Survival with metastatic breast cancer based on initial presentation, de novo versus relapsed.

PURPOSE: We hypothesized different Overall Survival (OS) in metastatic breast cancer (MBC) after relapse vs de novo presentation. METHODS: We identified women in British Columbia with MBC diagnosed between 01/2001 and 12/2009. OS from MBC was calculated for relapsed vs de novo cohorts in 3 subgroups, based on hormone receptors (HR) and HER2 status. Age at MBC, disease-free interval (DFI), de novo vs relapsed, year of MBC diagnosis, and systemic treatment were entered into univariable and multivariable analyses. RESULTS: We identified 3645 pts with known HR of which 2796 had known HER2. Median follow-up was 91 months. Median OS was longer for de novo vs relapsed MBC: HR+/HER2- 34 versus 23 months (mos) (p < 0.0001), HR-/HER2- (TN) 11 versus 8 mos (p = 0.02), HER2+ 29 versus 15 mos (p < 0.0001). For TN disease, no variable independently discriminated a group with increased risk of death. For both the HR +/HER2- and the HER2 + groups, relapsed vs de novo status (HzR 1.4 [95% CI 1.2-1.5; p < 0.0001], and HzR 1.6 [95% CI 1.4-1.9; p < 0.0001], respectively) and age >50 (HzR 1.2 [95% CI 1.1-1.4; p = 0.001] and HzR 1.3 [95% CI 1.1-1.5; p = 0.01], respectively) were associated with increased risk of death on multivariable analysis. CONCLUSION: These data provide information that may guide discussions about prognosis between physicians and patients with MBC. In addition, it highlights the importance of stratifying for initial stage at diagnosis in future MBC therapeutic trials.

Comparison of breast cancer recurrence and outcome patterns between patients treated from 1986 to 1992 and from 2004 to 2008.

PURPOSE: To determine whether the patterns of relapse according to estrogen receptor (ER) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status changed in the contemporary era. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Female patients referred to the British Columbia Cancer Agency with biopsy-proven stage I to III breast cancer (BC), diagnosed between 1986 and 1992 (cohort 1 [C1]) and between mid-2004 and 2008 (cohort 2 [C2]), and with known ER and HER2 status were eligible. Data were prospectively collected. C2 patients were matched to C1 patients for stage, grade, and ER and HER2 status. The primary end point was hazard rate of relapse (HRR) for BC by study cohort according to biomarker status. Secondary outcomes included HRR according to stage, grade, and age and hazard rate of death (HRD). RESULTS: After matching, 7,178 patients were included (3,589 patients in each cohort). BC subtype distribution was as following ER positive/HER2 negative, 70.8%; ER positive/HER2 positive, 6.9%; ER negative/HER2 positive, 6.6%; and ER negative/HER2 negative, 15.8%. For the overall population, the HRR approximately halved in all yearly intervals to year 9 in C2 compared with C1. Differences in HRR between cohorts were greater in the initial five intervals for HER2-positive and ER-negative/HER2-negative BC. The HRR decreased in C2 compared with C1 for all disease stages and grades. The HRD in C2 also decreased compared with C1, although to a lesser extent. CONCLUSION: Although the pattern of relapse remains similar, there has been a significant improvement in BC relapse-free survival. Outcomes have improved for all BC subtypes, especially HER2-positive and ER-negative/HER2-negative BC, with the early spike in disease recurrence markedly decreased. These contemporary hazard rates are important for treatment decisions, patient discussions, and planning clinical trials of early BC.