications and other covariates on their outcomes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A post-hoc statistical analysis of two published single-arm, interventional, phase 2 clinical trials at NIH was conducted. Concomitant medication use was assessed for the clinical trial population using prescription fill data, measured at baseline and the post-one year following metreleptin initiation. Pre-specified co-primary efficacy endpoints measured were change from baseline in HbA1c at month 12, and the percent change from baseline in fasting serum triglycerides (TG) at month 12. Descriptive and statistical analyses were conducted for the overall population, the separate populations with GL and PL, and additional PL subgroups defined by baseline metabolic markers of elevated HbA1c and elevated fasting TG. RESULTS: As previously reported, improvement in HbA1c and fasting TG from baseline to 12 months on metreleptin were observed in the overall population (mean change -1.57 percentage points and median change -37.9%, respectively) and subgroups. For both HbA1c and TG, baseline levels were significant predictors of changes after metreleptin. After considering baseline characteristics such as disease type, age, sex, and baseline HbA1c, baseline insulin use was not found to be a significant predictor of HbA1c improvement following metreleptin initiation. Similar results were seen for TG levels, with the use of any lipid-lowering medications at baseline not found to be a significant predictor of reductions in fasting TG levels. CONCLUSIONS: Patients treated with metreleptin experienced statistically significant improvement in metabolic markers of glycemic and hypertriglyceridemic control-e.g. HbA1c and triglyceride levels-across various subgroups after controlling for baseline characteristics and concomitant medication usage.

Effects of Metreleptin on Patient Outcomes and Quality of Life in Generalized and Partial Lipodystrophy.

Generalized and partial lipodystrophy are rare and complex diseases with progressive clinical and humanistic burdens stemming from selective absence of subcutaneous adipose tissue, which causes reduced energy storage capacity and a deficiency of adipokines such as leptin. Treatment options were limited before leptin replacement therapy (metreleptin) became available. This retrospective study evaluates both clinical and humanistic consequences of the disease and treatment. Chart data were abstracted from a cohort of metreleptin-treated patients with generalized and partial lipodystrophy (n = 112) treated at the US National Institutes of Health. To quantify the quality-of-life consequences of the lipodystrophy disease attributes recorded in chart data, a discrete choice experiment was completed in 6 countries (US, n = 250; EU, n = 750). Resulting utility decrements were used to estimate the quality-adjusted life-year consequences of changes in lipodystrophy attribute prevalence before and after metreleptin. In addition to metabolic impairment, patients with generalized and partial lipodystrophy experienced a range of lipodystrophy consequences, including liver abnormality (94%), hyperphagia (79%), impaired physical appearance (77%), kidney abnormality (63%), reproductive dysfunction (80% of females of reproductive age), and pancreatitis (39%). Improvement was observed in these attributes following initiation of metreleptin. Quality-adjusted life-year gains associated with 12 months of treatment with metreleptin were estimated at 0.313 for generalized and 0.117 for partial lipodystrophy, reducing the gap in quality of life between untreated lipodystrophy and perfect health by approximately 59% and 31%, respectively. This study demonstrates that metreleptin is associated with meaningful clinical and quality-of-life improvements.

Effect of Leptin Therapy on Survival in Generalized and Partial Lipodystrophy: A Matched Cohort Analysis.

CONTEXT: Data quantifying the impact of metreleptin therapy on survival in non-human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-related generalized lipodystrophy (GL) and partial lipodystrophy (PL) are unavailable. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to estimate the treatment effect of metreleptin on survival in patients with GL and PL. DESIGN/SETTING/PATIENTS: Demographic and clinical characteristics were used to match metreleptin-treated and metreleptin-naïve patients with GL and PL. Differences in mortality risk were estimated between matched cohorts of metreleptin-treated and metreleptin-naïve patient cohorts using Cox proportional hazard models. Sensitivity analyses assessed the impact of study assumptions and the robustness of results. OUTCOME MEASURES: This study assessed time-to-mortality and risk of mortality. RESULTS: The analysis evaluated 103 metreleptin-naïve patients with characteristics matched to 103 metreleptin-treated patients at treatment initiation. Even after matching, some metabolic and organ abnormalities were more prevalent in the metreleptin-treated cohort due to bias toward treating more severely affected patients. A Cox proportional hazards model associated metreleptin therapy with an estimated 65% decrease in mortality risk (hazard ratio [HR] 0.348, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.134-0.900; P = 0.029) even though the actual number of events were relatively small. Results were robust across a broad range of alternate methodological assumptions. Kaplan-Meier estimates of time-to-mortality for the metreleptin-treated and the matched metreleptin-naïve cohorts were comparable. CONCLUSIONS: Metreleptin therapy was associated with a reduction in mortality risk in patients with lipodystrophy syndromes despite greater disease severity in treated patients, supporting the view that metreleptin can have a positive disease-modifying impact. Confirmatory studies in additional real-world and clinical datasets are warranted.

Experiences and Perspectives of Patients with Non-HIV-Associated Lipodystrophies and Their Caregivers: A Qualitative Study.

BACKGROUND: Lipodystrophy comprises a group of conditions characterized by loss of functional adipose tissue, resulting in severe metabolic complications and a complex range of symptoms. OBJECTIVE: This study sought to gain a holistic understanding of the impact of congenital or non-human immunodeficiency virus acquired lipodystrophies on the quality of life of patients and their caregivers and to capture the impact of lipodystrophy on quality of life using a standard instrument. METHODS: Ten patients with lipodystrophies and five caregivers from the USA and UK were recruited through convenience sampling and interviewed using a semi-structured questionnaire containing open-ended questions about disease symptoms and attributes and numerical rating scales to prompt discussion of symptom prevalence and impact. After the interview, participants filled out the 36-Item Short Form (SF-36) survey instrument. Conventional conceptual content analysis methods were used to analyze the anonymized transcripts. RESULTS: Four concepts were developed: diagnostic journey and symptom management, burden of disease, healthcare resource utilization, and support and advocacy. Participants described lengthy diagnostic journeys and frequent interactions with healthcare systems. Many participants became experts on lipodystrophy through the diagnostic journey and described difficulties accessing effective treatment, even after diagnosis. Both patients and caregivers emphasized the ongoing burden of living with lipodystrophy and the accompanying sense of isolation. Participants turned to disease-specific support groups to cope, engaging in knowledge sharing with other patients and caregivers and developing friendships based on shared experiences. Ten participants completed the SF-36, with a mean (standard deviation) SF-36 score of 0.6 (0.2). CONCLUSIONS: Currently, there are no qualitative studies that describe the experiences of patients with lipodystrophy and their caregivers. While additional research is needed, educational work like this study is a promising first step that could lead to early diagnosis and access to treatment and support.

Cost-Effectiveness of a Small Intrapericardial Centrifugal Left Ventricular Assist Device.

There is limited data on the cost-effectiveness of continuous-flow left ventricular assist devices (LVAD) in the United States particularly for the bridge-to-transplant indication. Our objective is to study the cost-effectiveness of a small intrapericardial centrifugal LVAD compared with medical management (MM) and subsequent heart transplantation using the respective clinical trial data. We developed a Markov economic framework. Clinical inputs for the LVAD arm were based on prospective trials employing the HeartWare centrifugal-flow ventricular assist device system. To better assess survival in the MM arm, and in the absence of contemporary trials randomizing patients to LVAD and MM, estimates from the Seattle Heart Failure Model were used. Costs inputs were calculated based on Medicare claim analyses and when appropriate prior published literature. Time horizon was lifetime. Costs and benefits were appropriately discounted at 3% per year. The deterministic cost-effectiveness analyses resulted in $69,768 per Quality Adjusted Life Year and $56,538 per Life Year for the bridge-to-transplant indication and $102,587 per Quality Adjusted Life Year and $87,327 per Life Year for destination therapy. These outcomes signify a substantial improvement compared with prior studies and re-open the discussion around the cost-effectiveness of LVADs.

Development of a classifier to identify patients with probable Lennox-Gastaut syndrome in health insurance claims databases via random forest methodology.

Objective: Describe the development of a claims-based classifier utilizing machine learning to identify patients with probable Lennox-Gastaut syndrome (LGS) from six state Medicaid programs. Methods: Patients were included if they had ≥2 medical claims ≥30 days apart for specified or unspecified epilepsy, excluding those with ≥1 claim for petit mal status. The LGS classifier utilized a random forest algorithm, a compilation of thousands of binary decision trees in which machine-generated predictor variables split the data set into branches that predict the presence or absence of LGS. To construct the splitting rules, the importance of each candidate variable was determined by calculating the mean decrease in Gini impurity. Training and testing were performed on two data sets (30% and 70%) using a "true" LGS and non-LGS patient population. Performance was compared with logistic regression and single tree methodology. Results: Using a 60% probability threshold, which yielded the highest sensitivity (97.3%) and specificity (95.6%), the classifier identified approximately 4% of patients with epilepsy as probable LGS. The most important input variables included number of distinct antiepileptic drugs received, epilepsy-related outpatient/inpatient visits, electroencephalogram procedures and claims for delayed development. The random forest methodology outperformed logistic regression and single tree methodology. Most of the important LGS predictor characteristics identified by the classifier were statistically significantly associated with LGS status (p < .05). Conclusions: The claims-based LGS classifier showed high sensitivity and specificity, outperformed single tree and logistic regression methodologies and identified a prevalence of probable LGS that was similar to previously published estimates.

Understanding the Gap Between Efficacy in Randomized Controlled Trials and Effectiveness in Real-World Use of GLP-1 RA and DPP-4 Therapies in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to estimate and explain the gap between clinical efficacy and real-world (RW) effectiveness of type 2 diabetes medications. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This mixed-methods quasi-experimental study used retrospective claims (Optum/Humedica) to compare the change in HbA1c of RW patients with type 2 diabetes 12 months after starting a glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonist (GLP-1 RA) or dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP-4) inhibitor with published findings from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) evaluating these drugs. Selected RW patients were similar to RCT patients, and regression analysis was used in the RW data to adjust for differences between poorly adherent and adherent patients to explain why RCT and RW findings may differ. RESULTS: RW patients initiating a GLP-1 RA (n = 221) or a DPP-4 (n = 652) experienced smaller reductions in HbA1c (GLP-1 RA: -0.52% [-6 mmol/mol], DPP-4: -0.51% [-6 mmol/mol])than reported in RCTs (-1.30% [-14 mmol/mol] from seven GLP-1 RA RCTs, n = 2,600; -0.68% [-8 mmol/mol] from four DPP-4 RCTs, n = 1,889). Baseline HbA1c, additional medications, and adherence were significant explanatory factors in the RW HbA1c change. Modeled estimates of RCT efficacy (-1.04% GLP-1 RA [-12 mmol/mol], -0.69% DPP-4 [-8 mmol/mol]) were within the RCTs' reported range (GLP-1 RA: -0.84% to -1.60% [-9 to -18 mmol/mol], DPP-4: -0.47% to -0.90% [-5 to -10 mmol/mol]). Poor medication adherence accounted for approximately three-fourths of the gap between RW and expected RCT results (gap = 0.51% [6 mmol/mol] GLP-1 RA; 0.18% [3 mmol/mol] DPP-4). CONCLUSIONS: Poor medication adherence is primarily why RW effectiveness is significantly less than RCT efficacy, suggesting an urgent need to effectively address adherence among patients with type 2 diabetes.

Assessment of treatment patterns and healthcare costs associated with probable Lennox-Gastaut syndrome.

Lennox-Gastaut syndrome (LGS) is a chronic and severe form of epilepsy characterized by intractable seizures, cognitive impairment, and abnormal electroencephalogram findings with slow spike-wave complexes. It typically presents before age 8, but symptoms continue into adulthood and require lifelong treatment associated with significant clinical burden. Data on LGS-associated healthcare utilization and costs are limited. In this study we use a claims-based LGS classifier based on random forest methodology to identify patients with probable LGS from the a Medicaid multi-state database and assess its prevalence across the age spectrum, healthcare utilization, treatment patterns, costs, and comorbid conditions. The classifier identified patients with probable LGS across all ages, with up to 8% of 10-year-old patients with epilepsy identified as having probable LGS. The prevalence of probable LGS was lower in older age cohorts, indicating that it may be under-recognized in older patients. Our analysis showed that probable LGS is associated with considerably higher total healthcare and medical costs than non-LGS patients. The costs were generally consistent between age cohorts, suggesting that the cost burden extends beyond childhood and has a lifelong impact. Analysis of treatment patterns suggest that while the majority of probable LGS patients in this study received widest-spectrum AEDs, a considerable proportion did not and therefore may have been inadequately treated. Further, usage of clobazam and rufinamide was decreased in older compared to younger patient cohorts, indicating that older patient cohorts are less likely to be receiving optimum treatment for LGS. These findings indicate the need for increased clinical attention to LGS beyond pediatric years, with a focus on optimization of treatment for LGS patients of all ages with widest-spectrum AEDs. Timely recognition and adequate treatment of LGS are likely to result in improved outcomes and less costly management of this condition.

Achievement of Glycated Hemoglobin Goals in the US Remains Unchanged Through 2014.

INTRODUCTION: Previous research has found that the percentage of US adults with diabetes achieving a glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) target of <7.0% with currently available treatments has been fairly constant from 2003 to 2010, remaining at just over 50% [1]. The objective of this study was to compare the most recent data (2011-2014) with earlier data to track progress on HbA1c target achievement, for both the general target of <7.0% and inferred individualized targets based on age and the presence of complications. METHODS: Data from 2677 adults with self-reported diabetes from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2007 to 2014 were examined to determine the percentage of adults who achieved HbA1c targets of <7% and an individualized target based on age and comorbidities. National estimates are reported by using weights that account for the complex sampling design of the NHANES. RESULTS: The percentage of people with diabetes and HbA1c <7.0% slightly declined from 52.2% (95% CI 48.7-55.7%) to 50.9% (95% CI 47.2-54.7%) between the two most recent waves of data. Achievement of individualized targets declined from 69.8% (95% CI 66.5-73.0%) to 63.8% (95% CI 60.1-67.5%). The percentage with HbA1c >9.0% increased from 12.6% (95% CI 10.5-14.8%) to 15.5% (95% CI 12.9-18.2%). Achievement of individualized targets varied by age group and presence of comorbidities, but exhibited similar trends as general target achievement. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the development of many new medications to treat diabetes during the past decade, the proportion of patients achieving glycemic control targets has not improved. FUNDING: Intarcia Therapeutics.

Antibiotic treatment patterns, costs, and resource utilization among patients with community acquired pneumonia: a US cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: The current treatment options for patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) often present a trade-off between the potential for treatment failure and safety concerns. We set out to investigate real-world outcomes associated with the use of currently available antimicrobial treatment options for CAP in both the outpatient and inpatient (non-intensive care unit [ICU]) settings. METHODS: This claims-based retrospective study included adult patients diagnosed with CAP and treated with antibiotic therapies, including any oral fluoroquinolone, macrolide, or beta-lactam monotherapy in the outpatient setting, and intravenous (IV) levofloxacin or IV azithromycin/ceftriaxone in the inpatient setting. Generalized linear model (GLM) regression was used to determine total charges for inpatient stay, the length of stay, and days of inpatient therapy. For outpatients, rates of adverse events (AEs), treatment failure, and hospitalization were compared by type of initial antibiotic therapy using logistic regression multivariate models that controlled for baseline characteristics. RESULTS: A total of 441,820 outpatients and 33,287 inpatients treated for CAP between 2007 and 2012 were included in this analysis. In the outpatient setting, fluoroquinolone therapy led to a higher rate of documented AEs (adjusted odds ratio [OR]: 1.23; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.20-1.25; p < 0.0001) but a lower rate of retreatment (adjusted OR: 0.9; 95% CI: 0.87-0.94; p < 0.0001) compared with macrolides. Both AEs and retreatment in these patients were associated with increased costs. For patients treated with the IV macrolide/beta-lactam combination compared with IV fluoroquinolone in the inpatient setting, a significantly longer length of stay in hospital (4.71 vs. 4.38 days; p < 0.0001) and greater overall costs ($3,535 more per stay; p < 0.0001) were observed. CONCLUSION: In both the inpatient and outpatient settings, the development of additional efficacious treatment options that have a reduced AE burden for patients with CAP may be warranted.

The Expected Net Present Value of Developing Weight Management Drugs in the Context of Drug Safety Litigation.

BACKGROUND: Following withdrawals, failures, and significant litigation settlements, drug product launches in the anti-obesity category slowed despite a large and growing unmet need. Litigation concerns, a more risk-averse regulatory policy, and the difficulty of developing a product with a compelling risk-benefit profile in this category may have limited innovators' expected return on investment and restricted investment in this therapeutic area. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to estimate perceived manufacturer risk associated with product safety litigation and increased development costs vs. revenue expectations on anticipated return on investment and to determine which scenarios might change a manufacturer's investment decision. METHODS: Expected net present value of a weight-management drug entering pre-clinical trials was calculated for a range of scenarios representing evolving expectations of development costs, revenue, and litigation risk over the past 25 years. These three factors were based on published estimates, historical data, and analogs from other therapeutic areas. RESULTS: The main driver in expected net present value calculations is expected revenue, particularly if one assumes that litigation risk and demand are positively correlated. Changes in development costs associated with increased regulatory concern with potential safety issues for the past 25 years likely did not impact investment decisions. CONCLUSIONS: Regulatory policy and litigation risk both played a role in anti-obesity drug development; however, product revenue-reflecting efficacy at acceptable levels of safety-was by far the most important factor. To date, relatively modest sales associated with recent product introductions suggest that developing a product that is sufficiently efficacious with an acceptable level of safety continues to be the primary challenge in this market.

Prevalence, referral patterns, testing, and surgery in aortic valve disease: leaving women and elderly patients behind?

BACKGROUND AND AIM OF THE STUDY: The prevalence of aortic valve disease is not well defined, and it is not known to what degree gender and age affect testing and surgery for this condition. The study aim was to describe the prevalence of aortic valve disease in the United States population by extrapolating from administrative claims databases; and to investigate differences associated with gender and age in referral, diagnostic testing, and aortic valve replacement (AVR). METHODS: A claims database of approximately five million privately insured beneficiaries and a 5% sample of Medicare beneficiaries were queried for patients with aortic valve disease. Prevalence was calculated by age group and gender, and extrapolated to the 2005 US population. The proportion of patients with a cardiologist or cardiovascular surgeon visit, performance of echocardiography or stress testing, and AVR within a year of diagnosis was determined. RESULTS: The extrapolated prevalence of aortic valve disease in the US in 2005 was 1.8% (approximately 5.2 million people); in persons aged > or =65 years, prevalence was 10.7%. Women were seen by a specialist, underwent diagnostic tests and underwent AVR at rates significantly lower than men, as did patients aged > or =80 years compared to those aged 65-79 years. AVR was performed at approximately half the rate in women (1.4%) compared to men (2.7%, p <0.001), and in patients aged > or =80 years (1.1%) compared to those aged 65-79 years (2.5%, p <0.001). CONCLUSION: In 2005, approximately 5.2 million adults in the US were estimated to have a diagnosis of aortic valve disease. Advanced age and female gender were associated with lower rates of specialist visits, diagnostic testing, and AVR.

Authorized generic drugs, price competition, and consumers' welfare.

The growing frequency of authorized generics has important implications for the welfare of prescription drug consumers. Authorized generic entry could affect the timing of generic entry, brand-name and generic prices, and generic penetration. We reviewed 1999-2003 data and found that generic entry in the absence of short-run exclusivity restrictions benefits consumers through lower short-run prices. We suggest that these benefits likely also result from authorized generics. We posit that long-run prices and shares are likely essentially unaffected by authorized generics and that potential costs to consumers from any delayed generic entry are likely small.

Economic burden and co-morbidities of atrial fibrillation in a privately insured population.

OBJECTIVE: This study assesses the direct (medical and drugs) and indirect (work loss) annual costs associated with Atrial Fibrillation (AFIB) in a privately insured population. BACKGROUND: AFIB is the most common sustained rhythm disturbance, affecting 2.3 million people in the United States. METHODS: Cost and co-morbidity measures for AFIB patients were compared to matched controls using a privately insured administrative database (including medical, drug, and disability claims) for 2 million enrollees, 1999-2002 from 16 employers across the United States. Patients with an AFIB diagnosis on at least two occasions were included in the co-morbidity analysis (n = 3944). A non-AFIB control sample was randomly selected with a 1:1 ratio, with characteristics (i.e., age, gender, health plan) matched to AFIB patients. Excess medical costs (i.e., employer payments) were estimated for AFIB patients, defined as the difference in average annual costs between AFIB and control patients (n = 3944); excess work-loss costs were defined similarly for employees with available work-loss data (n = 603). Statistical significance in the descriptive analysis was measured by paired t-tests for cost, or Chi-square tests for co-morbidity comparisons. A two-part multivariate model of excess cost was further estimated to control for co-existing conditions and other patient characteristics. The excess costs of AFIB patients were estimated as the difference between the observed costs of AFIB patients and their estimated costs, assuming they did not have AFIB. RESULTS: The multivariate analysis found that the excess annual direct cost of AFIB was $12,349 (p < 0.01), with AFIB patients approximately 5 times as costly as non-AFIB individuals ($15,553 versus $3204, respectively). The excess annual total cost was $14,875 (p < 0.01), with AFIB patients again approximately 5 times as costly as non-AFIB individuals ($18,454 versus $3,579, respectively). AFIB was associated with increased incidence of atrial flutter (p < 0.01), heart failure (Relative Risk (RR) = 29, p < 0.01), other arrhythmias/conduction disorders (RR = 16, p < 0.01), heart attack (RR = 8, p < 0.01), and stroke (RR = 6, p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: AFIB is a costly disease and one for which more definitive therapies might offer some potential for reducing, not only the clinical impact, but also the economic burden of the disease.